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2017 Spring/Summer Severe Wx Thread


Tom

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Its been a wacky thunderstorm season thus far. Whenever I see a good line of storms racing eastward towards my area, they tend to suddenly fizzle out as they arrive in SEMI. I guess too much dry air ova the region. :blink:

Me thinks Omaha peeps quietly smuggled their dome across the state line!

 

 

 

While E Nebraska peeps keep getting hit, this map for tomorrow plays like a broken record for mby. I added that red hatching to high-lite the dearth zone of T-storms. Futility records are in jeopardy around here for Severe storms. I can't even remember the last one we had, so it must be like three summers ago.  :wacko:  2010-2014 were a string of active years, then it's been like a light switch was thrown. Seriously, we need some moisture, and in the summer the only chance is convection around here.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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The lightning was pretty incredible. Had quite a few strikes that made the explosion noise that you can hear almost the instant you see the flash of lightning. We got hammered pretty good. Wasn't too bad with wind but I love those types of storms anyways so I couldn't complain. Don't think we'll see much today, but tomorrow looks pretty dang good for another severe weather outbreak!

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Busy day for the NWS offices...MSP region Mesoscale Discussion has been issued...

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd1170.gif

 

 

 

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop and intensify across
the region through late afternoon, accompanied by increasing severe
weather potential as early as the 4-5 PM CDT time frame. A watch
issuance seems probable within the next hour or two.
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We try again..GRR hoping to break their streak of "whiffs" down along 94. We'll see..

 

 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Good news.... DVN nexrad just came back into service.  We may need it.

 

I was worried the storms may fire south of CR, but they aren't having any trouble popping well north.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Good news.... DVN nexrad just came back into service.  We may need it.

 

I was worried the storms may fire south of CR, but they aren't having any trouble popping well north.

Great news, considering a tornado is being confirmed! 

 

The National Weather Service in Des Moines has issued a

 

* Tornado Warning for...

Northwestern Madison County in south central Iowa...

Northeastern Adair County in southwestern Iowa...

Southern Dallas County in central Iowa...

 

* Until 445 PM CDT.

 

* At 408 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 7 miles southwest of

Stuart, or 8 miles north of Greenfield, moving east at 35 mph.

 

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

 

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

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We try again..GRR hoping to break their streak of "whiffs" down along 94. We'll see..

 

attachicon.gif20170628 GRR T-storm graphic.GIF

Lets hope Jaster. I could really use a nice storm in and around my area. Maybe even, catastrophic winds at this point! :lol:

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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attachicon.gif20170628 I-cast GL's map 8am 6-29.gif

 

While E Nebraska peeps keep getting hit, this map for tomorrow plays like a broken record for mby. I added that red hatching to high-lite the dearth zone of T-storms. Futility records are in jeopardy around here for Severe storms. I can't even remember the last one we had, so it must be like three summers ago.  :wacko:  2010-2014 were a string of active years, then it's been like a light switch was thrown. Seriously, we need some moisture, and in the summer the only chance is convection around here.

Its been fairly dry, that's for sure. We need some needed moisture. I don't want to keep using my sprinklers, otherwise my bill will be skyrocket. So far, I have my system set to water for 2 days a week. :blink:

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Me thinks Omaha peeps quietly smuggled their dome across the state line!

I agree! :wacko:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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I'm hoping this line of storms fills in as it heads east. I don't want another near miss.

 

Unfortunately, there's still no sign the hw30 corridor is going to fill in before passing Cedar Rapids.  

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Thunderstorms are forecasted in my area late tonight and part of tomorrow.  Might be looking at severe weather, finally. Fingers crossed. :D

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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@ Jaster

 

You might be getting some nice boomers tomorrow. Perhaps in the severe category.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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MSN getting rocked with strong winds topping 80mph nearby locations.

 

HRRR hammers north suburbs of Chicago after 8:00pm. A bow echo signature showing up.

Push that bad weather towards Jasters area and mine for crying out loud. Add a little magic to it. ;)

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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It has been a quiet night for me, but there have been several tornadoes north and east of me so it has been pretty interesting.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Tornado Warming southwest of Madison.

 

Did it pass close to a bonfire?? :P :lol:

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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It was a pretty active day yesterday...tornadoes in E IA near some of our posters and also near MSP...

 

 

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday.gif

 

 

 

Saturday is looking more active down south near OK...

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_0600.gif?1498745328169

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Thunderstorms are forecasted in my area late tonight and part of tomorrow.  Might be looking at severe weather, finally. Fingers crossed. :D

@ Jaster

 

You might be getting some nice boomers tomorrow. Perhaps in the severe category.

 

Not even a mention of Severe in my local NWS 7-day grid-cast :unsure: :unsure:

 

Push that bad weather towards Jasters area and mine for crying out loud. Add a little magic to it. ;)

 

Didn't hear any thunder, but got some of the (most) important RAIN :D

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I sound like you guys in the winter right now, but man did we get shafted yesterday! Looks similar today, dropped from an enhanced risk, to a marginal risk. Yeah we've been spoiled to a degree, but this is pretty disheartening. It's like going from a winter storm watch to a blowing snow advisory. Yuck! D**n convection goofed us this morning #thankskansas

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I sound like you guys in the winter right now, but man did we get shafted yesterday! Looks similar today, dropped from an enhanced risk, to a marginal risk. Yeah we've been spoiled to a degree, but this is pretty disheartening. It's like going from a winter storm watch to a blowing snow advisory. Yuck! d**n convection goofed us this morning #thankskansas

 

:lol:  That cracked me up. Even worse last winter, most of the time there wasn't any blow-able snow before or after the WSW fail. :rolleyes:

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I sound like you guys in the winter right now, but man did we get shafted yesterday! Looks similar today, dropped from an enhanced risk, to a marginal risk. Yeah we've been spoiled to a degree, but this is pretty disheartening. It's like going from a winter storm watch to a blowing snow advisory. Yuck! d**n convection goofed us this morning #thankskansas

More like winter storm watch to "what storm?"

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Not even a mention of Severe in my local NWS 7-day grid-cast :unsure: :unsure:

 

 

Didn't hear any thunder, but got some of the (most) important RAIN :D

Excellent, I saw the radar. Man, all of that precip dissipated as it moved eastward towards me. Unreal. :wacko:

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Excellent, I saw the radar. Man, all of that precip dissipated as it moved eastward towards me. Unreal. :wacko:

Marshall had rain fall at least 3 times today! Catching some breaks here I guess. The only fireworks though are people getting a jump-start on celebrating the 4th, LOL

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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