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Discussion for the Winter of 2017-18

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#1401
Niko

Posted 29 January 2018 - 01:07 PM

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There were so many 10 inch plus storms over NYC, Long Island, and southern Connecticut the last 15 years...I lost count.  Way more than the historical average.

Tell me about it...same here. Hard to keep up.


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#1402
Grizzcoat

Posted 31 January 2018 - 12:02 AM

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Over a 100 days now without measurable precipitation in Amarillo,TX. Last measurable was OCT 13 at .01. 

 

​THAT WOULD SUCK. 


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#1403
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 31 January 2018 - 10:30 PM

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I am so tired of this winter and its antics its playing on us with the near misses everywhere. So over and honestly would rather winter end early this year.


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For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#1404
snowstorm83

Posted 01 February 2018 - 08:48 PM

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Just saw that Gaylord, MI had their least snowiest January on record with only 10.1". Must be nice to live in a place where 10" is a record snowless month LOL


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#1405
LNK_Weather

Posted 01 February 2018 - 09:24 PM

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I'm excited for us to have a snowy af March lol. Those always suck cuz nothing ever sticks around for more than two days. Then around middle of March is when climo begins to favor rain again. Snow is possible after that obviously, but snow in late March-April here is similar in meaning to snow in October. Except it's less of a bonus, it's just a "get this the **** out of here, give me tornadoes" type of deal.
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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 15.5"


#1406
jaster220

Posted 02 February 2018 - 06:20 AM

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Just saw that Gaylord, MI had their least snowiest January on record with only 10.1". Must be nice to live in a place where 10" is a record snowless month LOL

 

Things are severely wacked whenever Marshall beats Gaylord like I did this January. Nov 2011 was the last time I can remember beating them, and you know what that led to.. :wacko:


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 58.4"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#1407
Niko

Posted 08 February 2018 - 08:04 AM

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This Winter is already shaping up to be above normal snowfall levels and we still have some more Winter left. By the time its all set and done, there will be some impressive numbers to look at.


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#1408
jaster220

Posted 08 February 2018 - 08:17 AM

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^^^ especially for Detroit  ;)   But I'm not doing too bad, only 2.8" from my seasonal avg.


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 58.4"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#1409
Niko

Posted 08 February 2018 - 08:19 AM

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^^^ especially for Detroit  ;)   But I'm not doing too bad, only 2.8" from my seasonal avg.

Yup.....I would not be surprise to end up w a seasonal snowfall somewhere in the 60s or even 70s level range. Heck, I might even surpass your area, if you can believe that, probably not, but, maybe, just maybe. :unsure: :o



#1410
Tabitha

Posted 11 February 2018 - 08:29 AM

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After 2 1/2 months of non-winter here; I finally see a definitive pattern change setting in for the Black Hills; especially after Day 6.

 

A careful examination of the all-important 500 mb chart indicates that a significant trough should begin to become established east of the Mountains.

 

Finally, these penny-ante surface features will have some support aloft.

 

There should be two light to moderate snow events here; late tonight through Monday; then a second one on Thursday.

 

Then the pattern becomes even more active; and I believe that it should lock in right through the end of February.

 

As far as snow amounts; that is always a tough call.  But at this moment; I think an additional 10 - 20 inches at lower elevations and 20 - 40 inches at higher elevations from today (2/11/18) through the last day of the month seems likely.


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#1411
OKwx2k4

Posted 11 February 2018 - 05:39 PM

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After 2 1/2 months of non-winter here; I finally see a definitive pattern change setting in for the Black Hills; especially after Day 6.

A careful examination of the all-important 500 mb chart indicates that a significant trough should begin to become established east of the Mountains.

Finally, these penny-ante surface features will have some support aloft.

There should be two light to moderate snow events here; late tonight through Monday; then a second one on Thursday.

Then the pattern becomes even more active; and I believe that it should lock in right through the end of February.

As far as snow amounts; that is always a tough call. But at this moment; I think an additional 10 - 20 inches at lower elevations and 20 - 40 inches at higher elevations from today (2/11/18) through the last day of the month seems likely.


Glad to see things turning a corner up there. Maybe it can here too.
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#1412
Niko

Posted 11 February 2018 - 06:33 PM

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March enters in cold, but a sudden warm-up by Spring and the warmth remains after that w small bouts of coolish air for April.



#1413
jaster220

Posted 13 February 2018 - 09:30 AM

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March enters in cold, but a sudden warm-up by Spring and the warmth remains after that w small bouts of coolish air for April.

 

Says who?  :unsure:


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 58.4"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#1414
jaster220

Posted 13 February 2018 - 09:44 AM

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BC5NW has been the official recording site for Battle Creek since they moved it from the airport circa 1970. They've now hit 75" of snowfall for the season! They always score more LES than I do in Marshall, but sometimes I question their measuring? The SMI forum Mod lives not far from there, and he's only at 64", which is still 6" ahead of me, but more in line with the typical spread. 

 

This winter has featured some unfortunate "torch-offs" of good snow pack, but when it's been cold it has also been snowy. I've had a total (45) days at or below freezing in Marshall and recorded measurable snowfall on nearly 70% of those days! As a matter of fact, now that we finally got hit with some moist S Stream systems, the two poorly timed melt-offs are the only glaring negative remaining for me personally. No way to erase those, but the deep snow we've built up this past week has eased the sting of those events and elevated the grade substantially


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 58.4"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#1415
Niko

Posted 14 February 2018 - 04:18 PM

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Says who?  :unsure:

My gut feeling..... :lol: Hope it pans out.

 

Btw: went to Boston on a important business trip for a day (came back earlier this afternoon) and gotta say its one heck of a clean city. No snow at all there...bare ground and much warmer temps. It was my second time going there. NYC is next! ;) :D


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#1416
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 14 February 2018 - 06:05 PM

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Wow lol

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#1417
gabel23

Posted 15 February 2018 - 09:36 AM

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I think March is going to be an epic month with huge temp swings and massive storms. I'm calling for a massive blizzard with tornadoes all within either the same state or neighboring states!!! Winter is not over by any means and CPC is thinking the same for next month! 

Attached Files


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