August 2017 PNW Discussion Thread

[Phil]

It does not feel like a warm to very warm September coming... that is just intuition based on local history and not scientific in any way.

 

Although I have been wrong many times before using that method.

You'd know more about that than me. Personally I'd argue that June/July should have been cooler, but a combination of factors external to the region altered the pattern enough to change that outcome. I think 9/10 times, the outcome in such a boundary state would be cooler.

[TT-SEA]

Still dumping drizzle here... really nice to see right now.   

 

In a couple months this will be very annoying again.  

[VancouverIslandSouth]

A whooping 0.08" of rain here last night and we're back to all sun.

[Geos]

About 0.07" so far. A solid -RN at the moment. Nice damp day - I've missed these.

[TT-SEA]

Looking as traffic cams in central and eastern WA... a deep blue sky now in places like Moses Lake and a turbulent sky in Spokane and Couer d'Alene.    Looks so much cleaner than it did yesterday morning.  

[Geos]

Nice little convergence happening overhead.

 

[TT-SEA]

Deep blue sky in Bellingham this morning after thick smoke for so many days...

 

[TT-SEA]

Nice little convergence happening overhead.

 

http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/ATX/N0Q/ATX.N0Q.20170813.1803.gif

 

 

Pouring rain here right now... not sure how long it will last but its really coming down.

[Jesse]

Still overcast with light drizzle here. Although it looks like clearing may be moving in soon.

[ShawniganLake]

0.18" here last night. Sunny and windy currently

[DareDuck]

Just a light drizzle in Bend this morning. Much cooler though, only 68 and mostly cloudy right now. Air quality is only marginally better though as the Whycus Fire burns 20 miles NW of Bend.

[Front Ranger]

Thank god Tim brought back the clean Minnesota weather with him!

[Jesse]

That weird little cutoff low probably throws the Euro off beyond day 7.

[stuffradio]

I got .36 inches of rain.

[TT-SEA]

Thank god Tim brought back the clean Minnesota weather with him!

I did!

[Deweydog]

Beware the week from tomorrow morning low cloud shocker!

[Jesse]

Beware the week from tomorrow morning low cloud shocker!

 

Marine layer shouldn't be too much of an issue in Madras.

 

The only thing that could mess things up over there would be a region wide system. Kind of like this morning, when they had overcast skies over there for awhile. Models have been waffling on any sort of setup like that next Monday.

[Geos]

0.13" of rain here. Been staying mainly cloudy here. 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

I did!

 

You may have a shot at a sub-70F day down that way, there seem to be a large area of cloudiness lingering to the south of here.

[GHweatherChris]

I am in Dallas, TX through Friday for training, it's a bit hot and moist out there, missed the big thunderstorms and flooding by a day.

[Jesse]

Nice day.

[TT-SEA]

You may have a shot at a sub-70F day down that way, there seem to be a large area of cloudiness lingering to the south of here.

Enough sun here for a high of 71.

 

Everything looks fresh and clean again.

 

[Phil]

Temperatures above 80N have officially dropped below freezing for the first time, in the descent into cold season 2017/18.

 

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2017.png

[ShawniganLake]

74F with a nice fresh breeze this afternoon.

[ShawniganLake]

I wonder if that's the last of the smoke we will see for this season. 4 of the top 7 largest fires ever recorded in BC are currently burning. Good news is most of the fires received rain today.

[TT-SEA]

FWIW... the 00Z ECMWF shows mostly sunny skies across the region on the morning of 8/21:

 

[Jesse]

Down to 49 here this morning. Feels great after the long stretch of heat.

[Front Ranger]

Almost halfway through the month, here's where anomalies sit. It would take a very cool second half of the month to get August near normal most places.

 

BLI: +3.3

SEA: +6.0

OLM: +5.2

PDX: +6.2

SLE: +8.0

EUG: +5.3

[DareDuck]

Down to 49 here this morning. Feels great after the long stretch of heat.

Yea chilliest morning in quite some time. 43 here in Bend, 42 RDM, and down to 34 in La Pine.

[Timmy]

Yea chilliest morning in quite some time. 43 here in Bend, 42 RDM, and down to 34 in La Pine.

Surprised it got down to 45 here

[stuffradio]

It dropped to 52 overnight here.

[Front Ranger]

Pretty progressive pattern on the Euro.

[Jesse]

Pretty progressive pattern on the Euro.

Certainly cool overall. *Could* be enough to avoid a top warm month!

[Front Ranger]

Certainly cool overall. *Could* be enough to avoid a top warm month!

 

Probably! At least not record warm...getting out of top 5 might require some more serious troughing.

[Jbolin]

FWIW... the 00Z ECMWF shows mostly sunny skies across the region on the morning of 8/21:

 

Better hope the 12z doesn't pan out

[Jesse]

PDX on track to put up a -6 to -8 anomaly today. Not too shabby.

[Deweydog]

PDX on track to put up a -6 to -8 anomaly today. Not too shabby.

#augustxbox

[Jesse]

#augustxbox

The fact that we'd need about a week or more of this to even get close to average kind of speaks against that.

[Deweydog]

The fact that we'd need about a week or more of this to even get close to average kind of speaks against that.

#takewhatyoucanget

[Jesse]

#takewhatyoucanget

#wrongforecastwaswrong