Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I am ok with that map!Same I think most people would be okay with it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Unfortunately pdx NWS has gotten lazy lately (or likely staff are on vacation). "Previous discussion as follows". Is their favorite line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 6 right now in Baker City with dense freezing fog...They had a midnight high of 18, I didn't think they had a chance, but they just might hit their coldest December on record, its possible now...Their deep snowpack is really helping. They may put up some bitterly cold numbers next week. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I think Jim actually has a 60% chance for a white New Year's Day. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 48hr snow totals from 12z WRF aren't too shabby. 2-4 inches for EPSL. I'll take it. Also grabbed the map for 1AM Sunday. Nice CZ look. If we can get a CZ going, those can be extremely unpredictable and drop unexpected snow totals. Was actually reading over the '08 thread where a healthy CZ dropped 2-4 inches or more over King County on the 18th. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/2016122812/images_d2/ww_snow48.120.0000.gif http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/2016122812/images_d2/ww_snow3.93.0000.gifWell this sucks total dry slot again. Will I ever get more then an inch? Dieing to try new sled with grand daughter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 jealous much? I love it, but I feel less need to post and raw raw raw when everyone is doing it. I engage in discussion more when it isn't so one-sided.I don't know how you would get jealously out of that. It wasn't even directed at you man. We really have no issue here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I think Jim actually has a 60% chance for a white New Year's Day.That is one hell of a bold statement...sir! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 That is one hell of a bold statement...sir!He called it like a week and a half ago. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 8 separate ditchings/rollovers this morning on the drive from Salem to McMinnville and there were still idiots flying by and riding my tail trying to pass. Really? After passing all of the other rigs in the ditch, you feel like you are somehow immune from that? Rant over Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I don't know how you would get jealously out of that. It wasn't even directed at you man. We really have no issue here. Yeah Jesse's issue is with me because I correctly predicted his snow was going to transition to sleet about a year ago. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 12z Euro Day 1 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122812/024/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 8 separate ditchings/rollovers this morning on the drive from Salem to McMinnville and there were still idiots flying by and riding my tail trying to pass. Really? After passing all of the other rigs in the ditch, you feel like you are somehow immune from that?Rant overUp on my hills the snow we got Sunday night was the worst to drive in, several wrecks and cars in ditches. I couldn't imagine driving a 2wd car with no traction tires or chains up here when it's snowing, yet people keep trying it. More abondoned rigs and car wrecks by far this year than any since I have lived here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liquidsnow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 8 separate ditchings/rollovers this morning on the drive from Salem to McMinnville and there were still idiots flying by and riding my tail trying to pass. Really? After passing all of the other rigs in the ditch, you feel like you are somehow immune from that? Rant over Darwinism. My buddy drives a 4x4 with all-season tires and legit believes he is immune from fishtailing or sliding in ice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 6 right now in Baker City with dense freezing fog...They had a midnight high of 18, I didn't think they had a chance, but they just might hit their coldest December on record, its possible now...Their deep snowpack is really helping. They may put up some bitterly cold numbers next week. My brother has lived in Baker for over 20 years and he said it is by far the most impressive run of cold weather and snow depth he has seen. He also happens to be the editor of the newspaper and many old timers echo that sentiment. He got another 5" yesterday for a total of over 2' on the ground. They are plowing roads, trucking the berms out of town and doing it all over again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Darwinism. My buddy drives a 4x4 with all-season tires and legit believes he is immune from fishtailing or sliding in ice. You see more awd and 4wd vehicles in the ditch around where I live. It's laughable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liquidsnow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Lolz, just for fun. http://i.imgur.com/TJM6FAU.jpg Cars won't do...I would recommend you folks get Siberian huskies and a sled asap. Quickly! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 12z EuroDay 2 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122812/048/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 12z EuroDay 2 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122812/048/500h_anom.na.png looks a tad further east than it's 12z run yesterday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Exciting developmentsThere was never a reason to freak out over a few OP GFS runs, especially given how the multi-model ensemble aggregate was/is trending. Once out to day 4, the ensemble aggregates perform better than the OP runs. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 looks a tad further east than it's 12z run yesterdaySlightly, but the block is tilting sooner, can see it doing so up in Yukon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 There was never a reason to freak out over a few OP GFS runs, especially given how the multi-model ensemble aggregate was/is trending.Once out to day 4, the ensemble aggregates perform better than the OP runs.Never a freak out. Just not willing to completely throw a model trend out either 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 looks a tad further east than it's 12z run yesterdayIt's not. At least not relative to 00z. Everything always looks farther east to you. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Lolz, just for fun. Yes please Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 3 This looks EXCELLENT. Block tilting sooner allowing BC shortwave to dig better. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122812/072/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 For anyone worrying, the 12z ECMWF is NOT farther east this run, and it's not trending east either. Going to be a nice run. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 It's not. At least not relative to 00z.Everything always looks farther east to you. are you that daft? I explained in my statement "compared to it's 12z run yesterday." Further proof that people will see what they want to see, just like in models. I don't have wxbell so I get to compare in 24 hour increments, so I can only compare to that. All in all, euro has watered down slightly from its epic runs a couple days ago, and gone slightly toward the gfs which is why I said we shouldn't throw it out, not that it would cave to that solution completely, but that we would end up with a compromise that is less than ideal. Obviously we still have very exciting weather on the way. I'm glad the euro held its ground as much as it did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 looks a tad further east than it's 12z run yesterdayHe's back and ready to bring people down to earth! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 For anyone worrying, the 12z ECMWF is NOT farther east this run, and it's not trending east either. Going to be a nice run.comparing to its 12z run yesterday is has gone slightly east out to hour 72. Probably not a huge concern though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 For anyone worrying, the 12z ECMWF is NOT farther east this run, and it's not trending east either. Going to be a nice run. We're not going to be seeing much cold Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chopper 918 Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 We're not going to be seeing much cold Grab your Speedo! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 We're not going to be seeing much cold Come back to BLI! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 For anyone worrying, the 12z ECMWF is NOT farther east this run, and it's not trending east either. Going to be a nice run.you have early access right, how good is it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I think Jim actually has a 60% chance for a white New Year's Day.the swamp has a 40% chance... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 you have early access right, how good is it?Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 you have early access right, how good is it?That was a joke lol. I'm getting it at the same time you are. Going to be similar to 00z I think. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 comparing to its 12z run yesterday is has gone slightly east out to hour 72. Probably not a huge concern though. Further west at hour 96 compared to the 12z yesterday. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Come back to BLI! Too cold up there! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Further west at hour 96 compared to the 12z yesterday.good news! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 4 trough 100-150 miles further west http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122812/096/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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