[gabel23]

For sure, I'm definitely staying up for the EURO.

Correct me if I'm wrong; 12z euro was showing .5" of precip with high ratios leading to a good amt of snow. Ggem showing a suppressed piece of crap but giving something more than the nam. Very interested in seeing what the 00z shows for them!

[clintbeed1993]

Correct me if I'm wrong; 12z euro was showing .5" of precip with high ratios leading to a good amt of snow. Ggem showing a suppressed piece of crap but giving something more than the nam. Very interested in seeing what the 00z shows for them!

 

12z EURO had a great defo band that sets up from Omaha back west into Central Nebraska.  GGEM was crap.

[clintbeed1993]

Correct me if I'm wrong; 12z euro was showing .5" of precip with high ratios leading to a good amt of snow. Ggem showing a suppressed piece of crap but giving something more than the nam. Very interested in seeing what the 00z shows for them!

 

EURO from earlier

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[jcwxguy]

new euro

 

[clintbeed1993]

new euro

 

 

 

About the same from the last run, just a much smaller band of heavier precip in Nebraska

[gabel23]

GFS after the 12z runs is on an Island all by itself. If this thing stays south and hits those same areas in Kansas that have been hit before I'm going to be upset. I would like to see one flipping storm with a total more than 3"!!!

[clintbeed1993]

I agree, I'm sick of this crap!  We either need a big storm or a huge warm-up.

[gabel23]

Another KC, Falls City, St. Joes special. I can't believe how persistent these storms have been this year; all staying to my south. You guys along I-80 are still in the running for some good snows, not so much for this guy! Watch this 2-4" forecast fall as the event nears; I have seen this record one to many times!!

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[clintbeed1993]

Another KC, Falls City, St. Joes special. I can't believe how persistent these storms have been this year; all staying to my south. You guys along I-80 are still in the running for some good snows, not so much for this guy! Watch this 2-4" forecast fall as the event nears; I have seen this record one to many times!!

 

 

NAM was North, so maybe they will meet in the middle!!

[winterfreak]

Just insane how we have to worry about mixing issues when the storm times temperatures are supposed to be twelve degrees. If it isn't the track it's the freaking thermal profiles. Predicting a sleet slop fest for Kansas City.

[NEJeremy]

I called for 4-6" here and that's what the OAX forecast discussion said for amounts this weekend. Wish I was wrong....

[clintbeed1993]

New EURO looks a lot better. .30 to .40 for precip.  Interested to see what that comes out for snow.  I would think 4-8 inches would be possible if the ratios are high enough.

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[jcwxguy]

New EURO looks a lot better. .30 to .40 for precip.  Interested to see what that comes out for snow.  I would think 4-8 inches would be possible if the ratios are high enough.

just beat me, i was about to post the same thing. Im sure we will see some watches fly out within the next 12-18hrs

[jcwxguy]

06z gfs clown map...LOL...

 

[educatorjen]

I choose the clown map.  

[NEJeremy]

we're not going to see any watches because the duration is too long. no way we see 6"+ in 12 hours or 8"+ in 24 hours, but hey 4-6" over the weekend is better than nothing. I just wish it wasn't going to be so da*n cold!

[gabel23]

06z gfs clown map...LOL...

 

Little over done but these maps do a great job showing where the heaviest will fall. Again off to my south east.....

[clintbeed1993]

Little over done but these maps do a great job showing where the heaviest will fall. Again off to my south east.....

 

 

12Z GFS was absolute crap for almost the entire state.  Anywhere south of Omaha all the way to the west got very little.

[FarmerRick]

12Z GFS was absolute crap for almost the entire state.  Anywhere south of Omaha all the way to the west got very little.

 

Not sure what map you're looking at... here is 84hr 12z GFS:

 

http://www.instantwe...ASNOWI&hour=084

[clintbeed1993]

Not sure what map you're looking at... here is 84hr 12z GFS:

 

http://www.instantwe...ASNOWI&hour=084

 

That is the NAM.  GFS has a huge dry slot from Lincoln west through the Tri Cities.

[clintbeed1993]

Not sure what map you're looking at... here is 84hr 12z GFS:

 

http://www.instantwe...ASNOWI&hour=084

 

http://www.instantwe...ASNOWI&hour=081

 

You're telling me that doesn't look like crap for places Southwest of Omaha?

[FarmerRick]

http://www.instantwe...ASNOWI&hour=081

 

You're telling me that doesn't look like crap for places Southwest of Omaha?

 

Yeah, but I don't consider the southern 1/4 of the state to be "almost the entire state"...

 

I guess it's all a matter of perspective.

[clintbeed1993]

Yeah, but I don't consider the southern 1/4 of the state to be "almost the entire state"...

 

I guess it's all a matter of perspective.

 

The EURO is even worse.  I'm just not liking the trends.

[gabel23]

I know with the way winter has gone this year it's really easy to throw in the towel after today's 12z runs. Don't live run to run, lets see what happens after tonight's run when the storm comes ashore. If models trend the same way tonight and tomorrow then I'll put a big fork in this god for saking winter!! I like what Pleasant Hill/KC NWS posted this afternoon as far as snow potential goes:

 

http://www.crh.noaa....ry.php?site=eax

 

Also HPC boys updated their maps. 

 

 

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[CentralNebWeather]

Nws Hastings with there typical conservative approach. Winter weather advisories and watches all around the area. I guess snow will stop at one county line and jump to the next. They even say in their discussion 1-3 Saturday night and 1-4 Sunday.
Yet nws goodland issues advisory for 1-3. Maybe they will be correct but it just appears to not make much sense looking at their website map.

[clintbeed1993]

Nws Hastings with there typical conservative approach. Winter weather advisories and watches all around the area. I guess snow will stop at one county line and jump to the next. They even say in their discussion 1-3 Saturday night and 1-4 Sunday.
Yet nws goodland issues advisory for 1-3. Maybe they will be correct but it just appears to not make much sense looking at their website map.

 

I agree, everyone surrounding the tri cities has some sort of advisory.  Looking at the models, I just don't see how they can determine where the advisory should go and where it shouldn't.  I honestly don't think the NWS has a clue what is gunna happen.

[jcwxguy]

nws has us with winter weather advisory for 4-6  yet point forecast only 2-5 

[clintbeed1993]

nws has us with winter weather advisory for 4-6  yet point forecast only 2-5 

 

 

Models have been dry slotting Lincoln on west all day.  Not liking that trend.

[CentralNebWeather]

Nws Hastings, as conservative as Reagan or Bush. Their map is comical. I don't know how every other office has headlines and Hastings has this void. Amateur meteorologists and weather geeks like us would see that this is unbelievable. If they are correct more power to them but it looks foolish to have this donut hole surrounded by color.

[CentralNebWeather]

My prediction, nws Hastings will issue headlines later during snow. Always late to the party imo.

[jcwxguy]

fwiw, its snowing here where i work in lincoln, albeit very light 

 

edit: was just a quick band moving west based off radar. already stopped here.

 

 

Also of note, there was a tornado warning in LA county earlier this morning. 

[educatorjen]

Now we wait.  

[CentralNebWeather]

Snowing and blowing in holdrege. Nws Hastings with no new advisories for this area is amazing. Probably put one out tomorrow when it ends.

[educatorjen]

Looks like our totals have diminished....

[CentralNebWeather]

Hastings nws says blossoming snow later in central Nebraska could be robust, their words not mine. Still no mention of accumulation or advisories. They are so conservative with their forecasts that republicans should hire them to defeat global warming alarmists. If you can't tell I am not a huge fan of nws Hastings, but I keep checking there for a good laugh. they seem to always forecast low. Maybe they were burned in the past.

[Pjjanthony]

Channel 3 just updated their snowfall totals:

https://www.facebook...?type=3

[CentralNebWeather]

Snowing hard in holdrege now. If this continues until tomorrow we will have quite a storm.

[Pjjanthony]

Snowing hard in holdrege now. If this continues until tomorrow we will have quite a storm.

??? Nothing is showing on radar in Holdrege.

[clintbeed1993]

Sorry guys, but I really don't think we are gunna get much today.  1-3 is generous.

[CentralNebWeather]

I know. Nothing is on the radar but we have had visibility issues with falling snow and blowing snow. That is why I think if we get an actual band setting up with these cold temps it might add up fairly quickly.

[LincWeath]

Ive heard from family in Kearney and they said its snowing like crazy. Ground is already covered but radar isnt showing anything out there

[clintbeed1993]

NWS in Hastings took their totals for places on and south of I80 down to 1 inch or less.  This one is going to be a bust.

[NEJeremy]

it looks like the NAM got it right most recently at least. no way we see much of anything today or tonight and we already weren't going to get anything  from tomorrow's wave. what a bust!!

[NEJeremy]

and we're officially out of the winter weather advisory. what a joke of a winter. besides pretty much missing us anyways, the wave that was supposed to hit us this afternoon and tonight really hasn't been that impressive anyway. there's been a few narrow bands of heavier snow but definitely not very wide spread stuff. not sure what this will mean for points east of here