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July 2017 Observations and Discussion

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#1
Tom

Posted 26 June 2017 - 01:17 PM

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As we approach the month, in which we celebrate of our countries birthday, Independence Day, let's discuss the trends and potential weather patterns that may be depicted during the month of July.  TBH, July is one of my favorite months for many reasons.  For one, I'm a pyro guy and love blowing off fireworks or watching them at the shows held across the country.

 

Having said that, Mother Nature may have her own set of Fireworks during the long holiday weekend between the 2nd - 4th in the central Plains/Midwest region.

 

Will we see our first Anticyclone develop post holiday???  Using the LRC, I think we stand a good chance at some darn good heat/humidity to blossom over much of the forum.

 

12z EPS starting to hone in on the developing heat wave Day 8-10...

 

ecmwf-ens_T850a_us_10.png

 

ecmwf-ens_T850a_us_11.png

 

 

 

 

How long will this heat last???  Will this month be a repeat of June???  Let's discuss....

 

 



#2
Niko

Posted 26 June 2017 - 03:15 PM

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I think July will not be as chilly as June was. We will see. I'm hoping not because after July, its all downhill from there. Average high and lows tend to drop, days getting shorter and etc.


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#3
Tom

Posted 26 June 2017 - 08:40 PM

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@Okwx, this is a loud signal to a major heat dome just beyond Day 10...

 

DDRktvUXgAABhEm.jpg



#4
OKwx2k4

Posted 27 June 2017 - 12:26 AM

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@Okwx, this is a loud signal to a major heat dome just beyond Day 10...

DDRktvUXgAABhEm.jpg


Yeah. I know. :-/. That escalated quickly.

I had another hernia surgery yesterday so I won't be working for at least the next 13-20 days. When I go back, maybe there will only be a difficult 4 weeks of summer left.

#5
Tom

Posted 27 June 2017 - 06:19 AM

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Yeah. I know. :-/. That escalated quickly.

I had another hernia surgery yesterday so I won't be working for at least the next 13-20 days. When I go back, maybe there will only be a difficult 4 weeks of summer left.

I hope you have a speedy recovery.  It's still 10 days out, but you never know with this summer pattern.  The ridge might end up being farther north across the high plains/GL's for a brief period.  Don't think it locks and holds like earlier in the month of June.

 

Btw, here are the temp/precip trends on the CFSv2...

 

summaryCFSv2.NaT2m.201707.gif

 

 

summaryCFSv2.NaPrec.201707.gif



#6
OKwx2k4

Posted 27 June 2017 - 07:13 AM

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I hope you have a speedy recovery. It's still 10 days out, but you never know with this summer pattern. The ridge might end up being farther north across the high plains/GL's for a brief period. Don't think it locks and holds like earlier in the month of June.

Btw, here are the temp/precip trends on the CFSv2...

summaryCFSv2.NaT2m.201707.gif


summaryCFSv2.NaPrec.201707.gif


Thanks for the well wishes buddy! It's odd for a man my age and of my health to have one hernia, let alone 2 in less than a year's time. I'm very sore today but I'll live.

I do forget that the models have been running warm in my region ever since the end of April. Maybe July comes out average to slightly below here with August close to normal as well. I think the latter half of August into most of September should be really cool this year but that's a long way off still. This is a July discussion. Lol.
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#7
bud2380

Posted 27 June 2017 - 07:34 AM

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I think July will not be as chilly as June was. We will see. I'm hoping not because after July, its all downhill from there. Average high and lows tend to drop, days getting shorter and etc.

June was a scorcher here in Eastern Iowa for a good chunk of the month.  It's only been the last week that it's been cool here.  We had multiple days into the 90s for highs. I'm hoping for closer to normal temps in the 80s for July.  


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#8
Tom

Posted 27 June 2017 - 08:29 AM

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Latest 12z GFS trends for the Lakes/Midwest region is the "cool" should "rule" with comfortable temps in the 70's for most, if not, all of the long holiday weekend.  Almost near picture perfect weather if you ask me, except for maybe hit or miss showers Sat/Sun.


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#9
Tom

Posted 27 June 2017 - 09:14 AM

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Here is the 00z EPS forecast for Hr 270 showing a lot of inconsistency where the ridge may develop beyond the holiday...if it does shift farther west, NW Flow will be the theme for a lot of members..."Ring of Fire" pattern???

 

 

 

DDUaVW-U0AA6iKB.jpg



#10
james1976

Posted 27 June 2017 - 09:46 AM

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If im reading that hr 270 model correctly it looks like its hinting at it being more west?? Yeah.....that would mean more NW flow around here. Count me in!

#11
Tom

Posted 27 June 2017 - 11:06 AM

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It doesn't happen often, but the Euro is trending towards the GFS in the 6-10 day range. A lot cooler now compare to what it was showing a couple days ago and could put a wrench into the 4th festivities.

#12
james1976

Posted 27 June 2017 - 11:11 AM

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It doesn't happen often, but the Euro is trending towards the GFS in the 6-10 day range. A lot cooler now compare to what it was showing a couple days ago and could put a wrench into the 4th festivities.

Im hoping for the cooler trend. Hope it stays dry for the 4th though!

#13
Tom

Posted 27 June 2017 - 11:53 AM

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NWS illustrating the possibility of Excessive Heat for some the weekend after the 4th...

 

DDWb1d8W0AAozUQ.jpg



#14
Tom

Posted 27 June 2017 - 12:17 PM

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12z EPS follows the trend and flips cooler from what it was showing a couple days ago...very interesting...something I really wasn't expecting but, nonetheless, it may be something to consider as we roll on through the summer pattern.



#15
Niko

Posted 27 June 2017 - 04:24 PM

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June was a scorcher here in Eastern Iowa for a good chunk of the month.  It's only been the last week that it's been cool here.  We had multiple days into the 90s for highs. I'm hoping for closer to normal temps in the 80s for July.  

A break is definitely needed there. Sounds like it has been way too hot in E. Iowa.



#16
james1976

Posted 27 June 2017 - 06:52 PM

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Local met on 6pm news tonight said low 90s for E IA next week. Sounds like he is going against the latest model runs. We shall see.



#17
BrianJK

Posted 28 June 2017 - 05:40 AM

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Local met on 6pm news tonight said low 90s for E IA next week. Sounds like he is going against the latest model runs. We shall see.


Skilling mentioned hottest temps of the summer next week. We already had 95, so looks like he's going against latest trends as well.

#18
Tom

Posted 28 June 2017 - 05:51 AM

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4th of July weekend looks like near perfection for Chitown.  Mostly Sunny skies, low dews and temps near 80F for pretty much the entire stretch Sat-Tue.  Maybe a pop up shower or storm here or there but def not a washout.


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#19
LNK_Weather

Posted 28 June 2017 - 06:45 AM

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Looks like wet and warm for NE following the 4th of July, with dews seriously struggling (and likely failing) to get out of the mid-60s most of the stretch, and getting well into the 70s quite a bit.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#20
Tom

Posted 28 June 2017 - 06:51 AM

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Looks like wet and warm for NE following the 4th of July, with dews seriously struggling (and likely failing) to get out of the mid-60s most of the stretch, and getting well into the 70s quite a bit.

With all the crops growing and vegetation pretty much in full bloom, I'm sure those dews will have no problem creeping up into the mid/upper 70's.  00z GFS showing some parts of E NE/W IA with dews approaching 80F...yuck!



#21
jaster220

Posted 28 June 2017 - 07:19 AM

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With all the crops growing and vegetation pretty much in full bloom, I'm sure those dews will have no problem creeping up into the mid/upper 70's.  00z GFS showing some parts of E NE/W IA with dews approaching 80F...yuck!

 

What's an 80 deg DP even feel like Tom??

 


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#22
LNK_Weather

Posted 28 June 2017 - 07:49 AM

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What's an 80 deg DP even feel like Tom??

 

attachicon.gif20170628 KRMY conditions.GIF

I'm curious as to what the 90* DP in Appleton, WI felt like in 1995.


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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#23
Tom

Posted 28 June 2017 - 08:56 AM

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What's an 80 deg DP even feel like Tom??

 

attachicon.gif20170628 KRMY conditions.GIF

LOL, right???  Your enjoying delightful weather conditions.  That is prime time weather when it's in the 70's and less than 50F dewpoints.  I remember last year, ORD temps were in the 90's and dewpoints at, or near 80F...the air was so thick you had difficulty working out...let alone breathe!


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#24
Niko

Posted 28 June 2017 - 02:24 PM

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I'm curious as to what the 90* DP in Appleton, WI felt like in 1995.

That is crazy. I cant even imagine how unbearable that must be.



#25
Tom

Posted 29 June 2017 - 06:25 AM

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The latest JMA weeklies still suggesting a wet/active central CONUS where it has been of late.  Ridges off both coasts would imply a cooler/near average temp pattern for the central region.

 

DDe_xEdUwAEYVAt.jpg



#26
jaster220

Posted 29 June 2017 - 06:38 AM

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The latest JMA weeklies still suggesting a wet/active central CONUS where it has been of late.  Ridges off both coasts would imply a cooler/near average temp pattern for the central region.

 

DDe_xEdUwAEYVAt.jpg

 

What's up with Hudson Bay? Looks like it's a giant jacuzzi hot tub :lol:


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#27
Tom

Posted 29 June 2017 - 06:46 AM

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What's up with Hudson Bay? Looks like it's a giant jacuzzi hot tub :lol:

Ya, that doesn't look right!  Not with this much Ice on it...

 

cursnow_usa.gif



#28
jaster220

Posted 29 June 2017 - 11:49 AM

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Ya, that doesn't look right!  Not with this much Ice on it...

 

cursnow_usa.gif

 

Wow. Ofc that map does not tell us if the ice is 20 ft thick just 20 mm thick, but that seems to me like a lot of coverage for end of June. Do you know if it's normal for ice to remain all summer up there? That's no doubt been aiding these below normal spells as air feeds down over that "ice cube"


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#29
Tom

Posted 29 June 2017 - 11:49 AM

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CPC advertising heavy rain threat over the holiday and just beyond...

 

hazards_d3_7_contours_home.png



#30
jaster220

Posted 29 June 2017 - 11:59 AM

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If we get some much welcomed showers tomorrow, all the better way to start a holiday weekend that looks to feature perfect temps!

 


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#31
Tom

Posted 29 June 2017 - 12:35 PM

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Wow. Ofc that map does not tell us if the ice is 20 ft thick just 20 mm thick, but that seems to me like a lot of coverage for end of June. Do you know if it's normal for ice to remain all summer up there? That's no doubt been aiding these below normal spells as air feeds down over that "ice cube"

Not sure about the Hudson Bay ice anomalies for this time of year.

 

Edit: I just did a quick search and this is what I found.  The 30-year running average of ice coverage for June 25th...

 

ar_ctmed0625.gif



#32
jaster220

Posted 29 June 2017 - 05:48 PM

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Not sure about the Hudson Bay ice anomalies for this time of year.
 
Edit: I just did a quick search and this is what I found.  The 30-year running average of ice coverage for June 25th...
 
ar_ctmed0625.gif


So it's normally more or less? Twicky map u found there bud!

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#33
Tom

Posted 30 June 2017 - 06:02 AM

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Here comes the Anticyclone...both GEFS/EPS are showing it in the 6-10 day range...Depending on how far west it stays, it should entail an active NW Flow regime. 

 

gfs-ens_z500aMean_us_6.png

 

 

 

DDkJmBzWsAAcA07.jpg



#34
Tom

Posted 30 June 2017 - 11:54 AM

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Besides the Earthquake swarm hitting Yellowstone...a torch is on the way over the next 2 weeks...

 

 

 

610temp.new.gif

 

814temp.new.gif



#35
Tom

Posted 30 June 2017 - 11:55 AM

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CPC's latest July outlook...

 

off15_temp.gif

 

 

off15_prcp.gif



#36
Tom

Posted 30 June 2017 - 11:57 AM

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Not sure if this is an atmospheric response to the lower SOI of late, but an El Nino signature showing up in the central PAC near Hawaii as a more active subtropical jet may be starting beyond Day 10.  This also will contribute to a more active Monsoon signal later next week in the desert SW.

 

 

gfs-ens_uv250_npac_41.png

 

 

 

gfs-ens_uv250_npac_53.png



#37
Tom

Posted 30 June 2017 - 01:24 PM

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Arctic temps back towards the Freezing Line...it may rebound a little over the next 5 days or so, but trends in the 6-10 are for the Arctic as a whole to cool down.

 

 

meanT_2017.png

 

12z EPS suggests by Day 8-10 sub normal temps to take over...a lot of subnormal temps in the northern latitudes...

 

 

ecmwf-ens_T850a_nhem_9.png

 

 

ecmwf-ens_T850a_nhem_11.png

 

 

 

If the CFSv2 is right, Greenland and others will be chilly during the month of July...

 

cfs-mon_01_T850a_nhem_1.png



#38
Niko

Posted 30 June 2017 - 02:01 PM

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Cant believe July is here already!


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#39
Tom

Posted 01 July 2017 - 06:09 AM

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I hope every will have a safe and enjoyable 4th of July weekend!  I'm heading out to the west coast and cool off by the beaches of San Diego, specifically, Carlsbad Village area.  Temps along the beaches are supposed to hover in the mid/upper 60's while just a few miles inland your in the mid 70's and they go up quick as you head farther inland.  Looking forward to seeing the ocean and some "eye candy".


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#40
Tom

Posted 01 July 2017 - 06:10 AM

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Here was last night's run of the CanSips model for the month of July...

 

cansips_T2ma_us_1.png

 

cansips_apcpna_month_us_1.png



#41
jaster220

Posted 01 July 2017 - 06:59 AM

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I hope every will have a safe and enjoyable 4th of July weekend!  I'm heading out to the west coast and cool off by the beaches of San Diego, specifically, Carlsbad Village area.  Temps along the beaches are supposed to hover in the mid/upper 60's while just a few miles inland your in the mid 70's and they go up quick as you head farther inland.  Looking forward to seeing the ocean and some "eye candy".

 

Happy Independence Day to you and all posting peeps! Enjoy those cooler temps Tom. Have you given up on IL for the summer??

 

@ Cansips for July - You're painting mby in green! :) x2


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#42
Tom

Posted 01 July 2017 - 08:55 AM

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Happy Independence Day to you and all posting peeps! Enjoy those cooler temps Tom. Have you given up on IL for the summer??

@ Cansips for July - You're painting mby in green! :) x2


Have not given up just yet! Just a little longer stay than usual. Lots of exciting things happening with work. I'll be back sometime this month. At least, that's the plan for now. Enjoy Pure Michigan!
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#43
LNK_Weather

Posted 01 July 2017 - 09:28 AM

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Hey I'm in the Carlsbad Village area right now coincidentally enough. Nice to not be in the 90*+ heat!


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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#44
Tom

Posted 01 July 2017 - 09:32 AM

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Hey I'm in the Carlsbad Village area right now coincidentally enough.

Sweet!  Do you have family out there or just visiting? 



#45
Niko

Posted 01 July 2017 - 02:10 PM

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I hope every will have a safe and enjoyable 4th of July weekend!  I'm heading out to the west coast and cool off by the beaches of San Diego, specifically, Carlsbad Village area.  Temps along the beaches are supposed to hover in the mid/upper 60's while just a few miles inland your in the mid 70's and they go up quick as you head farther inland.  Looking forward to seeing the ocean and some "eye candy".

Watch out for the Sharks. :lol: :P ;)


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#46
LNK_Weather

Posted 01 July 2017 - 02:46 PM

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Sweet!  Do you have family out there or just visiting? 

I've got family in Carlsbad. Always here for the 4th and Thanksgiving.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#47
Thunder98

Posted 02 July 2017 - 06:14 AM

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30 day precip totals for the Midwest.

mapjune.PNG


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#48
Tom

Posted 02 July 2017 - 07:26 AM

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I've got family in Carlsbad. Always here for the 4th and Thanksgiving.

Where are you heading for the Fireworks? Any recommendations? I read Oceanside has them on the 3rd and Carlsbad on the 4th.

On another note, it's so nice to have arrived last night and instantly feel the moisture and cooler air as we got across the mountain range. Too bad it's cloudy this morning but I'm not complaining either. 67F feels so d**n good. The locals nickname the clouds early in the day "June Gloom". We're in July...Let's go!
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#49
LNK_Weather

Posted 02 July 2017 - 07:42 AM

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Where are heading for the Fireworks? Any recommendations? I read Oceanside has them on the 3rd and Carlsbad on the 4th.

On another note, it's so nice to have arrived last night and instantly feel the moisture and cooler air as we got across the mountain range. Too bad it's cloudy this morning but I'm not complaining either. 67F feels so d**n good. The locals nickname the clouds early in they day "June Gloom". We're in July...Let's go!

Legoland's fireworks are always fun to watch. They're viewable from just about anywhere in Carlsbad.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#50
jaster220

Posted 03 July 2017 - 09:10 AM

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30 day precip totals for the Midwest.

mapjune.PNG

 

:blink: Sheesh @ central IL - even worse than SMI. Hope your July is an improvement


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."