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April 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest


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I opened a google doc. one time.

I edited a shared excel spreadsheet today. I felt accomplished.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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PDX up to 68 they are gonna do it!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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No 70 for PDX! Wow

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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It's so nice outside today, why are you posting so much? Seems you may like to just gripe about the weather than really enjoy it. Doesn't make sense.

From my phone... when checking tenp anyways?

 

We had dinner outside in Issaquah... was 73 there.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Another mild sunny day in Victoria, tomorrow looks more interesting, hopefully we'll get enough rain to starve off the drought a bit longer.

 

Just absolutely crazy that you need to be worried about rain there.   It literally does not get any wetter at this time of year over the last 3 months in the PNW.   

 

Seattle is about to break the record for the wettest rainy season (Oct-Apr) beating a record we just set last year!    This might be the wettest 2-year period in the history of Seattle.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Today was stunning. I did lots of work on the farm today for my Vegetable consultation job.

 

Today was nice... we should be getting 3 or 4 days like this per week by this point.

 

18056440_1302790616455810_10666262765745

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Another mild sunny day in Victoria, tomorrow looks more interesting, hopefully we'll get enough rain to starve off the drought a bit longer.

Despite the drier weather down that way, most of the lawns I mow in Victoria are still a touch on the muddy side.

 

Only hit 62F here today but it felt great.

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Just absolutely crazy that you need to be worried about rain there.   It literally does not get any wetter at this time of year over the last 3 months in the PNW.   

 

Seattle is about to break the record for the wettest rainy season (Oct-Apr) beating a record we just set last year!    This might be the wettest 2-year period in the history of Seattle.  

 

Not anywhere close to a record here, pretty amazing how much of a difference there's been over a relatively small distance. Nov 2006 alone had more rain that NDJ of this year.

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Pleasant 60-degree morning.   

 

00Z ECMWF backed off a little bit on the craziness this coming week... that run actually showed next weekend being fairly decent.

 

It also shows multiple snow events for the Midwest over the next 10 days.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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So, the 65 degree (lack of) benchmark is in the books at PDX:

 

4/21/2017

4/18/1950

4/18/1945

4/11/1975

4/11/1954

4/8/1957

 

We're in the conversation for a 70 degree (lack of) benchmark at this point:

 

5/5/1967

5/1/1970

4/28/1963

4/28/1961

4/27/1957

4/24/2001

4/23/2011

4/21/2012

4/20/1993

 

 

We're about to pass 2011 and 2001 as we approach the top-5.

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Despite the drier weather down that way, most of the lawns I mow in Victoria are still a touch on the muddy side.

 

Only hit 62F here today but it felt great.

 

Last night ended up being pretty warm with a low around 52F, completely cloudy this morning but it still feels relatively warm. Definitely no mud to report here, there are some early signs of things starting to dry out (also way less growth compared to last year):

 

http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_4191_zpsutn0anad.jpg

 

http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_4192_zpsp5ta2irh.jpg

 

Last year:

 

http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_3395_zpsqjpfucqs.jpg

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Last night ended up being pretty warm with a low around 52F, completely cloudy this morning but it still feels relatively warm. Definitely no mud to report here, there are some early signs of things starting to dry out (also way less growth compared to last year):

 

Last year:

 

 

 

I think the relative lack of growth has been due to cooler temperatures more than dryness. Last Spring was incredibly warm and dry....there is no way you were wetter last spring than this one. Although the conditions in the Olympic rain shadow can always be surprising relative to the rest of the west side, I suppose.

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I think the relative lack of growth has been due to cooler temperatures more than dryness. Last Spring was incredibly warm and dry....there is no way you were wetter last spring than this one. Although the Olympic rain shadow can always be surprising I suppose.

 

Last year was much warmer and drier, this year has been far closer to average so far in terms of precipitation and maybe a bit below in terms of temperatures (1.3" of rain so far this month). We do better for rain when the flow switches to W or SE, which hasn't been particularly common this year. The sky has a "rainy" look to it today, might score a rare weekend rainfall:

 

http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_4201_zps3a3l0xq1.jpg

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So, the 65 degree (lack of) benchmark is in the books at PDX:

 

4/21/2017

4/18/1950

4/18/1945

4/11/1975

4/11/1954

4/8/1957

 

We're in the conversation for a 70 degree (lack of) benchmark at this point:

 

5/5/1967

5/1/1970

4/28/1963

4/28/1961

4/27/1957

4/24/2001

4/23/2011

4/21/2012

4/20/1993

 

 

We're about to pass 2011 and 2001 as we approach the top-5.

 

At least third place is looking like a lock. Although given model trends a bump to 70 wouldn't surprise me sometime in the first few days of May. We will probably end up in second or third.

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12z Euro shows a break in the action next Sunday/Monday. 

 

Better yet... the break is actually Saturday and Sunday.   There is some rain shown by Monday again.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Suddenly it looks pretty nice for next Friday through possibly Sunday.   I guess nature finally figured out that we will be out of town.  :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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