wx_statman Posted September 17, 2017 Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 Numerous monthly record highs were set east of the Rockies in both the US and Canada during February 2017. In this post, I'm going to run things down from the perspective of state-wide monthly records. It's a bit of a macro approach but I think it highlights the incredible nature of this series of winter heat waves. I've only included states that came within 3F (or less) of the possible state record high for February. In total, 7 different states *possibly* set or tied new record maximums for February. Monthly records are not official. Data pulled from Infoplease tables (https://www.infoplease.com/science-health/weather/monthly-state-maximum-and-minimum-temperature-extremes) which haven't been updated since 2004 and contain numerous old, unreliable readings from COOP stations. Format:-State-February 2017 maximum-Given monthly record in Infoplease tables-Possible new records/ties are bolded Colorado87 on 2/11 @ Cheraw90 in 1904 @ Blaine Connecticut75 on 2/25 @ Burlington77 in 1954 @ Danbury Florida93 on 2/19 @ Royal Palm RS94 in 1962 @ Avon Park Georgia91 on 2/14 @ Chickamauga90 in 1918 @ Glennville Iowa79 on 2/22 @ Ottumwa82 in 1972 @ Sidney Kansas90 on 2/11 @ 4 different stations92 in 1981 @ Aetna Massachusetts76 on 2/25 @ Reading76 in 1985 @ Chester Michigan70 on 2/24 & 2/25 @ 7 different stations72 in 1999 @ Battle Creek Minnesota70 on 2/19 @ Minneapolis - Crystal Airport73 in 1896 @ Pleasant Mounds Nebraska83 on 2/22 @ Beaver City85 in 1891 @ "Uknown" New Hampshire73 on 2/25 @ Nashua72 in 1997 @ Greenland New Jersey77 on 2/25 @ Freehold-Marlboro & New Brunswick80 in 1930 @ Pleasantville New York77 on 2/25 @ Dansville78 in 1985 @ Millbrook Ohio80 on 2/25 @ Newport81 in 1930 @ Middleport Oklahoma99 on 2/11 @ Mangum 5SE99 in 1918 @ Arapaho Rhode Island73 on 2/25 @ Woonsocket72 in 1985 @ Providence South Dakota77 on 2/21 & 2/22 @ Ft. Pierre 17WSW & Winner79 in 1896 at Vermillion Tennessee84 on 2/21 & 2/25 @ Woodbury & Cheatham85 in 1996 @ Gatlinburg Texas103 on 2/24 & 2/25 @ Falcon Dam & Rio Grande City104 in 1902 @ Fort Ringgold Vermont72 on 2/25 @ Burlington68 in 1957 @ Bennington West Virginia83 on 2/25 @ Logan86 in 1932 @ Moorefield Wisconsin72 on 2/23 @ 4 different stations (Ft. Atkinson, Lodi, Hales Corners, South Milwaukee)69 in 2000 @ Afton, Beloit & Broadhead 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 17, 2017 Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 I remember at least three heat spikes..was the one of the warmest winter months I can remember. We topped out at 76*F one afternoon and stayed above 70*F well into the night with a roaring south wind. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted September 17, 2017 Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 I remember at least three heat spikes..was the one of the warmest winter months I can remember. We topped out at 76*F one afternoon and stayed above 70*F well into the night with a roaring south wind.yeah last winter was tottel crap.you know it bad when you have 70 or above temperatures at night doing the winter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted September 17, 2017 Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 Were any of the readings affected by down slope winds? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted September 17, 2017 Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 This is not a West Coast topic. That's some warm/hot February weather though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 17, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 This is not a West Coast topic. That's some warm/hot February weather though. I'm a West Coast poster. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 17, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 Were any of the readings affected by down slope winds? I'm sure some were. There's definitely enough topography in the Appalachians. High Plains heat waves during the cold season can be influenced by downslope flow off the Rockies as well, an extended Chinook wind if you will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 17, 2017 Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 Were any of the readings affected by down slope winds?Here? Yes, happens all the time with westerly winds off the Appalachian mountains. They insulate us from severe Arctic airmasses (and snow, lol), and they deepen the mixing layer which produces relatively frequent high wind events from the W/NW. The winter windstorms are an aspect of this climate that few are aware of. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 17, 2017 Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 Still paying back for February 2015 back there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 17, 2017 Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 Still paying back for February 2015 back there.Yeah, that was the second craziest weather month I've experienced (nothing will beat February 2010). This winter's blowtorch here should complete the payback, though..that would make 3 consecutive torches, and they usually do come in sets of three for whatever reason. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 17, 2017 Report Share Posted September 17, 2017 Yeah, that was the second craziest weather month I've experienced (nothing will beat February 2010). This winter's blowtorch here should complete the payback, though..that would make 3 consecutive torches, and they usually do come in sets of three for whatever reason. I have a feeling it'll be a little better for the East than you're expecting. The last two being so torchy back there make me think you're due. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 I have a feeling it'll be a little better for the East than you're expecting. The last two being so torchy back there make me think you're due.I hope you're right, but I'd still rather be you this winter. Storm track is always the most important variable for snowfall here, so I'd be more optimistic if I lived in up in New England or something. Easy to be screwed by the jet here, even during very cold winters. I like your odds much better than mine. You almost always have precipitation, it's just a question of temperature. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Colorado87 on 2/11 @ Cheraw90 in 1904 @ Blaine I remember looking into the 1904 90 reading at Blaine, but I don't know if it's valid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 I hope you're right, but I'd still rather be you this winter. Storm track is always the most important variable for snowfall here, so I'd be more optimistic if I lived in up in New England or something. Easy to be screwed by the jet here, even during very cold winters. I like your odds much better than mine. You almost always have precipitation, it's just a question of temperature.Yeah, established Ninas always seem to feature one month of torching out there, usually February. I think you guys might finally see a decent December then flip after that. Here OTOH, I'm counting on this year being milder than last by a decent margin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 . Here OTOH, I'm counting on this year being milder than last by a decent margin.Last winter was the snowiest winter in 24 years for central OR. Pretty much guaranteed to have less snow this year at least out this way. Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Last winter was the snowiest winter in 24 years for central OR. Pretty much guaranteed to have less snow this year at least out this way.back to back above average snowy winters? How do I order that?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 I remember looking into the 1904 90 reading at Blaine, but I don't know if it's valid. February 1904 appears to be a legitimately torchy month in Colorado. The state climate report for the month lists a +7.8 departure statewide. The Blaine reading really sticks out though. It supposedly reached 90 on the 28th, while no other station in CO was above 78 that day. Most likely another bogus old reading from a COOP that wasn't recording using standard practices. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Last winter was the snowiest winter in 24 years for central OR. Pretty much guaranteed to have less snow this year at least out this way.Sometimes they come in tandems, but for Bend you're probably going to have to be happy with less. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 February 1904 appears to be a legitimately torchy month in Colorado. The state climate report for the month lists a +7.8 departure statewide. The Blaine reading really sticks out though. It supposedly reached 90 on the 28th, while no other station in CO was above 78 that day. Most likely another bogus old reading from a COOP that wasn't recording using standard practices.Strong Nina that year with a lot of cool and wet onshore flow in the PNW that month, and not much mid latitude blocking. Pretty similar pattern to 2017, in other words. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Strong Nina that year with a lot of cool and wet onshore flow in the PNW that month, and not much mid latitude blocking. Pretty similar pattern to 2017, in other words. I noticed that almost every previous record year from my opening post was -ENSO. Very strong connection to torching east of the Rockies in February. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 I noticed that almost every previous record year from my opening post was -ENSO. Very strong connection to torching east of the Rockies in February. Yep, just like how a February torch here in positive ENSO is something of a given. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Yep, just like how a February torch here in positive ENSO is something of a given. I'm always amazed by persistent tendencies like that. So much chaos in the system but it finds a way to repeat over and over. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Yep, just like how a February torch here in positive ENSO is something of a given. Notable exceptions being: 1952, 1964, 1969, 1973, 2003, and 2005. I would say with moderate/strong events, it's just about a given. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Sometimes they come in tandems, but for Bend you're probably going to have to be happy with less.Indeed. All signs could come together and point to an epic winter for the PNW but I'd still bet I get less snow than last year. Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Notable exceptions being: 1952, 1964, 1969, 1973, 2003, and 2005. I would say with moderate/strong events, it's just about a given.Yeah, weaker ENSOs can be trumped by intraseasonal variability. Both 2012/13 and 2013/14 were -ENSO and frigid east of the Rockies in February. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Notable exceptions being: 1952, 1964, 1969, 1973, 2003, and 2005. I would say with moderate/strong events, it's just about a given. It's also relative. In winters like 1951-52, 1968-69, 1972-73, and 2004-05 all of the action was concentrated in Dec or Jan in typical El Nino fashion. February looked lame in comparison even though it might not have been an all-out torch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 18, 2017 Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 It's also relative. In winters like 1951-52, 1968-69, 1972-73, and 2004-05 all of the action was concentrated in Dec or Jan in typical El Nino fashion. February looked lame in comparison even though it might not have been an all-out torch. Yeah, February 1952 was the only one of that bunch that featured much in the way of actual longwave troughing in the PNW, and 1951-52 was a very weak El Nino with deeply -PDO/-PNA so it was a favorable state for us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted September 22, 2017 Report Share Posted September 22, 2017 Here? Yes, happens all the time with westerly winds off the Appalachian mountains. They insulate us from severe Arctic airmasses (and snow, lol), and they deepen the mixing layer which produces relatively frequent high wind events from the W/NW. The winter windstorms are an aspect of this climate that few are aware of. Phil, can you or anyone else identify stations that reflect westerly winds off Appalachians? Thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 22, 2017 Report Share Posted September 22, 2017 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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