Tom Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 March roaring in like a Lion or a Lamb this year??? For parts of the Midwest/Lakes, it is indeed like a Lion with temps about to crash after a very warm weekend. How long will the wintry pattern last??? Is a taste of Spring on the horizon??? How many more chances of snow will there be on the table??? Let's discuss. Well, there is another system sliding down the slot that may target the very same regions who are going to get snowfall on Tuesday. Here are a couple models showing the potential. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 How snowy is this week going to be!?Another 2-5" on Thursday by the looks of it. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 EURO is favoring NW IL down towards Kankakee. Looks like a 2-4" event on that model. It actually develops an f-gen band near the stateline as the storm pivots around Chicago. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 Keep that snow south of here. Dont want it waste the first day or two of the incoming torch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 29, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 12z Euro coming in with a very similar track as the GFS/NAM/GGEM...time to start another storm thread Geo's???? HAHA... Looks like another cold system with favorable snow ratios. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 29, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 Euro targeting the same regions again with a Clipper Friday night... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 This looks fun http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016022912/ecmwf_T850_us_8.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchtastic Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 GFS is a torch through hour 384, unreal. Great ensemble support too. this is going to rule so hard. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 Keep that snow south of here. Dont want it waste the first day or two of the incoming torch At this point I agree. Very disappointing winter for the northern half of Wisconsin. Time to get the boat ready! Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 GFS is a torch through hour 384, unreal. Great ensemble support too. this is going to rule so hard.is this the alter ego of Maxim? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 Starting a thread for the next 2 waves. With all the snow on the way I expect the warm up will be pushed back a couple days.Warm weekend is out of the cards here now on the EURO and GFS. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 Starting a thread for the next 2 waves. With all the snow on the way I expect the warm up will be pushed back a couple days.Warm weekend is out of the cards here now on the EURO and GFS.Maybe for those with snow cover. These arent spread the wealth blizzards. it is typical to get pushed back at times.but this snow wouldnt be the cause Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 GFS backed off on the warm Monday. Temps will be held back with all this snow for 2-3 days is my guess. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 We will.see maybe in places with a deeo pack. That same gfs warms it to 58 here overnight tuesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchtastic Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 lol classic geos... the March sun will obliterate the snowpack in no time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Only thing I'm getting at is that the warm up is shrinking next week and the snow cover is part of the story. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Only thing I'm getting at is that the warm up is shrinking next week and the snow cover is part of the story.850s break freezing.at 126 and.never drop below through 384.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchtastic Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 If anything, the warm signal has grown stronger in the med/long range. I'm really thinking we're going to see some pretty anomalous warmth this month for the midwest and points east. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Only thing I'm getting at is that the warm up is shrinking next week and the snow cover is part of the story.The swath of snow created by this storm is so narrow I have a hard time believeing it is going to affect an aitmass of the magnitude that is progged to enter the US. If you have a foot of snow sure it will affect your backyard for a bit. Warm ups tend to suck in your neck of the woods that way it is this time of the year... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchtastic Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 much more will depend on whether we get a wind off the lake one of those days or not. The snow cover will be history by the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchtastic Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Could actually be flirting with 80F sometime next week if the Euro and its ensembles were to verify. We'll see though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Not only does the medium-long range look warm also looks quite active Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 looks wet http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016030106/gfs-ens_apcpn_us_64.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Not saying it will verify but verbatim the GFS has some stupid nighttime lows next week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 GFS backed off on the warm Monday. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016022918/gfs_T2m_namer_29.png Temps will be held back with all this snow for 2-3 days is my guess. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160229/18Z/f204/acckucherasnowmw.pngI am in the bulls eye!! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 I am in the bulls eye!!Ya if you manage a foot sure it will hurt. Most of our 2.5 inches will be close to or completely gone before the next round. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Today here at my house I have gotten light to moderate and at times almost heavy snow. There also was some sleet and freezing rain tossed in to boot. Right now I have 6” of new snow. If the NWS office here (GRR) is close to my snow amounts it will be a new March 1st snow fall record here in Grand Rapids as today record is only 2.4” set in 2014. And that is by far the lowest record maximum snow fall for Grand Rapids for the whole month of March so for some reason March 1st has not been a snowy day here in the past. Still getting moderate snow here! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 A few days in the 60s next week will feel pretty good. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted March 2, 2016 Report Share Posted March 2, 2016 After this winter, you don't know how good it feels to see that in the forecast again. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2016 Report Share Posted March 2, 2016 GFS jumping back from decent torch(0z) to epic torch (12z) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2016 Report Share Posted March 2, 2016 I thought march was suppose to be colder than normal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted March 2, 2016 Report Share Posted March 2, 2016 I thought march was suppose to be colder than normalBastardi? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2016 Report Share Posted March 2, 2016 Bastardi?cohen, JB yep modoki..... ya that worked out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 2, 2016 Report Share Posted March 2, 2016 GFS jumping back from decent torch(0z) to epic torch (12z) I thought march was suppose to be colder than normal You consider some 60s in March epic? Epic was 2012. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 2, 2016 Report Share Posted March 2, 2016 You consider some 60s in March epic? Epic was 2012.LOL ok GEOS. 60s in the first half of march yes I do consider that epic. 2012 happens once in a lifetime. Cold air source is looking bleaker and bleaker. tick tock tick tock The Morch will cooler but wetter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 2, 2016 Report Share Posted March 2, 2016 I try and watch Bastardi's daily video update for us non members. He really talks up his pre winter forecast and how it is almost spot on, according to him. Maybe he is trying to sell more subscriptions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 2, 2016 Report Share Posted March 2, 2016 LOL ok GEOS. 60s in the first half of march yes I do consider that epic. 2012 happens once in a lifetime. Cold air source is looking bleaker and bleaker. tick tock tick tock The Morch will cooler but wetter. Haha. just messin'The region needs the moisture. I welcome it. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted March 3, 2016 Report Share Posted March 3, 2016 It's March. Only welcome snow for me at this point would have to be double digits. Otherwise, bring on the torch. Ready to start enjoying being outside. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 4, 2016 Report Share Posted March 4, 2016 It was a cold early March night here in West Michigan Last night with lows just above zero I had a low here at my house of +3°. The forecast for tonight is for around 3” of snow so we will see how that plays out. GRR is now up to 49.4” of snow this season and here at my house I now have 7” of snow on the ground. With the highs expected to reach the 50’s and low 60’s next week it looks like all the big snow piles will be gone soon. Last year the snow was all but gone by March 11th But in 2014 there was at least 1” of snow on the ground until March 25th and there was a trace reported for the whole month of March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 4, 2016 Report Share Posted March 4, 2016 One more shot of snow here in SEMI and then, the nice warm-up. Looking forward to warmer temps. Last night picked up 1.8inches and more to come late tonight into tomorrow somewhere in the 2-3inch range. Come mid month....I am ready for Spring!!! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.