Jump to content

Welcome to our forums!

Sign In or Register to gain full access to our forums. By registering with us, you'll be able to discuss, share and private message with other members of our community.

Welcome!

Thanks for stopping by the Weather Forums! Please take the time to register and join our community. Feel free to post or start new topics on anything related to the weather or the climate.


Photo

September 2017 PNW Discussion Thread

- - - - -

  • Please log in to reply

#101
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 12:32 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

8/31/1987 says we can still hit 102 at this time of year without surface offshore flow...then again, we're running 5 degrees behind 8/31/1987 today. 



#102
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 12:54 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

Smoke has moved into Eugene.

 

Big time.  

 

Our friend Andrew Mork posted this on facebook from Eugene...

 

21273512_10101339659413983_6190988168761

 

Severe clear here... no hint of any haze.    But we could see the very top of the smoke plume near Ellensburg coming back from Issaquah on I-90 just now.

 

nb9-2.png



#103
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 01:12 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

92 at HIO and KLS. Both might hit 100 today.



#104
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 02:07 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

Interestingly, this afternoon's sounding over SLE already showed 24.8C and 595dm heights overhead. Both were higher than modeled for today. Maybe tomorrow will continue the trend...won't take much of a tweak upward to push us into the 98 degree range. Even today, MMV hit 97 and HIO 96.

 

PDX definitely acting like it wants to reach 98...93 @ 3:00 puts us +6 on yesterday, and -4 on 8/31/1987. 



#105
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 02:49 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

Wow, 114 at Paso Robles Airport right now. Sitting within 1F of the all-time record. 

 

http://www.wrh.noaa....aw=0&banner=off



#106
Geos

Posted 02 September 2017 - 03:00 PM

Geos

    Special Contributor

  • Mods
  • 7619 posts
  • LocationKirkland/Kenmore line

The 06Z GFS brings Erma into the most populated area of the country...

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_us_33.png

 

d**n.... Sandy all over again...?


  • WeatherArchive likes this

Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 24.30", 07/15

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 3/23

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#107
Geos

Posted 02 September 2017 - 03:04 PM

Geos

    Special Contributor

  • Mods
  • 7619 posts
  • LocationKirkland/Kenmore line

Hit 90 here. 

You can the smoke/haze in the air in Thorp.

 

current.jpg

 

Update on Jolly Mt. Fire.

 

http://www.yakimaher...d1ebacbc8d.html


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 24.30", 07/15

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 3/23

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#108
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 03:09 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

92 at HIO and KLS. Both might hit 100 today.

 

Well, I was right about one of them.  :lol:

 

http://www.wrh.noaa....aw=0&banner=off



#109
WeatherArchive

Posted 02 September 2017 - 03:14 PM

WeatherArchive

    Forum Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 312 posts
  • LocationStayton

d**n.... Sandy all over again...?

That would be insane!  NYC is not prepared for hurricanes like Florida is.  It's like NYC having a tornado which you won't find a tornado shelter there.

 

  It's been nice here in the mornings.  The temps struggled to get much below 70F until about 2am then tumbled to 54F like a cold front came thru.   It was a bit on the nippy side.  



#110
Phil

Posted 02 September 2017 - 03:17 PM

Phil

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 19847 posts
  • LocationCabin John, MD.

That would be insane! It's been nice in the mornings. The temps struggled to get much below 70F until about 2am then tumbled to 54F like a cold front came thru. It was a bit on the nippy side.


This is so stressful for me. I don't know whether to prepare for 100mph winds or sunny skies. :lol:
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#111
Geos

Posted 02 September 2017 - 03:19 PM

Geos

    Special Contributor

  • Mods
  • 7619 posts
  • LocationKirkland/Kenmore line

That would be insane!  NYC is not prepared for hurricanes like Florida is.  It's like NYC having a tornado which you won't find a tornado shelter there.

 

  It's been nice here in the mornings.  The temps struggled to get much below 70F until about 2am then tumbled to 54F like a cold front came thru.   It was a bit on the nippy side.  

 

Yeah the big issue there is high winds and all those windows in the buildings falling down to the ground. That would be insane if that solution pans out.


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 24.30", 07/15

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 3/23

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#112
Phil

Posted 02 September 2017 - 03:40 PM

Phil

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 19847 posts
  • LocationCabin John, MD.
OMG..the 18z HWRF takes Irma to 225mph at 874mb. This model nailed Harvey, FWIW, but color me skeptical of this particular solution.

If it verifies, though, it'd would be the strongest storm observed in the satellite era to this point.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#113
Deweydog

Posted 02 September 2017 - 03:54 PM

Deweydog

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 16126 posts
  • LocationHockinson, WA

OMG..the 18z HWRF takes Irma to 225mph at 874mb. This model nailed Harvey, FWIW, but color me skeptical of this particular solution.

If it verifies, though, it'd would be the strongest storm observed in the satellite era to this point.


Al Gore warned us. Twice now.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#114
snow_wizard

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:12 PM

snow_wizard

    The Snow Wizard

  • Mods
  • 13673 posts
  • LocationCovington, WA

Looks like it's time to start posting on here again.  Looks like we might threaten the hottest temps ever recorded in the month of September early next week and then a major cool down to normal or even below by next weekend.  The ECMWF has a decent sized area of 0 to +4 850s over Western WA at day 8 or so.  Nice to see the models have reverted to cool ENSO for this winter.

 

In other news Irma sure looks ominous for the East Coast.


  • Phil, Jesse, Mapsyscon and 2 others like this

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2017-18 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.7"

Coldest Low = 19

Lows 32 or below = 51

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 21

 

 


#115
Phil

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:18 PM

Phil

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 19847 posts
  • LocationCabin John, MD.

Looks like it's time to start posting on here again. Looks like we might threaten the hottest temps ever recorded in the month of September early next week and then a major cool down to normal or even below by next weekend. The ECMWF has a decent sized area of 0 to +4 850s over Western WA at day 8 or so. Nice to see the models have reverted to cool ENSO for this winter.

In other news Irma sure looks ominous for the East Coast.


Jim!!!!
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#116
snow_wizard

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:27 PM

snow_wizard

    The Snow Wizard

  • Mods
  • 13673 posts
  • LocationCovington, WA

Jim!!!!

 

I can hardly believe I was away for so long.  I've been super busy and have gotten bogged down in politics a bit too much.  Weather trumps all as we get into fall and winter though!


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2017-18 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.7"

Coldest Low = 19

Lows 32 or below = 51

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 21

 

 


#117
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:42 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

I can hardly believe I was away for so long.  I've been super busy and have gotten bogged down in politics a bit too much.  Weather trumps all as we get into fall and winter though!

 

Bogged down in politics?    You mean watching TV and InfoWars with the batshit crazy Alex Jones?     :lol:

 

It was a goldilocks summer up here... except for the first part of August.   July was absolute perfection from start to finish.  


  • TT-SEA likes this

#118
Kayla

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:44 PM

Kayla

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 2436 posts
  • LocationBozeman, MT

Where are you seeing those numbers? I'm seeing 27.4 with an extracted maximum of 103 on Tuesday. 

 

WxBell images. Can't access the 12z meteogram now but the 18z is still just as crazy. Surprisingly it verified on the low side today.

 

Attached File  Screen Shot 2017-09-02 at 6.41.51 PM.png   99.36KB   0 downloads


Cold season 2017/18:

Total snowfall: 222.0"
Largest snowfall: 16.6"
Coldest high: 2ºF
Coldest low: -15ºF

Sub-zero days: 13

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#119
Deweydog

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:45 PM

Deweydog

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 16126 posts
  • LocationHockinson, WA

Bogged down in politics? You mean watching TV and InfoWars with the batshit crazy Alex Jones? :lol:

It was a goldilocks summer up here... except for the first part of August. July was absolute perfection from start to finish.


And heeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeere we go...
  • BLI snowman and crf450ish like this

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#120
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:49 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

And heeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeere we go...


Yeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeees

Actually he brought up politics. :)

#121
luminen

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:52 PM

luminen

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 732 posts
  • LocationNorth Vancouver, BC

Hiked up Grouse Mountain today and I'm glad it wasn't any hotter than it was. The air was noticeably drier up there. Definitely gonna visit a few times this winter. :)

 

20170902_134159.jpg20170902_153213.jpg


  • Mapsyscon, happ and crf450ish like this

#122
Deweydog

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:52 PM

Deweydog

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 16126 posts
  • LocationHockinson, WA

Yeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeees

Actually he brought up politics. :)


Well if he checks it out he'll find it's like time stood still.

#onenotetune

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#123
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:53 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

Hiked up Grouse Mountain today and I'm glad it wasn't any hotter than it was. The air was noticeably drier up there. Definitely gonna visit a few times this winter. :)

20170902_134159.jpg20170902_153213.jpg


Good visibility.

I assume that bear was caged?

#124
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:55 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

Well if he checks it out he'll find it's like time stood still.

#onenotetune

So we should make stuff up to change the topic?

In many ways... time has stood still on this forum for almost 13 years. :)

#125
luminen

Posted 02 September 2017 - 04:57 PM

luminen

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 732 posts
  • LocationNorth Vancouver, BC

Good visibility.

I assume that bear was caged?

 

An electric fence cage yes. There were two in there.



#126
Deweydog

Posted 02 September 2017 - 05:02 PM

Deweydog

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 16126 posts
  • LocationHockinson, WA

So we should make stuff up to change the topic?

In many ways... time has stood still on this forum for almost 13 years. :)


Pretty much everyone wants it to rain right now. Pretty much no one did when he left.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#127
snow_wizard

Posted 02 September 2017 - 05:54 PM

snow_wizard

    The Snow Wizard

  • Mods
  • 13673 posts
  • LocationCovington, WA

Bogged down in politics?    You mean watching TV and InfoWars with the batshit crazy Alex Jones?     :lol:

 

It was a goldilocks summer up here... except for the first part of August.   July was absolute perfection from start to finish.  

 

Alex Jones has some really good sources though.

 

I agree about this summer.  Pretty darn nice.  A bit too dry, but I really like dry weather in the summer.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2017-18 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.7"

Coldest Low = 19

Lows 32 or below = 51

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 21

 

 


#128
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 06:11 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

Alex Jones has some really good sources though.

 

I agree about this summer.  Pretty darn nice.  A bit too dry, but I really like dry weather in the summer.

 

The guy is full of sh*t.

 

Welcome back!


  • tenochtitlan likes this

#129
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 06:13 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

WxBell images. Can't access the 12z meteogram now but the 18z is still just as crazy. Surprisingly it verified on the low side today.

 

attachicon.gifScreen Shot 2017-09-02 at 6.41.51 PM.png

 

Looks unrealistic, to say the least.

 

This GFS numerical output looks more in line with reality:

 

http://68.226.77.253...FS/GFS_KPDX.txt

 

103 is plausible with surface east winds and 27.4C up above.



#130
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 06:21 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

26.2C verified this afternoon over SLE with 595dm heights. Top tier ridge.

 

Enough to give us 97 on 9/2 despite steady NW winds during peak heating hours. I would need to double check, but I think this is the first time we've pulled off that particular feat in September.



#131
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 06:40 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

Alex Jones has some really good sources though.

I agree about this summer. Pretty darn nice. A bit too dry, but I really like dry weather in the summer.



Alex Jones is an act... and Trump actually believe his crap. Sandy Hook never happened right? Tell that to all those parents of kindergartners and first graders who were gunned down in school. I can't imagine. Alex Jones actually does not believe his own BS. But its scary that some people do.

I was thinking you were enjoying this summer given that you love dry weather in the warm season. One more significant rain event would have been nice. If not for the smoky/hot period during the first part of August... I would say its been pretty much perfect since the middle of May. A reward for our hellish spring. :)

I am liking our chances overall this winter with at least a weak Nina in place.

#132
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 06:52 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

Alex Jones is an act... and Trump actually believe his crap. Sandy Hook never happened right? Tell that to all those parents of kindergartners and first graders who were gunned down in school. I can't imagine. Alex Jones actually does not believe his own BS. But its scary that some people do.

I was thinking you were enjoying this summer given that you love dry weather in the warm season. One more significant rain event would have been nice. If not for the smoky/hot period during the first part of August... I would say its been pretty much perfect since the middle of May. A reward for our hellish spring. :)

I am liking our chances overall this winter with at least a weak Nina in place.

 

He also made a big deal about the Jade Helm military exercise a couple years ago. Riled up a bunch of Texans into thinking that Obama was planning an invasion of Texas to take their guns away.

 

He's good at what he does. He feed people all the B.S. they want to hear and makes good $$ doing it.



#133
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 06:55 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

Apparently the fire on Eagle Creek trail has really blown up. A friend of mine just sent me pictures from Bonneville Dam. Big smoke plume pretty close to I-84.



#134
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 06:56 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

http://www.kgw.com/n...gorge/470354816

 

It's apparently a new fire that began burning near the trail.



#135
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 06:56 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

Apparently the fire on Eagle Creek trail has really blown up. A friend of mine just sent me pictures from Bonneville Dam. Big smoke plume pretty close to I-84.

 

I saw that on the visible satellite loop.



#136
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 07:06 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

I saw that on the visible satellite loop.

 

Just got this pic sent to me -

Attached Files



#137
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 07:14 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

26.2C verified this afternoon over SLE with 595dm heights. Top tier ridge.

 

Enough to give us 97 on 9/2 despite steady NW winds during peak heating hours. I would need to double check, but I think this is the first time we've pulled off that particular feat in September.

 

Well, apparently PDX hit 98 earlier. Daily climate report shows a maximum of 98 occurred at 4:09 pm - weird that it didn't show up on the 4:53 ASOS update.

 

Regardless...98 degrees on a NW wind in September. Epic.



#138
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 07:15 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

65 today in DC.

 

Guess the sauna is turned off now for the next 9 - 10 months?



#139
High Desert Mat!

Posted 02 September 2017 - 07:17 PM

High Desert Mat!

    Forum Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 175 posts
Nice Fire. Campfire smell is nostalgic.

#140
High Desert Mat!

Posted 02 September 2017 - 07:19 PM

High Desert Mat!

    Forum Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 175 posts
It's funny how some people say that we couldn't deal with humidity, it's all relative and adaptable.

#141
wx_statman

Posted 02 September 2017 - 07:21 PM

wx_statman

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4484 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

Another pic -

Attached Files


  • tenochtitlan likes this

#142
Phil

Posted 02 September 2017 - 07:38 PM

Phil

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 19847 posts
  • LocationCabin John, MD.

65 today in DC.

Guess the sauna is turned off now for the next 9 - 10 months?


Yeah, until winter, lol. The high of 61*F @ IAD today was the coldest this late in the season since 1972, right after hurricane Agnes. So this is pretty unusual for us. Since I returned home I think I've seen the sun twice.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#143
Phil

Posted 02 September 2017 - 07:44 PM

Phil

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 19847 posts
  • LocationCabin John, MD.

It's funny how some people say that we couldn't deal with humidity, it's all relative and adaptable.


I'd love it if Seattle experienced a solid week with dewpoints in the upper 70s/low 80s, just to see the out-of-control reactions on this forum from Andrew, Jesse, and Jim.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#144
James Jones

Posted 02 September 2017 - 07:44 PM

James Jones

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 522 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

http://weather.cod.e...rthwest-02-48-0

 

That is a ridiculous amount of smoke floating around. 



#145
High Desert Mat!

Posted 02 September 2017 - 08:01 PM

High Desert Mat!

    Forum Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 175 posts

I'd love it if Seattle experienced a solid week with dewpoints in the upper 70s/low 80s, just to see the out-of-control reactions on this forum from Andrew, Jesse, and Jim.


You're the best!!

#146
Jesse

Posted 02 September 2017 - 08:15 PM

Jesse

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 23435 posts
  • LocationEast Vancouver, WA (300')

I'd love it if Seattle experienced a solid week with dewpoints in the upper 70s/low 80s, just to see the out-of-control reactions on this forum from Andrew, Jesse, and Jim.


I don't live in Seattle.
  • Phil likes this

#147
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 08:25 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

Solid front next Sunday on the 00Z GFS and a bad situation of the coast of South Carolina.

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_us_32.png



#148
stuffradio

Posted 02 September 2017 - 08:28 PM

stuffradio

    Advanced Member

  • Mods
  • 3034 posts
  • LocationMaple Ridge, BC

It's okay, we probably won't live through another torchy summer anyways with uncle Kim Jong Un at the helm of North Korea, at least we won't be able to post about it on the internet anyways. He just caused a mag 6.3 "explosion" in North Korea according to the USGS.



#149
Kayla

Posted 02 September 2017 - 08:37 PM

Kayla

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 2436 posts
  • LocationBozeman, MT

Looks unrealistic, to say the least.

 

This GFS numerical output looks more in line with reality:

 

http://68.226.77.253...FS/GFS_KPDX.txt

 

103 is plausible with surface east winds and 27.4C up above.

 

Oh yeah no doubt. 103-104 seems likely to me as well.

 

I think the difference between the above link and WxBells data is that the above one is just a temp grab at exactly 00z or 5pm local. While the WxBell site shows the maximum temp over the past 6 hour period. In other words, the WxBell graphic is picking up on a higher temp at say 4pm rather than 5pm where we are now quickly losing solar radiation after 4pm compared to earlier in the season.


Cold season 2017/18:

Total snowfall: 222.0"
Largest snowfall: 16.6"
Coldest high: 2ºF
Coldest low: -15ºF

Sub-zero days: 13

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#150
TT-SEA

Posted 02 September 2017 - 08:39 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 31884 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

Winter has arrived before day 10 now... that should end this fire situation.  

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_39.png


  • Geos and Kayla like this