2016-17 Snowfall Contest

[Tom]

We are heading into the Winter season and the snows have already began to fall.  Who will be the big winners this year???  Courtesy to Geo's map below, I think it's a good time to kick off our regional Snowfall Contest.

 

 

There are 18 stations within the Midwest/Southern Plains/Great Lakes where all members; I hope, reside close by to one (at least within a 100 miles).

 

Here is the map which was created with airport codes of each station.

 

 

For the contest, pick a snowfall tally you think each airport station will end up with at the end of the season. Below is the average seasonal snowfall total of each place.

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   29.0"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   44.5"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   26.4"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   14.7"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   9.7"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   18.8"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   17.7"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   34.9"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   33.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   46.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   50.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   59.6"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   49.2"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   38.1"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   25.9"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   77.1"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   44.8"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   67.2"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 

 

Deadline: 11:59 PM CST, Sunday December 4th.

[jaster220]

 

 

#3: Greatest lake effect snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 

 

@ Tom

 

 Tie-breaker #3 could be a bit tricky. Unless MQT gets zero system snow in the entire month of Jan, how do you intend to sift which flakes are LES vs system? I wanna watch that process!   

[Tom]

@ Tom

 

 Tie-breaker #3 could be a bit tricky. Unless MQT gets zero system snow in the entire month of Jan, how do you intend to sift which flakes are LES vs system? I wanna watch that process!   

Thanks for the heads up!  I changed it over to "Snowfall total" for the month of Jan, instead, what should of been greatest LES event for the month (could be multi day events also) 

[westMJim]

For what it is worth here is my winter of 2016/17 snow fall guess. For the most part I am staying on the conservative  side so I would expect to be low rather then high. So if I am too high at a lot of locations then the winter had a lot less snow then average.

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   30.5”

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)    33.9"

OMA (Omaha, NE)  28.6”

AAO (Wichita, KS)   16.8”

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   12.1”

MCI (Kansas City, MO)  22.4”

STL (St. Louis, MO)   19.0”

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   35.8”

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   36.1”

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   46.1" (51.0”

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)  49.5”

AUW (Wausau, WI)   59.9”

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   44.5”

ORD (Chicago, IL)   33.9”

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   25.9"  (27.9”

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   74.9”

DTW (Detroit, MI)   40.6”

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   61.4”

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). 5.8”

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).  11.4”

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 46.7”

[OKwx2k4]

I'll submit mine by the 1st.

[CentralNebWeather]

I will submit mine this evening.  Our school dismisses at 1:30 for Thanksgiving vacation then I will have more time to get my guesses in.  

[CentralNebWeather]

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   32.3"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   52.4"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   31.7"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   19.9"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   10.3"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   25.7"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   21.6"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   39.8"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   37.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   48.2"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   55.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   62.6"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   51.2"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   40.1"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   26.9"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   81.1"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   41.8"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   77.2"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).- 14.2 inches

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).           12.7 inches

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January.       65.3 inches

[OKwx2k4]

GRI (Grand Island, NE) 41.7"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD) 59.5"

OMA (Omaha, NE) 30.6"

AAO (Wichita, KS) 18.9"

TUL (Tulsa, OK) 12.1"

MCI (Kansas City, MO) 21.0"

STL (St. Louis, MO) 19.7"

DSM (Des Moines, IA) 48.3"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA) 38.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI) 60.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN) 60.3"

AUW (Wausau, WI) 48.9"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI) 45.8"

ORD (Chicago, IL) 45.2"

IND (Indianapolis, IN) 25.9"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI) 88.6"

DTW (Detroit, MI) 64.8"

CLE (Cleveland, OH) 74.2"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). 12.9"

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD). 19.4

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 70.1

[gabel23]

Here is the winner!!

 

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   31.4"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   50.5"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   29.4"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   9.7"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   11.7"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   12.5"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   11.7"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   42.9"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   33.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   51.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   56.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   63.6"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   42.2"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   43.1"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   20.9"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   86.1"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   37.8"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   79.2"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). 9.8"

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD). 18.2"

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 42.5"

[Tom]

I hope you guys don't mind, but I think I'm going to extend the deadline out through the weekend. I literally just got home from PHX , I'm beat tired and need to catch up on things. It'll also give others some more time who are interested. Many thanks!

[gabel23]

I hope you guys don't mind, but I think I'm going to extend the deadline out through the weekend. I literally just got home from PHX , I'm beat tired and need to catch up on things. It'll also give others some more time who are interested. Many thanks!

No problem, glad you made it home safe bud!! Hope you brought us some luck! 

[Hawkeye]

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   25"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   43"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   23"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   11"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   6"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   15"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   14"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   32"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   30"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   46"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   53"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   64"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   51"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   38"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   23"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   81"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   47"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   69"

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).  6"

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).  7"

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January.  50"

[Tom]

After reviewing the overall LRC pattern, La Nina analogs, seasonal model trends...I believe anyone north of I-80 stands a very good chance of ending up above normal in the snowfall dept.  Jan/Feb period may be the worst part of the Winter season with plenty of clippers from an active northern branch and a combination of an active southern stream.  MKE/ORD stand a good chance at higher than normal Lehs/LES due to systems tracking favorably increasing snowfall totals.  MI snow belts are going to do very well this season.  I think there will be many storms that bomb out and track into SE Canada which will create a N/NW flow off the GL's.  This will also bode well for the CLE area as well.

 

Keep in mind this contest will be from First Flake to Last Flake...Spring time snows are going to be a wild card in most of our region.  Good luck everyone!  

 

Note: If I have a decent bonus check, I don't mind donating cash prizes to the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place winners.  I'll need to check in with the site's owners if they allow it.

 

 

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   37.2"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   58.5"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   36.8"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   7.7"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   8.0"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   22.5"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   25.7"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   45.0"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   41.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   50.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   55.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   70.7"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   64.5"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   55.5"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   22.0"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   100.0"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   60.5"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   75.3"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). (14.1")

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD). (17.1")

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. (63.0")

[CentralNebWeather]

 

After reviewing the overall LRC pattern, La Nina analogs, seasonal model trends...I believe anyone north of I-80 stands a very good chance of ending up above normal in the snowfall dept.  Jan/Feb period may be the worst part of the Winter season with plenty of clippers from an active northern branch and a combination of an active southern stream.  MKE/ORD stand a good chance at higher than normal Lehs/LES due to systems tracking favorably increasing snowfall totals.  MI snow belts are going to do very well this season.  I think there will be many storms that bomb out and track into SE Canada which will create a N/NW flow off the GL's.  This will also bode well for the CLE area as well.

 

Keep in mind this contest will be from First Flake to Last Flake...Spring time snows are going to be a wild card in most of our region.  Good luck everyone!  

 

Note: If I have a decent bonus check, I don't mind donating cash prizes to the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place winners.  I'll need to check in with the site's owners if they allow it.

 

 

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   37.2"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   58.5"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   36.8"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   7.7"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   8.0"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   22.5"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   25.7"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   45.0"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   41.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   50.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   55.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   70.7"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   64.5"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   55.5"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   22.0"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   100.0"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   60.5"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   75.3"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). (14.1")

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD). (17.1")

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. (63.0")

 

Thanks for all of the work Tom.  I would even suggest winners could donate to a local charity of their choice.  ( I know our local food pantry is in desperate need of food items for the winter, as an example).  Just my 2 cents.  

[ToastedRavs]

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   25.2"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   38.2"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   28.8"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   11.1"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   5.9"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   16.1"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   19.8"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   30.4"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   31.4"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   40.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   42.8"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   60.3"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   53.5"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   41.8"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   29.5"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   84.8"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   51.2"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   72.2"

 

 

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).  8.6"

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).  12.1"

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January.  38.9"

[Niko]

[Niko]

Wonder if I am in highest total so far. Probably not?!

[jaster220]

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   25.2"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   38.2"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   28.8"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   11.1"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   5.9"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   16.1"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   19.8"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   30.4"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   31.4"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   40.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   42.8"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   60.3"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   53.5"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   41.8"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   29.5"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   84.8"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   51.2"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   72.2"

 

 

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).  8.6"

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).  12.1"

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January.  38.9"

 

 

We all had such high expectations  - uggh!

[Niko]

We all had such high expectations  - uggh!

Ya neva know...its neva ova until its ova.

[james1976]

Map of seasonal totals so far thru March 11th.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C6sdc-QWsAAbm7R.jpg

[Tom]

ORD is officially sitting at 26.1" of snow...

[BLIZZARD09]

ORD is officially sitting at 26.1" of snow...

Doesnt tell the story of what a poor winter this was for snow--just at the beginning and end

[Tom]

Alright guys, I know its a bit late (tbh, I totally forgot about it)...but I'll do my duty and provide you (to the best of my knowledge) with the final seasonal snowfall #"s from Oct '16 - May '17.  Some of the totals were just abysmal and shocking.  You could definitely see where the overall storm track ended up.  December was the highlight month of the year for the northern tier of states and February was a non-event for literally all of us.  Look on the bright side...we have next season to look forward to!

 

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   9.2" (3rd least snowiest)

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   42.9"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   11.4"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   2.0"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   0.7"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   4.9"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   3.2"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   14.3"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   22.4"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   42.2"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   31.5"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   60.5"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   37.6"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   26.1"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   9.7"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   60.1"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   37.9"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   37.3"

 

 

Note: If you find any errors, please advise...

[Tom]

After doing some number crunching, it looks like 1st Place goes to ToastedRavs (he was off by 0.2" for Wausua, WI 60.5" season total), 2nd Place goes to WestJim (he was off by 0.6" for Wausua, WI 60.5" season total)...3rd Place goes to CentralNebWeather (he was off by 2.1" for Wausua, WI).  Wausua, WI seemed to be the only city where most came close to the seasonal snowfall total.  Ironically, that was the hot spot for snowstorms this entire season.  Let me know if anyone differs in these outcomes.