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What's Up With The Solar Activity Lately?


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#101
ClaireAnderson

Posted 19 January 2017 - 10:47 PM

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Scientists have now got access to the most detailed real-time images of the Sun with a new upgrade to the world's highest-resolution solar telescope at the Big Bear Solar Observatory.The new capabilities will allow the  researchers to study a wider view of solar activity as it's actually happening. With this upgrade now, we'll be able to watch things like massive sunspots stretching some 32,000 kilometers wide (about 20,000 miles) in the Sun's photo-sphere in real-time, whereas previously we could only see a narrower portion of the event without distortion.


Claire Anderson

http://www.weathermate.net

San Francisco, CA, USA

 


#102
Tom

Posted 13 February 2017 - 07:48 AM

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I found this Interesting chart comparison...thoughts???

 

C3mRsuJXUAUXldz.jpg



#103
weatherfan2012

Posted 13 February 2017 - 12:30 PM

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I found this Interesting chart comparison...thoughts???
 
C3mRsuJXUAUXldz.jpg

I think the next few cycles are going to be very interesting to follow and just as interesting in how deep they end up being.

#104
Andie

Posted 19 February 2017 - 11:28 AM

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What does the last century look like? 


Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem, First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes................. "TwcMan say's...I've got the brass...to ban...your a**." .... TWCMan, the Legend.

#105
snow_wizard

Posted 24 February 2017 - 06:03 PM

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What does the last century look like?


Much of the 20th century featured a grand maximum with very high numbers of sunspots and strong solar winds. Very possible it was largely responsible for the warming seen the second half of the century.

An interesting side note to this is that global warming caused by the grand maximum (if it was caused by that) would also account for much of the atmospheric CO2 increase as warmer ocean temperatures released CO2 that was bound up in the sea water.
Death To Warm Anomalies!
 
winter.jpg

Winter 2016-17 Stats

Total snow = 9.8"
Days Min 32 or below = 61
Days Max 32 or below = 1
Days Max Below 40 = 29
Coldest Min = 16

#106
Phil

Posted 24 February 2017 - 07:53 PM

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Much of the 20th century featured a grand maximum with very high numbers of sunspots and strong solar winds. Very possible it was largely responsible for the warming seen the second half of the century.

An interesting side note to this is that global warming caused by the grand maximum (if it was caused by that) would also account for much of the atmospheric CO2 increase as warmer ocean temperatures released CO2 that was bound up in the sea water.


Much of it could have been solar, but there must be something else at play here, because the warming from the 1690s to the 1940s was exceptional, more than can be explained by solar alone. Some research suggests it was greater than 1.5C.

There was clearly a monstrous shift in the global circulation(s) that began during the early 1700s, but as for what triggered it..who knows?
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm season 2017:
Thunderstorm days: 4
Severe days: 3
Hail: 1 (pea sized)
Wind: 2 (62mph, 58mph)
Rain total: 4.54"

#107
weatherfan2012

Posted 25 February 2017 - 03:20 PM

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Much of it could have been solar, but there must be something else at play here, because the warming from the 1690s to the 1940s was exceptional, more than can be explained by solar alone. Some research suggests it was greater than 1.5C.
There was clearly a monstrous shift in the global circulation(s) that began during the early 1700s, but as for what triggered it..who knows?

Much of it could have been solar, but there must be something else at play here, because the warming from the 1690s to the 1940s was exceptional, more than can be explained by solar alone. Some research suggests it was greater than 1.5C.
There was clearly a monstrous shift in the global circulation(s) that began during the early 1700s, but as for what triggered it..who knows?

another one of many puzzles of climate that is still not peace togeather yet.

#108
snow_wizard

Posted 11 March 2017 - 12:08 AM

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Looks like we may have entered a really good spotless period this time. Flux numbers are very low....the lowest yet for this cycle.
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Death To Warm Anomalies!
 
winter.jpg

Winter 2016-17 Stats

Total snow = 9.8"
Days Min 32 or below = 61
Days Max 32 or below = 1
Days Max Below 40 = 29
Coldest Min = 16

#109
Tom

Posted 13 March 2017 - 06:27 AM

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Looks like we may have entered a really good spotless period this time. Flux numbers are very low....the lowest yet for this cycle.

On another note, how was your Winter out west???  We finally broke the 80+ day streak of 1" or less snowfall recorded during the Winter.  The last 1"+ snowfall we received was back on Dec 17th!



#110
snow_wizard

Posted 14 March 2017 - 11:15 PM

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On another note, how was your Winter out west???  We finally broke the 80+ day streak of 1" or less snowfall recorded during the Winter.  The last 1"+ snowfall we received was back on Dec 17th!


Very solid winter out here in spite of my area not doing too well for snow. It was the coldest winter at least since 1992-93 and many areas had significant snowfall. Extreme NW Washington and SW BC had very close to a top tier winter with many locations receiving 50+ inches of snow. Overall I'm quite intrigued by the persistent blocking we saw over Alaska.

I'm really looking forward to the next 5 years or so. Could be a wild ride!
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Death To Warm Anomalies!
 
winter.jpg

Winter 2016-17 Stats

Total snow = 9.8"
Days Min 32 or below = 61
Days Max 32 or below = 1
Days Max Below 40 = 29
Coldest Min = 16

#111
Tom

Posted 15 March 2017 - 05:47 AM

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Very solid winter out here in spite of my area not doing too well for snow. It was the coldest winter at least since 1992-93 and many areas had significant snowfall. Extreme NW Washington and SW BC had very close to a top tier winter with many locations receiving 50+ inches of snow. Overall I'm quite intrigued by the persistent blocking we saw over Alaska.

I'm really looking forward to the next 5 years or so. Could be a wild ride!

Glad to hear!  I saw it coming when the cold pool was building in October in SW Canada.  Here's to the next solar minimum!



#112
snow_wizard

Posted 16 March 2017 - 09:29 PM

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Big time spotless period now. Well over a week and the flux numbers are still tanked.
Death To Warm Anomalies!
 
winter.jpg

Winter 2016-17 Stats

Total snow = 9.8"
Days Min 32 or below = 61
Days Max 32 or below = 1
Days Max Below 40 = 29
Coldest Min = 16

#113
Black Hole

Posted 17 March 2017 - 09:52 AM

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Spaceweather.com shows 11 days in a row without any spots right now. 


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#114
snow_wizard

Posted 17 March 2017 - 08:46 PM

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I'm very intrigued seeing a streak this long so long before solar minimum.
Death To Warm Anomalies!
 
winter.jpg

Winter 2016-17 Stats

Total snow = 9.8"
Days Min 32 or below = 61
Days Max 32 or below = 1
Days Max Below 40 = 29
Coldest Min = 16

#115
Tom

Posted 18 March 2017 - 06:05 AM

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From Spaceweather:

 

 

 

REALLY BLANK SUN: The sun has been blank (no sunspots) for 12 consecutive days.  If today ends without a sunspot, the number will increase to 13, matching the longest stretch of blank suns since April of 2010. This is yet another sign that the sunspot cycle is crashing toward a deep minimum expected in 2019-2020.


#116
Tom

Posted 20 March 2017 - 06:59 AM

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Sunspots reach a 7-year low!  Impressive 2 week stretch of a blank sun...it'll be interesting following the trends of the suns activity this year and what it may translate to the overall weather pattern.



#117
Andie

Posted 21 March 2017 - 04:40 AM

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Third weakest solar cycle since records began in 1755.

https://wattsupwitht...weeks-straight/

Graphs

https://wattsupwitht...still-slumping/
Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem, First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes................. "TwcMan say's...I've got the brass...to ban...your a**." .... TWCMan, the Legend.

#118
Tom

Posted 21 March 2017 - 05:55 AM

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Third weakest solar cycle since records began in 1755.

https://wattsupwitht...weeks-straight/

Graphs

https://wattsupwitht...still-slumping/

I'm curious to see how the level of neutron flux will impact the global climate as this author compared our current levels to Solar Cycle 20 which causing global cooling in the late 1970's. 

 

To see the deep waters of the Arctic oceans cooling is very interesting.  Great finds!



#119
Andie

Posted 21 March 2017 - 04:51 PM

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Much off the information on this site is over my head but I think many of you more scientific climate types will enjoy this.

Tons of information and they've been tracking information for 7 yrs.
The crazy thing is Landscheidt was a German astrologer and amateur climatologist. He predicted sunspot minima after 1990 with a stronger minimum and more intense cold peaking in 2030. He died in 2004. Enjoy a stroll through the pages.

I don't know if this is of use or not. Just found it interesting.

http://www.landscheidt.info
Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem, First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes................. "TwcMan say's...I've got the brass...to ban...your a**." .... TWCMan, the Legend.

#120
Tom

Posted 03 April 2017 - 06:22 AM

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Sheesh, talk about an active sun all of a sudden!  Haven't seen this in a very long time.

 

 

solar.png

 

 

 

 

hmi200.gif


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#121
Tom

Posted 12 May 2017 - 02:55 PM

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The sun has gone quiet again...

 

 

 

SUNSPOT COUNTS ARE PLUMMETING: Today marks the 33rd day in 2017 that the sun has been blank--no sunspots. This exceeds the total number of spotless days in all of 2016 (32). The accelerating pace of spotlessness is a sign that Solar Minimum is approaching. Forecasters expect the sunspot cycle, which swings like a pendulum between high and low sunspot number every ~11 years, to reach its nadir in 2019-2020. Stay tuned for more blank suns.


#122
Andie

Posted 13 May 2017 - 04:30 PM

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Cosmic rays are up.

http://spaceweather....th=05&year=2017

Attached File  IMG_2449.PNG   42.37KB   0 downloads
Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem, First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes................. "TwcMan say's...I've got the brass...to ban...your a**." .... TWCMan, the Legend.