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East/Gulf Coast Weather 2016

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#101
iFred

Posted 02 April 2016 - 07:45 PM

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Front has passed. Reports of quarter sized hail nearby, but I saw nothing. It looks like I should see winds picking up shortly with a steady 40mph breeze if reports off to the west are taken into consideration.



#102
iFred

Posted 02 April 2016 - 07:46 PM

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For what its worth, this is the third severe warned storm I have experienced out here.



#103
iFred

Posted 02 April 2016 - 07:47 PM

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Trying to quickly get photos from my phone to this site has only strengthened my resolve to move off of IPB sooner than later.



#104
iFred

Posted 02 April 2016 - 07:49 PM

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Capture of the squall line. Note the 10º temp drop behind the echo.



#105
iFred

Posted 02 April 2016 - 07:56 PM

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From the observation reports out of KLOM, the closest available to me, it looks like a gust of 35mph was recorded. Looking around, and a gust of 45 and 47mph were recorded on the 95 corridor between Wilmington and Baltimore.

Attached Files



#106
Phil

Posted 02 April 2016 - 08:07 PM

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Looks like the jetmax itself has yet to arrive..should pass through the DC-PHI corridor between 2AM and 6AM if I'm timing it right.

Highest gust since the squall here is 47mph, but a huge gust just hit maybe 500 yards away. Could hear it from inside.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#107
Phil

Posted 02 April 2016 - 09:13 PM

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Wintergreen, VA just gusted to 73mph. After an extended lull, big gusts showing up again on stations to the west of here.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#108
Phil

Posted 02 April 2016 - 09:22 PM

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Holy f*****k!
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#109
Phil

Posted 02 April 2016 - 09:27 PM

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Strongest gusts so far, 64mph through the trees.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#110
weatherfan2012

Posted 02 April 2016 - 10:09 PM

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Had strong to severe thunderstorms in parts of the region as the Main front lines were passing with hail reports strong winds and lots of lighting and thunder reportly shaking the houses.impressive event to say the least.

#111
iFred

Posted 02 April 2016 - 10:34 PM

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Woke up to the windows rattling. Nearby station only says gusts of 35mph, but by judging the way a nearby spruce is bending, it looks faster.

The maps tells me the strongest has yet to come.

#112
Phil

Posted 02 April 2016 - 10:48 PM

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Entire house is shaking, gusted to 68mph through the trees, third strongest gradient-wind event of my life (next to February 2011 and January 2008).

Went outside to take a video and there are so many transformers blowing in the the distance it looks like an incoming thunderstorm. Got some decent (dark) video, haha.

Looks like IAD gusted to 66mph.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#113
Phil

Posted 02 April 2016 - 11:09 PM

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Heavy snow squall moving through on another round of high winds. Amazing event.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#114
Phil

Posted 02 April 2016 - 11:15 PM

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Heaviest snow of the winter. :lol: Weird to see with leaves on some of the trees.

Another gust to 62mph. Visibility is near zero.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#115
Phil

Posted 03 April 2016 - 12:11 AM

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We lost power here..really blows (no pun intended).

Snowshoe at 82mph, Spruce Knob at 77mph, Wintergreen at 74mph, IAD/Dulles at 67mph. Impressive windstorm throughout the DC area, to say the least.

Gusted to 68mph in my backyard. Third highest gust I've ever measured in a gradient wind event, next to the 72mph in 2011 and the 78mph in 2008.

The outhouse that was sitting to the side of my neighbors house (contractor doing some renovations) is now laying in the middle of the street. At least two shutters and a big piece of awning are dotting the landscape here this morning.

Will post some video later.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#116
iFred

Posted 03 April 2016 - 07:19 AM

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I guess I live in a sheltered area. Power outages north and south of me, and I've yet had the lights flicker. No debris on the road and the only wind damage I can see from my window is a power line tangled in a tree. Models give this even legs for the next hour or so.

#117
Phil

Posted 03 April 2016 - 10:46 AM

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I guess I live in a sheltered area. Power outages north and south of me, and I've yet had the lights flicker. No debris on the road and the only wind damage I can see from my window is a power line tangled in a tree. Models give this even legs for the next hour or so.


Do you have notably higher elevations to your west within 5-10 miles? That'd do the trick. I'm sheltered from the NE in the same manner.

I also live in a very windy area on NW winds, because the Potomac River/Valley runs NW to SE, and it's directly to my NW for 30+ miles before bending S around my area. So it funnels the NW winds in here very efficiently.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#118
iFred

Posted 03 April 2016 - 10:59 AM

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Do you have notably higher elevations to your west within 5-10 miles? That'd do the trick. I'm sheltered from the NE in the same manner.

I also live in a very windy area on NW winds, because the Potomac River/Valley runs NW to SE, and it's directly to my NW for 30+ miles before bending S around my area. So it funnels the NW winds in here very efficiently.

There are hills to the north and west, but those are 15-25 miles out. There is a ridge line to our south by a couple miles.



#119
Phil

Posted 03 April 2016 - 11:01 AM

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Lost several large limbs in our yard, but otherwise our domain is intact. Actually recorded the 68mph gust that snapped two of the biggest limbs on video.

Pictures and video coming soon. Didn't realize how crappy my iPhone camcorder was, so didn't capture many visuals in the dark, but the sound is okay.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#120
Phil

Posted 03 April 2016 - 11:04 AM

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There are hills to the north and west, but those are 15-25 miles out. There is a ridge line to our south by a couple miles.


Interesting. I'll do a little reanalysis later, but I can already see that the LLJ/windmax ended up a good 75 miles father south than originally modeled in the upper air data, which might have screwed you out of the stronger winds.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#121
iFred

Posted 03 April 2016 - 01:58 PM

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This Friday looks interesting with the possibility of an amazing low.

#122
Phil

Posted 03 April 2016 - 03:42 PM

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I think I enjoyed last night's event more than the blizzard. In a period of 8 hours, we observed:

1) A high of 68 degrees
2) A line of thunderstorms delivering 62mph winds, lightning, and graupel/small hail
3) A temperature drop from 61 to 43 over 25 minutes
4) A period of intense gradient winds between 60-70mph, gusts over 80mph in the mountains.
5) A snow squall delivering the highest-intensity snowfall of the winter, brief accumulations that melted quickly thereafter.

Probably the most exciting storm here since the cyclone back in February 2011, which had stronger gusts but no thunderstorm activity or snow squalls.
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#123
Phil

Posted 03 April 2016 - 06:12 PM

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Video of the 68mph gust (really just audio given darkness) with two fairly audible tree limb snaps, one in the middle of the video, the other near the end (both were over 3" in diameter).

Gust hits at 0:45 into the video, I nearly lose my balance some time between 1:15-1:25.

At about 0:25 seconds in, I hear what sounds like a jet airplane in the distance. Soon I realize it's a massive gust of wind about 1/4 mile away, and I react accordingly. :lol:

I'd recommend cranking up your volume for a more realistic depiction of my experience. Smartphone camcorders are awful.


Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#124
iFred

Posted 05 April 2016 - 07:06 AM

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It snowed this morning. One of the most aesthetically pleasing snow falls in my life. Just after sunrise with the snow shower moving out, allowing the golden hue to catch each individual snowflake like a guided camera flash in a football stadium.
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#125
Phil

Posted 05 April 2016 - 04:49 PM

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I'd like to get some warmer temperatures in here soon, before the Bermuda High develops and initiates humidity season.

As is depicted in the graph below, our *average* daily maximum dewpoint is 45F as of today. This increases to 54F by May 1st, and increases to reaches 64F by May 31st before peaking at 72F in late July.

Obviously these are just averages, but in a summer that is likely to be warmer than normal with a stronger than average W-ATL ridge, I want as many nice days as possible in the near term.

Attached File  image.jpeg   52.92KB   0 downloads
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#126
Phil

Posted 05 April 2016 - 04:58 PM

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The GFS has snowfall and lows in the teens this weekend over much of the area. Would probably kill the young foliage and force a restart.

The cold/snow in April has become a theme in recent years.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#127
iFred

Posted 05 April 2016 - 06:54 PM

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Looks fun.

Attached Files



#128
iFred

Posted 07 April 2016 - 03:39 AM

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The impending La Niña has a different feel from the perspective of living on the east coast. Warm and dry with minimal snows. Still more than Seattle, but still.

#129
Andie

Posted 07 April 2016 - 05:12 AM

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This is NOT the spring I ordered ! Where's my rain ??
_____________________________________________________

Forecasters say a dust storm about 100 miles wide blanketed much of the Texas Panhandle overnight Tuesday before moving on and dissipating.
The National Weather Service said a cold front that moved through Tuesday night had winds up to 60 mph and spread dirt picked up from Colorado and Kansas.

He said the dust was so heavy that evidence of the storm turned up on National Weather Service radar, with the system reaching as far south as Lubbock

Awesome picture

http://www.nbcdfw.co...-374784161.html
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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem, First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes................. "TwcMan say's...I've got the brass...to ban...your a**." .... TWCMan, the Legend.

#130
Phil

Posted 07 April 2016 - 10:12 AM

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The impending La Niña has a different feel from the perspective of living on the east coast. Warm and dry with minimal snows. Still more than Seattle, but still.


Ironically, given this was our warmest winter on record, next winter will probably wind up colder overall.

La Niña winters tend to be warmer/drier overall, but the Arctic shots/cold periods tend to be more vigorous than those in El Niño winters.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#131
Phil

Posted 07 April 2016 - 12:36 PM

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Gentle thunderstorm rolling through here. Long, rolling thunder and breezy with light rain.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#132
Phil

Posted 07 April 2016 - 01:28 PM

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Hate when severe weather splits me:

Attached File  image.jpeg   316.04KB   0 downloads
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#133
Phil

Posted 07 April 2016 - 03:28 PM

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Something powerful blew through NE MD around midday: http://www.abc2news....mage-in-dundalk
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#134
Phil

Posted 07 April 2016 - 04:23 PM

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A picture of the squalls that blew through here this afternoon:

Attached File  image.jpeg   128.78KB   0 downloads
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#135
Phil

Posted 08 April 2016 - 10:31 PM

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Quite the vort plowing through today. Thunder-snow and numerous squalls look like a good possibility with this system, along with 40-50mph gusts.

Someone in SE PA could wind up with over 6" of snow under the norlun-trough feature, though temps/dynamics would need to line up right for that to occur.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#136
iFred

Posted 09 April 2016 - 06:29 AM

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Intense snow right now with temps in the mid 30°s
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#137
Phil

Posted 09 April 2016 - 06:33 AM

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Funny forecast for today:

Rest Of Today
Showers...snow showers...thunderstorms and sleet likely. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Tonight
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and snow showers likely in the evening...then mostly clear after midnight. Cold with lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#138
Phil

Posted 09 April 2016 - 06:35 AM

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Had a snow/sleet mix this morning, now awaiting the upper level vort. Trough axis still west of the mountains so once that moves through convective activity will pick up in earnest as h5 temps cool and CAPE increases.

Wind Advisory issued for 50mph gusts, too: http://forecast.weat...47#.VwkTc8j3aJI
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#139
Phil

Posted 09 April 2016 - 07:04 AM

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Man, that convergence zone is setting up right over Philadelphia.

Whoever gets inside that deformation band will easily accumulate 3-6", maybe more. Always sucks being on the edge of that thing.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#140
iFred

Posted 09 April 2016 - 09:11 AM

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Smaller flakes and the sky is starting to brighten.

 

Strange to have snow with the sun at 57º



#141
Phil

Posted 09 April 2016 - 11:01 AM

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Grandfather, NC just observed a 75mph wind gust. A few additional 70mph+ gusts along the WV ridges.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#142
Phil

Posted 09 April 2016 - 12:11 PM

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This event has been an underperformer here. A trace of snow/sleet this morning followed by an uneventfully breezy day, highest gust is 34mph, so far.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#143
iFred

Posted 10 April 2016 - 07:08 AM

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Only a high of 34 yesterday north of Philly. Coldest April day I can remember in my life. Today it looks like it will be in the low forties with some stiff breezes.

#144
iFred

Posted 10 April 2016 - 04:02 PM

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Nice bright day, sun angle at 58º and the temps never broke 50. Good day in SEPA.



#145
Phil

Posted 10 April 2016 - 04:19 PM

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For once I'd love a solid week of mid/upper 70s highs with low humidity. I'm not sure this climate is capable of that in the spring, though. Just too much volatility.

Typical seasonal shift in the large scale gradients/height fields is showing up on the long range guidance. Won't be long before we enter our summer circulation (polar-stratospheric anticyclone, Bermuda High, jet retraction), probably 4-5 weeks from now.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#146
Phil

Posted 11 April 2016 - 09:10 PM

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Beautiful evening, was in the upper 60s as of 10pm with low humidity.

Average highs are now in the mid 60s, and will be in the low 70s by the end of the month. Looking forward to nice weather over the next 4-5 weeks.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#147
weatherfan2012

Posted 15 April 2016 - 03:25 PM

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Looks like a great stretch of real spring weather for this weekend into much of next week enjoy this nice spring weather while we can before the super 3 letter hot bath word takes over for the summer months hazy hot and humied torture.
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#148
Phil

Posted 15 April 2016 - 04:34 PM

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Looks like a great stretch of real spring weather for this weekend into much of next week enjoy this nice spring weather while we can before the super 3 letter hot bath word takes over for the summer months hazy hot and humied torture.


Yeah, won't be long until the cicadas and katydids start screaming every night, and condensation is dripping from the windows as if it were raining. I'm sweating just thinking about it.

The fact that we spend the nicest days of the year fretting about summer humidity is a testament to how awful this climate gets during the warm season, honestly. I'm going to have to move eventually.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#149
Phil

Posted 15 April 2016 - 04:36 PM

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Meanwhile, the next 10 days look sunny, gorgeous, and virtually humidity-free. Absolute perfection by Mid-Atlantic standards.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#150
Andie

Posted 15 April 2016 - 06:37 PM

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Forecast here for Sunday-Tues is for up to 5" of rain/thunderstorms Flash flooding

65-75*. Should be interesting
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