March 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[luvssnow_spokane]

12km NAM give the south sound some snow Sunday morning.

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2017030212/namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_49.png

Looks like it will be a little warm for much accumulation for many. Olympia area should do better than Tacoma/Swamp/swamp highlands. I expect cold rain or a sloppy mix at best.

[BLI snowman]

Wow, seriously. Maybe you should actually look at the models like Timmy did before you mouth off like an idiot. I have no idea why you have to make comments like that. 

 

 

 

Not going to even come close to verifying of course. Looks nice and showery though with the positioning of the low in a good spot.  Similar pattern to March 2006, which dropped 1-2" on much of the Portland area.

[Kayla]

Not going to even come close to verifying of course. Looks nice and showery though with the positioning of the low in a good spot.  Similar pattern to March 2006, which dropped 1-2" on much of the Portland area.

 

Yeah looks like lots of 34-36º rain showers to me but may get lucky and score 1-2" Sunday morning. Fun pattern nonetheless!

[Geos]

GFS showing lowland snow as early as Saturday morning early.

 

 

Skagit Valley cashes in.

 

[Jesse]

Bingo!

 

Thank you for actually looking at the models and not saying something absolutely inane like "Andrew lies here just for fun."

Doesn't change the fact that you do sometimes.

[HighlandExperience]

Looks good for northern areas. Hope I-90 can join the fun.

[Geos]

Looks good for northern areas. Hope I-90 can join the fun.

 

GFS showing snow for the East side Sunday into Monday now.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not going to even come close to verifying of course. Looks nice and showery though with the positioning of the low in a good spot. Similar pattern to March 2006, which dropped 1-2" on much of the Portland area.

March 2006 was fun. I was up in Beaverton one of those nights and about 2" fell in the Tanesbourne area, there was an inch or two on the ground in Wilsonville driving home too.

[ShawniganLake]

Looks good for northern areas. Hope I-90 can join the fun.

[Geos]

IMG_0596.PNG

 

Sweet. I'm on the 3" line. 

[HighlandExperience]

IMG_0596.PNG

Looks awesome. If we can get temps slightly colder than this past event this will be even better.

[BLI snowman]

March 2006 was fun. I was up in Beaverton one of those nights and about 2" fell in the Tanesbourne area, there was an inch or two on the ground in Wilsonville driving home too.

 

I pulled off a high of 38 on 3/9 with snow showers the entire day, even though 850mb temps never dropped below -6c. Heavy showers will do the trick.

[IbrChris]

DJF coldest on record (airport 1940-2017), mean temp:

 

35.0  1948-49

35.7  1949-50

36.3  1978-79

36.3  1968-69

37.2  2016-17

 

Pre-PDX:

 

36.3  1889-90

36.5  1892-93

36.6  1928-29

37.5  1909-10

[Kayla]

DJF coldest on record (airport 1940-2017), mean temp:

 

35.0  1948-49

35.7  1949-50

36.3  1978-79

36.3  1968-69

37.2  2016-17

 

Pre-PDX:

 

36.3  1889-90

36.5  1892-93

36.6  1928-29

37.5  1909-10

 

Funny how the streak of above average monthly temps seems like a distant memory now. What an amazing winter for PDX!

 

Yet also scary to think that they may not see such an anomaly cold winter for another 30-50 years!

[MossMan]

IMG_0596.PNG

I will take that! Bryant and our other northern friends i'm sure will take that map as well. 

[stuffradio]

Bingo!

 

Thank you for actually looking at the models and not saying something absolutely inane like "Andrew lies here just for fun."

Let's be honest, we were all thinking it.

[IbrChris]

A cool and wet couple weeks in the offing...snow levels around 1500-2000' through early next week rising a bit mid week and falling back down toward 2000-3000' through mid-month. QPF looks robust...130-150% of normal for PDX. Good spring snow pattern, resorts should see increasing base depth.

[Jesse]

Ensembles appear to be trending colder.

[Front Ranger]

DJF coldest on record (airport 1940-2017), mean temp:

 

35.0 1948-49

35.7 1949-50

36.3 1978-79

36.3 1968-69

37.2 2016-17

 

Pre-PDX:

 

36.3 1889-90

36.5 1892-93

36.6 1928-29

37.5 1909-10

This has indeed been a poor man's 1948-49.

 

Now maybe next winter can be a poor man's 1949-50. These things are streaky!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Maps maps maps!

 

[IbrChris]

Maps maps maps!

 

Those darn 1000' snow levels.

[Jesse]

Maps maps maps!

 

[umadbro]

Maps maps maps!

 

Paints a 2-3" bullseye right over me. Fortunately I already know it ain't happening.

[TT-SEA]

Those darn 1000' snow levels.

 

Make it 1,200 feet and I will be happy.    Would rather not see any more snow at this point. 

[MossMan]

Make it 1,200 feet and I will be happy.    Would rather not see any more snow at this point. 

Keep that boat winterized a little longer, looks like we are not quite done yet. I sure hope this summer ends up okay... i'm still fearing a dud however. Jesse's mind powers are trying hard to give us a cold and wet summer I have a feeling! 

[Bryant]

I will take that! Bryant and our other northern friends i'm sure will take that map as well.

You got that right

[HighlandExperience]

someone post ecmwf snow map for wa/bc

[Guest Sounder]

Phew, glad I'm going to be out of town in some much better weather in San Diego this weekend! I feel bad for those that can't get away from the snow and cold every now and then.

[Bryant]

Phew, glad I'm going to be out of town in some much better weather in San Diego this weekend! I feel bad for those that can't get away from the snow and cold every now and then.

Why don't you post from your old user name?

[Guest Sounder]

Why don't you post from your old user name?

Because the old username is back on the archived board and was a relic from younger years. I don't use that username anywhere anymore. Nice attempt though!

[epiceast]

That doesn't seem ironic to me. I like some EDM too.

I couldn't really tell if you were digging at me haha. 

[Brennan]

Never too much snow. Every time is like the first time... that never changes.

[χιόνι (chióni)]

Precipitation from October 1, 2016 - February 28, 2017 total 35.17.

 

Average precipitation a year 37.19. 

[Bryant]

Never too much snow. Every time is like the first time... that never changes.

 

Not sure how anyone could get tired of snow in the PNW. 

[luvssnow_spokane]

someone post ecmwf snow map for wa/bc

My guess is it will be trace to 3 inches hit a miss .... Kinda like the last few events. Marginal at best -- just to much sun angle power to mean much past noon if at all. PNW winter sloppy type of event.

[Brennan]

Not sure how anyone could get tired of snow in the PNW.

I can see how some would understand why tim could get tired of it, but there is a reason you choose to live at 1100 feet elevation in the cascade foothills.

 

I don't think you should be allowed to post in this section of the weather forum if you get tired of snow. This should actually be call "thesnowloversforum.com

[Timmy]

18z is even more bullish for snow at pdx

[HighlandExperience]

Not sure how anyone could get tired of snow in the PNW.

Agreed. Bring it on!

[luvssnow_spokane]

18z snowfall maps

 

[TT-SEA]

I can see how some would understand why tim could get tired of it, but there is a reason you choose to live at 1100 feet elevation in the cascade foothills.

 

I don't think you should be allowed to post in this section of the weather forum if you get tired of snow. This should actually be call "thesnowloversforum.com

 

There are many reasons to live here... late season snow is one of the negatives.     Even my kids are saying the same thing and all of our neighbors that I have talked to as well.  

 

But ultimately we likely see more snow and just have to deal with it!