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November 2017 Observations and Discussion

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#901
Money

Posted 13 November 2017 - 10:23 AM

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Just curious how old is everyone here? I find the cold/snow to be more of a nunance than anything as I get older

When I was in middle school I used to love snow because of snow days and I didn’t have to drive in it but now it kind of sucks. I still love a good snow storm but it’s the 2-3 inch type snows that are a pain in the a**

#902
LNK_Weather

Posted 13 November 2017 - 10:23 AM

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You have a thread to complain in.

And we can't talk about November weather patterns in the November thread?

 

I am ever so sorry for this travesty your highness. I will try to not disappoint you so next time.

 

My apologies everyone. I'm done with this conversation. Just think it's a bit ridiculous that we can't show a BIT of frustration without being called out for it.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018: Tr.


#903
Niko

Posted 13 November 2017 - 10:25 AM

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Allow the pattern to evolve, once we get into the part of this year's cycling pattern where the Hudson Bay vortex gets replaced by a ridge (just after the 17th), the jet cuts underneath just like it did in late October  During this period, the pattern will be blocked up, including, but not limited to, the intra-seasonal shifts of the jet, we will probably end up seeing a couple of storms that can "share the wealth".  It's my first stab at what I think will happen once we get into the middle of Thanksgiving week and into that following holiday weekend.  There are 2 systems which I'm looking for, the first, of which, is targeted during the 11/21 - 11/22 period...the second 11/25 - 11/26....patience grasshoppers.

Amen to that! :)



#904
Money

Posted 13 November 2017 - 10:29 AM

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And we can't talk about November weather patterns in the November thread?

I am ever so sorry for this travesty your highness. I will try to not disappoint you so next time.

My apologies everyone. I'm done with this conversation. Just think it's a bit ridiculous that we can't show a BIT of frustration without being called out for it.


A bit of frustration? It’s every day in this thread and it’s Nov 13th which means we have 4 months of winter left yet most likely. None of us here outside of maybe one person has seen accumulating snow (2+ inches) so far yet no one is complaining but you guys

#905
NebraskaWX

Posted 13 November 2017 - 10:39 AM

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NebraskaWX is an interesting name considering according to you guys you don’t see any

 

 

So is Money, when you probably don't have any  :P

 

 

I should change it though lol anyone have any suggestions?

 

 

Also, I agree it's dumb to write off winter in November, but at the same time, the trends aren't our friends, at least for now! I stated in my winter forecast though, I think an 07-08' repeat is on deck, which wasn't too bad for us, but that was when you guys got absolutely hammered up there in Fondy! Wouldn't be surprised to see it again. Hope something does end up coming to fruition around Thanksgiving like the GFS and EURO have been hinting at -- I'm actually going to be in that area, so keeping my fingers crossed!


LINCOLN NEBRASKA SNOW TOTALS:

 

 

13-14 : 0"

14-15: 0"

15-16" : 0"

16-17 : 0"

17-18 : Probably 10", so in other words, 0"

 

 

# of times it was too warm and ended up being 33 and rain during these years : 20

# of times the storm essentially turned into dust: 25

# of times the storm looked at Nebraska and was like "yeah, good joke" , then ran to Chicago: 50


#906
NEJeremy

Posted 13 November 2017 - 10:41 AM

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Just curious how old is everyone here? I find the cold/snow to be more of a nunance than anything as I get older

When I was in middle school I used to love snow because of snow days and I didn’t have to drive in it but now it kind of sucks. I still love a good snow storm but it’s the 2-3 inch type snows that are a pain in the a**

I'm 40 and I think the exact same way. In fact I was noticing last week when we had the "cold" with highs in the 30s and some wind, how much more I HATE the cold weather than even just a few years ago.

I'm here because I love severe weather, i.e. storms in the summer and blizzards/winter storms in the winter. The cold and the nuisance snows are an annoying part of winter to me too the older I get :)


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#907
jaster220

Posted 13 November 2017 - 11:33 AM

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Allow the pattern to evolve, once we get into the part of this year's cycling pattern where the Hudson Bay vortex gets replaced by a ridge (just after the 17th), the jet cuts underneath just like it did in late October  During this period, the pattern will be blocked up, including, but not limited to, the intra-seasonal shifts of the jet, we will probably end up seeing a couple of storms that can "share the wealth".  It's my first stab at what I think will happen once we get into the middle of Thanksgiving week and into that following holiday weekend.  There are 2 systems which I'm looking for, the first, of which, is targeted during the 11/21 - 11/22 period...the second 11/25 - 11/26....patience grasshoppers.

 

Ofc, you're right Tom. Thanksgiving is on the early side this year. Per the EAR, that second system would be the one with the best chance to get legs. So far, I'm very happy with the progression of the pattern/LRC. By the time we get to December - look out! Both Dec '89 and '00 may get a run for their money around the LES belts of WMI.  :)



#908
jaster220

Posted 13 November 2017 - 11:48 AM

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Just curious how old is everyone here? I find the cold/snow to be more of a nunance than anything as I get older

When I was in middle school I used to love snow because of snow days and I didn’t have to drive in it but now it kind of sucks. I still love a good snow storm but it’s the 2-3 inch type snows that are a pain in the a**

 

In my 50's and drive 85 miles one way to work thru the heart of the SWMI snowbelt. And that's not the hard part, lol. It's the crazy-a$$ traffic. If I had the road to myself no sweat. 2013-14 tested even my patience, and with the economy at full steam in #puremichigan, I'd swear the volume of vehicles has doubled since then so really dreading the onset of snowy commutes and traffic at a crawl or stopped completely. The older I've gotten, the less I tolerate the really cold stuff tho. Still love a good storm and the beauty of deep solid winter conditions. After the last 2 weak winters here, I know I'll lean towards real winter vs the TN winter we got last year. That was horrid. Oh, and 2-3" isn't nuisance, the endless <1" parade of snowfalls that hit mby in Jan '16 - now that was nuisance to the extreme!  ;)


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#909
Niko

Posted 13 November 2017 - 12:06 PM

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In my 50's and drive 85 miles one way to work thru the heart of the SWMI snowbelt. And that's not the hard part, lol. It's the crazy-a$$ traffic. If I had the road to myself no sweat. 2013-14 tested even my patience, and with the economy at full steam in #puremichigan, I'd swear the volume of vehicles has doubled since then so really dreading the onset of snowy commutes and traffic at a crawl or stopped completely. The older I've gotten, the less I tolerate the really cold stuff tho. Still love a good storm and the beauty of deep solid winter conditions. After the last 2 weak winters here, I know I'll lean towards real winter vs the TN winter we got last year. That was horrid. Oh, and 2-3" isn't nuisance, the endless <1" parade of snowfalls that hit mby in Jan '16 - now that was nuisance to the extreme!  ;)

Nice explanation Jaster. The population has been going up here as well. I have noticed that myself. :)


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#910
LNK_Weather

Posted 13 November 2017 - 12:06 PM

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Just curious how old is everyone here? I find the cold/snow to be more of a nunance than anything as I get older

When I was in middle school I used to love snow because of snow days and I didn’t have to drive in it but now it kind of sucks. I still love a good snow storm but it’s the 2-3 inch type snows that are a pain in the a**


19 and from Texas. So I get excited when I see a single flake. Last Winter was my first one here, so naturally it had to be the 2nd worst winter on record.

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018: Tr.


#911
jaster220

Posted 13 November 2017 - 12:09 PM

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So, the GFS is painting a nice LES conditional outbreak in the wake of the Fri-Sat storm.  :)

 

Attached File  20171113 12z 150hr GFS 850mb for Sun Nov 19.jpg   396.18KB   2 downloads



#912
bud2380

Posted 13 November 2017 - 12:11 PM

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Just curious how old is everyone here? I find the cold/snow to be more of a nunance than anything as I get older

When I was in middle school I used to love snow because of snow days and I didn’t have to drive in it but now it kind of sucks. I still love a good snow storm but it’s the 2-3 inch type snows that are a pain in the a**

 

I'm 37.  And I'm the same way.  I don't like cold at all, but i love snow.  I really enjoy tracking it and watching it fall, and now getting out and playing with the kids in it.  But if someone else wouldn't mind clearing my driveway for me, that would be great. 


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#913
Niko

Posted 13 November 2017 - 12:22 PM

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So, the GFS is painting a nice LES conditional outbreak in the wake of the Fri-Sat storm.  :)

 

attachicon.gif20171113 12z 150hr GFS 850mb for Sun Nov 19.jpg

:blink:



#914
Niko

Posted 13 November 2017 - 12:23 PM

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Currently cloudy and cold w temps @ 39F. Running BA.



#915
Stormgeek

Posted 13 November 2017 - 12:34 PM

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Just curious how old is everyone here? I find the cold/snow to be more of a nunance than anything as I get older

When I was in middle school I used to love snow because of snow days and I didn’t have to drive in it but now it kind of sucks. I still love a good snow storm but it’s the 2-3 inch type snows that are a pain in the a**

19 and 100% Minnesnowtan. I could do without the brutal cold, but I love the snow. Seems to be a trend around here. ;)



#916
jaster220

Posted 13 November 2017 - 12:57 PM

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:blink:

 

If that pans out, yby could be in for some genuine "Squall Warning" wx


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#917
Tom

Posted 13 November 2017 - 01:10 PM

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12z GFS/EURO were night and day after Day 5.  The only thing they had in common, both tanked the AO/NAO..GFS down to -5 by the 21st, Euro -3.  You think the models are having problems???  It's an understatement.  The Euro has a -2 NAO by the 21st, GFS nearly -4...big time blocking pattern should spell interesting results next week.

 

Meantime, 12z EPS seems to be picking up on the Pre-Thanksgiving system.  Some members are pretty juiced up.  So today, we have seen an uptick in the wintry potential next week from both the 12z GEFS/EPS.


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#918
clintbeed1993

Posted 13 November 2017 - 01:54 PM

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Money is a troll.  I've given him a warning in the past.  It's best to just ignore him.  You are allowed to complain about the weather in a weather forum.  It falls under weather discussion.  What you're not allowed to do is attack posters.  That is what Money is all about.  If it was up to me he would be kicked off the board.



#919
james1976

Posted 13 November 2017 - 02:03 PM

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12z GFS/EURO were night and day after Day 5.  The only thing they had in common, both tanked the AO/NAO..GFS down to -5 by the 21st, Euro -3.  You think the models are having problems???  It's an understatement.  The Euro has a -2 NAO by the 21st, GFS nearly -4...big time blocking pattern should spell interesting results next week.

 

Meantime, 12z EPS seems to be picking up on the Pre-Thanksgiving system.  Some members are pretty juiced up.  So today, we have seen an uptick in the wintry potential next week from both the 12z GEFS/EPS.

Is there a chance this system could be a share the wealth west-east type system?



#920
buzzman289

Posted 13 November 2017 - 02:04 PM

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49 yrs old and love the cold and snow. i have  always said you can put more clothes on to stay warm. can't take them all off in the summer heat


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#921
LNK_Weather

Posted 13 November 2017 - 02:13 PM

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13/20 GEFS members have >1" by the end of the run here. 5/20 for 11/25.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018: Tr.


#922
Snowlover76

Posted 13 November 2017 - 02:33 PM

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Wouldn't be winter without Money telling Nebraska posters to get over a decade of futility
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#923
NWLinnCountyIA

Posted 13 November 2017 - 03:30 PM

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Money is a troll.  I've given him a warning in the past.  It's best to just ignore him.  You are allowed to complain about the weather in a weather forum.  It falls under weather discussion.  What you're not allowed to do is attack posters.  That is what Money is all about.  If it was up to me he would be kicked off the board.

I don't mind the complaining. I do it too, all I ask is that it's largely kept to the complaining thread in order to keep the other threads "cleaner." We have it for a reason.


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2016-17 Snowfall (Dec. 4: 4.5") (Dec. 10-11: 3.1") (Dec. 16-17: 3.6") (Dec. 23: 0.5")(Jan. 22: 1.1") (Feb. 08: 1.1") (Feb. 24: 0.9")(Mar. 13: 5.0")

TOTAL: 19.8"


#924
james1976

Posted 13 November 2017 - 03:33 PM

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18z GFS more active and colder throughout the run. Carving out some bigtime troughs.



#925
LNK_Weather

Posted 13 November 2017 - 04:03 PM

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I don't mind the complaining. I do it too, all I ask is that it's largely kept to the complaining thread in order to keep the other threads "cleaner." We have it for a reason.

I don't see the problem with having it in the main threads if it's regarding current events. If you're gonna complain about an entire season or whatever, I agree with you. But if we're complaining about a weather pattern in November, then this is the November thread. Go figure.


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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018: Tr.


#926
LNK_Weather

Posted 13 November 2017 - 04:04 PM

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18z GFS runs @ Hr 384 never fail to amuse me. I have never seen purple in precip type maps.

 

Attached File  GFSCGP_prec_ptype_384.png   95.38KB   0 downloads


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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018: Tr.


#927
LNK_Weather

Posted 13 November 2017 - 04:12 PM

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In other news, the latest Euro weeklies are out. The storm in my last post is not entirely far fetched. It is looking like many models are wanting to latch onto a trough as we wrap up November and head into December. Besides CFSv2, which is a joke imo. 

 

It is, however, disappointingly dry throughout December. And warm. We will see.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018: Tr.


#928
Tom

Posted 13 November 2017 - 04:40 PM

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In other news, the latest Euro weeklies are out. The storm in my last post is not entirely far fetched. It is looking like many models are wanting to latch onto a trough as we wrap up November and head into December. Besides CFSv2, which is a joke imo. 

 

It is, however, disappointingly dry throughout December. And warm. We will see.

There are a few things that do catch my eye though.  The model does see the Bearing Sea ridge replaced by low pressures and the NE PAC trough replace by HP as we flip into December.  Both of these transitions don't signal warmth.  So its either right or wrong with what happens in the N PAC.  Look at all the storms that track along the Aleutian islands.


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#929
jaster220

Posted 13 November 2017 - 04:47 PM

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Wouldn't be winter without Money telling Nebraska posters to get over a decade of futility


Truly excellent spin! Kudos. Being a snow lover I actually GET the complaining, especially when you're getting the shaft. What I don't get is Money's need to make an issue of it. But, as you have noticed, we all have our little quirks. I'd rather have some banter than the squelched atmosphere of AmWx's sub

#930
LNK_Weather

Posted 13 November 2017 - 05:27 PM

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Wouldn't be winter without Money telling Nebraska posters to get over a decade of futility

Nothing better to get you in a Christmas mood than Money carols.

"d**n Nebraskans won't stop whining fa la la la la, la la la la."
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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018: Tr.


#931
OKwx2k4

Posted 13 November 2017 - 06:40 PM

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Nothing better to get you in a Christmas mood than Money carols.

"d**n Nebraskans won't stop whining fa la la la la, la la la la."


Guy just needs to work on his sense of humor a bit. I just make light of the crappy weather and move on anymore. At least you guys try to make others laugh. I appreciate it personally.

@whoever asked about age..
33 and love snow and cold. I still play in it and watch it snow all night. I hate the heat and always will. Lol
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#932
Niko

Posted 13 November 2017 - 07:43 PM

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If that pans out, yby could be in for some genuine "Squall Warning" wx

:D



#933
Tom

Posted 13 November 2017 - 07:49 PM

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Interesting stat for Chicago through the first 13 days:

 

 

 

Has this November felt cold to you? Stats say yes! Opening 2 weeks rank 10th chilliest on record since 1871 and coldest in 21 yrs, averaging more than 6 deg below normal.

 

DOj6KCCXkAAFbLD.jpg


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#934
Niko

Posted 13 November 2017 - 07:55 PM

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Currently 39F and cloudy. Just did a pleasant jog outside and feels fairly comfortable.


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#935
NWLinnCountyIA

Posted 13 November 2017 - 08:02 PM

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There was some thick frost in the area this morning created by some dense fog overnight. Decided to try out my new camera on it, and I think this one turned out alright. 

 

f2cf6b6db02178f0dfe509ba2b79f4a1.jpg


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2016-17 Snowfall (Dec. 4: 4.5") (Dec. 10-11: 3.1") (Dec. 16-17: 3.6") (Dec. 23: 0.5")(Jan. 22: 1.1") (Feb. 08: 1.1") (Feb. 24: 0.9")(Mar. 13: 5.0")

TOTAL: 19.8"


#936
Hawkeye

Posted 13 November 2017 - 08:25 PM

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I'm 43.  I still love watching snow fall, but overnight snow doesn't do much for me anymore, and a lack of snow in general just doesn't bother me like it did ten or twenty years ago.  The last two winters were horrible for snow lovers, but at this point in my life I just think, "Whatever, we'll have another snowy winter again at some point."  Also, the older I get, the less I like the cold, and the less I like cleaning the driveway/sidewalk/patio.


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season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#937
Money

Posted 13 November 2017 - 08:31 PM

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Gfs getting a little stronger for the storm around thanksgiving

Panhandle hook type storm that cuts from OK through C IL into IN
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#938
Money

Posted 13 November 2017 - 08:46 PM

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Gfs getting a little stronger for the storm around thanksgiving

Panhandle hook type storm that cuts from OK through C IL into IN


Gem is also on board with this
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#939
LNK_Weather

Posted 13 November 2017 - 09:27 PM

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I'm 43. I still love watching snow fall, but overnight snow doesn't do much for me anymore, and a lack of snow in general just doesn't bother me like it did ten or twenty years ago. The last two winters were horrible for snow lovers, but at this point in my life I just think, "Whatever, we'll have another snowy winter again at some point." Also, the older I get, the less I like the cold, and the less I like cleaning the driveway/sidewalk/patio.

I wish I didn't live in a bachelor pad and I actually had a driveway to shovel. That'd at least motivate me to work out every time it snowed.

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018: Tr.


#940
OKwx2k4

Posted 13 November 2017 - 10:41 PM

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AO trending down again. NAO noticeably lower too this run. Something's brewing down the road. :)


Attached File  ecmwf_ao_bias(2).png   72.99KB   0 downloads

The models at longer ranges are all too warm for their indices. This is important to think about when considering possible model corrections over the next 5 days or so.
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#941
OKwx2k4

Posted 14 November 2017 - 01:04 AM

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Getting closer.
Attached File  eps_qpf_c_conus_39.png   1.08MB   0 downloads

#942
OKwx2k4

Posted 14 November 2017 - 01:10 AM

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Another one. These are out of order.
Attached File  eps_qpf_c_conus_35.png   1016.57KB   0 downloads

Great pattern.
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#943
james1976

Posted 14 November 2017 - 04:44 AM

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GFS with just a weak wave around the 22nd this run.

#944
Tom

Posted 14 November 2017 - 05:16 AM

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00z GEFS/EPS could not be an different Week 2 during Thanksgiving week.  For instance, both models see a trend towards a neutral PNA, but the GEFS are seeing a somewhat +PNA around this period which translates to more of a west coast ridge along NAMER.

 

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_41.png

 

 

 

00z EPS...it has been a problem with the Euro holding to much trough in the west...something I have been noticing all season long, esp now since the waters across the NE PAC are warmer than they were a month ago.

 

eps_z500_anom_noram_240.png

 

 

 

The differences are even bigger out towards the 27th...

 

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_57.png

 

 

eps_z500_anom_noram_336.png

 

 

 

Knowing the LRC and where we are in the pattern now, I think the GEFS score a coupe with this battle.  Not only that, but you see what is happening in East Asia as a bonifide long term long wave trough is locking in over the next 2 weeks suggests more trough over the East.

 

 

Longer range models are having a bit of trouble trying to figure out the pattern post Thanksgiving.  The storm system I'm eyeing during the post holiday weekend is showing up nicely over near Japan.  This track near Japan suggests a "cutter" type.

 

 

 

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#945
Tom

Posted 14 November 2017 - 05:28 AM

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The harmonic 30-day (ish) cycle continues to show up in this years pattern.  How many examples have I shown already?  The next one on the list will be the forthcoming couple of days.  Back on Oct 14th, there was a frontal boundary draped across the central states into the GL's.  On Oct 14th, a weak 1008mb SLP formed in CO and track through C KS/E IA/S WI/N MI.  Again, not every cycle is exactly the same, but a "similar" pattern will evolve.  Check out the 06z NAM run below and notice the similarities.  The mode sees a weak 1008mb SLP near CO and the CF pushing through the general same areas that were effected in mid Oct.

 

Last month, there was a heavy rain event and Flash Flood watches for E IA/N IL/ SW MI as well as a Tornado Watch for E KS.  We will not nearly have the same intensity this go around, but it is illustrating a very similar "track".  For the next cycle, mid December, this may be a larger scale system.

 

 

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#946
jaster220

Posted 14 November 2017 - 05:31 AM

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Interesting stat for Chicago through the first 13 days:

 

 

DOj6KCCXkAAFbLD.jpg

 

Two things on this..

 

Were there any NOAA maps that showed Chicago below normal for this (or any) period?

 

Over at Amwx, they fire up a thread every time it appears there will be a stretch of above normal temps, but NADA for a below normal (top 10 even) cold period which has been much more rare in this era of overall global warmth. And I'm not saying I want it cold every month all the time, but the bias is very obvious there.  :rolleyes:


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#947
Tom

Posted 14 November 2017 - 05:37 AM

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Two things on this..

 

Were there any NOAA maps that showed Chicago below normal for this (or any) period?

 

Over at Amwx, they fire up a thread every time it appears there will be a stretch of above normal temps, but NADA for a below normal (top 10 even) cold period which has been much more rare in this era of overall global warmth. And I'm not saying I want it cold every month all the time, but the bias is very obvious there.  :rolleyes:

Absolutely not!  I think they sorta had the north much BN at one point but that's about it if I recall correctly.  I'm telling ya, we are seeing the models behave similarly as they did back in '13/'14 when they were missing the cold in the extended.


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#948
jaster220

Posted 14 November 2017 - 05:42 AM

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I wish I didn't live in a bachelor pad and I actually had a driveway to shovel. That'd at least motivate me to work out every time it snowed.

 

THIS!  I love having snow at my property, and consider it a great excuse to get outside despite the conditions and get a bit of a workout moving the snowfall. When I was "baching it" for six yrs between marriages and lived in apt's I really missed the interaction. Clearing my car off in the parking lot wasn't the same after having my own place for 16 yrs. Now, I live in the city and still do the traditional shoveling by hand in Marshall. I had a twin-stage dual-auger blower in Traverse City up north ofc cuz after the first (mild) winter it was obvious nobody up there lives by shovel alone!  :lol:  But downstate MI is not that bad, tho we've had these record winters (that seem to follow me around wherever I move) and I'm not so young anymore. The 12+ storms have been a lot of work, so sometimes when my neighbor hits my front walkway with his blower, I'm thankful for that tbh.  ;)



#949
jaster220

Posted 14 November 2017 - 05:55 AM

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The harmonic 30-day (ish) cycle continues to show up in this years pattern.  How many examples have I shown already?  The next one on the list will be the forthcoming couple of days.  Back on Oct 14th, there was a frontal boundary draped across the central states into the GL's.  On Oct 14th, a weak 1008mb SLP formed in CO and track through C KS/E IA/S WI/N MI.  Again, not every cycle is exactly the same, but a "similar" pattern will evolve.  Check out the 06z NAM run below and notice the similarities.  The model sees a weak 1008mb SLP near CO and the CF pushing through the general same areas that were effected in mid Oct.

 

Last month, there was a heavy rain event and Flash Flood watches for E IA/N IL/ SW MI as well as a Tornado Watch for E KS.  We will not nearly have the same intensity this go around, but it is illustrating a very similar "track".  For the next cycle, mid December, this may be a larger scale system.

 

Nice post on the LRC cycling thru. I've been marking my calendar with dates and general system strength. The months are not all (30) days ofc, so that alone will move dates a bit, but the active cycling continues and should really make for a lot of wx to track going forward.  :)



#950
Tom

Posted 14 November 2017 - 05:59 AM

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Nice post on the LRC cycling thru. I've been marking my calendar with dates and general system strength. The months are not all (30) days ofc, so that alone will move dates a bit, but the active cycling continues and should really make for a lot of wx to track going forward.  :)

True, in general, it's about around that 30-day period +/- a day or two given the calendar day in a month.  I find that you will arguably consider this a valuable tool.


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