1/15 - 1/16 Winter Storm

[jaster220]

Very curious to see how this storm will pan out.

 

NOT me - another dud in the making - bank it

[Geos]

If the 0z runs don't have any improvement in the situation, I will be in support of a weakening trend with this thing. No point in having rain, then a little bit of wet snow, imo. I'd take one of the drier EURO runs at this point.

Beginning to wonder if any different solution other than last Saturday's is possible.

[Tony]

If the 0z runs don't have any improvement in the situation, I will be in support of a weakening trend with this thing. No point in having rain, then a little bit of wet snow, imo. I'd take one of the drier EURO runs at this point.

Beginning to wonder if any different solution other than last Saturday's is possible.

I would at l east wait till 12z or 0z tomorrow as there should be better sampling

[Guest Snowball]

Delete thread

[hlcater]

^ lol what a snoozer of a storm.

[GDR]

[Maxim]

lol @ anyone who thought this storm had potential

[Maxim]

Very curious to see how this storm will pan out.

enjoy your cold rain followed by maybe half an inch of wrap-around snow.

[Geos]

lol @ anyone who thought this storm had potential

Enough trolling-

If you would have seen the EURO on Sunday, you would have gotten excited too.

[Maxim]

Enough trolling-

If you would have seen the EURO on Sunday, you would have gotten excited too.

I mean, really though, it's hard to take the Euro seriously. Especially at that range, and given how it has performed this season.

[Geos]

I mean, really though, it's hard to take the Euro seriously. Especially at that range, and given how it has performed this season.

 

Still, though. The solution made sense at the time.

 

The GGEM was trying to get a significant system together as well.

[Tom]

The storm threat was within 5 days and there was model/ensemble support at the time....and continued for a couple days until just recently.  Everybody that posted would have done the same in the January thread anyway.  Given the nature of the pattern and utilizing the different theories to lay out a forecast, it justified a storm thread.  If your upset at the way this storm has trended based on model date, you can take it up to Mother Nature.  

[Tom]

lol @ anyone who thought this storm had potential

Dude, if your mid-month torch had been showing up Day 10 I'm sure you would be hootin' and hollarin'.  Better yet, if there was a snow potential you'd be making ORD = DAB calls.

 

I know your an active poster and you didn't even post on the last Clipper.  That tells me you don't even care about tracking snow systems...so why even make a derogatory comment like that?

[Tony]

You guys can always post in a forum that does not have this thread. Oh wait...look they all have one as well.

[bud2380]

Gfs and euro look to be in agreement now of a mostly dry system.

[bud2380]

Looks like a little rain for Chicago, nothing in Iowa

[hlcater]

Looks like a little rain for Chicago, nothing in Iowa

not really that mad though, curious on how things play out afterwards, pattern looks very active

[Maxim]

Dude, if your mid-month torch had been showing up Day 10 I'm sure you would be hootin' and hollarin'.  Better yet, if there was a snow potential you'd be making ORD = DAB calls.

 

I know your an active poster and you didn't even post on the last Clipper.  That tells me you don't even care about tracking snow systems...so why even make a derogatory comment like that?

the weekend snow event was pretty much a DAB. Sure, we got 1.5" from it (many areas got less), but that's hardly appreciable.

[Maxim]

Also, I was being sarcastic when I made that mid-month torch call, but there's no doubt Thurs and Fri will be above normal 

[Maxim]

Why would I have bothered posting on the last clipper? I don't care for nuisance 3 inch snow events. Go big or go home.

[Tom]

Also, I was being sarcastic when I made that mid-month torch call, but there's no doubt Thurs and Fri will be above normal 

Sure, sure, sure...typical "hindsight 20-20" comment...but I wouldn't even give you credit because it doesn't justify as a torch...lol...carry on

[Geos]

Looking like a weak wave along the front.

 

Really need a sharp baroclinic zone to get storms wound up. If this system was coming out of the SW a day later with the Arctic air coming back it would be a much different storm. Just bad timing.

That Clipper last night was the most exciting thing this month. 

[Geos]

The WAA is weak with this low. Just looking at sounding, the boundary layer that is above freezing is very shallow. It's almost to the point where snow could almost fall underneath the low.

 

Sounding for ORD at 66 hours.

 

[BLIZZARD09]

Geos, on 12 Jan 2016 - 10:14 PM, said:

Looking like a weak wave along the front.

 

Really need a sharp baroclinic zone to get storms wound up. If this system was coming out of the SW a day later with the Arctic air coming back it would be a much different storm. Just bad timing.

That Clipper last night was the most exciting thing this month. 

kinda sad,  no?

[james1976]

Lol, the trolls show up when the models start showing the storm potential dying. Where were they when the snow was dumping on them after their 'torch' prediction??

[Geos]

kinda sad,  no?

 

Yeah sorta.

 

Problem is that darn sub tropical jet isn't allowing the system to dig. The potential is there if it wasn't for that. Bigger storms in el Niño winters usually come early or late.

 

EURO was north btw.

[NEJeremy]

Dude, if your mid-month torch had been showing up Day 10 I'm sure you would be hootin' and hollarin'.  Better yet, if there was a snow potential you'd be making ORD = DAB calls.

 

I know your an active poster and you didn't even post on the last Clipper.  That tells me you don't even care about tracking snow systems...so why even make a derogatory comment like that?

Maxim is an active poster only because 1/2 of his posts are "lol". What's even more sad is that the thread that was created for these trolls just has Maxim talking to himself and wondering why more people aren't posting in that thread. Seriously, go check it out.

[Maxim]

Maxim is an active poster only because 1/2 of his posts are "lol". What's even more sad is that the thread that was created for these trolls just has Maxim talking to himself and wondering why more people aren't posting in that thread. Seriously, go check it out.

lol

 

other weather forums have banter/complaint threads too, it's not made for "trolls". I just found it strange how nobody was posting on it given how this winter has played out so far.

[Yerf]

Maxim is an active poster only because 1/2 of his posts are "lol". What's even more sad is that the thread that was created for these trolls just has Maxim talking to himself and wondering why more people aren't posting in that thread. Seriously, go check it out.

Shhh, you're giving away our secret

[Geos]

18z GFS was dry for most everyone now unless you're east of I-57 or above 44° N.

 

If Gosaints is lucky he might get some snow along with Snowshoe.

 

[Maxim]

Can we just fastforward to April already?

[james1976]

Can we just fastforward to April already?

Nope, because I'm almost already at my seasonal avg snowfall and we have several days coming up with below 0 weather and bitter cold wind chills. Things of which you said would not happen this winter. I'm enjoying it.

[Tom]

Nope, because I'm almost already at my seasonal avg snowfall and we have several days coming up with below 0 weather and bitter cold wind chills. Things of which you said would not happen this winter. I'm enjoying it.

How much snow do you have OTG???

[Niko]

Picked up another 2" tonight from a fast disturbance. My snowfall just keeps adding up.

[Maxim]

Nope, because I'm almost already at my seasonal avg snowfall and we have several days coming up with below 0 weather and bitter cold wind chills. Things of which you said would not happen this winter. I'm enjoying it.

lol, when did I say it wouldn't happen? Pretty much every winter has featured subzero temps except for 2011-2012 maybe. Also, any normal human being wouldn't enjoy several days of "below 0 weather and bitter cold wind chills". Also another IMBY post... many other places are well behind their seasonal average.

[james1976]

How much snow do you have OTG???

I'd say prolly 6"....but i haven't actually measured snow depth.

[Geos]

You guys in MI might want to watch the models. GFS is trying to develop a wave that kicks back some snow on Saturday.

 

 

NAM does too.

 

[Niko]

You guys in MI might want to watch the models. GFS is trying to develop a wave that kicks back some snow on Saturday.

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160114/18Z/f042/acc10_1snowmw.png

 

NAM does too.

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160114/18Z/f42/acc10_1snowmw.png

[MarcusBeier]

WE WILL TAKE IT! We just built up nice powder to 7+ inches and now this Rain is forecast..blah

[Niko]

WE WILL TAKE IT! We just built up nice powder to 7+ inches and now this Rain is forecast..blah

Exactly! Same with me 6-7inches+ on the ground. With arctic air coming, this snowcover aint going nowhere. Tomorrows brief warm-up will be only at 36 to 38F with a cold light rain. I have rain changing to snow tomorrow night and hello arctic air.