DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 A solid winter storm is shaping up across Upper Midwest as strong clipper system moves into the southern Lakes. A solid 2-4 inches is possible across far N IL and up to 5-8 inches in C WI and MI. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Great start time. Just in time for the 0z runs. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Eh 00z NAM more north. Not looking good here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Yeah that's really far north too. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 00z NAM a blog of 12+ in C WI: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meichel Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 I think we still get 2-4 over the next 24 -36 hours, or was I looking at older model runs? Quote On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 I think we still get 2-4 over the next 24 -36 hours, or was I looking at older model runs? 18z runs looked a bit more promising but NAM at least has backed off on some accums here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 NAM still pretty juiced up, just far north. still brings some 1-2" totals here, though, which is exactly what we're expecting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 > 33 hours. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 > 33 hours. http://models.weatherbell.com/nam/2014011400/mw/nam_total_precip_mw_12.png Green Bay looking mighty hot. I can see intense band setting up right through Central WI. I am not doubting some lollipop 10-12 inch amounts ecp along lake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Maybe a jog north is where this system will go as it really intensifies heading SE from the Dakotas... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Grids in Kenosha County were reduced to 1-3". Still 2-4" here. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Even HRRR going north...I guess N IL losing out on this one... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Best if the best will be north of east here. 3 inches if we are lucky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Well congrats to you guys up there. Dodged several good ones this winter someone else needs to get there share. I will be lucky to get a inch but hope to see some snow tommorow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Given a lower snowfall forecast, the air mass that is to follow will probably be modified by the spotty snow cover. I'm going to say around 1.5" here. I think Milwaukee could pull off 4" still. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 LOT just posted their snowfall map and has 2-3" from I-88 north to the IL/WI border. They must not be buying into the northward shift. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 4km NAM Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Hey Geo's, how were you able to post more than 2 maps? I got maxed out at 2 on my account. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Im thinking I get an inch or 2 with tomorrows clipper. Most likely more the further north you go. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Seems like the system has slowed compared to models maybe due to strengthening/digging Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Hey Geo's, how were you able to post more than 2 maps? I got maxed out at 2 on my account. I link them right in. Right click > copy image. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 00z GFS going way north also... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Models had a chance to ingest all the new data. Might have a nasty period late in the day with the backlash, but I think it will be scattered snows throughout the day. RPM doesn't have much until after 10pm tomorrow. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Don't like the new GFS, doesn't give me much at all!! Been saying it, though, the southern edge is always asking for some trouble! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 hmmm....well the radar is looking good, lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Don't like the new GFS, doesn't give me much at all!! Been saying it, though, the southern edge is always asking for some trouble! Probably gonna clip DBQ-ORD with this one. GRB special. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Probably gonna clip DBQ-ORD with this one. GRB special.Yeah I knew it wasn't our storm, but just hoping I add some. Have to keep snow pack. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 It would be fun to be in Central WI tonight and tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 I feel kind of in no mans land on where to post. Living in Iowa my whole life I consider Iowa to be the midwest and not Great Lakes or Great Plains. But since most of the posters on here are in the Great Lakes region this is probably where I will post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 I feel kind of in no mans land on where to post. Living in Iowa my whole life I consider Iowa to be the midwest and not Great Lakes or Great Plains. But since most of the posters on here are in the Great Lakes region this is probably where I will post. Yea will add the states where to post in each sub-forum and squash it a bit but E IA with great Lakes..Central and western can go with Great Plains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 hrw-nmm looking pretty strong at 6am http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/hrw-nmm/00/hrw-nmm_eus_012_1000_500_thick.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 I would not be surprised if we end up not seeing snow in Chicago. Hope the intial band could lay a inch or two down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 I feel kind of in no mans land on where to post. Living in Iowa my whole life I consider Iowa to be the midwest and not Great Lakes or Great Plains. But since most of the posters on here are in the Great Lakes region this is probably where I will post. I've always felt eastern Iowa belongs with southern WI and northern IL, weatherwise. West and south of Des Moines is connected more to the plains region. Plus, I've always watched Skilling and I have family in Chicago. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 I've always felt eastern Iowa belongs with southern WI and northern IL, weatherwise. West and south of Des Moines is connected more to the plains region. Plus, I've always watched Skilling and I have family in Chicago. Yes agree. E IA will be in this sub-forum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 Don't really care if snow accumulates tomorrow, I just want to see it flying after the 40s & rain we've seen here the last few days. Let winter take back January! Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 LOT seems to have backed off on accums a bit and even calling for mix at onset. Does look like maybe a inch could fall with this quick impressive band of precip... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 14, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 35-40dbz band moving into far W IL soon. Man this is gonna be a nice scene if it holds up here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meichel Posted January 14, 2014 Report Share Posted January 14, 2014 000 WWUS83 KDVN 141250 SPSDVN SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 650 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2014 IAZ042-053-054-065>068-078-088-089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-009- 015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-141600- DUBUQUE-JONES-JACKSON-CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-LOUISA- HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL- WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON- WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DUBUQUE...ANAMOSA...MAQUOKETA... TIPTON...CLINTON...MUSCATINE...BETTENDORF...DAVENPORT...WAPELLO... MOUNT PLEASANT...BURLINGTON...KEOSAUQUA....FORT MADISON... GALENA...FREEPORT...MOUNT CARROLL...STERLING...ROCK FALLS... MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE...PRINCETON...HENNEPIN...ALEDO... OQUAWKA...MONMOUTH...CARTHAGE...MACOMB...MEMPHIS...KAHOKA 650 AM CST TUE JAN 14 2014 ...MORNING COMMUTE HAZARDOUS DUE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW... A BAND OF MODERATE FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHWEST AND WESTERN ILLINOIS EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH SURFACE AND ROAD PAVEMENT TEMPERATURES HOVERING NEAR THE FREEZING MARK ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS WILL HAVE A COATING OF ICE. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH IS POSSIBLE AT SOME LOCATIONS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION AND ALLOW ADDITIONAL TRAVEL TIME AS ROADWAYS WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS FROM THE SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN. $$ HAASE Quote On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.