12/28 - 12/29 Plains/MW/GL's Snow Event

[Hawkeye]

The 00z NAM kept the heaviest band right through Cedar Rapids.  It just shrunk the width of the snow band in general, especially on the south side.

[Craig-OmahaWX]

Lol no way this goes way north. Logic would say since this arctic push is so strong the storm wouldnt be so far north.

[Money]

Lol no way this goes way north. Logic would say since this arctic push is so strong the storm wouldnt be so far north.

Or the arctic push is weaker and allows it to go more north

[East Dubzz]

00z NAM didn’t seem to move that much, but just tightened up the axis of heavy snow.

[bud2380]

Some very picturesque snow falling still. Just light flurries but medium sized flakes.

[bud2380]

00z RGEM is much further south with the southern edge than the NAM. Also just in general more widespread. 7mm was shown for Waterloo on the black and white maps. That’s just over a quarter inch qpf.

[bud2380]

The GFS has the heaviest band just south of i80.

[East Dubzz]

Still not totally sold on DBQ getting 2”, but today’s system performed a little better than I expected, so I suppose we will see what happens.

[Tony]

The GFS has the heaviest band just south of i80.

The GFS is not the model of choice you should be looking at this close to the start of a storm...just saying.

[GDR]

Gfs did really well with today! Just saying..

[bud2380]

The GFS is not the model of choice you should be looking at this close to the start of a storm...just saying.

I look at all the models. I’m just reporting what it said. You can make your conclusions from there. Personally I trust the Euro more than any other. I also like the UK in the short term.

[Tony]

I look at all the models. I’m just reporting what it said. You can make your conclusions from there. Personally I trust the Euro more than any other. I also like the UK in the short term.

I hear you. I just don't trust the GFS much as it has been very eratic lately. Nice to look at for long range for eye candy.

[Tom]

LOT pulled the trigger and added WWA's up to Cook/DuPage/Kane counties...hopefully I can score 2-3" out of this...SREF mean is at 3" for ORD...so far, I measured just about 0.5" of powder, not much, but as Bud said, it's pictureque....

[St Paul Storm]

Since that model always shows the worst possible solution; I consider their removal addition by subtraction...

 

What you don't know can't hurt you...

What do you mean when you say the Euro ‘always shows the worst possible solution’? The Euro frequently scores the highest in terms of accuracy among the major global models. I’d give up access to many other models before I give up access to the Euro.

[bud2380]

Canadian has 6” from Mason City to Waterloo to CR to the quad cities. 5.5”

For Iowa City. Also not as brutal on the southern edge snow cut off.

[BLIZZARD09]

LOT pulled the trigger and added WWA's up to Cook/DuPage/Kane counties...hopefully I can score 2-3" out of this...SREF mean is at 3" for ORD...so far, I measured just about 0.5" of powder, not much, but as Bud said, it's pictureque....

if we get those 2-3 inches and some lake snow over the weekend , I think we can say it was a decent December after all

[Tom]

if we get those 2-3 inches and some lake snow over the weekend , I think we can say it was a decent December after all

The LES is a big wild card, on the other hand, I'm seeing both NAM's picking up on the meso-low feature.  Gosh, if we can get that to swing through and drop a couple inches that would be more icing on the cake.

[Hawkeye]

00z UK has the narrow, heaviest band through Iowa City.  The south edge is sharp.

 

HRRR also has the best snow through Iowa City.

[buzzman289]

winter storm warning  for cedar rapids

[bud2380]

Dang, wasn’t expecting the upgrade. DVN says snow rates could be over an inch per hour later. 4-6” for the earned area. Latest RGEM has nearly 7” for Iowa City.

[Tom]

Congrats on the WSW's!  Been a while for you folks on there...you guys in E IA are locked in on this one!

 

 

00z Euro...I'll take my 2-3" and be happy...snows should be knocking on your doors out in C IA...

[Tom]

ORD officially picked up 0.6" of snow yesterday...hoping to get at least 2.5"...SREF plumes for ORD still showing nearly 3" and 4.5" for DVN....

[bud2380]

Looks like we ended up with about 1.5” here yesterday. Very light and fluffy snow.

[dubuque473]

Will be greedy and plan on 5" but if it close to 3" it will work....

[East Dubzz]

Will be greedy and plan on 5" but if it close to 3" it will work....

I think we’re going to struggle to hit 3”, tbh.

[Minny_Weather]

All of the radar returns are light right now.

[bud2380]

Anyone use the mPING app? I just heard about it a week ago and downloaded it. You can report and view precipitation reports. If more people start using it , it will become very useful in situations like this where the radar doesn’t give you a true picture of where snow is hitting the ground. I see an mPING report from Waterloo of snow so hopefully it’s about to start reaching the ground

[jaster220]

A snowy morning across SWMI and I picked up 0.8" as of 6 am taking me across the 20" threshold! that's a big month by Marshall standards, like 200% of normal bigly

 

Congrats and good luck to y'all west in IL an Iowa, nice some of you got pink headlines..sweet! 

[bud2380]

Snow has begun here.

[Tom]

Snow has begun here.

Good luck Bud. I know you and a number of members in IA have been waiting for a nice snow for quite some time.

[East Dubzz]

HRRR seems to confirm what I’ve been thinking. Will be lucky to break 2” today. This weather pattern sucks.

 

But enjoy it, bud! Don’t mean to take away from your fun

[Iowawx]

Was quite surprised earlier to see winter storm warning issued. I think the Cedar Rapids/Iowa city area is where the 6 inch amounts could occur. Flakes should start flying here shortly.

[james1976]

Radar is looking nice. Heavy band setting up over mby. Snow extends all the way back to west SD. I have a feeling more counties will be upgraded to WSW.

Congrats Bud!

[Iowawx]

Snow began here almost exactly at 9:00am. Here we go!

[jaster220]

 Guess you'll have to wait 3 more days for this very slow mover!  

 

[bud2380]

Looks like Cedar Rapids is getting pounded now. My brother in CR is reporting large flakes.

[james1976]

Heavy band setting up from mby down to CR and IC

[james1976]

I think im gonna leave work early and go home to enjoy this.

[Tom]

Meso scale banding is showing up nicely on GOES satellite imagery with the bumpy nature to the cloud tops across IA into IL...somebody is going to score big with this small scale system.

[bud2380]

 

I’m missing out on the heavy snow band by less than 5 Miles.