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June 2017 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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Last night had a few rumbles of thunder, mostly heavy downpours and lightning. Definitely a great time to watch a horror film. A great combo, indeed.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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:) ..making me hungry with that speak

I like my potatoes with some added butter, pepper, no salt and along with a side of a well done juicy steak. ;)

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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In north central North Dakota, temps are currently in the mid 50s. Yikes. That's too cold for late June. Low to mid 70s here today feels great.

50s in June makes me want to move north. It would be pretty nice to get to enjoy cool days like that in summer for someone who never gets to.

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50s in June makes me want to move north. It would be pretty nice to get to enjoy cool days like that in summer for someone who never gets to.

I'd be stoked to be able to enjoy some temps in the upper 60's/low 70's right about now.  Clear skies.  Bon Fire...Music..Yes, sign me up. 

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I'd be stoked to be able to enjoy some temps in the upper 60's/low 70's right about now. Clear skies. Bon Fire...Music..Yes, sign me up.

Doin the bonfire later! Upper 60s right now. Got some food on the grill. Windy out too but should calm down after sunset. #Fall
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A taste of humidity out here in the desert. Dew's up into the mid 50's and temps already into the mid 90's with a touch of haze! Signs of the Monsoon are showing up for the valley after the long 4th of July Holiday.

 

Meantime, models are trending warmer for the holiday weekend/week but still wet. Some days may be very humid with mid/upper 70's dew's. Summer time fireworks!

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Nice, summery day today, but quite chilly tomorrow night with temps dropping into the 40s and most likely not getting outta the 60s for daytime highs for Tuesday.  :o Yikes!

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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A taste of humidity out here in the desert. Dew's up into the mid 50's and temps already into the mid 90's with a touch of haze! Signs of the Monsoon are showing up for the valley after the long 4th of July Holiday.

 

Meantime, models are trending warmer for the holiday weekend/week but still wet. Some days may be very humid with mid/upper 70's dew's. Summer time fireworks!

Tom - what's it looking like for N Wisco for the July 4th week?

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Tom - what's it looking like for N Wisco for the July 4th week?

Perfection...if you ask me...a little unsettled Fri or Sat but Sun-Tue look fine to me.  Might even get real warm for the 4th if the ridge powers in.

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It's only 59F and rain in Appleton, WI. Highs going to be in the mid 60's again Monday.

 

 

 

Appletonwiforecast2.PNG

What's crazy is it was warmer back in February on what would've been my last snowmobile trip (trails closed due to 65-70 degree temps) than it has been in June. They've been getting A TON of rain the last couple months too. Lakes are up 4-5 inches.

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Just another article showing the record winter the northern Rockies had last year. Roads in Yosemite Nat'l Park are still closed:https://www.nps.gov/yose/learn/news/tioga-road-in-yosemite-national-park-remains-closed.htm

Umm, last I checked, Yosemite's not in the Rockies

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Places up near the Arrowhead of MN and Northwoods of Wisco will prob not get out of the 50's on Saturday...#RefreshingCanadianAirmass

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2017062300/nam3km_T2m_ncus_48.png

Had a great weekend and while the winds were relentless, the map temps were off a bit. Was in South Haven yesterday and Saugatuck today both had temps of 65+. Really hard to do 59 under sunny conditions at peak sun angle season. The sun was warm today unless you were in a strong wind. My Mum in law says it's a horrid cold and wet June east of Moscow. Jacket weather only, nothing close to summer. If this carries into winter it's gonna be brutal! After the Super NINO, could we be seeing the pendulum swinging far in the opposite direction and feeling the Solar minimum taking over pattern dominance?

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Had a great weekend and while the winds were relentless, the map temps were off a bit. Was in South Haven yesterday and Saugatuck today both had temps of 65+. Really hard to do 59 under sunny conditions at peak sun angle season. The sun was warm today unless you were in a strong wind. My Mum in law says it's a horrid cold and wet June east of Moscow. Jacket weather only, nothing close to summer. If this carries into winter it's gonna be brutal! After the Super NINO, could we be seeing the pendulum swinging far in the opposite direction and feeling the Solar minimum taking over pattern dominance?

I can see evidence of solar min and/or qbo changing. In my opinion that's what it is at least.

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Looks like I finish out June below average. In fact, looks like July starts off cool to really cool and moist on GFS and runs all the way through the rest of the run with exception of 2 days at or above avg. I love it. Hoping I can see a similar pattern this winter.

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Happy Monday!  Did you have to close your window last night from the chill?  Sounds like most areas in the region got pretty chilly.  KC set a record low temp last night of 48F breaking the old record by 4 degrees.  That's chilly for that region!

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Happy Monday!  Did you have to close your window last night from the chill?  Sounds like most areas in the region got pretty chilly.  KC set a record low temp last night of 48F breaking the old record by 4 degrees.  That's chilly for that region!

 

They've been down to an inch or less open on the 1st floor the past (3) nights actually. A very comfy 51º this am in Marshall, no 40's here (yet).

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Early Autumn feel to the air! Ahh, must be nice.

 

Don't come home, wouldn't want ya to freeze!  :lol: 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Chilly indeed..this morning was a BRRR 49F. Ouch! Tonight's lows even colder with temps dropping between 40-45. Wow. Records likely to be broken in SEMI.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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KRMY scored a 46º low. Doubt that's a record for middle of the Mitt away from the lakes, but it was plenty chilly for official summer. Gorgeous day at the lakeshore in St. Joe though  :D 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Arctic temps responding to what has, and is, currently happening over the Pole the last couple days.  Very strong Summer Vortex spinning near the North Pole and forecast to track towards Greenland the next few days.

 

2 Day ago...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017062512/ecmwf_z500a_namer_1.png

 

1 Day ago...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017062612/ecmwf_z500a_namer_1.png

 

 

 

Arctic temps...

 

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2017.png

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Gorgeous day today. Sun & clouds with cool temps (in the low 70s) and no humidity at all. Cant get any better for this time of the year. :D

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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@ Tom

 

Arctic remain below normal for months and now really cold. Brrr Will winter mirror this?

 

On another topic, I have (5) 12 hr periods with likely T-storm beginning Wed night. Are any of your fave model maps showing decent qpf over SWMI?

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I had 46 degrees at 6am today. I didnt hear of any records being broken but i believe it was close. Perfect temps last few days. Tomorrow we start an active period of potential severe storms. This spring/early summer has been dynamic so far. I hope it holds thru fall/winter!

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A band of bubbly storms dropped a nice 0.85" of rain here early this morning.  I hope we can get something later.  There is some recovery going on, although there are still plenty of clouds around.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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latest HRRR nails my backyard hard, but a very fine cutoff line between Cedar Rapids and Iowa City.  

 

Yeah, recent runs of the HRRR are making me cringe, showing the line of big storms developing southeast of a Des Moines to Cedar Rapids line.  I've been concerned about this all week.  These convective events just love to trend south following previous night/morning activity.  I'm also not feeling optimistic about Thursday/night convection.  I'd much rather be along the IA-MO border.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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