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April 2016 Observations and Discussion


Geos

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That's some impressive stuff you guys to the east are experiencing.  Over here it has just been sunny, cold, and very windy.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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CPC has some changes on its new outlook for April...looks like a cooler eastern 1/3rd of the nation overall and drier.

 

 

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/off15_temp.gif

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/off15_prcp.gif

 

Hopefully a little wetter out west in the desert regions when climo usually supports troughs.

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Temp dropped to 29 in few a minutes after the squall started.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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The sun is now out here at my house and even with the temp of 33° the snow is now melting. Oh I almost forgot not sure what GRR will have for the snow fall but here at my house I received 6” if that is what becomes the official snow fall amount (and even it if don’t) this will be the most snow here in GR since 1975 when 7.8” of snow fell here. And yes there is still around 4” of snow on the ground.

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This Clipper on radar looks pretty nice.  Jaster/WestJim should be getting blasted right about now.  Seems like a pretty darn potent clipper you guys are experiencing out there today!  Been looking on social media and WI got clipped pretty good.

 

00z Euro drops the hammer in the extended back into the Plains by Day 10!  What a wild pattern if that comes into fruition.  Both GFS/EURO showing something big around the 10th-12.

 

The blocking and -EPO look setting up by the 9th is definitely something interesting in terms of weather around here in the west/southwest.  We will finally be able to see storms roll on through the ridge that has been so dominant out west.  Only thing that stinks about that is, we may have to delay our trip to Cali for the following weekend.  Doh!  We are planning to make some stops in So Cal/Death Valley.  One of these weekends in April we also want to check out Bryce Canyon National Park in Utah.

yes, it was snowing very hard here for around 2 hours, even during the day I received 6" of snow. while not a record it will be the most snow on April 2nd since 1975 here in GR

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yes, it was snowing very hard here for around 2 hours, even during the day I received 6" of snow. while not a record it will be the most snow on April 2nd since 1975 here in GR

 

Only seen that much snow in April once in 2007.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Here at my house I received 6” of snow yesterday and still have 3” on the ground. The official reading at GRR came in at 3.2” and the official total for the season is now at 54.9” so my total snow fall total of 57.5” at Grand Rapids for this winter now looks real good. It’s still a cold 29° here with some light snow falling.

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Been watching more videos of all the intense snow squalls that hit the Chicago region with Thundersnow/wind/whiteout conditions.  I wish I was there to experience that.  Some video's literally looked like it was a thunderstorm pouring snow out of the sky.

 

00z EPS is still keeping a cooler than normal pattern through the 18th for the central CONUS overall.  CFSv2 has trended towards a cooler week 3 as well.  With all the blocking developing it might not be till end of April when that ridge can build in as storms will start targeting the west/southwest U.S.

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Cedar Rapids bottomed out in the mid to upper 20s this morning.  Now it is in the mid 70s.

 

It was 42 with powerful wind yesterday, calm and 25 early this morning, well into the 70s with strong wind this afternoon,  back to the 40s tomorrow.  This is pretty wild weather even in April.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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This is the type of 500mb pattern I'd hope to see next cold season with blocking over the top and a -EPO keeping storms rolling in off of the Aleutian trough and into the SW underneath the NW NAMER ridge.

We were supposed to see that develop in January. :-( Hope it returns.

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00z EPS is still keeping a cooler than normal pattern through the 18th for the central CONUS overall. CFSv2 has trended towards a cooler week 3 as well. With all the blocking developing it might not be till end of April when that ridge can build in as storms will start targeting the west/southwest U.S.

I hope the ridge stays out west or to the east all summer long. Probably won't get that lucky but I can sure hope.

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Cedar Rapids has risen from 25 this morning to 80 this afternoon.  That's something we don't see too often.

 

Update:  CR hit 81, a new record high

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Cedar Rapids has risen from 25 this morning to 80 this afternoon.  That's something we don't see too often.

 

Update:  CR hit 81, a new record high

That would be extreme even in a desert climate, let alone in the Plains/Midwest region.  Impressive.

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This was a total bipolar weekend. Winter one day, early summer weather the next.

 

Temp has fallen 33° since 8pm here. High of 71° today - 48° temp spread. This is something that is common along the Front Range of Colorado to Montana.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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0z GFS is the coldest run I've seen for awhile. One day reaching the low 50s next Sunday, the rest is 30s and 40s.

 

Total snowfall.

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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April 2016 has just started and with the official 3.2” at the GRR we already have the snowiest April since 2007. (note some areas received more than that 3.2” on Saturday I had 6” here at my house) On the bright side with yesterday’s mild temps the snow is now all gone, but today has started out on the cloudy and cold side with a temp of just 31° here at my house. And my low here at my house was a chilly 28° So bottom line is April 2016 is off to a cold start. (-5.4° after 3 days)

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0z GFS is the coldest run I've seen for awhile. One day reaching the low 50s next Sunday, the rest is 30s and 40s.

 

Total snowfall.

 

http://nmaps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016040400/384/sn10_acc.conus.png

 

Not for here at least. I'm glad I'm not in the Lakes though. In fact, the 0Z showed 70s on this Saturday here and then 80s on Sunday. It does show a cool down after that, but that snowfall it is showing for Nebraska is for after hour 300! Pretty sure it will go away again just like our cool down and snow for this week did as well.

I know it's the norm for this time of year, but I am pretty sick of the yo-yo temperatures already. Basically every other day we are warm and then cooler and windy the next and then back to warm the day after etc. Basically we're getting 1 day warm spells and 1 day cold spells.

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CPC Outlook over the next 2 weeks showing what happens when a -NAO/AO develops in tandem...

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

 

 

#El Nino in March did in fact produce in the snow department out in the central Rockies of Colorado...

 

http://iceagenow.info/second-snowiest-march-record-colorado-ski-resort/

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LES flurries have been falling here for about 2 hours. Temp stuck in the low 30s.

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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LES flurries have been falling here for about 2 hours. Temp stuck in the low 30s.

 

http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/MKX/N0Q/MKX.N0Q.20160404.1820.gif

Prob not the last time if the Euro is right...next Friday looks like SE WI/NE IL may get in on some action off the lake with very cold temps in the 20's Friday night.

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12z Euro advertising another Great Lakes snowstorm Day 8-9 and pounds WI/MI region...

 

I see that. This is wild weather. I've never seen the temperature snap back and forth like it has over the last 3 days.

 

37° to 71° to probably 35° for a high today.

 

Friday night about 1-3" around here.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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The euro has become much colder this weekend, pinching off the warm tongue before reaching us.  The locals still have 50s Saturday and 60s Sunday, but the euro doesn't have us rising above the low 40s all weekend thanks to a stubborn eastern trough Saturday and clouds and rain Sunday.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Odd to see Lake Effect snow in the forecast for April...

 

http://www.weather.gov/images/lot/GraphiCast/FileL.png

 

Odd, and ugly I might add. My enthusiasm for extended winter wx is at an all-time low. Saturday looked more like December 2nd than April 2nd! And you were correct, it was really coming down on and off, prolly some of the best rates of this entire (winter). Can we just fast-forward to MAY? :lol:    

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Odd, and ugly I might add. My enthusiasm for extended winter wx is at an all-time low. Saturday looked more like December 2nd than April 2nd! And you were correct, it was really coming down on and off, prolly some of the best rates of this entire (winter). Can we just fast-forward to MAY? :lol:

It's the main reason why I come out here to AZ and come back home sometime in May.

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Borderline moderate snow now. Blowing around on the roads.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Wild, Wild weather here in SEMI. It is freezing. Highs today remained in the low 30s and lows will be in the teens tonight. Squalls were experienced all weekend with minor accumulations. Another batch of very cold air arrives by next weekend. I have a strong feeling that next winter will be very snowy and brutal!!!!!

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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