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Summer 2016 Monthly Anomaly Forecast Contest

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#151
Phil

Posted 08 September 2016 - 09:24 PM

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Yeah... I will take our weather for now. I might be jealous of your weather again soon enough though.


You're probably in a better spot for troughing than I am this winter.

We'll see, though!
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017
Thunderstorm days: 10
Severe days: 5
Rain total: 11.58"
Highs at/above 90*F: 16
Warmest high: 99.4*F
Warmest low: 79.7*F

#152
Phil

Posted 09 September 2016 - 10:00 AM

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Failure continues..reached 90 degrees by 952AM, hit 97 degrees by 1108AM. Now we're stalled at 98 degrees, probably to fall short of the record.

DCA is 94/69, after hitting 97 @ 1145.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017
Thunderstorm days: 10
Severe days: 5
Rain total: 11.58"
Highs at/above 90*F: 16
Warmest high: 99.4*F
Warmest low: 79.7*F

#153
Phil

Posted 14 September 2016 - 11:29 AM

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Haha, rack up another 95+ afternoon @ DCA. September has just catapulted into the crapper, especially since the mid/late 2000s..at least it feels relatively comfortable outside given very low humidity today.

Record warm month incoming? A bunch of 90+ days upcoming over the next 10+ days on modeling.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017
Thunderstorm days: 10
Severe days: 5
Rain total: 11.58"
Highs at/above 90*F: 16
Warmest high: 99.4*F
Warmest low: 79.7*F

#154
Chris

Posted 03 October 2016 - 04:37 PM

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And the winner is?



#155
Front Ranger

Posted 03 October 2016 - 04:50 PM

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And the winner is?

 

OLM.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#156
TT-SEA

Posted 04 October 2016 - 02:05 PM

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I ended being too cold with my prediction for the JJAS period for SEA.

 

My prediction was:

+2.8

+1.4

-0.7

+0.9

 

Actual was:

+2.6

+1.1

+2.6

-0.1

 

 

My prediction was for +1.1 overall for the 4-month period and the actual result at SEA was +1.6

 

My cold bias strikes again!  



#157
Front Ranger

Posted 04 October 2016 - 03:24 PM

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I ended being too cold with my prediction for the JJAS period for SEA.

 

My prediction was:

+2.8

+1.4

-0.7

+0.9

 

Actual was:

+2.6

+1.1

+2.6

-0.1

 

 

My prediction was for +1.1 overall for the 4-month period and the actual result at SEA was +1.6

 

My cold bias strikes again!  

 

Of course, you were too warm for 3/4 months...


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#158
Phil

Posted 04 October 2016 - 03:26 PM

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Of course, you were too warm for 3/4 months...


And too warm at every other station.

Just joshing, Tim. ;)
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017
Thunderstorm days: 10
Severe days: 5
Rain total: 11.58"
Highs at/above 90*F: 16
Warmest high: 99.4*F
Warmest low: 79.7*F

#159
TT-SEA

Posted 04 October 2016 - 03:28 PM

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And too warm at every other station.

Just joshing, Tim. ;)

 

 

I only really care (and know) about SEA of course.

 

Not sure how far I was at other stations.    But I was too cold for this area.



#160
TT-SEA

Posted 04 October 2016 - 03:34 PM

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I just about nailed PDX perfectly for JJAS.

 

Actual was +0.9

 

My forecast was +1.0

 

Not bad!  



#161
TT-SEA

Posted 04 October 2016 - 04:31 PM

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Of course, you were too warm for 3/4 months...

 

 

Yes... I should have been able to nail down 2.8 vs 2.6 and 1.4 vs 1.1.   How can I be off by such a huge margin??    

 

I sure blew August though. 

 

You were too warm by .5 for OLM for JJAS.   I was too cold by .5 for SEA for JJAS.



#162
Front Ranger

Posted 04 October 2016 - 11:18 PM

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Seriously, someone should tally this sucker up.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#163
BLI snowman

Posted 05 October 2016 - 08:25 AM

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Seriously, someone should tally this sucker up.

 

Anything preventing you from doing it?

 

You love stats.



#164
Front Ranger

Posted 05 October 2016 - 08:29 AM

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Anything preventing you from doing it?

 

You love stats.

 

The duty falls to he who created the contest. With great power comes mundane responsibility.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#165
BLI snowman

Posted 05 October 2016 - 08:34 AM

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The duty falls to he who created the contest. With great power comes mundane responsibility.

 

Huge dilemma. The potential glory from the results has surely been wracking the brain. But then math is hard.



#166
Front Ranger

Posted 18 October 2016 - 09:33 PM

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I may have won.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#167
Bryant

Posted 30 October 2016 - 08:51 PM

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Jesse, get on tallying this bad boy up!