Hawkeye Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Today's 12z UK is quite strong with the late weekend clipper. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Today's 12z UK is quite strong with the late weekend clipper.I'd say. Wow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 GFS with a decent clipper over a large swath Sunday night into Monday AM http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018011012/120/snku_024h.us_mw.pngA whopping inch for Chi-Town...can't wait. Good luck to you guys to the west of us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 A whopping inch for Chi-Town...can't wait. Good luck to you guys to the west of us. That isn't the whole run, i just couldn't get every area covered on a 24 hour snow map. Chicago is showing a couple inches when you extend it out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 That isn't the whole run, i just couldn't get every area covered on a 24 hour snow map. Chicago is showing a couple inches when you extend it out. Don't you dare get me excited!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Today's 12z UK is quite strong with the late weekend clipper.Do you have a map? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Canadian is pretty good in this area through Monday. As always, who the heck knows what model will be correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Do you have a map?The euro is northeast and weaker. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 The euro is northeast and weaker. uk_precip_011012.pngWeaker is the way to go as this has been the theme most of the winter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Today's 12z UK is quite strong with the late weekend clipper. Fluke run?? Heard tell this was fading fast on main globals.. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Anyone else know what's up with Amwx? More server issues? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 50* on my balcony right now. It's almost as if there's a bunch of warm air pushed to here. I wonder if there's a strong cold front coming? Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 GEM is pretty strong with the clipper for this weekend for most of the area Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Looks like all of Wi is under 3"+ snow by next Tues. Northern wi under 10 to 15 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 to the end of February only 9.4” of snow fell. Note this season the total snow fall now stand at 39.2”Today is starting off very warm the official temperature at GRR already 52° (the record high for today is 55° set in 1980) Here at my house I now have a reading of 49° and while there is still snow on the ground here there is also a LOT of bare ground now showing. This January thaw is really taken a toll on the snow pack and there is more snow melt yet to come. And while there looks to be a good cool down for the weekend and the start of next week after that it looks to warm up once again! There also looks to be more rain than snow in the next 7 to 10 days or more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Climatology for today January 11th At Grand Rapids, MIThe average H/L is 31/18The record high is 55° set in 1980 (there is chance that could be tied or broken today) the coldest maximum is +6° in 1912The record low is -21° set in 1979 the record warmest minimum is 37° (that record also could be broken today)The most snow fall is 6.9” in 1991The most on the ground is 17” in 1999Last yar the H/L was 43/28 0.25” of rain fell and there was no snow on the ground. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 It is so nice outside, wow. Hasn't felt this pleasant in a long time. I better enjoy this b4 the Arctic Express roars in. CF approaching late tanite could trigger a couple of inches IMBY. There could be a few lollipops , mostly south of i-69. Btw: currently @ 50F. Dang! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Blowing snow outside. 15.3F on my balcony right now, but the wind chill is way, way colder. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 50 here as well! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 to the end of February only 9.4” of snow fell. Note this season the total snow fall now stand at 39.2”Today is starting off very warm the official temperature at GRR already 52° (the record high for today is 55° set in 1980) Here at my house I now have a reading of 49° and while there is still snow on the ground here there is also a LOT of bare ground now showing. This January thaw is really taken a toll on the snow pack and there is more snow melt yet to come. And while there looks to be a good cool down for the weekend and the start of next week after that it looks to warm up once again! There also looks to be more rain than snow in the next 7 to 10 days or more. Climatology for today January 11th At Grand Rapids, MIThe average H/L is 31/18The record high is 55° set in 1980 (there is chance that could be tied or broken today) the coldest maximum is +6° in 1912The record low is -21° set in 1979 the record warmest minimum is 37° (that record also could be broken today)The most snow fall is 6.9” in 1991The most on the ground is 17” in 1999Last yar the H/L was 43/28 0.25” of rain fell and there was no snow on the ground. Pretty sad, but looks like we continue last year's theme of the core winter months being much less "wintery" than December. So much for building a decent snow pack (..sigh) Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Our snow is nearly gone this morning, as expected. Maybe we can whiten it up again Sunday night. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Today is starting off very warm the official temperature at GRR already 53° (the record high for today is 55° set in 1980) Here at my house I now have a reading of 51° and while there is still snow on the ground here there is also a LOT of bare ground now showing. This January thaw is really taken a toll on the snow pack and there is more snow melt yet to come. And while there looks to be a good cool down for the weekend and the start of next week after that it looks to warm up once again! There also looks to be more rain than snow in the next 7 to 10 days or more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Both GEFS/EPS ensembles are still showing a noteworthy clipper traversing the region during the MLK holiday. In fact, the track is ideal for MKE/ORD areas to get some Lehs/LES and the back end of the system. Gosh, I've been waiting for one of these clippers this season to perform as such. We are getting inside the 4 day range so things can change but given the track record of the GFS for our current system, I'm more inclined to believe we have a good shot for many of us on here to get an appreciable snow that can whiten up the landscape again. Looks like the 00z Euro is spitting out as much as .20-.30qpf for the surrounding area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Grass is covered in drifted areas from today, but untouched areas still have plenty of tips exposed. Rooting for the clipper tomorrow. Need about 1.5" to cover the grass. Temp has dropped to 12*F on my balcony, the wind chill has to be at the most -8*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Both GEFS/EPS ensembles are still showing a noteworthy clipper traversing the region during the MLK holiday. In fact, the track is ideal for MKE/ORD areas to get some Lehs/LES and the back end of the system. Gosh, I've been waiting for one of these clippers this season to perform as such. We are getting inside the 4 day range so things can change but given the track record of the GFS for our current system, I'm more inclined to believe we have a good shot for many of us on here to get an appreciable snow that can whiten up the landscape again. Looks like the 00z Euro is spitting out as much as .20-.30qpf for the surrounding area.Should have some amazing ratios as well. 20:1 or better. DGZ looks to be about as deep as you can get, at least here. Even 0.1 or 0.2” would yield some nice totals. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 With the spring like temperatures (52° here at my house) and a lot of bare ground now showing, I took down the outside Christmas decorations. The snow pack has really taken a toll here now in my area we are down to about a 40/60 snow coverage that is around 40% of the ground is now bare and on the roofs its looks like a 25/75 coverage with about 75% of the roofs now snow free and of course that helps with the roof run off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 LOL, I just don't get the desire to "fluff totals" via ratios. Yeah, you briefly get more depth, but it can blow away much easier, sublimates quicker, and settles in record time. Strong sun is a threat if you even get close to the freezing mark. Sunday night--> Monday morning's snow was the real-deal 10:1 packing snow over SMI (the first this winter) and it was awesome. Everything looked like deep winter - too bad it took an imminent thaw to get that kind of white gold. Three days, and it's long gone.. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Ideal pivot on the 12z GFS and it looks like it strengthens as it does so. Lehs signature showing up in WI and will slide down into IL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Both GEFS/EPS ensembles are still showing a noteworthy clipper traversing the region during the MLK holiday. In fact, the track is ideal for MKE/ORD areas to get some Lehs/LES and the back end of the system. Gosh, I've been waiting for one of these clippers this season to perform as such. We are getting inside the 4 day range so things can change but given the track record of the GFS for our current system, I'm more inclined to believe we have a good shot for many of us on here to get an appreciable snow that can whiten up the landscape again. Looks like the 00z Euro is spitting out as much as .20-.30qpf for the surrounding area.I just took a look at the seasonal snow fall totals for Chicago and Rockford and I cannot believe the seasonal numbers only 5.5” at Chicago and 5.8” at Rockford. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 very solid clipper. I hope it doesn't move any further east for my sake, but definitely affecting a large area with some decent snow. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018011112/102/snku_024h.us_mw.png 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 I just took a look at the seasonal snow fall totals for Chicago and Rockford and I cannot believe the seasonal numbers only 5.5” at Chicago and 5.8” at Rockford.Indeed! Pretty sad, but hopefully we can double that from the MLK clipper. Would be nice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Thinking of firing up a "MLK clipper" thread later this evening when I'm back in the saddle...hope the rest of 12z suite shows consistency... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 I just took a look at the seasonal snow fall totals for Chicago and Rockford and I cannot believe the seasonal numbers only 5.5” at Chicago and 5.8” at Rockford. October: November may start off with a bang. Fast and furious start to winter on the wayNovember: Been pretty dull, pattern change on the way. December will be crazy.December: Zzzzzzzzz Hope we can manage an inch for a white Christmas. Things look ripe for JanuaryJanuary: Well December was pretty crappy, but hey we got an inch for a white Christmas - horray. February will be insane. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Well, Christmas light are down......Yayyyyyyy!!!!!! Some of my light workers actually sweated ova this. Crazy Thaw upon us. Currently @ 52F. Major beating on my beautiful snowpack. MA Nature betta give it back to me this weekend or else I will get pissed off w her!! Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 58 right now - C'mon 60 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 CANADIAN http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2018011112/096/snku_024h.us_mw.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 58 right now - C'mon 60C’mon 61F...at least tie an 1880 record high... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 12z GFS showing 6-12” in Chicago and NW IN from the clipper...nice 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 LOL, I just don't get the desire to "fluff totals" via ratios. Yeah, you briefly get more depth, but it can blow away much easier, sublimates quicker, and settles in record time. Strong sun is a threat if you even get close to the freezing mark. Sunday night--> Monday morning's snow was the real-deal 10:1 packing snow over SMI (the first this winter) and it was awesome. Everything looked like deep winter - too bad it took an imminent thaw to get that kind of white gold. Three days, and it's long gone..In a winter where most of us are desperate for any snow and you’re gonna LOL our ‘fluff’? Haha. Come on man. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 C’mon 61F...at least tie an 1880 record high...Holy wow. That’s impressive! It’s 6F here! Amazing difference. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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