Powerful October 22nd-25th Great Lakes Autumn Storm

[jaster220]

BTW, what site are you using to get those msl contour maps and the one above?

 

Not sure the actual linked source for those. In the local SMI sub-forum they have a pinned thread that just has all these linked outputs for storm tracking mode. It's been there since '08-09 season got going, and only now am I using it. Guess I've worked my way up to model watcher status. Wasn't my thing before, as said in here. I lurked there during '06-07, then joined last day of '07 with that interesting season underway, guess I wanted in on the fun. 

 

http://www.uswxforums.com/forum/index.php?/topic/1695-tracking-the-storms-updated-images-radar-satellite-pressure-temps-etc-this-thread-is-always-up-to-date/

[jaster220]

You can see the lake is having a little influence, it would be better if there was a more stronger NE flow.

 

Truly, it may be a combination of the remnants of the N shortwave's moisture, and/or a Superior feed, or just moisture rising out of the bath tub known as Lake Mich. Or, all the above joining forces. 

[jaster220]

Wow, mega moisture bomb! 

 

 

[westMJim]

Now over 3” of rain (for this event) here at my house now at 3.18” with rain still falling. No wind here and the temperature has held in the upper 40’s and is now at 49°

[jaster220]

A tad breezy out on Gitchie-gummie right now 

 

 

[Niko]

Grand total from this storm .86" and some wind. If all was snow, could have been pretty decent.

[jaster220]

  Now them's some nice baro readings right there..

 

 

 

[Niko]

Leaves have really fallen of the trees ( on some that is) from these strong winds that were produced by this storm system.

[jaster220]

Trough axis pin-wheeling around the main SLP is going to carry some moisture inland to round out mby's expected 2" total. At least that's what I'm figuring since a major lull has my total stuck at 1.35" since morning. 

 

 

 

 

 

This scenario would just be raging heavy lake enhanced snowfall across SWMI. We saw this numerous time with clippers in 13-14

[Tom]

Just read that this storm system has officially reached textbook bombogenesis!  From 12z Mon to 12z Tue it dropped 27mb...reaching the necessary criteria.

[james1976]

Large storm system. This thing had great trends leading up to and during it. And now we are starting to see that with the upcoming late week system.

Currently 48, windy and sunny. Back edge of the cloud deck has moved to my east.

[jaster220]

Just read that this storm system has officially reached textbook bombogenesis!  From 12z Mon to 12z Tue it dropped 27mb...reaching the necessary criteria.

 

And I think that's exactly the drop that the GGEM and/or Euro was showing. Nice to see them verify for a change with one of our storms, especially this unique set-up that rarely works out around here. Mental note for later - GFS was out to lunch! 

 

Meanwhile, 3.3" here at work and +RN and wind continue to pound us along the shoreline. If was Jan, this place would be shut down no doubt.

[jaster220]

 

 

This would be a whiteout wall of ++SN moving in off the lake. Gonna be a slow commute on 94 as-is with this! 

 

 

[jaster220]

Large storm system. This thing had great trends leading up to and during it. And now we are starting to see that with the upcoming late week system.

Currently 48, windy and sunny. Back edge of the cloud deck has moved to my east.

 

Which was virtually ignored until the last minute thanks to the wacked GFS not allowing a consensus of major models. Hope this happens all winter, so nobody but us in here has the plan. Don't mean peeps to suffer or anything, but NWS blew chunks riding the GFS's bs. 

[Tom]

A bouy near MQT within the last hour maxed out at 28.9 feet...

 

[Niko]

Branches have been spotted broken from very strong winds and some light rain returning as well. Its a raw evening out there.

[jaster220]

Branches have been spotted broken from very strong winds and some light rain returning as well. Its a raw evening out there.

One of the biggest wx contrasts that I can remember! Sunday evening I was in shorts and trying not to overheat. This evening I'm pumping gas in 35 deg windchill and everybody with me looked uncomfortable as well. The wind plus the heavy rain is really raw after endless summer. The Plains get this a lot, but nasso much MI. We will see this sometimes in early spring, but then we're more acclimated to the cold and have winter coats at hand.

 

Oh, and with temps staying chilly the next two days, went ahead and fired up the furnace. First time I've done that in October since 2009.

[jaster220]

For the record..

 

 

[Niko]

One of the biggest wx contrasts that I can remember! Sunday evening I was in shorts and trying not to overheat. This evening I'm pumping gas in 35 deg windchill and everybody with me looked uncomfortable as well. The wind plus the heavy rain is really raw after endless summer. The Plains get this a lot, but nasso much MI. We will see this sometimes in early spring, but then we're more acclimated to the cold and have winter coats at hand.

 

Oh, and with temps staying chilly the next two days, went ahead and fired up the furnace. First time I've done that in October since 2009.

Next couple of days will be quite chilly. My highs remain in the 40s and lows near the freezing mark, if not lower.

[jaster220]

I don't remember so many rainstorms (in a row no less) where there was such broad coverage of inches and inches of rain. Often a small area sees these kinds of totals due to T-storms over a few counties, but this has been wild stuff tbh. Some autumns way back like '81 and '85 featured one of these, but we're on a roll already with the possibility of more. 

 

 

[Tom]

This storm produced Hurricane force wind gusts!

 

 

 

 

[jaster220]

Nice list, those youtube vid's of some wave action were wild. Strangely, though winds are always higher over water, there was really only a small area of land in MI that saw truly high winds. Traditional autumn storms this strong would've been much worse, even downstate. Winds weren't mixing down close to the SLP due I think to the double-barreled fujiwara effect. The plains stole all our wind headlines, lol

[jaster220]

Storm made some wave history!

 

http://buffalonews.com/2017/10/27/great-lakes-largest-wave-logged-this-week-in-michigan-storm/?utm_campaign=puma&utm_medium=social&utm_source=Facebook#link_time=1509122322

 

This current storm looks to be even more beastly and due north, pounding James Bay with 60+ mph sustained NNE winds for hours n hours! Imagine that on Superior