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March in the Pacific Northwest


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Nice day here too. 
 
Even warmer of course. Got up into the upper 60s. 
 
 A short break from the darker and wetter side of late winter / earlier spring in the PNW. ? .. And certainly here further south potentially. .. Or the beginning of a long line of days with steadily increasing, warmer temperatures. ?
 
Sorry fellas. With the level of drought potential still hanging over us here more south—and even with its having been made lesser over the past 2 or 3 weeks, ...
 
Gotta hope for a "Later" Spring, with only some breaks more sun-shiney and nice: both here, and there. ... myself.

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Looks like it will finally frost here tonight. It's been pretty slim pickins for cold low temps over the past month.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Looks like it will finally frost here tonight. It's been pretty slim pickins for cold low temps over the past month.

 

 

44 here with dewpoint of 39... doubt it gets to freezing at my house.  

 

Side note... the models are all over the place for the weekend and next week.    Crazy differences in all the models and with each run.    Impossible to follow and its only 3-4 days away.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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It was 30 this morning here.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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It looks like this weekend's clipper has really been deballed. The stuff after that looks good on the 0z, but who knows if it will hold up on future runs.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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It looks like this weekend's clipper has really been deballed. The stuff after that looks good on the 0z, but who knows if it will hold up on future runs.

 

 

Not on the 12Z ECMWF or even the 00Z Canadian.   Still looks sharp.

 

I have a feeling the GFS is out to lunch... but its a complicated set-up so any one of them could be right.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Drove through Carnation earlier today... took this picture of the flooding.   This is normally a farm field.    Pretty standard stuff down there for a flood event though.  Mostly just fields at this point.

 

http://s18.postimg.org/xl70axrqx/IMG_20140311_171530.jpg

Actually looks like a swimming area and a resort over there...

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00z Euro is still showing a fairly cold clipper for next Monday. The GFS ensembles still seem to be leaning in that direction too.

 

Yesterday and today are amazing, but I would like to see a little more out of this month than warm rain and ridging (although granted there was snow at my location the first weekend).

 

Mark Nelsen did a blog post last night about the lack of snow below 4,000. And even the high elevations are still a little below average. A certain person on here likes to keep repeating "the mountains are good" but some March snow could really help their situation going into the TRUE melt season (April).

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00z Euro is still showing a fairly cold clipper for next Monday. The GFS ensembles still seem to be leaning in that direction too.

 

Yesterday and today are amazing, but I would like to see a little more out of this month than warm rain and ridging (although granted there was snow at my location the first weekend).

 

Mark Nelsen did a blog post last night about the lack of snow below 4,000. And even the high elevations are still a little below average. A certain person on here likes to keep repeating "the mountains are good" but some March snow could really help their situation going into the TRUE melt season (April).

 

I'm with you,  it would be nice to see some more decent mountain snows for the last half of March as we head into Spring.

 

Most places above 3K have snow on the ground in WA. Washington State snow pack is fairly solid with most places right around normal. Even though the lowlands of OR had a better winter. The higher elevations are not doing as great as WA.

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Got down to 32 at my place this morning. Currently 34 here at work in NE Salem. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Looks like the 12Z GFS is finally coming around to what the ECMWF has been showing.

 

 

Scratch that... its still looks to be sending too much energy into the trough offshore.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Slight offshore component out here today... sunny and 62 right now.    

 

Amazing day.

 

Weekend looks like a mess on the 12Z ECMWF starting Friday.    We will be gone though... skiing in Idaho until Tuesday.   :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12z Euro ensembles seem to really buy into the idea of a solidly troughy period next week.

 

Much troughier than the operational.

 

 

ECMWF ensemble mean just looks predictably smoother with the details.    Even the 12Z ECMWF operational says we are basically in a troughy pattern for next week... this time the base of the trough will be in CA which gives us more enjoyable troughy-type weather.

 

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!216!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2014031212!!chart.gif

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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ECMWF ensemble mean just looks predictably smoother with the details.    Even the 12Z ECMWF operational says we are basically in a troughy pattern for next week... this time the base of the trough will be in CA which gives us more enjoyable troughy-type weather.

 

Meh. 12Z EURO basically shows a ridge over us next Wednesday. The ensemble mean shows us solidly under a trough. There is a marked difference, and I would tend to side with the EURO ensemble, especially since it's in sync with the GFS and GFS ensembles.

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Meh. 12Z EURO basically shows a ridge over us next Wednesday. The ensemble mean shows us solidly under a trough. There is a marked difference, and I would tend to side with the EURO ensemble, especially since it's in sync with the GFS and GFS ensembles.

 

 

I see what you are saying for Wednesday.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I stuck my head in the oven.  Hot.  

 

 

Just a nice feeling being outside barefoot and having it feel warm to even a little hot on your feet for the first time since last year.    A small seasonal joy in life I guess.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The GFS and NAM have been showing most of the weekend being dry for WA... the ECMWF has been showing rain most of the weekend for WA.

 

Neither one is blinking.     

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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18Z is a pretty cold run. Good ensemble support too.

Yeah...The ensemble mean goes below -5 at one point.

 

I just hope we are pretty much done with the warm and wet regime. That is my absolute least favorite this time of year. Any time of year for that matter.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Pinned the thread since nobody else had done it. I've been in PDX since Friday. Enjoyed the heavy rain a few days ago. Also enjoyed a really pleasant day today! Wall to wall sunshine.

Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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