Money Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 0z models now showing more moisture and looks like someone could see 2-4 inches of snow from this. 0z NAM: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2016122200/060/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 22, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 0z GFS: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016122200/054/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 I liked that GEM run for mby. Would love to see an over-achiever just as a Christmas treat! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 12z NAM...targeting N IA/WI... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2016122212/060/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 12z 3km NAM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 12z 3km NAM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 06z RGEM...battle ground... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2016122206/rgem_asnow_ncus_16.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 12z RGEM... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2016122212/rgem_asnow_ncus_15.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 12z RGEM... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2016122212/rgem_asnow_ncus_15.pngReally beefing up qpf and snow amounts. Will be an interesting system to watch unfold on radar tomorrow. Big travel day so will have plenty of impacts if this does transpire. Kinda reminds me of the 1st snow in December where it over-performed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 12z GFS is similar to the NAM... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016122212/gfs_asnow_ncus_9.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 Oh wow. This thing is amping up. Prolly gona be a headline event with travel and all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 12z GGEM...prob a bit overdone... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016122212/gem_asnow_ncus_9.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 Let's see what the Euro has to show as I believe it was the first model to show this wave. Guessing it will not have as much juice as the GEM/RGEM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 Let's see what the Euro has to show as I believe it was the first model to show this wave. Guessing it will not have as much juice as the GEM/RGEMAgree, they are notorious for high qpf totals. Both GFS/GGEM showing a nice slug of Precipitable Water out of the GOM... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016122212/gfs_mslp_pwata_us_6.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016122212/gem_mslp_pwata_us_6.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 Let's see what the Euro has to show as I believe it was the first model to show this wave. Guessing it will not have as much juice as the GEM/RGEMAll the models this morning basically are showing similar amounts of juice. They just differ on placement. The canucks like illinois. The rest dont Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 I would say Oilers is the way to go Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 RPM looks like the NAM but a touch south and a little weaker...1-2" in N IL... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 anything from the EURO? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 anything from the EURO?Moist. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 Moist.Maps? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 Maps?No, sorry! I was fed info form another site. I think it's a little further north than the CMC... but DBQ has .35" QPF Waterloo .41".2" for IcAnd .29" for CR... but I don't have an overall map. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 NAM way north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 WWA's issued in WI/NE IA/SE MN...2-3" of snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 LOT not impressed with this system and going for 1'-2" at best. At least flakes will fall before the rain moves in this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 DVN does not seem to be overly impressed with it either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 Just kidding... I got a WWA for 2-4"! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthandturf Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 What's in store for McHenry county. Will I have to plow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 What's in store for McHenry county. Will I have to plow?Tops 2" so maybe not enough, esp with warm ground temps Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted December 22, 2016 Report Share Posted December 22, 2016 WWA issued for 2-3 inches. Basically because of the amount of travelers. Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 2-4 with iso 5 here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 Just kidding... I got a WWA for 2-4"!WWA issued for 2-3 inches. Basically because of the amount of travelers.We don't have travelers in Michigan plus I get a WWA for 8-10" if I'm lucky, so what would I get for 2"??? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 We don't have travelers in Michigan plus I get a WWA for 8-10" if I'm lucky, so what would I get for 2"???I have no idea, look at your NWS criteria. It's laid out for you to see, and some areas differ. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 2-4 with iso 5 hereHow much snow do you have OTG??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 Nws Hastings has just issued a wwa for a couple of inches of sleet, freezing rain, and or snow from 2 am - 11 am. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 Shift way NW. What's new Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 Frustrating to see such a pronounced NW trend. Gotta wonder how much the melting snow over the last couple days may have impacted that. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 How much snow do you have OTG???Id say 2-3" Been slowly melting last few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 Models did a great job at least for E NE, decent band of moderate to heavy snow setting up just to the north of omaha between Blair and West Point showing some 1.5"-2"/hr snowfall rates. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 Expecting 2-3 here. Rap and hrrr love north iowa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 23, 2016 Report Share Posted December 23, 2016 Geez....DMX calling for 3-6 now and mentions potential upgrade to warning in a few areas if forcing can overcome the low ratios. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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