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3/4 - 3/6 Clipper's


Tom

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NAM all over the place as usual this far out.

 

 

Current snow chances are 50% here.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Some developing snow in western Iowa right now, DVN mentioned it could bring up to an inch of snow over here. Had no idea about this until I read the AFD this afternoon. Also going with 1-3" for the Tuesday night/Wednesday system, so should add another layer of snow this week before the brief warm-up later in the week..

 

This is what the latest HRRR showed:

 

EDIT: Sorry, just actually realized I put this in the wrong thread..

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NAM seems a tad north with tomorrow wave.

 

James will like this run.

 

Covering the first 2 waves.

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Bottom at 9° for this morning.

 

12z NAM is losing some steam.

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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12z GFS...that looks pretty good for IA and for N IL/S WI.  You just never know with these Clipper's how they develop.  Just like last night, the northern counties of IL received a surprised 1.0-1.5" of snow.

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What worries me is that the GFS is actually wetter than the NAM! The almost never happens.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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12z GFS...that looks pretty good for IA and for N IL/S WI.  You just never know with these Clipper's how they develop.  Just like last night, the northern counties of IL received a surprised 1.0-1.5" of snow.

Wow, that puts me right on the edge of the 6" line. that would be epic.

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+ Tony, complete bust with last Saturday's system.  I think it had less than .10qpf for ORD!  LOL  Anyway, I like what I'm seeing in the trend for the models.  Showing some decent qpf totals that may warrant an advisory for this afternoons disco's.

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