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November 2017 Observations and Discussion

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#1601
St Paul Storm

Posted 27 November 2017 - 06:04 PM

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I’d rather look at this than boring model runs. Sunset this evening. 60F when this was taken. Pretty crazy for late November in MN.

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#1602
Niko

Posted 27 November 2017 - 06:27 PM

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I’d rather look at this than boring model runs. Sunset this evening. 60F when this was taken. Pretty crazy for late November in MN.

Dang! Great pic!


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#1603
westMJim

Posted 28 November 2017 - 06:03 AM

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Climatology for today  November 28th

 

30 year average h/L  41/28.  120 year average H/L 39.9/27.5

Record high 67° in 1905. Coldest maximum 18° in 1950

Record low +5° in 1969. Warmest minimum 48 in 1916

Most pricip 1.58” in 1968

Most snow fall 7.9” in 1965. Most on the ground at 7AM 6” 1940

Last year H/L 51/36  with 0.43” of rain no snow.



#1604
Niko

Posted 28 November 2017 - 06:19 AM

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Gorgeous day on tap for today w readings approaching 60F and plenty of sunshine also.



#1605
BrianJK

Posted 28 November 2017 - 07:03 AM

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It's warm this morning. Had to take off the fleece on the morning walk.
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#1606
Niko

Posted 28 November 2017 - 07:09 AM

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It's warm this morning. Had to take off the fleece on the morning walk.

Don't blame ya. Somehow I feel like Ma Nature is teasing us right now.....i.e., enjoy this weather now becuz harsh Winter conditions are coming. :blink:



#1607
NEJeremy

Posted 28 November 2017 - 08:15 AM

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We've officially wiped out our temperature deficit for the month. We were 5 degrees below normal almost 1/2 way though the month and we are now .9 degrees above normal, with above normal temps the rest of the month. Yet another example of my skepticism for any crazy winter forecasts. We had 25 CONSECUTIVE above normal months that ended this past August, and now we're back to 3 months in a row above average. No snow this month either so we are now 2 weeks past average date of first accumulating snows. Not the fast start to winter that the models were showing here in November for sure! 



#1608
Niko

Posted 28 November 2017 - 08:46 AM

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It is a phenomenal day out there. Winds are a bit gusty though. Currently @ 57F. Record is 68F. :blink:



#1609
Hawkeye Nation

Posted 28 November 2017 - 08:52 AM

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Hello all, I believe this is my first post on this site. ECMWF EPS showing some snow for us Midwest peeps in Dec. Terry Swails has a blog post showing the cold air pushing down around Dec 13 with a possible storm on its heels. Wishing you all a Merry Christmas and the gift of snow!!

Attached Files


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#1610
westMJim

Posted 28 November 2017 - 08:53 AM

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So far November 2017 has only had 0.2" of snow fall at Grand Rapids,MI Going back to 1899 there have only been 12 Novembers with 0.2" or less of snow fall in November. Here is a list of past ones here at GRR with 0.2" or less. 1905 0.1", 1906 0.0", 1907 0.0" (not sure if I trust the reports from these years) 1927 0.1" 1931 trace, 1946 trace, 1948 trace, 1984 trace, 1998 0.2" 1999 0.1", 2001 trace and 2010 0.1" Those looking for a  lot of snow may not like this but some of the above winters seen the lowest amounts of snow ever recorded here in Grand Rapids 1905 20", 1906 30" are the 1 and 2 years with the least amount of reported snow fall. 1948 only had 33.7" is at number 3 The good news is as I said I do not trust the reports from 1905, 06 and 07. 



#1611
Niko

Posted 28 November 2017 - 08:55 AM

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Hello all, I believe this is my first post on this site. ECMWF EPS showing some snow for us Midwest peeps in Dec. Terry Swails has a blog post showing the cold air pushing down around Dec 13 with a possible storm on its heels. Wishing you all a Merry Christmas and the gift of snow!!

Welcome aboard!


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#1612
Tom

Posted 28 November 2017 - 08:56 AM

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Hello all, I believe this is my first post on this site. ECMWF EPS showing some snow for us Midwest peeps in Dec. Terry Swails has a blog post showing the cold air pushing down around Dec 13 with a possible storm on its heels. Wishing you all a Merry Christmas and the gift of snow!!

Welcome aboard!


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#1613
Niko

Posted 28 November 2017 - 09:07 AM

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@61F w a strong, gusty wind. Delightful!



#1614
westMJim

Posted 28 November 2017 - 09:48 AM

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Hello all, I believe this is my first post on this site. ECMWF EPS showing some snow for us Midwest peeps in Dec. Terry Swails has a blog post showing the cold air pushing down around Dec 13 with a possible storm on its heels. Wishing you all a Merry Christmas and the gift of snow!!WW

Welcome!

When you get a chance let every one know where your location is at. Always nice to know. 


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#1615
NWLinnCountyIA

Posted 28 November 2017 - 10:03 AM

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Hello all, I believe this is my first post on this site. ECMWF EPS showing some snow for us Midwest peeps in Dec. Terry Swails has a blog post showing the cold air pushing down around Dec 13 with a possible storm on its heels. Wishing you all a Merry Christmas and the gift of snow!!


Welcome! I can say with 100% certainty that the screwhole over most of iowa is most likely legit. :)
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2017-18 Snowfall: 

TOTAL: 40.0"

(Dec. 8: 0.1") (Dec. 24: 1.1") (Dec. 28: 1.1") (Dec. 29: 5.4") (Dec. 30: 0.3") (Jan. 2: 0.5") (Jan. 11: 0.3") (Jan. 14: 2.0")(Feb. 3: 0.4") (Feb. 5: 4.6")(Feb. 6-8: 1.0") (Feb. 9: 4.3")(Feb. 10: 2.8")(Feb. 11: 1.2”) (Feb. 17: 1.8")(Mar. 6: 1.9") (Mar. 24: 8.6") (Apr. x 0.3") (Apr. 8: 3.3")


#1616
Hawkeye Nation

Posted 28 November 2017 - 10:11 AM

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Welcome!

When you get a chance let every one know where your location is at. Always nice to know. 

I'm in Waterloo, Iowa.. I used to get snow storm info on Mark Schnackenberg's wx chat on his blog but he took it down lol.. so I remembered this site and here I am. Like on this site, there were some great, informed wx folks on that chat, I miss it. 



#1617
bud2380

Posted 28 November 2017 - 10:15 AM

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I'm in Waterloo, Iowa.. I used to get snow storm info on Mark Schnackenberg's wx chat on his blog but he took it down lol.. so I remembered this site and here I am. There were some great, informed wx folks on that chat, I miss it. 

Welcome.  There are a few of us Schnack nomads on this site.  Too bad his chat went away.  Apparently he hasn't been able to find a replacement for it since the site he used for it shut down or something along those lines.  Lots of good posters and insight here though.  


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#1618
Hawkeye Nation

Posted 28 November 2017 - 10:20 AM

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Welcome.  There are a few of us Schnack nomads on this site.  Too bad his chat went away.  Apparently he hasn't been able to find a replacement for it since the site he used for it shut down or something along those lines.  Lots of good posters and insight here though. 

The chat was a great weather tool for snow storms.. Glad to see some of the chat peeps on this site. You folks taught me a lot about weather. Thank you for that.



#1619
Snowlover76

Posted 28 November 2017 - 10:39 AM

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Hawkeyes suck

#1620
Hawkeye

Posted 28 November 2017 - 11:15 AM

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I'm in Waterloo, Iowa.. I used to get snow storm info on Mark Schnackenberg's wx chat on his blog but he took it down lol.. so I remembered this site and here I am. Like on this site, there were some great, informed wx folks on that chat, I miss it. 

 

Hey HN.  I'm Dan_CR from Schnack's chat.  As Bud says, there are a few of us here.  I wish I would have told swjohnson about this forum before Schnack's chat went down.  I always liked to get weather updates from him.


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season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#1621
NWLinnCountyIA

Posted 28 November 2017 - 11:55 AM

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Hey HN. I'm Dan_CR from Schnack's chat. As Bud says, there are a few of us here. I wish I would have told swjohnson about this forum before Schnack's chat went down. I always liked to get weather updates from him.

Yea, I really liked his observations and updates. East dubbzz was good too, he has this forum, but has just been in absentia for a really long time in general.
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2017-18 Snowfall: 

TOTAL: 40.0"

(Dec. 8: 0.1") (Dec. 24: 1.1") (Dec. 28: 1.1") (Dec. 29: 5.4") (Dec. 30: 0.3") (Jan. 2: 0.5") (Jan. 11: 0.3") (Jan. 14: 2.0")(Feb. 3: 0.4") (Feb. 5: 4.6")(Feb. 6-8: 1.0") (Feb. 9: 4.3")(Feb. 10: 2.8")(Feb. 11: 1.2”) (Feb. 17: 1.8")(Mar. 6: 1.9") (Mar. 24: 8.6") (Apr. x 0.3") (Apr. 8: 3.3")


#1622
james1976

Posted 28 November 2017 - 12:15 PM

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Welcome Hawkeye Nation! I too was on Schnacks chat. I miss it. This is a great forum though!
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#1623
Hawkeye Nation

Posted 28 November 2017 - 12:18 PM

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Hey HN.  I'm Dan_CR from Schnack's chat.  As Bud says, there are a few of us here.  I wish I would have told swjohnson about this forum before Schnack's chat went down.  I always liked to get weather updates from him.

I was Big Dog on Schnack's chat.. went on that chat during the winter for the last several years. I remember seeing you guys on it. Great updates provided by all. Would be nice to get the old gang back together lol



#1624
james1976

Posted 28 November 2017 - 12:37 PM

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I was Big Dog on Schnack's chat.. went on that chat during the winter for the last several years. I remember seeing you guys on it. Great updates provided by all. Would be nice to get the old gang back together lol

My name was simple. Just went by 'james'. Haha. Yeah i wish he could bring it back.
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#1625
LNK_Weather

Posted 28 November 2017 - 01:02 PM

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Hawkeyes suck


If they suck then what are we?
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2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4 (Last: 6/30/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 6 (Last: 7/18/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#1626
jaster220

Posted 28 November 2017 - 01:07 PM

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Hello all, I believe this is my first post on this site. ECMWF EPS showing some snow for us Midwest peeps in Dec. Terry Swails has a blog post showing the cold air pushing down around Dec 13 with a possible storm on its heels. Wishing you all a Merry Christmas and the gift of snow!!

 

Showing up with a map like that?? If I was in charge, you'd get a ticker-tape parade buddy!! Welcome to the best all-around sub that's not a sandwich, lol

 

Keep showing up with those maps..them's the kind with the purple shades I was hoping to see at some point this winter, and now works just fine!  :D  :lol:


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#1627
NEJeremy

Posted 28 November 2017 - 01:44 PM

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US= torch this year. Not surprising though!

Attached Files


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#1628
snowstorm83

Posted 28 November 2017 - 02:01 PM

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Nebraska has better corn

#1629
LNK_Weather

Posted 28 November 2017 - 02:02 PM

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Nebraska has better corn

Win or lose, at least we have better corn.

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4 (Last: 6/30/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 6 (Last: 7/18/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#1630
GDR

Posted 28 November 2017 - 05:14 PM

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Iowa is the #1 corn producing state! Nebraska not even close

#1631
LNK_Weather

Posted 28 November 2017 - 06:34 PM

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Iowa is the #1 corn producing state! Nebraska not even close

It's a shame that the majority of the corn produced is bad corn then.


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2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4 (Last: 6/30/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 6 (Last: 7/18/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#1632
snowstorm83

Posted 28 November 2017 - 06:35 PM

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Yeah quality over quantity :lol:



#1633
Niko

Posted 28 November 2017 - 07:14 PM

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Currently @ 55F. Back to reality tomorrow w highs near normal (40F).



#1634
jaster220

Posted 29 November 2017 - 05:12 AM

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Hit 62º in Marshall for a couple hrs Tuesday afternoon. Down in the upper 20's now..yet another serious overnight plunge by SMI standards. Extremely pleasant autumn wx with no bugs!  ;)

 


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#1635
St Paul Storm

Posted 29 November 2017 - 05:16 AM

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Red flag warnings out west of here. MPX looked at the records and said this is only the 3rd time they’ve had to issue this warning for critical Fire wx in November. It’s dry, and there’s no end in sight.

#1636
westMJim

Posted 29 November 2017 - 05:59 AM

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Climatology for today  November 29th

Average h/L 30 year average 41/29 all time average (120+ years) 39.6/26.9°

Record high 65 1998. Coldest maximum 11° 1929

Record low 6° 1929. Warmest minimum 54° 1998

Most pricip. 1.13” in 1919

Most snow fall 4.5” in 1960. Most snow on the ground at 7 am 7” in 1940

Last year H/L 57/46 0.16” of rain 

 

Big temperature difference in GR metro area this morning.Looks like the official low will be 36° but here at my house I had a low of 27° right now its 36 and clear here at my house.


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#1637
Niko

Posted 29 November 2017 - 06:23 AM

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Broke a record high yesterday of 66.9F. Old record was 65. Currently at 38F w sunny skies.


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#1638
Niko

Posted 29 November 2017 - 06:38 AM

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Nothin much for the rest of the week weatherwise, other than a weak frontal passage. Temps will remain at or slightly above average. Big changes in store for next week.



#1639
Niko

Posted 29 November 2017 - 06:40 AM

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Red flag warnings out west of here. MPX looked at the records and said this is only the 3rd time they’ve had to issue this warning for critical Fire wx in November. It’s dry, and there’s no end in sight.

Hopefully, a weather system will pass on by for some relief.



#1640
Niko

Posted 29 November 2017 - 07:31 AM

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Heavy snow in Hawaii?!........indeed

 

https://weather.com/...ountain-summits


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#1641
Niko

Posted 29 November 2017 - 08:10 AM

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Temps are rising rather nicely. Currently @ 44F. Maybe topping to near 50F today. Forecasted high was only 42F. Bust already! :lol:



#1642
Niko

Posted 29 November 2017 - 08:44 AM

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Piece of advice, I would start paying attention to the models starting by end of next week. Model hugging now is a waste of time. Very inconsistent.



#1643
Niko

Posted 29 November 2017 - 06:04 PM

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Currently 32F and gorgeous, crisp evening.



#1644
westMJim

Posted 30 November 2017 - 06:42 AM

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Climatology for today  November 30th  At Grand Rapids,MI

Average H/L 30 year average 40/28. 120 year average 39.3/2705°

Record high 64° in 1998. The coldest maximum for the date 17° in 1896

Record low +6° in 1958. The warmest minimum 53° in 1913.

The most precip. 0.65” in 1940

The most snow fall 6.8” in 1940 and 1940 also had the most OTG with 14”

Last year the high was 50° and the low was 37°


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#1645
jaster220

Posted 30 November 2017 - 06:15 PM

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After six weeks of action, action, action, this 10 day stretch of zonal mild and dry is hard to take. At least it's not been the entire month. Not sure how I survived last Nov??

#1646
NEJeremy

Posted 01 December 2017 - 09:36 AM

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For November, we ended up 1.8 degrees above average(again). 

Precip for the month was only .36" of rain, which was 1.28" below normal or about 22% of normal.



#1647
Grizzcoat

Posted 05 December 2017 - 02:47 AM

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DSM .25" of precip for the month of NOV. 10th driest going back to 1878. .28" since Oct 22nd. 45 days with only .28" of inch. At least I don't have to cover my wood pile!!!