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December 2016 Observations and Discussion

OKwx2k4

By OKwx2k4
in East of the Rockies

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CentralNebWeather
CentralNebWeather

Merry Christmas to all on the forum.  As a teacher I am now out for Christmas Break and I am thankful for my family's many blessings and for the members of this forum who contribute to everyone's love

OKwx2k4
OKwx2k4

Man, we think too much alike. Guess which site I was just on. Lol. I sure hope I do. I really had January as my big month here but I also didn't expect this month to open so cold and then just get col

james1976
james1976

Merry Christmas and a happy snowy new year!

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

Posted
Posted

Only made it to 32F today with a heavy overcast which helped mitigate any snow melt.  The snow pack has settled and become denser over the past couple days.  If we can add some snow on top of this snow cover with the Fri/Fri night system, I think there is a chance some in our region could spare a brown Christmas??? 

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
Posted

NAM reflecting better inter-action with northern energy. LOL if I hit 30" by Christmas after all this Torch-aggedon talk.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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bainbridgekid Veteran

bainbridgekid

Posted
Posted

GEM lollipops Chicago with 4" Friday.

 

 

 

I'm not from the Midwest (visiting Chicago from Seattle) but this seems like a very odd system.

 

Models tend to have a very difficult time forecasting open waves like this, so I wouldn't expect to be too confident in the outcome till Friday morning. Even after that, there will be a lot of radar/thermometer watching to see where any bands may setup and if any mixing occurs through the column.

 

Looks pretty good for a solid 1-3" system over a relatively large area, but there is definitely potential to bust in either direction if surface temps remain just above freezing or some decent banding sets up.

 

 

gem_asnow_ncus_10.png

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

Posted
Posted

GEM lollipops Chicago with 4" Friday.

 

 

 

I'm not from the Midwest (visiting Chicago from Seattle) but this seems like a very odd system.

 

Models tend to have a very difficult time forecasting open waves like this, so I wouldn't expect to be too confident in the outcome till Friday morning. Even after that, there will be a lot of radar/thermometer watching to see where any bands may setup and if any mixing occurs through the column.

 

Looks pretty good for a solid 1-3" system over a relatively large area, but there is definitely potential to bust in either direction if surface temps remain just above freezing or some decent banding sets up.

 

 

gem_asnow_ncus_10.png

Were you in Chicago for that one sleet storm last year???

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bainbridgekid Veteran

bainbridgekid

Posted
Posted

Were you in Chicago for that one sleet storm last year???

Sure was.

 

That thing was insane. We got 4" of solid sleet at my aunt and uncle's house in Evanston. Perfect timing during the day too. I was worried the winds off the lake would cause mixing issues, but we hung at 31-32 all day.

 

I shovelled their place and their neighbor's and I swear that stuff had the density of the sun.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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james1976 Veteran

james1976

Posted
Posted

DMX regarding Friday event:

Each run continues to latch on to more

available moisture which is troublesome because if the moisture

syncs well enough with the forcing and dendritic growth zone(DGZ),

this could become a headline event for snowfall. right now have

general 1 to 3 inch amounts mainly focused over the northeast half

of the forecast area.

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