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2016-17 Snowfall Contest

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#1
Tom

Posted 21 November 2016 - 06:42 PM

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We are heading into the Winter season and the snows have already began to fall.  Who will be the big winners this year???  Courtesy to Geo's map below, I think it's a good time to kick off our regional Snowfall Contest.

 

 

There are 18 stations within the Midwest/Southern Plains/Great Lakes where all members; I hope, reside close by to one (at least within a 100 miles).

 

Here is the map which was created with airport codes of each station.

 

post-7-0-51317700-1446859526.jpg

 

For the contest, pick a snowfall tally you think each airport station will end up with at the end of the season. Below is the average seasonal snowfall total of each place.

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   29.0"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   44.5"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   26.4"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   14.7"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   9.7"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   18.8"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   17.7"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   34.9"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   33.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   46.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   50.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   59.6"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   49.2"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   38.1"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   25.9"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   77.1"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   44.8"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   67.2"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 

 

Deadline: 11:59 PM CST, Sunday December 4th.



#2
jaster220

Posted 22 November 2016 - 05:25 AM

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#3: Greatest lake effect snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 

 

@ Tom

 

;) Tie-breaker #3 could be a bit tricky. Unless MQT gets zero system snow in the entire month of Jan, how do you intend to sift which flakes are LES vs system? I wanna watch that process! :lol:  


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#3
Tom

Posted 22 November 2016 - 05:57 AM

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@ Tom

 

;) Tie-breaker #3 could be a bit tricky. Unless MQT gets zero system snow in the entire month of Jan, how do you intend to sift which flakes are LES vs system? I wanna watch that process! :lol:  

Thanks for the heads up!  I changed it over to "Snowfall total" for the month of Jan, instead, what should of been greatest LES event for the month (could be multi day events also) 



#4
westMJim

Posted 23 November 2016 - 06:31 AM

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For what it is worth here is my winter of 2016/17 snow fall guess. For the most part I am staying on the conservative  side so I would expect to be low rather then high. So if I am too high at a lot of locations then the winter had a lot less snow then average.

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   30.5”

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)    33.9"

OMA (Omaha, NE)  28.6”

AAO (Wichita, KS)   16.8”

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   12.1”

MCI (Kansas City, MO)  22.4”

STL (St. Louis, MO)   19.0”

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   35.8”

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   36.1”

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   46.1" (51.0”

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)  49.5”

AUW (Wausau, WI)   59.9”

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   44.5”

ORD (Chicago, IL)   33.9”

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   25.9"  (27.9”

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   74.9”

DTW (Detroit, MI)   40.6”

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   61.4”

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). 5.8”

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).  11.4”

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 46.7”



#5
OKwx2k4

Posted 23 November 2016 - 09:10 AM

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I'll submit mine by the 1st.

#6
CentralNebWeather

Posted 23 November 2016 - 09:16 AM

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I will submit mine this evening.  Our school dismisses at 1:30 for Thanksgiving vacation then I will have more time to get my guesses in.  



#7
CentralNebWeather

Posted 30 November 2016 - 08:00 AM

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GRI (Grand Island, NE)   32.3"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   52.4"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   31.7"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   19.9"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   10.3"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   25.7"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   21.6"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   39.8"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   37.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   48.2"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   55.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   62.6"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   51.2"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   40.1"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   26.9"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   81.1"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   41.8"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   77.2"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).- 14.2 inches

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).           12.7 inches

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January.       65.3 inches


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#8
OKwx2k4

Posted 30 November 2016 - 11:16 AM

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GRI (Grand Island, NE) 41.7"
FSD (Sioux Falls, SD) 59.5"
OMA (Omaha, NE) 30.6"
AAO (Wichita, KS) 18.9"
TUL (Tulsa, OK) 12.1"
MCI (Kansas City, MO) 21.0"
STL (St. Louis, MO) 19.7"
DSM (Des Moines, IA) 48.3"
MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA) 38.5"
LSE (La Crosse, WI) 60.1"
MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN) 60.3"
AUW (Wausau, WI) 48.9"
MKE (Milwaukee, WI) 45.8"
ORD (Chicago, IL) 45.2"
IND (Indianapolis, IN) 25.9"
GRR (Grand Rapids, MI) 88.6"
DTW (Detroit, MI) 64.8"
CLE (Cleveland, OH) 74.2"

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). 12.9"
#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD). 19.4
#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 70.1

#9
gabel23

Posted 30 November 2016 - 12:55 PM

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Here is the winner!!

 

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   31.4"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   50.5"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   29.4"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   9.7"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   11.7"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   12.5"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   11.7"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   42.9"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   33.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   51.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   56.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   63.6"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   42.2"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   43.1"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   20.9"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   86.1"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   37.8"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   79.2"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). 9.8"

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD). 18.2"

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. 42.5"



#10
Tom

Posted 30 November 2016 - 07:21 PM

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I hope you guys don't mind, but I think I'm going to extend the deadline out through the weekend. I literally just got home from PHX , I'm beat tired and need to catch up on things. It'll also give others some more time who are interested. Many thanks!
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#11
gabel23

Posted 30 November 2016 - 07:39 PM

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I hope you guys don't mind, but I think I'm going to extend the deadline out through the weekend. I literally just got home from PHX , I'm beat tired and need to catch up on things. It'll also give others some more time who are interested. Many thanks!

No problem, glad you made it home safe bud!! Hope you brought us some luck! 



#12
Hawkeye

Posted 30 November 2016 - 09:08 PM

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GRI (Grand Island, NE)   25"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   43"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   23"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   11"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   6"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   15"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   14"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   32"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   30"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   46"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   53"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   64"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   51"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   38"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   23"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   81"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   47"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   69"

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).  6"

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).  7"

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January.  50"


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#13
Tom

Posted 01 December 2016 - 07:00 AM

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After reviewing the overall LRC pattern, La Nina analogs, seasonal model trends...I believe anyone north of I-80 stands a very good chance of ending up above normal in the snowfall dept.  Jan/Feb period may be the worst part of the Winter season with plenty of clippers from an active northern branch and a combination of an active southern stream.  MKE/ORD stand a good chance at higher than normal Lehs/LES due to systems tracking favorably increasing snowfall totals.  MI snow belts are going to do very well this season.  I think there will be many storms that bomb out and track into SE Canada which will create a N/NW flow off the GL's.  This will also bode well for the CLE area as well.

 

Keep in mind this contest will be from First Flake to Last Flake...Spring time snows are going to be a wild card in most of our region.  Good luck everyone!  

 

Note: If I have a decent bonus check, I don't mind donating cash prizes to the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place winners.  I'll need to check in with the site's owners if they allow it.

 

 

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   37.2"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   58.5"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   36.8"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   7.7"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   8.0"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   22.5"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   25.7"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   45.0"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   41.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   50.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   55.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   70.7"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   64.5"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   55.5"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   22.0"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   100.0"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   60.5"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   75.3"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). (14.1")

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD). (17.1")

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. (63.0")



#14
CentralNebWeather

Posted 01 December 2016 - 07:14 AM

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After reviewing the overall LRC pattern, La Nina analogs, seasonal model trends...I believe anyone north of I-80 stands a very good chance of ending up above normal in the snowfall dept.  Jan/Feb period may be the worst part of the Winter season with plenty of clippers from an active northern branch and a combination of an active southern stream.  MKE/ORD stand a good chance at higher than normal Lehs/LES due to systems tracking favorably increasing snowfall totals.  MI snow belts are going to do very well this season.  I think there will be many storms that bomb out and track into SE Canada which will create a N/NW flow off the GL's.  This will also bode well for the CLE area as well.

 

Keep in mind this contest will be from First Flake to Last Flake...Spring time snows are going to be a wild card in most of our region.  Good luck everyone!  

 

Note: If I have a decent bonus check, I don't mind donating cash prizes to the 1st, 2nd and 3rd place winners.  I'll need to check in with the site's owners if they allow it.

 

 

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   37.2"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   58.5"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   36.8"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   7.7"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   8.0"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   22.5"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   25.7"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   45.0"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   41.5"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   50.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   55.6"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   70.7"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   64.5"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   55.5"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   22.0"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   100.0"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   60.5"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   75.3"

 

All average snowfall are the 30 year average between 1981-2010.

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA). (14.1")

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD). (17.1")

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January. (63.0")

 

Thanks for all of the work Tom.  I would even suggest winners could donate to a local charity of their choice.  ( I know our local food pantry is in desperate need of food items for the winter, as an example).  Just my 2 cents.  


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#15
ToastedRavs

Posted 03 December 2016 - 11:19 PM

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GRI (Grand Island, NE)   25.2"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   38.2"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   28.8"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   11.1"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   5.9"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   16.1"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   19.8"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   30.4"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   31.4"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   40.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   42.8"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   60.3"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   53.5"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   41.8"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   29.5"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   84.8"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   51.2"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   72.2"

 

 

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).  8.6"

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).  12.1"

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January.  38.9"



#16
Niko

Posted 21 January 2017 - 05:19 PM

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:unsure: :blink:



#17
Niko

Posted 03 February 2017 - 08:04 PM

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Wonder if I am in highest total so far. Probably not?! :lol:



#18
jaster220

Posted 04 February 2017 - 05:51 AM

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GRI (Grand Island, NE)   25.2"

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   38.2"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   28.8"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   11.1"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   5.9"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   16.1"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   19.8"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   30.4"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   31.4"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   40.1"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   42.8"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   60.3"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   53.5"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   41.8"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   29.5"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   84.8"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   51.2"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   72.2"

 

 

 

Three tiebreakers, just in case...

 

#1: Greatest snowfall; in one storm, for Omaha, NE (OMA).  8.6"

#2: December snowfall total for Chicago, IL (ORD).  12.1"

#3: Snowfall total for Marquette, MI (MQT) in January.  38.9"

 

 

We all had such high expectations  - uggh!


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#19
Niko

Posted 04 February 2017 - 06:48 AM

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We all had such high expectations  - uggh!

Ya neva know...its neva ova until its ova. ;)



#20
james1976

Posted 12 March 2017 - 09:21 AM

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Map of seasonal totals so far thru March 11th.
https://pbs.twimg.co...c-QWsAAbm7R.jpg


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#21
Tom

Posted 18 March 2017 - 06:21 AM

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ORD is officially sitting at 26.1" of snow...



#22
BLIZZARD09

Posted 18 March 2017 - 06:28 PM

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ORD is officially sitting at 26.1" of snow...

Doesnt tell the story of what a poor winter this was for snow--just at the beginning and end


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#23
Tom

Posted 09 July 2017 - 07:42 AM

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Alright guys, I know its a bit late (tbh, I totally forgot about it)...but I'll do my duty and provide you (to the best of my knowledge) with the final seasonal snowfall #"s from Oct '16 - May '17.  Some of the totals were just abysmal and shocking.  You could definitely see where the overall storm track ended up.  December was the highlight month of the year for the northern tier of states and February was a non-event for literally all of us.  Look on the bright side...we have next season to look forward to!

 

 

GRI (Grand Island, NE)   9.2" (3rd least snowiest)

FSD (Sioux Falls, SD)   42.9"

OMA (Omaha, NE)   11.4"

AAO (Wichita, KS)   2.0"

TUL (Tulsa, OK)   0.7"

MCI (Kansas City, MO)   4.9"

STL (St. Louis, MO)   3.2"

DSM (Des Moines, IA)   14.3"

MLI (Moline/Quad Cities, IL/IA)   22.4"

LSE (La Crosse, WI)   42.2"

MSP (Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN)   31.5"

AUW (Wausau, WI)   60.5"

MKE (Milwaukee, WI)   37.6"

ORD (Chicago, IL)   26.1"

IND (Indianapolis, IN)   9.7"

GRR (Grand Rapids, MI)   60.1"

DTW (Detroit, MI)   37.9"

CLE (Cleveland, OH)   37.3"

 

 

Note: If you find any errors, please advise...



#24
Tom

Posted 09 July 2017 - 01:25 PM

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After doing some number crunching, it looks like 1st Place goes to ToastedRavs (he was off by 0.2" for Wausua, WI 60.5" season total), 2nd Place goes to WestJim (he was off by 0.6" for Wausua, WI 60.5" season total)...3rd Place goes to CentralNebWeather (he was off by 2.1" for Wausua, WI).  Wausua, WI seemed to be the only city where most came close to the seasonal snowfall total.  Ironically, that was the hot spot for snowstorms this entire season.  Let me know if anyone differs in these outcomes.


  • jaster220 likes this