Front Ranger Posted June 1, 2016 Report Share Posted June 1, 2016 Tweaked. And added DCA. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 1, 2016 Report Share Posted June 1, 2016 PDX: June: +2.6 July: +1.2 August: -.0.5 September +0.9 SEA: June: +2.8 July: +1.4 August: -0.7 September: +0.9 EUG: June +2.2 July: +1.7 August: -0.4 September: +1.7 OLM: June: +2.4 July: +0.9 August: -1.1 September: +0.2 DCA: June: +0.7 July: +4.5 August: +4.8 September: +4.2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 1, 2016 Report Share Posted June 1, 2016 Tweaked June a bit, after seeing the GEFS/GEFSBC cave and the CMC ensembles trend towards the ECMWF/EPS. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted June 1, 2016 Report Share Posted June 1, 2016 Sure, I'll give. PDX:June: +2.5July: 0August: -.8September: -1 SEA:June: +2.2July: -0.5August: -1.2September: -1.2 EUG:June: +2.3July: -0.2August: -1.0September: -1.3 OLM:June: +2.1July: 0.1August: -1.1September: -1.4 DCA:June: +1.0July: +3.5August: +3.9September +4.3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 1, 2016 Report Share Posted June 1, 2016 Looks like Justin didn't wanna play. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 20, 2016 Report Share Posted June 20, 2016 About to enter the home stretch for June. Looking like a lot of us will be in the ballpark overall, though probably too warm for a couple stations and too cool for at least one. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 20, 2016 Report Share Posted June 20, 2016 About to enter the home stretch for June. Looking like a lot of us will be in the ballpark overall, though probably too warm for a couple stations and too cool for at least one.The last week of June is a big question mark. There'll be an MJO/propagatory wave traversing the Pacific, increasing WAFs under the antecedent anticyclone and leading to a period of western ridging (rise in the AAM/PNA). How fast the wave degrades/orbits back into a the IO/MT (constructive interference w/ developing Niña) will determine how soon troughing returns in July, in my opinion, Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 21, 2016 Report Share Posted June 21, 2016 The last week of June is a big question mark. There'll be an MJO/propagatory wave traversing the Pacific, increasing WAFs under the antecedent anticyclone and leading to a period of western ridging (rise in the AAM/PNA). How fast the wave degrades/orbits back into a the IO/MT (constructive interference w/ developing Niña) will determine how soon troughing returns in July, in my opinion,I guess another question is how do you define western ridging? The 4 corners high has become well established in the past week, with plenty of heat throughout the Southwest...but not so for the PNW. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted June 21, 2016 Report Share Posted June 21, 2016 Looks like Justin didn't wanna play. I posted a forecast on May 25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 21, 2016 Report Share Posted June 21, 2016 I guess another question is how do you define western ridging? The 4 corners high has become well established in the past week, with plenty of heat throughout the Southwest...but not so for the PNW.In this case, there should be a period of NW-North American ridging. Won't be long lived, though. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 21, 2016 Report Share Posted June 21, 2016 I posted a forecast on May 25 I'll get started on my obituary, then. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 21, 2016 Author Report Share Posted June 21, 2016 Through the 20th. PDX: +2.9 EUG: +3.7 SEA: +3.0 OLM: +1.2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 24, 2016 Report Share Posted June 24, 2016 Virtually no shot at a top 5 warm month for OLM. Decent shot for EUG, pretty good chance for SEA, and PDX (though the -4 they put up today and continued cool weather tomorrow won't help). Will come down to how warm it gets the last couple days of the month. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 25, 2016 Report Share Posted June 25, 2016 Heading into the final week. PDX: +2.3SEA: +2.5EUG: +2.9OLM: +1.1DCA: +1.6 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 25, 2016 Report Share Posted June 25, 2016 Heading into the final week. PDX: +2.3SEA: +2.5EUG: +2.9OLM: +1.1DCA: +1.6 I am doing great assuming the temps are held in check for the next 5 days. Eugene is lost on the warm side. PDXJune: +2.8 SEA June: +2.9 EUG June: +2.2 OLMJune: +2.0 DCAJune: +1.5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2016 Report Share Posted June 26, 2016 I am doing great assuming the temps are held in check for the next 5 days. Eugene is lost on the warm side.PDXJune: +2.8 SEA June: +2.9 EUG June: +2.2 OLMJune: +2.0DCAJune: +1.5You updated those numbers at the deadline. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2016 Report Share Posted June 26, 2016 You updated those numbers on June 1st. I last updated my numbers on the evening of 5/31. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2016 Report Share Posted June 26, 2016 Trying to rewrite history again? This was your final update. PDX:June: +2.6July: +1.2August: -.0.5September +0.9SEA:June: +2.8July: +1.4August: -0.7September: +0.9EUG: June +2.2July: +1.7August: -0.4September: +1.7OLM:June: +2.4July: +0.9August: -1.1September: +0.2DCA:June: +0.7July: +4.5August: +4.8September: +4.2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 26, 2016 Report Share Posted June 26, 2016 Ahhhh... 5/31 at 11:08 p.m. and slightly lower. Now I need even less warmth this week. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 26, 2016 Report Share Posted June 26, 2016 Ahhhh... 5/31 at 11:08 p.m. and slightly lower. Now I need even less warmth this week. Peer pressure? I suspect I slightly overcorrected on June. Probably should have gone cooler for September and July, warmer for August, in hindsight. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 26, 2016 Report Share Posted June 26, 2016 I am doing great assuming the temps are held in check for the next 5 days. Eugene is lost on the warm side. PDXJune: +2.8 SEA June: +2.9 EUG June: +2.2 OLMJune: +2.0 DCAJune: +1.5 Yes, you will likely be very close on all but EUG. Probably a bit too warm for OLM, but very close on SEA and PDX. Those who had little difference between OLM and SEA are going to be hurting as this contest goes on. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 27, 2016 Report Share Posted June 27, 2016 OLM is still just +1.1 on the month as of yesterday. Might be lots of busts there going forward.http://w2.weather.gov/climate/getclimate.php?wfo=sew Ironically, my biggest miss for June might be DCA. Low humidity messing with nighttime lows. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 29, 2016 Author Report Share Posted June 29, 2016 Where is the best place to look up monthly anoms for DCA? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 29, 2016 Report Share Posted June 29, 2016 Where is the best place to look up monthly anoms for DCA? http://w2.weather.gov/climate/?wfo=lwx They are at +1.3 through yesterday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 29, 2016 Report Share Posted June 29, 2016 I am perfectly right on target for both SEA and PDX right now. SEA +2.8PDX +2.6 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 29, 2016 Report Share Posted June 29, 2016 Alluding to what Flatiron noted, I'm glad I put some distance between OLM and SEA. Unlikely they end up anywhere close to eachother when all is said and done. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 29, 2016 Report Share Posted June 29, 2016 Alluding to what Flatiron noted, I'm glad I put some distance between OLM and SEA. Unlikely they end up anywhere close to eachother when all is said and done. Though if the increasing troughiness forecast plays out, maybe a bit closer to each other than last summer's massive spread. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 30, 2016 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2016 Renting a cabin at Clear Lake, Oregon the next two nights. I will be out of reception and thus unable to score month one of the contest until Saturday night. Should be a great time. Weather is looking perfect. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 30, 2016 Report Share Posted June 30, 2016 Despite overlapping constructive interference between intraseasonal waves in the EPAC, if it propagates eastward before ~7/20 (as would be climatologically expected) there might be a lot of warm busts in July. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted June 30, 2016 Report Share Posted June 30, 2016 Yeah, I'm thinking it might be safe to change those July numbers now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2016 Report Share Posted July 1, 2016 Final for June: SEA +2.6OLM +1.,2PDX +2.5EUG +3.2DCA +1.0 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted July 1, 2016 Report Share Posted July 1, 2016 Final for June: SEA +2.6OLM +1.,2PDX +2.5EUG +3.2DCA +1.0 EUG's Californication continues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 1, 2016 Report Share Posted July 1, 2016 Final for June: SEA +2.6OLM +1.,2PDX +2.5EUG +3.2DCA +1.0Looks like Shawnigan Lake will come in close to +2.5F for June. Maybe there is something wrong with the OLM sensor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 1, 2016 Report Share Posted July 1, 2016 Looks like Shawnigan Lake will come in close to +2.5F for June. Maybe there is something wrong with the OLM sensor. Ha! Maybe. That would be hilarious. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Abbotsford_wx Posted July 1, 2016 Report Share Posted July 1, 2016 Looks like Shawnigan Lake will come in close to +2.5F for June. Maybe there is something wrong with the OLM sensor. Abbotsford is only +1.2, same as OLM. My personal station is +2.1, which seems more in line with the others. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 2, 2016 Report Share Posted July 2, 2016 Abbotsford is only +1.2, same as OLM. My personal station is +2.1, which seems more in line with the others. I'm sure your period of record is in line with the others as well. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 2, 2016 Report Share Posted July 2, 2016 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 2, 2016 Report Share Posted July 2, 2016 Last1mTDeptWRCC-NW.png Small area of below normal temps very close to OLM... in a sea of above normal temps. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 2, 2016 Report Share Posted July 2, 2016 Small area of below normal temps very close to OLM... in a sea of above normal temps. Most of western WA was in the 0 to +2 range, which OLM was. Though I wouldn't put a ton of stock into those exact shapes. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 7, 2016 Report Share Posted July 7, 2016 Who's winning? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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