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January 2018 Observations and Discussions


Tom

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GFS with a decent clipper over a large swath Sunday night into Monday AM

 

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018011012/120/snku_024h.us_mw.png

A whopping inch for Chi-Town...can't wait. Good luck to you guys to the west of us.

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Today's 12z UK is quite strong with the late weekend clipper.

 

Fluke run?? Heard tell this was fading fast on main globals..

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Anyone else know what's up with Amwx? More server issues?  :huh:  :rolleyes:  :unsure:

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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to the end of February only 9.4” of snow fell. Note this season the total snow fall now stand at 39.2”

Today is starting off very warm the official temperature at GRR already 52° (the record high for today is 55° set in 1980) Here at my house I now have a reading of 49° and while there is still snow on the ground here there is also a LOT of bare ground now showing.  This January thaw is really taken a toll on the snow pack and there is more snow melt yet to come.  And while there looks to be a good cool down for the weekend and the start of next week after that it looks to warm up once again!  There also looks to be more rain than snow in the next 7 to 10 days or more.

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Climatology for today January 11th    At Grand Rapids, MI

The average H/L is 31/18

The record high is 55° set in 1980 (there is chance that could be tied or broken today) the coldest maximum is +6° in 1912

The record low is -21° set in 1979 the record warmest minimum is 37° (that record also could be broken today)

The most snow fall is 6.9” in 1991

The most on the ground is 17” in 1999

Last yar the H/L was 43/28 0.25” of rain fell and there was no snow on the ground.

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It is so nice outside, wow. Hasn't felt this pleasant in a long time. I better enjoy this b4 the Arctic Express roars in. CF approaching late tanite could trigger a couple of inches IMBY. There could be a few lollipops , mostly south of i-69. 

 

Btw: currently @ 50F. Dang! :D

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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to the end of February only 9.4” of snow fell. Note this season the total snow fall now stand at 39.2”

Today is starting off very warm the official temperature at GRR already 52° (the record high for today is 55° set in 1980) Here at my house I now have a reading of 49° and while there is still snow on the ground here there is also a LOT of bare ground now showing.  This January thaw is really taken a toll on the snow pack and there is more snow melt yet to come.  And while there looks to be a good cool down for the weekend and the start of next week after that it looks to warm up once again!  There also looks to be more rain than snow in the next 7 to 10 days or more.

 

 

Climatology for today January 11th    At Grand Rapids, MI

The average H/L is 31/18

The record high is 55° set in 1980 (there is chance that could be tied or broken today) the coldest maximum is +6° in 1912

The record low is -21° set in 1979 the record warmest minimum is 37° (that record also could be broken today)

The most snow fall is 6.9” in 1991

The most on the ground is 17” in 1999

Last yar the H/L was 43/28 0.25” of rain fell and there was no snow on the ground.

 

Pretty sad, but looks like we continue last year's theme of the core winter months being much less "wintery" than December. So much for building a decent snow pack (..sigh)

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Our snow is nearly gone this morning, as expected.  Maybe we can whiten it up again Sunday night.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Today is starting off very warm the official temperature at GRR already 53° (the record high for today is 55° set in 1980) Here at my house I now have a reading of 51° and while there is still snow on the ground here there is also a LOT of bare ground now showing.  This January thaw is really taken a toll on the snow pack and there is more snow melt yet to come.  And while there looks to be a good cool down for the weekend and the start of next week after that it looks to warm up once again!  There also looks to be more rain than snow in the next 7 to 10 days or more.

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Both GEFS/EPS ensembles are still showing a noteworthy clipper traversing the region during the MLK holiday.  In fact, the track is ideal for MKE/ORD areas to get some Lehs/LES and the back end of the system.  Gosh, I've been waiting for one of these clippers this season to perform as such.  We are getting inside the 4 day range so things can change but given the track record of the GFS for our current system, I'm more inclined to believe we have a good shot for many of us on here to get an appreciable snow that can whiten up the landscape again.  Looks like the 00z Euro is spitting out as much as .20-.30qpf for the surrounding area.

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Grass is covered in drifted areas from today, but untouched areas still have plenty of tips exposed. Rooting for the clipper tomorrow. Need about 1.5" to cover the grass. Temp has dropped to 12*F on my balcony, the wind chill has to be at the most -8*F.

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Both GEFS/EPS ensembles are still showing a noteworthy clipper traversing the region during the MLK holiday.  In fact, the track is ideal for MKE/ORD areas to get some Lehs/LES and the back end of the system.  Gosh, I've been waiting for one of these clippers this season to perform as such.  We are getting inside the 4 day range so things can change but given the track record of the GFS for our current system, I'm more inclined to believe we have a good shot for many of us on here to get an appreciable snow that can whiten up the landscape again.  Looks like the 00z Euro is spitting out as much as .20-.30qpf for the surrounding area.

Should have some amazing ratios as well. 20:1 or better. DGZ looks to be about as deep as you can get, at least here. Even 0.1 or 0.2” would yield some nice totals.

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With the spring like temperatures (52° here at my house) and a lot of bare ground now showing, I took down the outside Christmas decorations. The snow pack has really taken a toll here now in my area we are down to about a 40/60 snow coverage that is around 40% of the ground is now bare and on the roofs its looks like a 25/75 coverage with about 75% of the roofs now snow free and of course that helps with the roof run off.

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LOL, I just don't get the desire to "fluff totals" via ratios. Yeah, you briefly get more depth, but it can blow away much easier, sublimates quicker, and settles in record time. Strong sun is a threat if you even get close to the freezing mark. Sunday night--> Monday morning's snow was the real-deal 10:1 packing snow over SMI (the first this winter) and it was awesome. Everything looked like deep winter - too bad it took an imminent thaw to get that kind of white gold. Three days, and it's long gone..

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Both GEFS/EPS ensembles are still showing a noteworthy clipper traversing the region during the MLK holiday.  In fact, the track is ideal for MKE/ORD areas to get some Lehs/LES and the back end of the system.  Gosh, I've been waiting for one of these clippers this season to perform as such.  We are getting inside the 4 day range so things can change but given the track record of the GFS for our current system, I'm more inclined to believe we have a good shot for many of us on here to get an appreciable snow that can whiten up the landscape again.  Looks like the 00z Euro is spitting out as much as .20-.30qpf for the surrounding area.

I just took a look at the seasonal snow fall totals for Chicago and Rockford and I cannot believe the seasonal numbers only 5.5” at Chicago and 5.8” at Rockford.

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I just took a look at the seasonal snow fall totals for Chicago and Rockford and I cannot believe the seasonal numbers only 5.5” at Chicago and 5.8” at Rockford.

Indeed! Pretty sad, but hopefully we can double that from the MLK clipper. Would be nice.

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I just took a look at the seasonal snow fall totals for Chicago and Rockford and I cannot believe the seasonal numbers only 5.5” at Chicago and 5.8” at Rockford.

 

October: November may start off with a bang.  Fast and furious start to winter on the way

November: Been pretty dull, pattern change on the way.  December will be crazy.

December: Zzzzzzzzz  Hope we can manage an inch for a white Christmas.  Things look ripe for January

January: Well December was pretty crappy, but hey we got an inch for a white Christmas - horray.  February will be insane.

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Well, Christmas light are down......Yayyyyyyy!!!!!! Some of my light workers actually sweated ova this. Crazy Thaw upon us.  :blink:

 

Currently @ 52F. Major beating on my beautiful snowpack. MA Nature betta give it back to me this weekend or else I will get pissed off w her!! ;)

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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LOL, I just don't get the desire to "fluff totals" via ratios. Yeah, you briefly get more depth, but it can blow away much easier, sublimates quicker, and settles in record time. Strong sun is a threat if you even get close to the freezing mark. Sunday night--> Monday morning's snow was the real-deal 10:1 packing snow over SMI (the first this winter) and it was awesome. Everything looked like deep winter - too bad it took an imminent thaw to get that kind of white gold. Three days, and it's long gone..

In a winter where most of us are desperate for any snow and you’re gonna LOL our ‘fluff’? Haha. Come on man.

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