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The Winter Solstice Storm

Tom

By Tom
in East of the Rockies

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Jaycee
Jaycee

Because why not? Why hope that the Huskers will be any better if they've sucked the past few years? It's because there is a chance, I don't care what anyone says. If we don't get it, that's fine. But

hlcater
hlcater

Dude you're living and dying every run. Chill. Gonna be a long rest of the winter if you keep that attitude. I learned the hard way. Does it look good right now? No, not for us, but what are you gonna

Tom
Tom

Wow, this is what I’m talking about...I know a lot of you gave up, but this year is one where you can’t give up till Mother Nature says it’s over.

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Money Proficient

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Posted
Posted

GEM at 108 has the first low in SW WI and then look what comes up from Texas...

 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2017121800&fh=108&xpos=0&ypos=113

 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2017121800&fh=120

 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2017121800&fh=126&xpos=0&ypos=96

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Craig-OmahaWX Newbie

Craig-OmahaWX

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What the hell. Thats freaking bizarre. Looked like it was going to be good here then it explodes east of here lol. 

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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Craig-OmahaWX Newbie

Craig-OmahaWX

Posted
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Hate to say it but the canadian has probably been the most unreliable model all year. It jumps to all these crazy conclusions from one run to the next one.

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2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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Craig-OmahaWX Newbie

Craig-OmahaWX

Posted
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Man just need another 50-100 miles more south. 

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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hlcater Enthusiast

hlcater

Posted
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Early call before the UKMET and Euro is that GEM is an outlier. But it does show there is a lot of potential I guess.

The 12z UK actually had something similar to that did it not? Also the GFS came a tick south. PROGRESS! Still think this is one for MN though.

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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Money Proficient

Money

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Ukie at 96

 

http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=096

 

120

 

http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=096&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=120

 

 

992 L just south of MKE at 120

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Craig-OmahaWX Newbie

Craig-OmahaWX

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Posted

That's quite a ways south. Things could be getting interesting again.

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2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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Big takeaway from runs so far is all the models get this pretty strong

 

Gfs got it down to 995. CMC down to 984 and ukie down to 992

I’d like to see the Euro dig the storm a bit more like the Ukie. Would bode well for NE/IA peeps. Meantime, GEFS showing an uptick in stronger members and a more developed system.
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bainbridgekid Veteran

bainbridgekid

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Euro suppresses the low pretty far Southeast at hour 120. Unfortunately, the cold air stays somewhat separated from the center of the storm. Snow map should be interesting though.

 

Definitely looks like a better track for Iowa and Southern Wisconsin/Chicago:

 

 

ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_6.png

Compare that to the GFS, which took the low (more quickly) through Iowa:

 

gfs_z500_mslp_us_18.png

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
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I will post some raw #'s here in a little bit after I watch an animation of it on Accu-Wx pro. Concerned there may not be that much precip with the  Euro. Feel free to post your local airport id. 

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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bainbridgekid Veteran

bainbridgekid

Posted
Posted

I will post some raw #'s here in a little bit after I watch an animation of it on Accu-Wx pro. Concerned there may not be that much precip with the Euro. Feel free to post your local airport id. 

I'd love to see O'Hare.

 

I'm here for 2 weeks and just want to see an inch of snow!

 

Seems like a long-shot with this storm though.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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