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November 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

Snow Cold Bitter
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#6401
AlpineExperience

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:19 PM

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It does seem pretty snowy.


Next week Tim will posts pics of his kids playing in snow and webcam images of Covington with bare ground and sunshine in Seattle 😂
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#6402
Front Ranger

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:20 PM

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Yeah, the block looks better than GFS, and Euro has lower heights, yet GFS had Arctic air quite a bit closer at day 4. Kinda weird.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#6403
TT-SEA

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:20 PM

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Next week Tim will posts pics of his kids playing in snow and webcam images of Covington with bare ground and sunshine in Seattle

 

I doubt it will be sunny in Seattle.    ;)



#6404
DJ Droppin

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:21 PM

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Day 4 Model comparison vs 00z last night(pretty chilly run) much better digging tonight's run


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#6405
chopper 918

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:25 PM

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Euro looks like the 00Z run from 2 nights ago.



#6406
TT-SEA

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:27 PM

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00Z ECMWF says that it will be snowing out here early Sunday morning.    

 

Then some light snow across most of the lowlands by Monday morning.



#6407
Brennan

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:27 PM

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Wrf drops another 6-8" on my location Wednesday night


To all members stating what models show for "their" location. Please specify where your location is. Not all of us know where everyone lives! I personally think it should be required information!
  • Bryant, χιόνι (chióni), Skagit Weather and 1 other like this

#6408
chopper 918

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:28 PM

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Snow at the Clink Sunday night??


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#6409
DJ Droppin

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:28 PM

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Stronger SE ridge on this run. Day 5 comparison to 00z last night which had modified arctic air into eastern WA shows much better digging back of arctic air/trough



#6410
chopper 918

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:29 PM

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To all members stating what models show for "their" location. Please specify where your location is. Not all of us know where everyone lives! I personally think it should be required information!

 

Amen!



#6411
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:32 PM

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https://www.google.c...m/data=!3m1!1e3


Snowfall

2016-17: 47.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#6412
AlpineExperience

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:33 PM

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Someone post the wxbell snow map. Just for fun!

#6413
Timmy

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:33 PM

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New thread

#6414
nwsnow

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:33 PM

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WRF Wed-Thursday

msnow24.180.0000.gif

 

Gives PDX a nice east wind snowstorm after the 3-5 inches it showed for Monday. The expectations for this event are starting to get out of hand maybe. 



#6415
Front Ranger

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:34 PM

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Euro is radically different than GFS at day 6. Troughing much deeper in the West, and the Pacific ridging is also way different.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#6416
Timmy

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:34 PM

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To all members stating what models show for "their" location. Please specify where your location is. Not all of us know where everyone lives! I personally think it should be required information!

To all members stating what models show for "their" location. Please specify where your location is. Not all of us know where everyone lives! I personally think it should be required information!


It shows on the desktop version as it does everyones. But I'm about a mile se of the Portland radar (ktrx) ~1500'

#6417
Phil

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:36 PM

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Wavebreak cycles way too far west this run.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Cold season 2017/18:
Snowfall: 0"
Largest snowfall: 0"
Number of winter events: 0
Coldest High 67*F
Coldest low: 44*F
Highest sustained wind: 17mph
Highest wind gust: 26mph

#6418
Brennan

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:37 PM

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Move to December thread. It's time.

#6419
ShawniganLake

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:37 PM

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Here is WA. As usual the worse spot for snow is Puysllup.

More than   20"  here next week according to the WRF.  Good thing I got my snowblower out today and got 'er warmed up. 



#6420
snow_wizard

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:40 PM

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Euro is radically different than GFS at day 6. Troughing much deeper in the West, and the Pacific ridging is also way different.


How come no one is posting maps? I find it easier to look on here than to go to the sites. :lol:
  • Brennan likes this

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2017-18 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Coldest Low = 32

Lows 32 or below = 1

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs Below 40 = 0

 

 


#6421
Phil

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:40 PM

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Here's the 500mb difference between the ECMWF and GFS.

Note the increased GOA vorticity on the ECMWF vs the GFS. That's going to lead to a warmer solution during the second half of the run. So..meh.

93CB0B49-F252-4EC6-A344-0C15C4819473_zps
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Cold season 2017/18:
Snowfall: 0"
Largest snowfall: 0"
Number of winter events: 0
Coldest High 67*F
Coldest low: 44*F
Highest sustained wind: 17mph
Highest wind gust: 26mph

#6422
MossMan

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:44 PM

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To all members stating what models show for "their" location. Please specify where your location is. Not all of us know where everyone lives! I personally think it should be required information!

Doesn't show up on mobile version like on desktop but anyway I am technically Arlington however specificity west of I-5 in the 7-Lakes area about 3 miles south of Lake Goodwin...though we also have the family lake house right on Lake Goodwin as well. My house is at about 300ft, the lake house is about 400ft. If I drive about 2 miles west I am at the highest elevation of 650ft up at Lake Loma, it can be raining at my house and snowing there so I will just hop in my truck and make the couple minute drive and have snow on the roads and snowing heavily...it's great!!

#6423
AlpineExperience

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:49 PM

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How come no one is posting maps? I find it easier to look on here than to go to the sites. :lol:


Don't you have wxbell? 😇
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#6424
Front Ranger

Posted 30 November 2016 - 10:53 PM

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Here's the 500mb difference between the ECMWF and GFS.

Note the increased GOA vorticity on the ECMWF vs the GFS. That's going to lead to a warmer solution during the second half of the run. So..meh.
 

 

But it actually doesn't.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#6425
Jesse

Posted 30 November 2016 - 11:06 PM

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But it actually doesn't.


Phil can never handle it when things are actually looking good for us.

#6426
Phil

Posted 01 December 2016 - 10:47 AM

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Phil can never handle it when things are actually looking good for us.


Lol, what a load of crap. Take off the tinfoil hat. :lol:

It was a warmer solution relative to the GFS, which is what I was saying. Sorry that I'm not wishcasting myself into oblivion..I'm no fun these days.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Cold season 2017/18:
Snowfall: 0"
Largest snowfall: 0"
Number of winter events: 0
Coldest High 67*F
Coldest low: 44*F
Highest sustained wind: 17mph
Highest wind gust: 26mph