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January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest


Goducks09

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Wow... I did not realize how much rain had fallen at SEA. Much less here since yesterday (only about 1.25 inches) with offshore flow keeping the precip rate lower.

Ya 1.63 yesterday and over an inch today. It has been pouring nonstop since yesterday morning with no breaks until now.

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Andrew called it, lol.

 

I am getting ready for a sunny cam tour of the greater Seattle Metro area on the forum starting in about a week.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Might have to bring a pair of shades to your desk!

Sun is currently blinding me at my desk! A precursor to next week! One small spot of blue sky allowing the sun to beat right into my eye balls...time to close the blinds. Also was outside a few minutes ago...such a warm wind blowing, didn't need my jacket for the first time since November! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Andrew called it, lol.

 

 

I was just reporting what the ECMWF shows.  

 

Should I not report what the ECMWF surface map shows for upcoming period we have been discussing?  I will do the same thing if and when it show low clouds and fog as well.   And I think that might still be the case.

 

Andrew said I would deny any foggy inversion and then post sunny pictures.   I would bet on a foggy inversion right now given the time of year and flat gradients.   So if its sunny all week then I am wrong as well.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Puget Sound got a good 4-12 inches of snow five years ago today if my memory serves me right.

You are correct! :) That was the last time I have seen that much snow. Pretty much nothing other than a melting 1/2 inch since then... Here is are a few pics from my backyard. The good Ol'days!  My daughter is now in College (second year) and son is graduating. A lot has changed but we are still rocken' the 1990 Astro Van you see in the background  :)

 

IMG_1338.jpg

 

IMG_7939.jpg

 

IMG_7936.jpg

 

EDIT: it turned to freezing rain about an hour after those pics were taken (around 8am) and rained all day. So, yes it snowed but enjoying it was very short lived and we have gotten s**t since.  :( Destroyed all of our trees too. :(

 

IMG_7949.JPG

 

IMG_7946.jpg

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You are correct! :) That was the last time I have seen that much snow. Pretty much nothing other than a melting 1/2 inch since then... Here is a pic for 2012 from my backyard. The good Ol'days! My daughter is now in College (second year) and son is graduating. A lot has changed but we are still rocken' the 1990 Astro Van you see in the background :)

 

IMG_7939.jpg

 

Is that you in the pic?

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Is that you in the pic?

He said it's his kids

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Life if finally slowing down, here is a picture from a week ago. The marina I manage collapsed under a foot of snow. I was standing on the small barge you can see on the left partially submerged. Lucky to be alive, definitely shouldn't have been out there at 3am, wasn't thinking clearly. I will take a "like" as you sympathizing ;). Needless to say I am done with rooting for snow this weekend. You can have it all western washington. 

 

edit: not sure why the orientation is like it is, it wasn't attached like that.

IMG_6163.JPG

IMG_6163.JPG

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You are correct! :) That was the last time I have seen that much snow. Pretty much nothing other than a melting 1/2 inch since then... Here is a pic for 2012 from my backyard. The good Ol'days!  My daughter is now in College (second year) and son is graduating. A lot has changed but we are still rocken' the 1990 Astro Van you see in the background  :)

 

attachicon.gifIMG_1338.jpg

 

attachicon.gifIMG_7939.jpg

 

attachicon.gifIMG_7936.jpg

 

EDIT: it turned to freezing rain about an hour after those pics were taken (around 8am). So, yes it snowed but enjoying it was very short lived and we have gotten s**t since.  :( Destroyed all of our trees too. :(

 

attachicon.gifIMG_7949.JPG

That Astro van will probably live another 20yrs! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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That Astro van will probably live another 20yrs! 

I know! :).... it is rock solid.

 

We got it used (in mint condition) when my son was three. It only had 27,000 on it. Was owned by an elderly couple who garaged it in Arizona and only used it for golf outings as they were snow birds. It was in excellent condition then and we bought it for only $3,400 and have had it for around 15 years. Many family trips and memories in it. 

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Life if finally slowing down, here is a picture from a week ago. The marina I manage collapsed under a foot of snow. I was standing on the small barge you can see on the left partially submerged. Lucky to be alive, definitely shouldn't have been out there at 3am, wasn't thinking clearly. I will take a "like" as you sympathizing ;). Needless to say I am done with rooting for snow this weekend. You can have it all western washington. 

 

not sure why the orientation is like it is, it wasn't attached like that.

 

Nice sideways pictures. ;)

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Life if finally slowing down, here is a picture from a week ago. The marina I manage collapsed under a foot of snow. I was standing on the small barge you can see on the left partially submerged. Lucky to be alive, definitely shouldn't have been out there at 3am, wasn't thinking clearly. I will take a "like" as you sympathizing ;). Needless to say I am done with rooting for snow this weekend. You can have it all western washington. 

 

edit: not sure why the orientation is like it is, it wasn't attached like that.

 

tumblr_n2ci6fBs191s3f8vfo3_250.gif

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Have to wonder if PDX will pop into the 50s a few days late next week with the ridging pattern shown.

 

Persistent inversions get a little tougher to maintain going into the last week of January. We will have a chilly airmass going into it and hopefully still some snowcover east side, so that could help.

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Have to wonder if PDX will pop into the 50s a few days late next week with the ridging pattern shown.

 

Persistent inversions get a little tougher to maintain going into the last week of January. We will have a chilly airmass going into it and hopefully still some snowcover east side, so that could help.

 

Yeah really hard to say at this point.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Tough to tell but the trees look a little stressed and weighed down by ice? Not sure why the camera is now aimed at the trees.

Looks like they re aimed the camera now, you can see trees and branches are falling. Tim, probably hard to believe this is happening just what 10-15 minutes away from your exit?

http://images.wsdot.wa.gov/sc/090VC04526.jpg?1484779161030

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Was up to 48° here a little bit ago. 2.34" of rain from this system so far.

 

Impressive temperature gradient from one side of the mountain to the other side. low 50s vs. 20s. 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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The air sure smells different outside... smells like spring.

Here we go.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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18z GEFS mean depicts a solid wavetrain, and perhaps most importantly, the development of a Eurasian ridge during the latter portion of week two.

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017011818&fh=378&xpos=0&ypos=521

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Surprised to see our lawn emerging from the snow quite green... maybe it was insulated from the cold.  

 

---

 

Yeah more than likely.

Your snow cover streak was a pretty good one.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Got above freezing today, high of 45 briefly. Snow finally sliding off the roof.

 

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B8CuinzWfFF9anQ4Mm8tMi1VUnM

 

Cool video!  

 

I have only been through Goldendale one time... thought it was a really pretty area.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Certainly some indications early Feb is very much in play right now. Nice 12z GFS and the Euro ensemble continues to be bullish on an Aleutian ridge by then.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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