Jump to content

January 2018 Observations and Discussions


Tom

Recommended Posts

January 2018 looks to make a cold entrance. Lets see how this month plays out and if it will be as good as December was for MBY.

  • Like 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I appreciate that! Years ago, when I was just a kid, watching Tom Skilling on WGN and also TWC, the weather became a fascination to me. It was not until 4 or 5 years ago where I became very curious of the climate and how it all works together. Until recently, I became overwhelmed by the majesty of the weather and climate around the globe and how it impacts our lives. My intentions are to work on some peculiar plans in this field in the years to come, but first, I need to finish getting our companies project off the ground and running in 2018 as we anticipate to come out of the gates roaring. At least, that is the plan...

I'm thinking Chicago does really good in January, would not be surprised if you jackpot tbh! Skilling was an immediate wx idol for me this first time I caught him on WGN (via cable) circa 1982?? But, I'd have to guess that growing up in those fabulous 70's winters is the root source of my passion for extreme conditions and snowstorms. KFNT near my home town not only did well with the 3-in-a-row that everyone remembers, but the 74-75 season was their snowiest on record with 83" until 13-14 narrowly surpassed that total. 4 out of 5 winters during the formable age of 10-15 were top 5 record setting for my region. Ofc, as a youth I thought that was "normal", LOL

  • Like 1

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

@ Jaster

 

I think December ended up between 21-26" IMBY. First storm walloped my area w 10inches, 2nd w 7.2inches and had a few smaller ones ranging within 2-4". Safe to say, that my snowfall tally #s run close to accuracy. Dont have time to do the search!

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Boston might be in for a major snowstorm next week. NYC is looking 50/50. All depends on the track.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Starting with Wed night's clipper the pattern looks active going forward! CMC is a bit rainy with next Sunday's system and develops it more like a panhandle system while the GFS has the west to east look and way less wound-up. Long ways to go. I could stand a little rain tbh. Would settle and solidify this 2nd fluff stack into a more respectable base similar to Jan '14

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Rise and shine!  Welcome to 2018!  The future is here...as the sun rises, the temp at ORD dipped to a current low of -8F with a -27F WC under clear skies.  Looking back, I guess the GFS wasn't off its rocker showing mid -20's for this period days ago prior to this Arctic blast.

 

Here are some morning lows across N IL...

 

DSdUngtWsAAlIe-.jpg

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The heart of the arctic cold is centered over Montana and taking the reign as the coldest readings this morning across the north.  Some spots are approaching temps of -40F!  Ouch!  Locations in the eastern part of the state and western ND are in the epicenter at the moment directly underneath the monster HP.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It is -8F in Topeka, KS with no snow OTG (just patches of snow).  Can you imagine how cold it would have been if they were to have 6" OTG???  Fast forward this pattern in mid/late Feb with snow OTG and you can let your mind wonder.

 

Speaking of snow, the system that has been showing up on the models for a few days now towards the tail end of this weekend, looks like the northern energy may be the dominant player.  If we were to take the LRC cycle (centered around 47-79 days), there was a system that tracked north of MN Nov 23-24 towards Ontario.  Due to seasonal shifts and blocking, this system seems to be tracking a bit farther south now and will impact mainly our eastern sub forum region.  There was also a southern piece that didn't quite phase with this system back in Cycle 2 and the 00z Euro was hinting at this so that is something to look for.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Officially 7.1” at the airport. 21.8” is normal to date. But the airport always seems to be a spot with lower totals than everywhere else.

I think its time to turn things around!  Later this weekend is the next opportunity I think for you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well, December's final numbers for MBY are as follows:

 

Snowfall: 22.5"

Temps: -3.2F below normal

 

Coldest Temp was -15F

 

Very impressive, indeed. :D

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

:lol: :lol:

 

namconus_asnow_seus_24.png

Parts of northern FL gets accumulating snow.

  • Like 2

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Currently @ 7F w great snowcover around.

 

Arctic express roars in by midweek after a weak clipper passes on by on Weds and crashes my temps even furthermore.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

HAPPY NEW YEAR 

 

Here at my house for the 2nd nigh in a row received 0.25” of new snow. And with the light snow I am getting at this time it now has snow here in Grand Rapids ever day for the last 12 days.  With the compacting of the snow I now have 10.5” on the ground here. December mean temperature was 24.4° making this the coldest December here since December 2000, That December Grand Rapids recorded 59.2” of snow fall BUT January 2001 there was only 4.1” of snow fall.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The Cedar Rapids airport bottomed out at -24 (all-time record is -29).  Here in the city the range was -17 to -21.  I'm not sure how cold my yard gets relative to others.

 

Cedar Rapids was already -22 before midnight, so a new daily record was set for both December 31st and January 1st.  Another record may be set tonight for Janauary 2nd.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The extent of wind chill headlines tonight has to break some sort of record. Nearly everyone east of the rockies...

 

8cb9555ca34d06e621503bb2aa2cf058.png

Barney rampage maps vindicated!!

  • Like 2

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well, December's final numbers for MBY are as follows:

 

Snowfall: 22.5"

Temps: -3.2F below normal

 

Very impressive, indeed. :D

Over here in GR the numbers are Snowfall 32.9" Temperature mean 24.4° that is good for a departure of -4.1° coldest December since 2000. Note the coldest December in Grand Rapids is 17.1° With a mean temperature of 26.6° This is also the coldest December at Detroit since 2000 when the mean was 19.2° The all time coldest December at Detroit is 17.8° set in 1876 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

That’s quite the storm off the east coast (euro gets it down to 945 mb)

I'm sure the east coast snow geese are salivating for this thing to track farther west.  What a tease this would be to track just enough far offshore to only graze the Boston area.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

HAPPY NEW YEAR 

 

Here at my house for the 2nd nigh in a row received 0.25” of new snow. And with the light snow I am getting at this time it now has snow here in Grand Rapids ever day for the last 12 days.  With the compacting of the snow I now have 10.5” on the ground here. December mean temperature was 24.4° making this the coldest December here since December 2000, That December Grand Rapids recorded 59.2” of snow fall BUT January 2001 there was only 4.1” of snow fall.

Happy New Year back atcha WMJim

 

Despite all these record bitter temps, our frost depth is practically non-existent and one reason I'm not a fan of flips to cold with snow fall immediately following. Much prefer 5-7 days of freezing temps prior. Need a good 6+" of frost to protect against the dreaded melting from both sides that caused our first snow pack to vanish so quickly.

 

Soil temperatures taken under grass covered soil at 7AM EST/8AM EDT

:............................................................

: Station Soil Temperature (degrees F)

:............................................................

:

NWS Grand Rapids: 2 in: : 32

NWS Grand Rapids: 4 in: : 33

NWS Grand Rapids: 8 in: : 34

NWS Grand Rapids: 20 in: : 36

NWS Grand Rapids: 40 in: : 41

NWS Grand Rapids: 60 in: : 40

:............................................................

 

 

Frost depth under grass covered soil at 7AM EST/8AM EDT

:............................................................

: Station Frost Depth

: Name Inches

:............................................................

:

: Big Rapids : M

: Nws Grand Rapids : 2

: Grandville : M

: Hastings : 0

 

 

M = Missing

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...