2017 California/Southwest Weather Thread

[Thunder98]

Wow!

 

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1431475333

[Guest happ]

I like the description of a "full latitude trough" across the West Coast ushering in north Pacific storms all the way down to Baja.

 

Monday: 65/ 50 
 

[Anti Marine Layer]

High clouds moved in right before sunset today. Hopefully they will make for a colorful sunset.

[Anti Marine Layer]

High clouds moved in right before sunset today. Hopefully they will make for a colorful sunset.

 

Yes they did.

 

[Guest happ]

It is interesting that there is some anxiety being expressed and not about the upcoming series of storms into early next week but, rather, the likely prolonged dry period following all the rain. Dan the Weatherman pointed out that past years/ analogs [ie. 1996-97] that started quite wet to only go completely dry for the rest of the rain season starting in February.

 

Tuesday: 68/ 49

[FrostFuzz]

Wow the 12z GFS goes nuts with well over 3 inches of rain in a 9 hour period and over 4 inches total on Sunday in LA. When's the last time there's been a single day storm like that? 2010 didn't have anything like that. 2005? Models have been inconsistent with that storm in particular but what a run.

 

Now that I think about it I remember there being a storm... a quick search brings up November 30 2007. It dumped 2-4+ inches throughout the inland empire, but didn't hit the coastal areas anywhere near as hard if memory serves me correctly. Wunderground says Riverside got over 2 inches but LA only got half an inch. That was an unusual storm.

[Jesse]

Glad to hear Southern California looks to get some needed rainfall.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Rain has started, but looks like the main part of our first storm is tomorrow morning.

[Guest happ]

Good amount of rainfall overnight [as usual] w/ approximately 0.70; it is raining lightly now.

 

Wednesday: 62/ 47

[Anti Marine Layer]

This January is now wetter than last year for KFUL and we are already way above October 2015-September 2016 for the 2016-2017 water year.

[Bonk]

Conflicting rainfall reports from Modjeska  - a Weather UnderGround station reports 1.32 and the CNRFC site reports 1.07.  Rain is still falling.

 

Santiago Creek has been flowing briskly for the last 10 days and the Baja tree frogs have been croaking up a storm.

 

If the forecast holds, I expect it to be a gully washer on Sunday and Monday.

[Guest happ]

Conflicting rainfall reports from Modjeska  - a Weather UnderGround station reports 1.32 and the CNRFC site reports 1.07.  Rain is still falling.

 

Santiago Creek has been flowing briskly for the last 10 days and the Baja tree frogs have been croaking up a storm.

 

If the forecast holds, I expect it to be a gully washer on Sunday and Monday.

 

I see mosquitos are back. 

[Thunder98]

Now having these pop up heavy rain showers

[Guest happ]

Took a walk around the neighborhood checking out the clouds and green hillsides this afternoon

 

63/50

0.77

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Most of the day was partly cloudy today. Looks like an exciting day tomorrow.

[Guest happ]

Santa Barbara county has been one of the worse areas in the state for the drought. Lake Cachuma was nearly dried up until recent storms.

 

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service OXNARD CA
929 AM PST FRI JAN 20 2017

CAC083-201945-
/O.CON.KLOX.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170120T1945Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Santa Barbara CA-
929 AM PST FRI JAN 20 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM PST FOR
SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...

Flash flooding of on area roadways and small creeks is likely
occurring or imminent across the warning area. Numerous rock
and mudslides will also be occurring, especially near canyon roadways.
In addition, mud and debris flows will be possible across the Sherpa
and Rey burn areas.

At 915 AM PST, Doppler radar indicated very rain across Southern
Santa Barbara county, with several automated gauges showing
hourly rainfall rates in excess of one inch per hour. Refugio
Pass, just west of the Sherpa burn area, reported 1.93 inches
of rain in the past hour.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Santa Barbara...Lompoc...Montecito...Santa Ynez...Carpinteria...Solvang...
Vandenberg Air Force Base...Refugio State Beach...Gaviota...El Capitan
State Beach...Goleta...as well as the Sherpa and Rey burn areas.
 

[Guest happ]

El Capitan beach campgrounds are flooding w/ multiple rescues

http://syvnews.com/news/local/updated-major-flooding-in-el-capitan-canyon-causes-evacuations-closures/article_8b7d0c46-02a6-591b-b5a0-2f6c31f2f1fd.html

[Guest happ]

Sunday's storm could be dangerous; freeze line above 8000' would melt the snowpack; it happened during last week's AR.   

[Guest happ]

Now it is in Ventura county, getting closer to LA

 

Flash Flood Warning
CAC111-202130-
/O.NEW.KLOX.FF.W.0004.170120T1834Z-170120T2130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service OXNARD CA
1034 AM PST FRI JAN 20 2017

The National Weather Service in OXNARD has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Ventura County in southwestern California including the Solimar
  and Pines burn areas as well as Highway 33 Corridor...

* Until 130 PM PST

* At 1030 AM PST, Doppler radar indicated very heavy rain with rainfall rates
  in excess of one inch per hour across the coastal slopes and adjacent
  valleys of Ventura County. Flash flooding with rock and mudslide activity
  is expected shortly if not already occurring, especially in canyons.
  Mud and debris flows are possible across the Solimar and Pines burn areas
  as well as Highway 33.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Simi Valley...Fillmore...Ojai...Santa Paula...Rose Valley...Moorpark...
  La Conchita...Rincon Point...Lake Piru...Lake Casitas...
  Highway 33...as well as Solimar and Pines burn areas.
 

[Guest happ]

Orange county:

 

[Guest happ]

Heavy showers ended this afternoon. It was the most 24-hour rainfall this rain year.

 

57/ 49

 

Rain: 1.68

Jan: 6.38

Year [jul-jun]: 12.94

[Anti Marine Layer]

Quite a storm today, though I was expecting even more heavy rain. After a few hours of quiet, just had another heavy shower.

 

Heavy rains today may have kept away some protestors.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Fullerton Airport - 2015-16 Water Year

 

Oct:  0.22

Nov: 0.04

Dec: 0.79

Jan: 2.66

Feb: 0.47

Mar: 0.92

Apr: 0.11

May: 0.05

Jun: T

Jul: 0.00

Aug: 0.00

Sep: T

--------------------------

Total: 5.26

 

Fullerton Airport - 2016-17 Water Year

 

Oct: 0.40

Nov: 1.00

Dec: 4.51

Jan: 4.31

--------------------------

Total: 10.22

[Guest happ]

Some areas are nearly double the normal rainfall to date and more rain Sunday

 

[Guest happ]

Clear cold windy day

 

L: 45

[Anti Marine Layer]

Yesterday's storm was not as strong as I expected, though there were some periods of heavy rain. The creek in the park near my house was not that high. Nothing like when we had a storm that dropped 7 inches of rain in one night and washed out the sidewalk about 5-10 feet above the creek.

[Guest happ]

A beautiful winter day and dry out before tomorrow's storm. Had to put down more sand bags due to excessive water levels right up to the house yesterday.

 

61/ 45

[Dan the Weatherman]

2.69" fell here in Orange from late Wednesday night to Friday for a season total (beginning July 1) of 12.64". I emptied my rain gauge just in time tonight as it was just beginning to sprinkle when doing so

[Anti Marine Layer]

Sun rises in Utqiaġvik, Alaska (formerly known as Barrow) for the first time in 2017. The sun will be up from about 1:18 PM to 2:00 PM. At solar noon, the sun will not be fully above the horizon.

 

Meanwhile in Lake Forest, sunset has changed from 4:46 PM to 5:12 PM since Winter Solstice while sunrise has changed from 6:51 AM to 6:52 AM. Solar noon has changed from 11:49 AM to 12:02 PM.

 

Rain has begun, but so far it's very light. Hope to see it get heavier throughout the day.

[Guest happ]

2.69" fell here in Orange from late Wednesday night to Friday for a season total (beginning July 1) of 12.64". I emptied my rain gauge just in time tonight as it was just beginning to sprinkle when doing so

 

Our rainfall amounts are quite similar. We could end the month w/ rain totals close to average annuals for the rain year especially if today's storm reach forecast amounts [2-4"].

 

January: 6.38

 

Rain year: 12.94

[Anti Marine Layer]

Rain is starting to get heavier. The rain let up a little bit earlier this morning, which gave me enough time to take the dog for a walk.

[Anti Marine Layer]

So far rainfall intensity has been below expectations. Would not be surprised if we got less than half the forecast totals. Storm does not look too impressive from the satellite.

 

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/weus/vis.jpg

[Anti Marine Layer]

It's been pouring for about 2 hours now, but nobody has anything to say about it.

[Anti Marine Layer]

January 2017 already has more rain than we got from all of October 2015-September 2016 for Fullerton Airport.

 

October 2015-September 2016: 5.26"

January 2017: 5.45"

[Anti Marine Layer]

Obama family is not getting the greatest weather for their Palm Springs vacation.

 

Nobody here has anything to say about the storm. Rain is getting heavier and heavier.

[Reg]

Sustained, heavy rain here this afternoon. 1.43" and rising. I had forgotten the name of this website so I couldn't get back on it 

 

I've been away for the last couple of weeks as my hard drive failed (hadn't backed it up in a year like the idiot I am), and I had a professional data retrieval company in Irvine recover the data for me (costly but worth it!). 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Fullerton Airport is now up to 2.27". Did not look that it would happen earlier this morning.

[Reg]

1.63" and still rising.....this is the wettest storm probably since December 2010...

[Bonk]

1.9" for the day here in Modjeska.  

[Dylan]

So far we have picked up just over 1.7" with the current storm.  The previous storm produced 2.7" and out monthly total is now over 8".  The soil seems to be finally getting saturated in the garden as even a light rain is causing some ponding.