Jump to content

Welcome to our forums!

Sign In or Register to gain full access to our forums. By registering with us, you'll be able to discuss, share and private message with other members of our community.

Welcome!

Thanks for stopping by the Weather Forums! Please take the time to register and join our community. Feel free to post or start new topics on anything related to the weather or the climate.


Photo

April 29-May 1 rain/snow?????

- - - - -

Best Answer Black Hole , 27 April 2017 - 12:07 PM

Nothing says May like snow! Snow is falling in the Rockies today with this system as well. NWS says the upper level temps are a 1 in 10 year event. 


Go to the full post


  • Please log in to reply

#1
gabel23

Posted 27 April 2017 - 11:32 AM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

We are looking at a very dynamic storm coming out into the plains this weekend. There is really good agreement by the models with showing a tremendous amount of precipitation falling, including the possibility of some snow. Discuss!! 

Attached Files



#2
Black Hole

Posted 27 April 2017 - 12:07 PM   Best Answer

Black Hole

    Daily Contributor

  • Admin
  • 1537 posts
  • LocationBountiful, Ut 84010 ~4575ft

Nothing says May like snow! Snow is falling in the Rockies today with this system as well. NWS says the upper level temps are a 1 in 10 year event. 


  • Tom, gabel23, jaster220 and 1 other like this

BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#3
Tom

Posted 27 April 2017 - 12:18 PM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

Nothing says May like snow! Snow is falling in the Rockies today with this system as well. NWS says the upper level temps are a 1 in 10 year event. 

How did your winter stack up this past cold season?



#4
gabel23

Posted 27 April 2017 - 12:50 PM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

OAX sure is paying attention to this weekend! 

 

As closed low moves closer Sunday, forecast soundings suggest a good

chance for a complete changeover to snow in northeast Nebraska, and
at least a mix in all of eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa. If GFS
and NAM position wins out, dynamics would tend to cool to below
freezing deeper column of air just above the surface, leading to all
snow in more of our area. Will have to see model trends the next
couple of runs to really pin this down, but given widespread QPF
totaling over an inch in eastern Nebraska, if a change to snow does
occur over a wider area, expected duration and rates will lead to
some significant accumulations of heavy and wet snow. For now, the
uncertainty in all of the above factors leads us to maintain only
minor accumulations of snow in northeast Nebraska, with a mention of
rain snow mix over the rest of the area on Sunday.



#5
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 April 2017 - 01:04 PM

St Paul Storm

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1679 posts
  • LocationSt. Paul, MN
MPX playing it safe with regards to snow, as they should. "Heavy precip is a certainty this weekend, and major snow accumulations possible."

#6
Tom

Posted 27 April 2017 - 01:13 PM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL
18z NAM slowed this system down as well did the 12z Euro compared to yesterday.

#7
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 April 2017 - 01:52 PM

St Paul Storm

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1679 posts
  • LocationSt. Paul, MN

18z NAM slowed this system down as well did the 12z Euro compared to yesterday.

Euro has been the western/slower outlier for a few runs....giving pause on the true snowfall potential, at least here. I just read the full AFD from MPX and they think east/weaker might be the way to go. All options on the table apparently.

EDIT: well, 18z GFS has a 988 over extreme NW MO at hr 84, so there's that.

#8
St Paul Storm

Posted 28 April 2017 - 04:09 AM

St Paul Storm

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1679 posts
  • LocationSt. Paul, MN
Meh.....mostly rain here as it stands now. It could snow pretty good NW of here. It was fun tracking a potential May snow, but just like this winter things just didn't pan out.

#9
Tom

Posted 28 April 2017 - 07:03 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

Meh.....mostly rain here as it stands now. It could snow pretty good NW of here. It was fun tracking a potential May snow, but just like this winter things just didn't pan out.

Ya, it looks like CO/KS will be the winners here.  All the models are locking in W KS and SE CO with the heaviest snows ATM.

 

gfs_asnow_scus_11.png

 

 

12z NA3km...

 

nam3km_asnow_scus_61.png



#10
Tom

Posted 28 April 2017 - 07:04 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

Some posters in NE may still see snow out of this...still snows beyond this...

 

nam3km_asnow_ncus_61.png


  • gabel23 likes this

#11
jaster220

Posted 28 April 2017 - 07:28 AM

jaster220

    St. Joseph Lighthouse January 2014

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4727 posts
  • LocationKRMY (Marshall, MI) KBEH (work)

SNOW FREE ZONE!!! Yes! :D


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 0.0"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-helluva stretch!!

 

Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#12
St Paul Storm

Posted 28 April 2017 - 07:32 AM

St Paul Storm

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1679 posts
  • LocationSt. Paul, MN
12z NAM still gives me 5" using Kuchera. I don't buy it. But still a dynamic system to be entertained with this weekend.
  • jaster220 likes this

#13
Tom

Posted 28 April 2017 - 07:55 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

12z GFS a bit colder this run for NE...models may be latching onto the cold ULL...

 

gfs_asnow_ncus_15.png



#14
FarmerRick

Posted 28 April 2017 - 10:33 AM

FarmerRick

    Forum Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 165 posts
  • LocationWest Central Omaha

Was informed about an hour ago that it was snowing like crazy in Kearney, NE and the snow is accumulating.


  • jaster220 likes this

#15
Tom

Posted 28 April 2017 - 10:41 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

Was informed about an hour ago that it was snowing like crazy in Kearney, NE and the snow is accumulating.


That's where our member CentralNeb lives!

#16
LNK_Weather

Posted 28 April 2017 - 12:18 PM

LNK_Weather

    Apparently my posts are garbage

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 3327 posts
  • LocationLincoln, NE (The Shaft City)

Funny thing is the one model that is still fairly confident for us in LNK is the same model that poo-pooed many of our chances, and that is the in-house RPM model that the local news station uses, giving us 5". Disregarding that as an outlier, looks like we shouldn't be expecting May snowfall. It's severe weather season anyway.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK:               Coldest Low: N/A yet

 

 

First flake of the season:         

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#17
gabel23

Posted 28 April 2017 - 12:43 PM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

Getting close to my door I know that.....

 

...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE FROM AN

UNUSUALLY COLD SYSTEM...

KSZ005-017-NEZ039-040-046-047-060-061-072>074-082>084-290900-
/O.NEW.KGID.WS.A.0002.170430T0200Z-170501T1100Z/
Phillips-Rooks-Valley-Greeley-Sherman-Howard-Dawson-Buffalo-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Codell, Plainville,
Stockton, Ord, Greeley, Spalding, Scotia, Wolbach, Loup City,
Sherman Reservoir, Litchfield, St. Libory, Lexington, Cozad,
Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney, Elwood, Johnson Lake,
Holdrege, Minden, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, Beaver City,
Hollinger, Alma, Orleans, Franklin, Campbell, and Hildreth
326 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Hastings has issued a Winter
Storm Watch, which is in effect from Saturday evening through
late Sunday night.

* MAIN HAZARD...Heavy wet snow.

* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...Possibly several inches.

* TIMING...Saturday evening through late Sunday night...with the
heaviest snow Sunday afternoon and evening.

* LOCATION...West of Highway 281.



#18
gabel23

Posted 28 April 2017 - 12:44 PM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

Central Nebraska might be right in the heart of it, good luck to him!! Or unlucky for him, for goodness sakes its almost May!! 


  • Tom and jaster220 like this

#19
Tom

Posted 28 April 2017 - 12:50 PM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

Central Nebraska might be right in the heart of it, good luck to him!! Or unlucky for him, for goodness sakes its almost May!! 

I hope he comes back on here and posts...



#20
james1976

Posted 28 April 2017 - 01:33 PM

james1976

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4144 posts
  • LocationAplington, IA

12z GFS a bit colder this run for NE...models may be latching onto the cold ULL...

 

gfs_asnow_ncus_15.png

Haha nice strip of snow IMBY!



#21
james1976

Posted 28 April 2017 - 01:35 PM

james1976

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4144 posts
  • LocationAplington, IA

Watches and Warnings flying now for NE....CO...KS!! Some places 8-12" with 30-40mph winds and 55mph gusts! :o


  • Tom and jaster220 like this

#22
Tom

Posted 28 April 2017 - 02:42 PM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

Historic snowstorm heading towards CO/KS and OK/TX Panhandle????

 

C-hkI6_WAAAye29.jpg



#23
Tom

Posted 28 April 2017 - 02:42 PM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

12z WRF...

 

C-hkJ1uXUAE4-SN.jpg



#24
gabel23

Posted 28 April 2017 - 04:43 PM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

Historic snowstorm heading towards CO/KS and OK/TX Panhandle????

 

C-hkI6_WAAAye29.jpg

 

 

12z WRF...

 

C-hkJ1uXUAE4-SN.jpg

 

That would be historic for a lot of people! Hastings NWS had an interesting write up in this afternoon's discussion, if even half that falls we could be talking some major damage to trees and power lines. 

 

Precip: A very wet system will be in progress Sun and end by dawn

Mon. There are a couple minor/light precip possibilities until Wed
eve...but they will pale in comparison to this weekend.

Periods of rain will cont Sat night thru Sun night...but there is
potential for rain to mix with and/or change to snow...possibly
moreso than we currently have depicted in the fcst. We are
especially concerned about Sun afternoon-eve when the deformation
zone pivots over the FA. Precip will probably fall as snow for
much of the day Sun into Sun night. Accumulating snow late in the
spring or fall (when leaves are on the trees) is bad news.

We saw how easy this cold air mass produced snow today...
especially along and N of I-80.

WATCH REASONING: Ordinarily we have warning or near-warning-lvl
snowfall in the fcst when we issue a Winter Stm Watch (WSW). That
is 6" in 12 hrs or 8" in 24 hrs. Parts of this watch area do not
have 6". However...we have the discretion to issue based on
impacts (or potential impacts).

We remain very concerned about the potential for hvy wet snow
mainly Sun afternoon into Sun eve. There are mitigating factors
(warm ground etc). If it difficult for snow to accumulation
during the day at this time of year. This very well may up mostly
melting on contact...but just in case it doesn`t...we don`t want
people to be caught unaware.

Svrl inches of hvy/wet snow with so much foliage on the trees
would be devastating with widespread damage and power outages
where trees exist. Much of the greatest tree coverage is in towns
and cities.

It is entirely possible the accum does not pan out (which would
be very good) and that much of it will melt on contact. If this
occurs...this will not be a busted fcst. WSW`s only need 50%
confidence. We`ve issued this to highlight the "potential" for
what would be damaging accumulations of snow.

In the end...for this fcstr...the cost of not issuing and a major
snowfall occurring is just too great.

Please cont to closely monitor the fcst this weekend.

One other potential for hazard wx is high winds Sun. Even if we
don`t issue a Winter Wx Advisory or a Winter Storm Warning...we
might need a High Wind Warning for part or most of the FA.



#25
gabel23

Posted 28 April 2017 - 04:50 PM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

Crazy, where was this during the winter????

 

Attached Files



#26
gabel23

Posted 28 April 2017 - 04:54 PM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

I picked up .70" of rain this morning, looking like another 1.50" at least. It would be pretty cool if some of that falls as snow. 

Attached Files



#27
Hawkeye

Posted 29 April 2017 - 05:38 AM

Hawkeye

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1497 posts
  • LocationCedar Rapids, IA

0.39" here from the Friday disturbance... now just waiting to see how the frontal convection well to the south affects how much moisture makes it up here later today.


season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#28
Tom

Posted 29 April 2017 - 05:46 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

Taking a look at some web cams over in W KS and the TX Panhandle, snow is definitely accumulating in the deep south this morning.

 

Kerrick, TX...near the TX/OK border...

 

current.jpg

 

 

Johnson City, KS...

 

current.jpg


  • jaster220 likes this

#29
jaster220

Posted 29 April 2017 - 06:16 AM

jaster220

    St. Joseph Lighthouse January 2014

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4727 posts
  • LocationKRMY (Marshall, MI) KBEH (work)
@ Tom

#nuts!

As of now, mby is riding the line of flood watches by GRR. Keeping everything crossed that this is indeed a near miss. Was just planning to clean up from the water ingress that has taken the past 4 wks to recede.

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 0.0"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-helluva stretch!!

 

Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#30
Tom

Posted 29 April 2017 - 06:19 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

@ Tom

#nuts!

As of now,

 

Look at how all those trees and brush are being crushed by the weight of the snow...no bueno!  Wonder if parts of W KS exceed the 1' mark.  Local NWS in those parts still calling for 12"+...we shall see.


  • jaster220 likes this

#31
jaster220

Posted 29 April 2017 - 06:23 AM

jaster220

    St. Joseph Lighthouse January 2014

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4727 posts
  • LocationKRMY (Marshall, MI) KBEH (work)

Look at how all those trees and brush are being crushed by the weight of the snow...no bueno!  Wonder if parts of W KS exceed the 1' mark.  Local NWS in those parts still calling for 12"+...we shall see.


Yep, and trees aren't a dime a dozen out there like here in Michigan
  • Tom likes this

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 0.0"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-helluva stretch!!

 

Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#32
Tom

Posted 29 April 2017 - 06:27 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

One thing I'm benefiting from this storm are the cooler temps and the crazy winds we had here yesterday.  Blowing dust all day long.  Feels great out there after some recent heat.  The ULL tracked through the 4 corners and brought some light snow into the mountains of eastern AZ, more so in parts of NM though.



#33
Tom

Posted 29 April 2017 - 06:57 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

12z NAM-3km....

 

nam3km_asnow_ncus_60.png

 

 

Trends have been favoring a shift NW with the heavier rains right over my area back home...

 

nam3km_apcpn_ncus_19.png



#34
Tom

Posted 29 April 2017 - 06:59 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

12z NAM...even worse in terms of rain...

 

namconus_apcpn_ncus_27.png



#35
gabel23

Posted 29 April 2017 - 07:21 AM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

I'm rooting for the NAM for the win! Trends have been to bring this thing further NW, bringing the SLP up through southeast nebraska. I would say that's probably the best bet; all storms this year have taken that track. I need this thing further southeast if I'm going to see any snow. Meanwhile, winter storm warning out for central nebraska. 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Hastings NE
438 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...A strong and unusually cold upper level low pressure system
crossing the Plains will bring the potential for accumulating
snowfall to western portions of the area this weekend.
Precipitation will also be accompanied by strong northerly
winds...

KSZ005-NEZ072-073-082-083-292100-
/O.CON.KGID.WS.W.0004.170430T0600Z-170501T1100Z/
Phillips-Gosper-Phelps-Furnas-Harlan-
Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Elwood, Johnson Lake,
Holdrege, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, Beaver City, Hollinger,
Alma, and Orleans
438 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO
6 AM CDT MONDAY...

* MAIN HAZARD...Heavy wet snow.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 to 6 inches are currently forecast, with
locally higher amounts possible. The highest amounts are
expected to fall across western portions of the area.

* TIMING...Late tonight through late Sunday night. The heaviest
snow is expected to fall during the day Sunday.

* WINDS...North winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph
will be possible.



#36
gabel23

Posted 29 April 2017 - 07:39 AM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

Read Gary's blog, his power cast model looks a lot like the NAM, if that's the case then eastern nebraska has a chance at seeing some snow. 

Attached Files



#37
james1976

Posted 29 April 2017 - 08:25 AM

james1976

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4144 posts
  • LocationAplington, IA

Not gonna lie....a bit jealous here....wish i was in that WSW! I would love to see a big heavy wet snow.
​Picked up 0.32" of rain from the Friday system.
Current storm bout ready to push in. Radar looks wet!



#38
St Paul Storm

Posted 29 April 2017 - 08:49 AM

St Paul Storm

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1679 posts
  • LocationSt. Paul, MN
The Metrodome is gone, but the Twin Cities dome is in full effect. Lol.

Attached Files


  • LNK_Weather likes this

#39
james1976

Posted 29 April 2017 - 11:10 AM

james1976

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4144 posts
  • LocationAplington, IA

Models continue to spit out massive totals. Wild



#40
Guest_Snowball_*

Posted 29 April 2017 - 11:50 AM

Guest_Snowball_*
  • Guests
Can u post them james

#41
gabel23

Posted 29 April 2017 - 12:41 PM

gabel23

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1203 posts
  • LocationShelby, NE

Say what?!?!?!?
 

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT TRI-STATE REGION...

.Another couple rounds of moderate to heavy snow will begin to
impact the Tri-State Region starting tonight through Sunday
evening. The first round will occur this evening, with the more
intense second round beginning after midnight. Widespread moderate
to heavy snow is expected across most of the region, along with
wind gusts of 40-60 MPH. The very strong winds and moderate to
heavy snow will lead to whiteout conditions for most of the region
starting late tonight through Sunday. The worst conditions are
expected to occur after midnight through Sunday morning.

KSZ002>004-014>016-029-NEZ080-081-300615-
/O.UPG.KGLD.WS.W.0002.170430T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.BZ.W.0001.170430T0000Z-170501T0600Z/
Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Gove-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
Including the cities of Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Colby, Hoxie,
Hill City, Quinter, Grinnell, Grainfield, Culbertson, Trenton,
Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook
316 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT
MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Blizzard
Warning...which is in effect from 7 PM this evening to 1 AM CDT
Monday. The Winter Storm Warning is no longer in effect starting
this .

* Snow accumulation of 6 to 14 inches...with locally higher
amounts possible.

* Timing...Saturday evening through Sunday evening, with the worst
conditions after midnight through Sunday morning.

* Winds...North 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph, however a
few gusts of 60 MPH cannot be ruled out.

* Temperatures...In the low to mid 30s.



#42
Tom

Posted 29 April 2017 - 12:57 PM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

Say what?!?!?!?

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT TRI-STATE REGION...
.Another couple rounds of moderate to heavy snow will begin to
impact the Tri-State Region starting tonight through Sunday
evening. The first round will occur this evening, with the more
intense second round beginning after midnight. Widespread moderate
to heavy snow is expected across most of the region, along with
wind gusts of 40-60 MPH. The very strong winds and moderate to
heavy snow will lead to whiteout conditions for most of the region
starting late tonight through Sunday. The worst conditions are
expected to occur after midnight through Sunday morning.

KSZ002>004-014>016-029-NEZ080-081-300615-
/O.UPG.KGLD.WS.W.0002.170430T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.BZ.W.0001.170430T0000Z-170501T0600Z/
Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Gove-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
Including the cities of Atwood, Oberlin, Norton, Colby, Hoxie,
Hill City, Quinter, Grinnell, Grainfield, Culbertson, Trenton,
Stratton Ne, Palisade, and McCook
316 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT
MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Blizzard
Warning...which is in effect from 7 PM this evening to 1 AM CDT
Monday. The Winter Storm Warning is no longer in effect starting
this .

* Snow accumulation of 6 to 14 inches...with locally higher
amounts possible.

* Timing...Saturday evening through Sunday evening, with the worst
conditions after midnight through Sunday morning.

* Winds...North 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph, however a
few gusts of 60 MPH cannot be ruled out.

* Temperatures...In the low to mid 30s.


I was waiting for someone to pull the trigger and issue a Blizzard Warning! I don't think I have ever seen one in late April! #NatureIsABeast
  • jaster220 likes this

#43
Tom

Posted 29 April 2017 - 12:59 PM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL
The NAM has done a real good job with placement of the heaviest rains. Huge slug of moisture heading into N IL. Hope my crawl space doesn't get flooded!
  • gabel23 and jaster220 like this

#44
clintbeed1993

Posted 29 April 2017 - 02:38 PM

clintbeed1993

    Forum Contributor

  • Mods
  • 633 posts
  • LocationGrand Island, NE

30 inches with 40mph winds 40 miles West of me according to the RGEM. LOL Can you imagine?  The numbers these short term models have been spitting out consistently are just insane.

Attached Files



#45
Hawkeye

Posted 29 April 2017 - 04:07 PM

Hawkeye

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1497 posts
  • LocationCedar Rapids, IA

As they tend to do, models underplayed the moisture interception by the convection down south.  We only got some light rain totalling 0.17".  The NAM and HRRR have little additional rain through midday Sunday as the Missouri blob continues to prevent moisture transport into Iowa.


season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#46
Tom

Posted 29 April 2017 - 04:39 PM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL
Spoke to my friend back home and it's been pouring buckets over the last few hours with lots of ponding on the roadways as well as hydroplaning.

#47
OKwx2k4

Posted 29 April 2017 - 06:08 PM

OKwx2k4

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 3244 posts
These storms have pretty much kept everyone on our toes down here.
  • jaster220 likes this

#48
BLIZZARD09

Posted 29 April 2017 - 07:13 PM

BLIZZARD09

    Forum Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 118 posts
  • LocationLincolnwood Ill

Tom I can tell you its been pouring the past 6 hours here---biggest rain I have seen in a long time


  • Tom likes this

#49
Madtown

Posted 30 April 2017 - 05:48 AM

Madtown

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1146 posts
Where's all the rain?

#50
Tom

Posted 30 April 2017 - 06:43 AM

Tom

    Community Mod

  • Mods
  • 16944 posts
  • LocationDes Plaines, IL

Real cool GOES16 IR loop...

 

 

http://rammb.cira.co...oop_speed_ms=60