Potential Winter Storm 3/23 & 3/24

[Geos]

Bit surprised to see some snow accumulating in West Bend.

 

Freezing line is moving towards your area. Down to 32° at Slinger.

[Tom]

12z GGEM hammers GoSaints/Money/Snowshoe over night...you guys will see the best snowfall as this storm hits at night when best accumulations are likely.

[gosaints]

12z GGEM hammers GoSaints/Money/Snowshoe over night...you guys will see the best snowfall as this storm hits at night when best accumulations are likely.

ya this stuff right now is basically bonus snow.  grass close to being covered

[Jaycee]

[Snowshoe]

12z GGEM hammers GoSaints/Money/Snowshoe over night...you guys will see the best snowfall as this storm hits at night when best accumulations are likely.

Going to be a hard night to get sleep.

[Geos]

So far the front hasn't moved sitting from Kankakee to the north side of Peoria.

 

Haha, Snowshoe. I always had a hard time sleeping the night of a snowstorm!

[gosaints]

And yet 45 miles north of you Gosaints, haven't had a drop of precip what even.

This fronto stuff is notoriously horribly modeled.  

[Snowshoe]

Stuck in a training webinar all morning and couldn't see outside. I was really hoping to see some flakes flying. Still some dry air to overcome.

[NEJeremy]

I've decided to pull the trigger and am going to chase the severe potential down in southeast Nebraska. SPC upped their chances of tornadoes in southeast Nebraska and southwest Iowa. Only an hour away so too close not to.

[Geos]

According to winter radar, the rain/snow line is in between Cedarburg and Germantown right now.

 

Raining here, which wasn't modeled well.

[jcwxguy]

I've decided to pull the trigger and am going to chase the severe potential down in southeast Nebraska. SPC upped their chances of tornadoes in southeast Nebraska and southwest Iowa. Only an hour away so too close not to.

I'll be in Nebraska city around 4

[Tom]

ya this stuff right now is basically bonus snow.  grass close to being covered

Need that sun to set when it snows in these marginal temps...by sunset I think temps should be around 30F or lower which may even fluff up the snow a bit.

[gosaints]

Need that sun to set when it snows in these marginal temps...by sunset I think temps should be around 30F or lower which may even fluff up the snow a bit.

Ya its 31 here now but  once the good stuff lifts north we should warm back up.

[Tom]

I can't wait to see what happens when some of those severe cells that fire up in SW IA get wrapped back into the cold sector after 6:00pm CST into N IA/S MN.

[gosaints]

I can't wait to see what happens when some of those severe cells that fire up in SW IA get wrapped back into the cold sector after 6:00pm CST into N IA/S MN.

Not that is matters much at this point in the game but how does the EURO look?

[Tom]

Not that is matters much at this point in the game but how does the EURO look?

12z run hasn't loaded yet on WxBell...some issues

[gosaints]

12z run hasn't loaded yet on WxBell...some issues

Got it thanks

[Snowshoe]

Just back from lunch and noticed many cars were caked with snow. Not snowing here but I know it can be far away!

[Geos]

EURO isn't cold enough I can see that right away. 

 

The f-gen band in WI will sit there for a long time. Will expand towards Green Bay by 6z.

[gosaints]

No grass showing here now

[Madtown]

35 and light rain atm.

[Geos]

Has the freezing line about 30 miles south in WI tomorrow.

Snow starts here late in the afternoon now.

 

Low travels south of Peoria towards Iroquois County. 

 

In a nutshell the EURO is colder and a touch south.

5" here, lock it in!

 

[Jaycee]

If this snow band doesn't sag south in the next 30 minutes I'm going to lose my s***. Literally 2 miles north of Red Wing is getting heavy snow.

[Geos]

If this snow band doesn't sag south in the next 30 minutes I'm going to lose my s***. Literally 2 miles north of Red Wing is getting heavy snow.

 

The brighter greens on the radar have left the middle of the MSP metro, so many that's a sign it is done with the northward progression.

 

EURO barely gets the front back into southern Cook County now. Doesnt crack 35-36° tomorrow here.

[Geos]

Temps are busting 15°-20° in Omaha right now. 

 

Temps should be in the mid 40s at 0z not at 1830.

[Money]

Grass starting to cover up a bit

[WBadgersW]

Holy sleet

[jaster220]

Has the freezing line about 30 miles south in WI tomorrow.

Snow starts here late in the afternoon now.

 

Low travels south of Peoria towards Iroquois County. 

 

In a nutshell the EURO is colder and a touch south.

5" here, lock it in!

 

12z_euro_Wed032316.jpg

 

LOL @ that gradient in SWMI along the shoreline. What is that, like 2" to 12" in like 10 miles? I'd drive over just to experience that.

[jaster220]

Fire? -n- Ice

 

Can't say I've ever seen this b4..

 

 

[Geos]

LOL @ that gradient in SWMI along the shoreline. What is that, like 2" to 12" in like 10 miles? I'd drive over just to experience that.

 

Yeah something like that. The EURO really gets the second deformation band going tomorrow at this time. Showing snow here by 4pm. If the EURO continues to run too warm it may be earlier for both of us and maybe you could get some snow too.

[Snowshoe]

From Colorado to New York.

[Money]

Just pouring snow right now everything covered and there's at least 1-2 inches on the ground in fondy

 

Looks like euro was right with the fgn band being farther south and heavy

[Snowshoe]

It's not new but I really love this wind map!

 

http://hint.fm/wind/

[gosaints]

Nice money pingers here now. About 2 inches down

[Tom]

It's not new but I really love this wind map!

 

http://hint.fm/wind/

This one is pretty neat as well...

 

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/orthographic=-90.76,40.66,3000

[Tom]

In the end, looks like the GFS had the right idea 3-5 days out of taking the main snow band farther north than the Euro/GGEM.

[Geos]

Almost no warm sector precip.^

 

HRRR continuing to cool southern WI tomorrow morning.

 

[hlcater]

Almost no warm sector precip.^

 

HRRR continuing to cool southern WI tomorrow.

 

http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/models/hrrr/20160323/1800Z/f014/sfctmw.png

MSP and its urban island

[Madtown]

34/33 had a couple sleet rocks mixed in an hour ago. Not quite as exciting as ripping flakes!

[Snowshoe]

Upgraded Warnings to Blizzard! 

 

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=grb&wwa=blizzard%20warning