December Weather In the PNW

[Front Ranger]

Phil has done pretty well with the blow by blow out here since July or so. It's definitely been impressive.

 

You especially have to admire the way Phil stuck to his guns predicting the western torch the second half of last month, despite your insistence he was over-hyping it.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS

 

Day 3

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017121300/072/500h_anom.na.png

 

[Front Ranger]

Elders from the Analog Church of Flatiron will soon be biking to your door and trying to convert you.

 

That's right. But we have more than just dogma behind our beliefs....we have cold, hard evidence. Yes, SCIENCE. f***** results.

 

Phil is a member of a very similar denomination of practitioners, so we agree more than we actually disagree. 

[HighlandExperience]

That's right. But we have more than just dogma behind our beliefs....we have cold, hard evidence. Yes, SCIENCE. f***** results.

 

Phil is a member of a very similar denomination of practitioners, so we agree more than we actually disagree.

So your into Scientology

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

 

[Deweydog]

That's right. But we have more than just dogma behind our beliefs....we have cold, hard evidence. Yes, SCIENCE. f***** results.

 

Phil is a member of a very similar denomination of practitioners, so we agree more than we actually disagree.

Phil has a lot more wealthy and aggressively-tithing disciples. You can't win with just science.

[Front Ranger]

Don't forget me. I look at them when I have the chance between work, family, fishing and video games!

 

Hopefully not in that order... 

[Gradient Keeper]

HR 114 Kamchatka low 7mb stronger, Aleutian ridge 150-200 miles further west.

[Front Ranger]

So your into Scientology

 

Has Tom Cruise ever led us wrong? He predicted January 1950 before he was even born.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[Front Ranger]

HR 114 Kamchatka low 7mb stronger, Aleutian ridge 150-200 miles further west.

 

Yeah, everything is shifted a bit further west and north so far on this run.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 and I don't like this

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah, everything is shifted a bit further west and north so far on this run.

 

Give me a few minutes and I will tell you why I hate this run.

[Gradient Keeper]

Ridge over us is not flattening at all and western Alaskan ridge weakening

[Jbolin]

Give me a few minutes and I will tell you why I hate this run.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

On a more positive NOW note, some respectably chilly temps in the Willamette Valley today. 37/20 at EUG and 43/23 at SLE. 

[Deweydog]

Shortwave energy seems to be having trouble cutting the cord.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ridge over us is not flattening at all and western Alaskan ridge weakening

 

The ridge is stronger! Look at those ridge muscles!

[Front Ranger]

More amplified, but weaker ridge in western AK.

 

I'm not convinced this run will be terrible.

[MossMan]

I have a rule that I don't tell my wife about a modeled arctic front or snow event until I'm sure it's going to happen. Every time I disregard the rule it goes away so I know it's a scientific fact that counting your chickens before they hatch is a truism.

I never tell anyone about anything when it comes to potential blasts until hours before after getting burned so many times...I even had to buy pizza for all of my co workers years ago when I bet my boss that we were going to get very cold and snowy...I lost. I believe that was the Jan 2011 tragedy if I’m thinking of the right year with the complete model collapse.

[Deweydog]

More amplified, but weaker ridge in western AK.

 

I'm not convinced this run will be terrible.

The Fonz be with you. (And also with you)

[SilverFallsAndrew]

More amplified, but weaker ridge in western AK.

 

I'm not convinced this run will be terrible.

 

I see a path to greatness...But it is longer and narrower than before.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The cold air is further west at hour 174, but also further north...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Day 7

 

You see what I see buddy?

[Front Ranger]

I see a path to greatness...But it is longer and narrower than before.

 

Delayed but not denied. Wacky setup, though.

[Kayla]

Not looking good over at the GEM camp either. Big step in the wrong direction...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not looking good over at the GEM camp either. Big step in the wrong direction...

 

That thing is freaking hideous.

[High Desert Mat!]

Outlier!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8 - 1054mb high over Yukon sliding south

[MossMan]

Good thing I’m eating while riding the forum...the fork is already in my hand!

[MossMan]

Outlier!!!

Or a new trend!

[Gradient Keeper]

HR 204 Arctic high now 1058mb over northern BC sliding south.

[Front Ranger]

Not looking good over at the GEM camp either. Big step in the wrong direction...

 

In Travolta we trust!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9

[SilverFallsAndrew]

So that first trough is delayed about a day and a half...

[Gradient Keeper]

Big backdoor blast and 1059mb high sliding towards southern BC

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 9

 

Block is way too far east on this run.  Disappointing.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Junk

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Big backdoor blast and 1059mb high sliding towards southern BC

 

Very modified.