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June 2017 Observations and Discussion

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#201
bud2380

Posted 28 June 2017 - 11:14 AM

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Seems like we have been in between the heaviest stuff the last couple of weeks.  At least we've gotten some decent rain, but keep missing out on the heavier bands.  



#202
Tom

Posted 28 June 2017 - 11:48 AM

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I'm not sure if everyone knows, but there is a separate Severe Wx Thread as well if you want to chime in on there.  Meantime, here is the SPC's updated Mesoscale Discussion targeting IA...

 

mcd1169.gif

 

 

 

 

SUMMARY...A rapid increase in thunderstorm activity and intensity
appears possible late this afternoon, perhaps as early as the 3-5 pm
CDT time frame. The latest trends are being closely monitored for
increasing severe weather potential which likely will require a
watch issuance.


#203
Niko

Posted 28 June 2017 - 02:21 PM

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A tad humid and warmer today in SEMI. It felt more like summer than early Autumn. A few more clouds were around, but, no complaints. At least the 40s are looking to be gone now for awhile.


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#204
Tom

Posted 28 June 2017 - 02:39 PM

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Those building anvil cloud tops must be a site to see with the sun shining behind them.  I can only imagine...



#205
Niko

Posted 28 June 2017 - 03:38 PM

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Not sure whether this is global warming or what........ :unsure:

 

https://www.yahoo.co...-142300594.html



#206
jaster220

Posted 29 June 2017 - 05:53 AM

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Not sure whether this is global warming or what........ :unsure:

 

https://www.yahoo.co...-142300594.html

 

Story says it will only be #3 on the list, so it's not a totally unique event and more likely just part of the natural processes of ice flowing yo the sea


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 32.0"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 7.8 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#207
jaster220

Posted 29 June 2017 - 05:59 AM

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Those building anvil cloud tops must be a site to see with the sun shining behind them.  I can only imagine...

 

We (SWMI) lucked out last night catching a wave of decent rain that swept along the underside of the advancing warm front. It diminished as it came inland towards Marshall, but even there I had a good sized puddle at the mouth of my driveway. We also scored a brief soaking yesterday evening, so things have started off on a much better foot for this event. :)

 

 

(I saw somewhere that Kzoo had recorded only 0.76" for all of June!)


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 32.0"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 7.8 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#208
Tom

Posted 29 June 2017 - 06:07 AM

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We (SWMI) lucked out last night catching a wave of decent rain that swept along the underside of the advancing warm front. It diminished as it came inland towards Marshall, but even there I had a good sized puddle at the mouth of my driveway. We also scored a brief soaking yesterday evening, so things have started off on a much better foot for this event. :)

 

attachicon.gif20170628 04z GL's Radar.PNG

 

(I saw somewhere that Kzoo had recorded only 0.76" for all of June!)

Nice, glad you got some beneficial rains.  I checked the radar back home before I hit the sack here and there were training storms over my place and the counties just north which sparked Flood Warnings.  Nature shared the "wealth" so to speak to our neighbors!


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#209
Tom

Posted 29 June 2017 - 06:13 AM

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Corridor of very heavy rains stretched from RFD into the northern burbs of Chi...3-6" of rain topped the scale out farther NW of the city...

 

 

rainfallradar.png



#210
jaster220

Posted 29 June 2017 - 06:34 AM

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Corridor of very heavy rains stretched from RFD into the northern burbs of Chi...3-6" of rain topped the scale out farther NW of the city...

 

 

rainfallradar.png

 

GRR's highest report was almost 2.7" in Van Buren Cnty. Oddly, zero listings east of there for Kzoo, Calhoun, Barry counties. Guessing that means the amounts fell below the "Heavy Rain" threshold. No graphic from that office either. Have to go find local airport data I guess.


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 32.0"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 7.8 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#211
james1976

Posted 29 June 2017 - 01:37 PM

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Training storms imby right now. Already picked up 2" over the past couple hours. Waiting for a flooding hazard to get issued.

#212
james1976

Posted 29 June 2017 - 02:16 PM

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And just as i said that a flash flood warning is issued for my area. AND a severe tstorm warning. Large hail and 60mph wind possible. Gonna be a fun evening!
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#213
Niko

Posted 29 June 2017 - 03:02 PM

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Once again, it tried to thunder, but it cleared up quickly and the sun came out.



#214
james1976

Posted 29 June 2017 - 03:12 PM

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Severe storm just missed me to the N. But its back building. Im grilling food cuz its not currently raining. Thunder in the distance. It doesnt stop. Just a constant rumble. I love that. And its getting closer. Ive had 2.22" so far today. W IA getting slammed right now.
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#215
bud2380

Posted 29 June 2017 - 03:41 PM

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Lucky you James. I'd love some heavy rain. I don't know if I have 2" for the whole month.

#216
Niko

Posted 30 June 2017 - 03:49 AM

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Possible severe weather today IMBY! :D



#217
jaster220

Posted 30 June 2017 - 05:11 AM

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Possible severe weather today IMBY! :D

 

:rolleyes: I'm not getting my hopes up Niko buddy. For all of SPC's outlines including far south MI, we've managed ZERO severe (or even close) T-storms, and maybe one single garden variety T-storm/shower. This past 24 hrs = same ol same ol. Several rounds of welcomed rainfall, but not so much as a rumble of thunder. Dynamic conditions are just avoiding us like the plague!


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 32.0"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 7.8 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#218
james1976

Posted 30 June 2017 - 05:17 AM

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Had 2.92" total late pm and evening yesterday.
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#219
Hawkeye

Posted 30 June 2017 - 06:39 AM

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Had 2.92" total late pm and evening yesterday.

 

Dang, you really cashed in the last couple days, as did many locations in northern Iowa.  Last night's MCS made it farther east than the models predicted, but it still began to quickly diminish as it moved through CR.  I picked up 0.16" from it, boosting my 2-day total to 1.08".


season snowfall: 10.1"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#220
bud2380

Posted 30 June 2017 - 06:42 AM

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my two day total is 0.00".  We had a brief shower that barely got the ground wet, so perhaps a trace would be more accurate.  Hopefully the next round hits the I-80 corridor, we're getting a bit dry here, thankfully the heat went away or it would really be trouble.  


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#221
Niko

Posted 30 June 2017 - 01:53 PM

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:rolleyes: I'm not getting my hopes up Niko buddy. For all of SPC's outlines including far south MI, we've managed ZERO severe (or even close) T-storms, and maybe one single garden variety T-storm/shower. This past 24 hrs = same ol same ol. Several rounds of welcomed rainfall, but not so much as a rumble of thunder. Dynamic conditions are just avoiding us like the plague!

You are correct. I am now getting just a rainshower and 2 hours ago, it looked like a severe t'stm possibility. Wow, just wow. :wacko:



#222
Hawkeye

Posted 01 July 2017 - 06:04 AM

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My June rain total is 3.47", about 1.4" below avg.  This is only my second below avg June in the last eleven years.  It's WAY below my avg over the last decade, which is nearly 8 inches.


season snowfall: 10.1"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#223
jaster220

Posted 01 July 2017 - 07:02 AM

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@ Hawkeye (or should it be "Rainhawk"??)

 

Sharing is caring - send some our way. Signed, SMI peeps


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 32.0"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 7.8 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#224
Hawkeye

Posted 01 July 2017 - 09:32 AM

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My June rain total is 3.47", about 1.4" below avg.  This is only my second below avg June in the last eleven years.  It's WAY below my avg over the last decade, which is nearly 8 inches.

 

I should add that my 3.47" June total all fell over the second half of the month, so, despite the monthly shortfall, it feels like we're on track.


season snowfall: 10.1"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#225
Niko

Posted 01 July 2017 - 01:58 PM

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@ Hawkeye (or should it be "Rainhawk"??)

 

Sharing is caring - send some our way. Signed, SMI peeps

In bolded signatures that is. :lol:


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#226
Niko

Posted 01 July 2017 - 02:01 PM

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This is absolutely absurd. I was outside playing basketball with friends and suddenly the sky was getting dark. The sky looked more and more ominous. Guess what the outcome was......Wind guts to 30mph and a brief shower. It looked like a severe storm was coming and ended up not being one. Im pretty sure the coldfront has now passed the area as skies are deep blue with less humidity in the air. :wacko: :wacko:



#227
jaster220

Posted 05 July 2017 - 12:50 PM

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A regional June summary map shows mby wasn't quite ground zero for the worst of June's dryness across far S Mich. Looks like we squeaked into the less than -2" range. Or, put another way, slightly better than half the normal for June. We were lucky though with several pop-up events that literally hit a narrow corridor from NW to SE right thru Marshall while areas just east and west missed out. Glad to be starting off July on a (b)wetter foot.. ;)

 


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 32.0"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 7.8 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#228
Niko

Posted 05 July 2017 - 05:32 PM

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A regional June summary map shows mby wasn't quite ground zero for the worst of June's dryness across far S Mich. Looks like we squeaked into the less than -2" range. Or, put another way, slightly better than half the normal for June. We were lucky though with several pop-up events that literally hit a narrow corridor from NW to SE right thru Marshall while areas just east and west missed out. Glad to be starting off July on a (b)wetter foot.. ;)

 

attachicon.gif20170702 GRR June precip departures.PNG

:D



#229
Tom

Posted 11 July 2017 - 08:34 PM

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ORD's official temp tally...

 

DDnPXlwXUAEgnEk.jpg


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