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10/26-10/28 Upper MW/GL's Snow System

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#51
Tom

Posted 26 October 2017 - 04:45 AM

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00z Euro...

 

DNEF86bWkAA3vmE.jpg



#52
jaster220

Posted 26 October 2017 - 05:24 AM

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^^^ That makes it look like all of Canada gets snow from this system. Is it that big??   :blink:  :blink:



#53
Tom

Posted 26 October 2017 - 06:10 AM

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12z NAM trending towards more snow for the MSP area....


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#54
jaster220

Posted 26 October 2017 - 06:15 AM

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12z NAM trending towards more snow for the MSP area....

 

Nice. This is a very fascinating storm tbh, with the NNW to SSE trajectory and surprising winds. Especially right on the heals of the GL's bomb. Really gonna be some cool stuff this winter. Wound-up systems are all the rage it would seem, at least for now.. :)  I love snow with strong winds. Drifts are one of my fave features of good winters around SMI. 


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#55
St Paul Storm

Posted 26 October 2017 - 06:25 AM

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12z NAM trending towards more snow for the MSP area....


12z NAM temps are a few degrees cooler than the 06z run. It appears thereโ€™s at least a chance of a quicker changeover happening than previously thought. Very interesting. The morning commute looks like it might be a rough one. iirc there were 800+ reported accidents across the state during the first snowfall last year.
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#56
jaster220

Posted 26 October 2017 - 06:42 AM

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I believe this is the first one of these with the white hatched region east of the Rockies. 26-Oct, not bad.

 


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#57
Tom

Posted 26 October 2017 - 06:56 AM

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12z NAM 3km...this system has everything you can ask for in 1 system for the first Taste of Winter: wind, snow, LES and then the cold!

 

nam3km_asnow_ncus_61.png



#58
Niko

Posted 26 October 2017 - 07:52 AM

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Now, it looks like more heavier rains are forecast in my area with this system, whereas, couple days ago, it seemed like it was going to be a weaker storm for my region.



#59
Stormgeek

Posted 26 October 2017 - 07:54 AM

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12z NAM 3km...this system has everything you can ask for in 1 system for the first Taste of Winter: wind, snow, LES and then the cold!

nam3km_asnow_ncus_61.png

Looks like up to 3 inches of wintry precipitation possibly falling around here, not guessing much will stick around. Going to be quite the wake up call to winter. Cold, snowy, and all around rather raw conditions. Driving in the morning might be a fun one since people seemingly lose any ability to drive with the first snows around here.
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#60
Tom

Posted 26 October 2017 - 08:45 AM

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Snap some pics and vids up there during the windy/snowy scenery!


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#61
jaster220

Posted 26 October 2017 - 09:44 AM

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Now, it looks like more heavier rains are forecast in my area with this system, whereas, couple days ago, it seemed like it was going to be a weaker storm for my region.

 

KBTL needs 0.89" more to set an all-time wettest month. Would replace Sept '08 and our massive hit by hurricane Ike which currently holds the record. I was told Marshall had 13" from Ike (I was in Europe for several wks when it hit) but there's no official records kept in Marshall. 


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#62
St Paul Storm

Posted 26 October 2017 - 12:29 PM

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18z NAM still pushing the heavier totals eastward. Fun system to watch unfold.
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#63
Stormgeek

Posted 26 October 2017 - 12:32 PM

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This system means business up on the MN/ND border. Reports of snow and winds gusting 50+! Too bad blizzard warnings are gone now...


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#64
Stormgeek

Posted 26 October 2017 - 12:35 PM

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18z NAM still pushing the heavier totals eastward. Fun system to watch unfold.

Was just looking at that; showing around 4 for MSP... Maybe Tom's reference to last years bad winter will get closer than we thought. Doubt that it all sticks around, but nonetheless storms trending this way will be much appreciated after what transpired last cold season.


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#65
St Paul Storm

Posted 26 October 2017 - 12:46 PM

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Winter Weather Advisory expanded one row of counties eastward. Minneapolis now included.
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#66
St Paul Storm

Posted 26 October 2017 - 12:54 PM

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This system means business up on the MN/ND border. Reports of snow and winds gusting 50+! Too bad blizzard warnings are gone now...


Actually the Blizzard Warning is still going to be used. The Blizzard Watch was nixed as part of the simplification. The simplification isnโ€™t so simple....

Attached Files


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#67
jaster220

Posted 26 October 2017 - 04:13 PM

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Winter Weather Advisory expanded one row of counties eastward. Minneapolis now included.


And while this again will be mostly RN for the UP of Mich, if had been just a bit colder this would be the 2nd bliz in 3 days for parts of that region. That's nuts right there! And we're not talking minimal qpf here, both Max zones had or expect to have 3+ inches liquid equiv.

#68
jaster220

Posted 26 October 2017 - 05:26 PM

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Is that blue I spy ovva SWMI??

I'll be home in Marshall then, have to see if any can penetrate this far inland? 2013 since I had more than -SHSN in Oct.



Actually GRR used the word SNOW several times in their pm AFD. Even mentioning ground coatings beginning early Sat.

Edited by jaster220, 26 October 2017 - 06:02 PM.

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#69
St Paul Storm

Posted 26 October 2017 - 06:13 PM

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Temps running a bit lower than forecasted. Already down to 34 with a mix of rain and snow well in advance of the main precipitation. Temps were only supposed to get down to 38 tonight. Weโ€™ll see if temps pop back up a bit after this pocket of precip ends.

#70
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 26 October 2017 - 07:05 PM

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The HRRR model brings a band of light snow / flurries in tomorrow morning here. I'll take anything i can get, even seeing one flake would be nice.


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2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 13.50"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#71
LNK_Weather

Posted 26 October 2017 - 07:56 PM

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The HRRR model brings a band of light snow / flurries in tomorrow morning here. I'll take anything i can get, even seeing one flake would be nice.

I'll be in Ashland outside the entire day tomorrow. Nothing is worse than being in cloudy, cold, windy weather without a flake. I have hopes for a flurry still.
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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#72
Stormgeek

Posted 26 October 2017 - 08:27 PM

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Already snowing and winds picking up here in the north metro, looks to be down around 34 right now.
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#73
NEJeremy

Posted 26 October 2017 - 08:31 PM

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Iโ€™m confused. Just the other day you said you like it cold and windy?๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ
Iโ€™m such a wuss in my old age.๐Ÿ˜› I was already in a crabby mood tonight dealing with the 40 degree temps and 40 mph winds.
When does spring start?๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚

I'll be in Ashland outside the entire day tomorrow. Nothing is worse than being in cloudy, cold, windy weather without a flake. I have hopes for a flurry still.


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#74
LNK_Weather

Posted 27 October 2017 - 02:37 AM

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Iโ€™m confused. Just the other day you said you like it cold and windy?๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ
Iโ€™m such a wuss in my old age.๐Ÿ˜› I was already in a crabby mood tonight dealing with the 40 degree temps and 40 mph winds.
When does spring start?๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚

Yeah I love cold and windy. Doesn't make it fun to stand in it all day! Eventually my hands feel like they're gonna fall off.
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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#75
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 October 2017 - 03:58 AM

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33ยฐ and snow. Not accumulating on the ground yet, but was starting to stack up on the car. Good stuff.
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#76
Tom

Posted 27 October 2017 - 03:59 AM

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How's the scene up there in MN???



#77
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 October 2017 - 04:05 AM

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How's the scene up there in MN???


We posted at the same time. Ha! Fatty flakes are flying here on the east side of Minneapolis. Ground is wet from the rain overnight and temps are still a tick above 32, so accumulating snow is going to be minimal unless some really heavy stuff falls. Awesome that the first snow is much more than a few random flakes. Itโ€™s snowing pretty good out there. Pics later if the snow really picks up.
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#78
LNK_Weather

Posted 27 October 2017 - 04:13 AM

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Friend in Delano says it's ripping pretty hard there. Thin band centered over them.


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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#79
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 October 2017 - 04:24 AM

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Friend in Delano says it's ripping pretty hard there. Thin band centered over them.

Yep looks like the intense band is right over that area now, slowly shifting towards the cities. Should be fun for a bit when it hits.

Edit: MPX just bumped totals from around an inch to 1-3โ€ here today.
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#80
Tom

Posted 27 October 2017 - 05:23 AM

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I just saw a video on Twitter from Goodridge, MN  and it looked like a legit Blizzard out there yesterday!  Wow, that scene looked wild out there.  i'll try to find it and post it on here...


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#81
james1976

Posted 27 October 2017 - 05:53 AM

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Light snow here! First flakes of the season. Hello Winter!
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#82
Stormgeek

Posted 27 October 2017 - 06:06 AM

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Wow, if the size of the flakes ever picks up around here, I will have to take some pictures. Everything is being plastered, with snow basically flying parallel to the ground. Quite a first storm! A bit of accumulation of grassy areas and appears to be just enought of something on the roads to make driving miserable.
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#83
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 October 2017 - 06:11 AM

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Starting to accumulate on grassy areas and rooftops here. Roads still look just wet though. Bouncing back and forth between pixie dust and dimes. Visibility down to around a mile at times.

It was 77F here last Friday. Haha
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#84
Tom

Posted 27 October 2017 - 07:03 AM

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Duluth, MN up to 4" so far and rippin' pretty good...


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#85
LNK_Weather

Posted 27 October 2017 - 07:21 AM

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Area of light snow in far W IA. There is a magic forcefield, like usual, over the state line that is keeping it from snowing here.
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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#86
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 October 2017 - 07:24 AM

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Winter weather advisory expanded to include all of the TC metro into western WI. Temp holding steady at 33 with a wind chill of 27.
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#87
james1976

Posted 27 October 2017 - 07:25 AM

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Duluth, MN up to 4" so far and rippin' pretty good...

I figured they were getting hammered judging by the radar.

#88
Tom

Posted 27 October 2017 - 07:34 AM

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A lot of 6-8" reports in the Northwoods of N MN....



#89
Tom

Posted 27 October 2017 - 07:35 AM

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Looks like the dead of winter in Thomphson Hill, MN...

 

DNJ4QSaUQAAtnwj.jpg


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#90
hlcater

Posted 27 October 2017 - 07:43 AM

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Seeing a few small flakes in the air despite little/no returns on radar.


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2018-19 Snowfall: 

TOTAL: 3.5"

 

(Nov. 9: 0.6") (Nov. 17: 2.9")

Formerly NWLinn


#91
NEJeremy

Posted 27 October 2017 - 08:11 AM

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It looks like the band of snow is going to go about 10 miles east of me :(



#92
bud2380

Posted 27 October 2017 - 08:11 AM

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some cameras in Duluth.

 

 

http://www.duluthhar...-park-cams.html


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#93
Hawkeye

Posted 27 October 2017 - 08:15 AM

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A thin wave of flurries just passed through Cedar Rapids.  We shouldn't see anything more than that, today.


season snowfall: 3.4"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#94
bud2380

Posted 27 October 2017 - 08:18 AM

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Got a few flurries flying here in my backyard.  


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#95
jaster220

Posted 27 October 2017 - 08:37 AM

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not SN, but my hood again got lucky with a heavy cell popping on the CF. Hope this luck holds as we get into winter!

 



#96
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 October 2017 - 09:46 AM

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A few pics from about 2 hours ago. Still snowing. Ground is covered in spots but not sticking to the roads. Heavier bands have moved in and the winds are really picking up.

Attached Files


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#97
Thunder98

Posted 27 October 2017 - 10:07 AM

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Cool webcam pictures in Duluth, MN, St Paul, MN,  Eau Claire, WI

 

current.jpg?1509127398

 

current.jpg?1509127503

 

current.jpg?1509127597

 

 


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#98
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 October 2017 - 03:03 PM

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Still snowing lightly but accumulation has stopped. Things melting rather quickly. An observer a few miles from me had a measurement of 1.4โ€ so far. Not bad for the first snow of the year. Only the 4th measurable snow in October at MSP in the last 20 years.
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#99
jaster220

Posted 27 October 2017 - 05:44 PM

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I'm amazed at how long some of these early events have been. Lots of wound-up spinners. This will be awesome for me personally if it keeps developing going forward.
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#100
Tom

Posted 27 October 2017 - 06:36 PM

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Duluth, MN set a daily Oct snowfall record with 10.2โ€
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