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January 2018 Observations and Discussions

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#101
gosaints

Posted 01 January 2018 - 05:29 AM

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-44 windchill... Gonna take some real work to get large areas above average in snowfall this season.

#102
St Paul Storm

Posted 01 January 2018 - 05:36 AM

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-44 windchill... Gonna take some real work to get large areas above average in snowfall this season.


Wow. No wind here currently so a temp of -14 yields a WC of -18. Feels warm!

We’re already 14” below normal at MSP. Headed for a third straight year well below normal snowfall.

#103
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 05:38 AM

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Wow. No wind here currently so a temp of -14 yields a WC of -18. Feels warm!

We’re already 14” below normal at MSP. Headed for a third straight year well below normal snowfall.

What is MSP's season total thus far???



#104
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 05:54 AM

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The heart of the arctic cold is centered over Montana and taking the reign as the coldest readings this morning across the north.  Some spots are approaching temps of -40F!  Ouch!  Locations in the eastern part of the state and western ND are in the epicenter at the moment directly underneath the monster HP.


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#105
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 06:03 AM

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ORD just dipped to -9F and approaching the record of -10F for the date...it's interesting that the temp has dropped even though the sun is up over the horizon.


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#106
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 06:18 AM

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It is -8F in Topeka, KS with no snow OTG (just patches of snow).  Can you imagine how cold it would have been if they were to have 6" OTG???  Fast forward this pattern in mid/late Feb with snow OTG and you can let your mind wonder.

 

Speaking of snow, the system that has been showing up on the models for a few days now towards the tail end of this weekend, looks like the northern energy may be the dominant player.  If we were to take the LRC cycle (centered around 47-79 days), there was a system that tracked north of MN Nov 23-24 towards Ontario.  Due to seasonal shifts and blocking, this system seems to be tracking a bit farther south now and will impact mainly our eastern sub forum region.  There was also a southern piece that didn't quite phase with this system back in Cycle 2 and the 00z Euro was hinting at this so that is something to look for.



#107
St Paul Storm

Posted 01 January 2018 - 06:29 AM

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What is MSP's season total thus far???


Officially 7.1” at the airport. 21.8” is normal to date. But the airport always seems to be a spot with lower totals than everywhere else.

#108
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 06:37 AM

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Officially 7.1” at the airport. 21.8” is normal to date. But the airport always seems to be a spot with lower totals than everywhere else.

I think its time to turn things around!  Later this weekend is the next opportunity I think for you.



#109
Niko

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:08 AM

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Well, December's final numbers for MBY are as follows:

 

Snowfall: 22.5"

Temps: -3.2F below normal

 

Coldest Temp was -15F

 

Very impressive, indeed. :D



#110
Niko

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:09 AM

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:lol: :lol:

 

namconus_asnow_seus_24.png

Parts of northern FL gets accumulating snow.


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#111
Niko

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:12 AM

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Currently @ 7F w great snowcover around.

 

Arctic express roars in by midweek after a weak clipper passes on by on Weds and crashes my temps even furthermore.



#112
westMJim

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:41 AM

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HAPPY NEW YEAR 

 

Here at my house for the 2nd nigh in a row received 0.25” of new snow. And with the light snow I am getting at this time it now has snow here in Grand Rapids ever day for the last 12 days.  With the compacting of the snow I now have 10.5” on the ground here. December mean temperature was 24.4° making this the coldest December here since December 2000, That December Grand Rapids recorded 59.2” of snow fall BUT January 2001 there was only 4.1” of snow fall.


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#113
Hawkeye

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:50 AM

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The Cedar Rapids airport bottomed out at -24 (all-time record is -29).  Here in the city the range was -17 to -21.  I'm not sure how cold my yard gets relative to others.

 

Cedar Rapids was already -22 before midnight, so a new daily record was set for both December 31st and January 1st.  Another record may be set tonight for Janauary 2nd.


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season snowfall: 3.4"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#114
jaster220

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:51 AM

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The extent of wind chill headlines tonight has to break some sort of record. Nearly everyone east of the rockies...
 
8cb9555ca34d06e621503bb2aa2cf058.png


Barney rampage maps vindicated!!
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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#115
Money

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:52 AM

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That’s quite the storm off the east coast (euro gets it down to 945 mb)
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#116
Madtown

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:52 AM

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-13 this am....brrrr

#117
westMJim

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:56 AM

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Well, December's final numbers for MBY are as follows:

 

Snowfall: 22.5"

Temps: -3.2F below normal

 

Very impressive, indeed. :D

Over here in GR the numbers are Snowfall 32.9" Temperature mean 24.4° that is good for a departure of -4.1° coldest December since 2000. Note the coldest December in Grand Rapids is 17.1° With a mean temperature of 26.6° This is also the coldest December at Detroit since 2000 when the mean was 19.2° The all time coldest December at Detroit is 17.8° set in 1876 


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#118
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:56 AM

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That’s quite the storm off the east coast (euro gets it down to 945 mb)

I'm sure the east coast snow geese are salivating for this thing to track farther west.  What a tease this would be to track just enough far offshore to only graze the Boston area.



#119
jaster220

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:57 AM

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HAPPY NEW YEAR 
 
Here at my house for the 2nd nigh in a row received 0.25” of new snow. And with the light snow I am getting at this time it now has snow here in Grand Rapids ever day for the last 12 days.  With the compacting of the snow I now have 10.5” on the ground here. December mean temperature was 24.4° making this the coldest December here since December 2000, That December Grand Rapids recorded 59.2” of snow fall BUT January 2001 there was only 4.1” of snow fall.


Happy New Year back atcha WMJim

Despite all these record bitter temps, our frost depth is practically non-existent and one reason I'm not a fan of flips to cold with snow fall immediately following. Much prefer 5-7 days of freezing temps prior. Need a good 6+" of frost to protect against the dreaded melting from both sides that caused our first snow pack to vanish so quickly.

Soil temperatures taken under grass covered soil at 7AM EST/8AM EDT
:............................................................
: Station Soil Temperature (degrees F)
:............................................................
:
NWS Grand Rapids: 2 in: : 32
NWS Grand Rapids: 4 in: : 33
NWS Grand Rapids: 8 in: : 34
NWS Grand Rapids: 20 in: : 36
NWS Grand Rapids: 40 in: : 41
NWS Grand Rapids: 60 in: : 40
:............................................................


Frost depth under grass covered soil at 7AM EST/8AM EDT
:............................................................
: Station Frost Depth
: Name Inches
:............................................................
:
: Big Rapids : M
: Nws Grand Rapids : 2
: Grandville : M
: Hastings : 0


M = Missing

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#120
Money

Posted 01 January 2018 - 07:58 AM

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I'm sure the east coast snow geese are salivating for this thing to track farther west. What a tease this would be to track just enough far offshore to only graze the Boston area.


Gem destroys them lol

#121
jaster220

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:01 AM

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Well, December's final numbers for MBY are as follows:

Snowfall: 22.5"
Temps: -3.2F below normal

Very impressive, indeed. :D

Very impressive indeed, but I still BEAT you in the end with my 24.2"! Way to talk smack tho while you were temporarily in the lead. :-P :-P

Oh, and Happy New Year to ya Niko!! ;-)
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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#122
westMJim

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:05 AM

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Climatology for today January 1stt     At Grand Rapids, MI

The average H/L for today in Grand Rapids is 30/20

The record high is 56° set in 1897 the record coldest maximum is 13° set in 1968

The record low is -15° set in 1968 the warmest minimum is 40° set in 1950

The most snow fall is 5.7” in 1995

The most on the ground is 12” in 2001

Last year the high was 39 the low was 23 and there was no snow on the ground.

 

Side not as Jaster220 stated the ground is not frozen very deep here in west Michigan and that is true in much of norther Michigan as well as we get snow cover way before the ground gets very cold. 


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#123
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:11 AM

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HAPPY NEW YEAR 

 

Here at my house for the 2nd nigh in a row received 0.25” of new snow. And with the light snow I am getting at this time it now has snow here in Grand Rapids ever day for the last 12 days.  With the compacting of the snow I now have 10.5” on the ground here. December mean temperature was 24.4° making this the coldest December here since December 2000, That December Grand Rapids recorded 59.2” of snow fall BUT January 2001 there was only 4.1” of snow fall.

Happy New Year!  Like many on here, I'm always impressed with your stats.  Keep up the good work in 2018!  BTW, I would love to be in your position and have the streak of days with snow falling at your place.  This week, I'm sure your going to add in that dept with the LES that is forecast to hit around the Wed-Fri period.



#124
jaster220

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:13 AM

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That’s quite the storm off the east coast (euro gets it down to 945 mb)

  

I'm sure the east coast snow geese are salivating for this thing to track farther west.  What a tease this would be to track just enough far offshore to only graze the Boston area.


After they've had 4 decades worth of Big Dogs since 2004, plus the epic 2015 season, you expect me to be sympathetic if they should get teased/missed? They have a decade worth of teases coming if all is fair or right, lol

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#125
LNK_Weather

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:14 AM

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Forgot to say what the temp was on my balcony this morning! Oh well. Right now it is -8 but the wind is calm.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#126
Niko

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:14 AM

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Very impressive indeed, but I still BEAT you in the end with my 24.2"! Way to talk smack tho while you were temporarily in the lead. :-P :-P

I didn't know we were racing. Dude, you are in a snowbelt area, how can you possibly compare SWMI w SEMI and have hopes to BEAT me. :rolleyes: If you like racing so much, let me know other ways you like to challenge me! ;) Us New Yorkers have many possible ways.



#127
Niko

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:17 AM

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Currently, at 10F w a slight breeze. Plenty of Sunshine.



#128
jaster220

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:18 AM

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Gem destroys them lol


Per AmWx chatta, this storm is supposed to cause a more favorable re-alignment of the stagnant 500 mb pattern. Some dude had a good post. He's like a techno-worded version of Tom, lol

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#129
hlcater

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:20 AM

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Per AmWx chatta, this storm is supposed to cause a more favorable re-alignment of the stagnant 500 mb pattern. Some dude had a good post. He's like a techno-worded version of Tom, lol


Isotherm?
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2018-19 Snowfall: 

TOTAL: 3.5"

 

(Nov. 9: 0.6") (Nov. 17: 2.9")

Formerly NWLinn


#130
Niko

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:20 AM

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After they've had 4 decades worth of Big Dogs since 2004, plus the epic 2015 season, you expect me to be sympathetic if they should get teased/missed? They have a decade worth of teases coming if all is fair or right, lol

Why not...The Atlantic Ocean is what helps them get the "Big Dogs". Nothing wrong w that. You get moisture from there and GOM and you get a major EC snowstorm. Of course, getting the benchmark track plays a big role.



#131
Money

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:28 AM

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12z gfs is a good hit for most of WI

http://www.pivotalwe...2&r=us_mw&dpdt=
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#132
LNK_Weather

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:42 AM

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Don't have a good feeling about this. I think this will be another S MN special which misses a lot of us.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#133
Niko

Posted 01 January 2018 - 08:42 AM

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Oh Boy......

gem_asnow_neus_18.png



#134
Snowlover76

Posted 01 January 2018 - 09:20 AM

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Why not...The Atlantic Ocean is what helps them get the "Big Dogs". Nothing wrong w that. You get moisture from there and GOM and you get a major EC snowstorm. Of course, getting the benchmark track plays a big role.


Meh. Those weenies are spoiled rotten. Look at nyc and their big storm history, prior to 1996 they hardly ever got storms over 8". Now they get them all the time
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#135
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 09:30 AM

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Surfs up!  Brave soul out on the water near MKE...

 

DSZTyrsXkAYXPHy.jpg


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#136
jaster220

Posted 01 January 2018 - 09:52 AM

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Isotherm?

Don't have a good feeling about this. I think this will be another S MN special which misses a lot of us.


Already snow down at h144! Someone in MN should take the lead and kick off a thread!

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#137
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 09:54 AM

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Already snow down at h144! Someone in MN should take the lead and kick off a thread!

 

Already snow down at h144! Someone in MN should take the lead and kick off a thread!

12z GEFS look better down this way actually...let's see what the 12z Euro shows in a bit.


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#138
jaster220

Posted 01 January 2018 - 09:54 AM

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Isotherm?


Yep, that's the post..

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#139
NEJeremy

Posted 01 January 2018 - 09:57 AM

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So now it looks like next weekend’s storm goes way north of here as once again the southwest flow and Colorado low storm goes bye bye. At least it’s going to warm up! #FooledYouAgain

#140
NEJeremy

Posted 01 January 2018 - 09:58 AM

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Omaha broke their 130 year record hitting -20 this morning
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#141
Money

Posted 01 January 2018 - 09:59 AM

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12z GEFS look better down this way actually...let's see what the 12z Euro shows in a bit.


https://www.tropical...2&xpos=0&ypos=0

Looks like a lot have a stronger southern low?

#142
jaster220

Posted 01 January 2018 - 10:06 AM

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Meh. Those weenies are spoiled rotten. Look at nyc and their big storm history, prior to 1996 they hardly ever got storms over 8". Now they get them all the time


This! They've gotten your BD's. There has developed a major imbalance from Neb to Maine with a total bias to greater frequency of BD's. The further east you go, the greater the bias has accumulated. Someone from that sub posted last winter that Eastern Long Island up thru Boston and Maine was running 400% of normal for BD's since that streak began. Crazy stuff! I'd argue that everyone in this sub west of MI deserves a BD before that region cashes in again. I'd like to see one of those peeps endure what you Plains peeps have gone thru. Doubt they'd make it tbh. Would certainly change their perspective!

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#143
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 10:08 AM

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https://www.tropical...2&xpos=0&ypos=0

Looks like a lot have a stronger southern low?


More southern members showed up this run and seem to have that look the 12z GGEM showed.

#144
Niko

Posted 01 January 2018 - 10:09 AM

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Meh. Those weenies are spoiled rotten. Look at nyc and their big storm history, prior to 1996 they hardly ever got storms over 8". Now they get them all the time

Why are they weenies? You are not??!! Have ya ever lived there? Probably not!



#145
Money

Posted 01 January 2018 - 10:10 AM

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More southern members showed up this run and seem to have that look the 12z GGEM showed.


Do you have the total snowfall for the ensembles by any chance?

#146
jaster220

Posted 01 January 2018 - 10:12 AM

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Surfs up!  Brave soul out on the water near MKE...
 
DSZTyrsXkAYXPHy.jpg


Lol @ 3rd Coast surfing. You don't "ride" the wave, you flatten it! Brave? I'd question sanity first. Lol

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#147
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 10:16 AM

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Do you have the total snowfall for the ensembles by any chance?



2-3” mean across MN/WI/N IA/N IL/MI/N IN

#148
Niko

Posted 01 January 2018 - 10:20 AM

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Gorgeous day today w plenty of sunshine and temps in the teens. Tbh, I have gotten used to this frigid weather now, so it feels nice out. :lol:

 

Have lots of guests coming today. I am hosting friends and family. Busy day on tap. Hopefully, they leave early. ;) :P :D



#149
Money

Posted 01 January 2018 - 10:29 AM

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Euro looks interesting at hr 144
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#150
Tom

Posted 01 January 2018 - 10:35 AM

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Euro looks interesting at hr 144


Indeed, both UKIE and Euro showing the CO Low feature. Let’s see where this goes.
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