
East/Gulf Coast Weather 2017
#1
Posted 02 January 2017 - 05:33 AM
#2
Posted 02 January 2017 - 05:51 AM

- iFred likes this
#3
Posted 02 January 2017 - 10:52 AM
#4
Posted 02 January 2017 - 12:19 PM
#5
Posted 02 January 2017 - 06:06 PM
My inner pessimist says we can punt until late Feb and then winter is over.
Never punt here until early/mid March. Over the last decade, about 80% of our snow has fallen in February/March. That's very telling IMO.
February has always been our most prolific snow month, but that's especially been the case in recent decades, with March now joining the party over the last decade in particular.
#6
Posted 02 January 2017 - 09:06 PM
Almost reminds me of the good 'ole days, before the post-2010 regime took over. Winter storms intermixed with frontal events.
#7
Posted 04 January 2017 - 07:18 AM
Reading this as a lay person, it sounds very much as a psychiatrist speaking.I'm betting on suppression depression, but am rooting for amplification.
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#8
Posted 04 January 2017 - 05:40 PM
#9
Posted 05 January 2017 - 12:19 PM
#10
Posted 05 January 2017 - 05:49 PM
Currently 31 feels like 18, heading for 24.
Wind at 19mph.
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#11
Posted 06 January 2017 - 06:43 AM
#12
Posted 06 January 2017 - 06:50 AM
Until then..😴
#13
Posted 06 January 2017 - 09:06 AM
2½ inches of snow. Looking at the long range tells me that unless the trough in Alaska is over modeled, I might as well get hyped up for the spring storm season.
- Phil likes this
#14
Posted 06 January 2017 - 10:31 AM
2½ inches of snow. Looking at the long range tells me that unless the trough in Alaska is over modeled, I might as well get hyped up for the spring storm season.
A stronger Pacific jet would be beneficial here. Just need to get a storm to track south of us, and all else will fall into line. That can be a challenge without a NW Atlantic ridge, however, so whether or not we obtain the right storm track remains to be seen.
These waves that've cut west of the mountains have been warm-sectoring us for the most part.
- Webberweather53 likes this
#15
Posted 06 January 2017 - 12:10 PM
Should bottom out in the low teens or single digits this weekend, so about 10-15 degrees below average. Meh.
#16
Posted 06 January 2017 - 12:31 PM
23* wind chill 9* this afternoon
Light snow,...yes snow - perhaps a half inch.
Low tonight 18* calm clearing
Really nice to see some winter weather here. Shame it missed Christmas.
- iFred likes this
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#17
Posted 06 January 2017 - 12:50 PM
Sucks to get missed to the south.
#18
Posted 06 January 2017 - 02:05 PM
#19
Posted 06 January 2017 - 03:26 PM
#20
Posted 06 January 2017 - 04:00 PM
Another 30 miles and we're looking at 3-6". Fred might be in a better position (latitude wise) to take advantage of the poleward shooting jet streak, though I'm not sure where he is longitudinally.
#21
Posted 06 January 2017 - 06:37 PM

#22
Posted 06 January 2017 - 06:54 PM
I thought earlier this fall Texas would see a dry warmish winter, now it's low 20's and light snow on the ground. What was so odd today was that it snowed at 23*. Usually we never Snow below 30*. Interesting afternoon. Blew snow pretty heavy for awhile. Beautiful.
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#23
Posted 06 January 2017 - 10:01 PM
Guidance is bumping NW last minute with the southern storm tonight. Now a solid 1-3" consensus around here..can we pull off a miracle like NYC did with last winter's blizzard? Or at least manage 3-4" or so?
Another 30 miles and we're looking at 3-6". Fred might be in a better position (latitude wise) to take advantage of the poleward shooting jet streak, though I'm not sure where he is longitudinally.
I'm just north of Philly in Lansdale. I see some positive signs for this things being more NW than modeled.
#24
Posted 07 January 2017 - 09:23 AM

#25
Posted 07 January 2017 - 12:25 PM
#26
Posted 07 January 2017 - 04:58 PM
Our snow yesterday was actually a rare lake effect snow.
Considering it was in the low 20's and that just isn't snow temps for us.
I live by Benbrook Lake in the southern part of the map. The snow moved SW and we got about a half inch over a period of about 3 hrs.
http://www.nbcdfw.co...-409889775.html
- Phil likes this
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#27
Posted 07 January 2017 - 05:56 PM
Was hoping it was just the thermostat, but it worked on the upstairs panel so its the d**n furnace. F**k.
#28
Posted 07 January 2017 - 07:45 PM
Wind is blowing out there too, sounds like a dull roar through the trees. Should make it into the low teens or single digits tonight.
#29
Posted 08 January 2017 - 12:59 PM
If we can decouple tonight, I bet we easily drop into the single digits, especially with some snow still on the ground. Whether or not we actually decouple is the question.
#30
Posted 08 January 2017 - 08:37 PM
#31
Posted 09 January 2017 - 02:38 PM
Might fail to drop below zero for two consecutive winters, barring a strong mid-February blast.
#32
Posted 11 January 2017 - 03:06 PM
#33
Posted 12 January 2017 - 06:57 AM
Cowboy/Packer game Sunday ......go Packers. ( I know, I'm a traitor)
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#34
Posted 12 January 2017 - 11:16 AM
Tomorrow night it'll be snowing and sleeting.

#35
Posted 12 January 2017 - 01:31 PM
the sun came out today and bam Temps went way up I got to 71 on my weather station today.just a few days ago we were barely in the 20s and tommore night and saterday we have snow sleet and freezing rain.winter-spring -winter in one week lol.It's 70.2 degrees here with a howling south wind, and still rising as of 215pm. Gusts surpassing 40mph.
Tomorrow night it'll be snowing and sleeting.
- Phil likes this
#36
Posted 12 January 2017 - 03:06 PM
the sun came out today and bam Temps went way up I got to 71 on my weather station today.just a few days ago we were barely in the 20s and tommore night and saterday we have snow sleet and freezing rain.winter-spring -winter in one week lol.
New Euro weeklies look absolutely epic for February. That, coupled with the fraying low frequency tropical convective state and upcoming PV/stratosphere perturbations, I'd argue that our winter is just beginning (snowfall wise).
#37
Posted 12 January 2017 - 03:36 PM
It's 70.2 degrees here with a howling south wind, and still rising as of 215pm. Gusts surpassing 40mph.
Tomorrow night it'll be snowing and sleeting.
I hear ya. We hit 68 and windy. Front came through and at 5:30 it's 59 headed for 40 and scattered showers tomorrow.
Rain through Monday.
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#38
Posted 12 January 2017 - 03:49 PM
I hear ya. We hit 68 and windy. Front came through and at 5:30 it's 59 headed for 40 and scattered showers tomorrow.
Rain through Monday.
Gotta love -ENSO winters.
Work week started with single digit temps here, hits the low 70s today, then 36hrs later it'll be snowing. Fun stuff.
- Andie likes this
#39
Posted 12 January 2017 - 04:50 PM
Getting chilly out. Quite nice.
- Phil likes this
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#40
Posted 12 January 2017 - 08:31 PM
#41
Posted 12 January 2017 - 09:05 PM
No real forcing or pressure surge along the front, so we should avoid the loud, gusty winds. More like a "bleeding" of cold air into the region behind the front, as opposed to a more typical blast front.
#42
Posted 13 January 2017 - 08:24 PM
#43
Posted 13 January 2017 - 09:37 PM
Trying not to jinx it, but I'm feeling a major nor'easter/winter storm sometime in late January and/or February. I like where the pattern and forcings appear to be headed, and could envision something fairly significant taking place.
I'm in Calgary the week of the 6th. I hope that my schedule somehow works.
#44
Posted 14 January 2017 - 10:39 AM
#45
Posted 14 January 2017 - 11:23 AM
So, today is chilly, 49*, fog all day. Expecting 60's and thunderstorms for tomorrow.
I'm seriously bummed out. We could have a weather apocalypse and it wouldn't bother me.
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#46
Posted 14 January 2017 - 11:24 AM
Over all a weak event today nothing to write home about it was never expected to be a big event but feel many were to aggressive with the drop in temperature doing this light event. was skeptical of the ice threat in 95 in the forecasts yesterday a warm few days and a weak cold source these events always tend to be marginal at best and best for North and west of 95.the pattern change for end of January and February doesn't surprise me the trend of the last few years have been summers starting July going through September fall October-december through early January and winter coming on a bang late january through April and that looks to hold again this winter.
d**n! Now that's what I call a historic run on sentence.
2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*
#47
Posted 14 January 2017 - 01:50 PM
I'm in Calgary the week of the 6th. I hope that my schedule somehow works.
An Archambault event looks to occur in February, so that's something to keep in mind. Our most prolific blizzards tend to occur during Archambault events, including the blizzard last winter and the great blizzards of 2010.
Archambault events are anomalous (and rapid) shifts in the underlying Pacific/Atlantic boundary state(s). The term comes from the Heather Archambault paper, which investigates the correlation between NE US cold precip events and large scale regime change.
It's a fantastic read: http://journals.amet...5/2010MWR3362.1
#48
Posted 14 January 2017 - 03:39 PM
I never seen a pattern that's been so consistent as the one we been in the last few years you could throw a dart and just predict hot hazy humied July from September to a none ending fall until january or febuary with snow cold right into April followed by a crappy none showing of spring until late may or june it interesting how presistant the pattern of this progression has been.D**n! Now that's what I call a historic run on sentence.
- Phil likes this
#49
Posted 14 January 2017 - 03:56 PM
I never seen a pattern that's been so consistent as the one we been in the last few years you could throw a dart and just predict hot hazy humied July from September to a none ending fall until january or febuary with snow cold right into April followed by a crappy none showing of spring until late may or june it interesting how presistant the pattern of this progression has been.
This. While July/August have always been horrible, the trend with September is disturbing to say the least. Thankfully, June has sort of gone the other way, and recent summers haven't been as atrociously awful as the 2010/2011/2012 trifecta of dewpoint delirium.
The loss of November and December as winter months has also annoyed me, as has the extension of winter into March/April during said years. Would very much prefer a return to more classic winter seasons.
- weatherfan2012 likes this
#50
Posted 14 January 2017 - 04:14 PM