January Weather In the PNW

[Front Ranger]

Wow... they choose to do this in the middle of winter instead of in July or August?

 

BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING JANUARY 15 2018..THE KATX RADAR WILL BE OUT OF SERVICE

FOR THE PLANNED SERVICE LIFE EXTENSION PROJECT. THIS IS A MAJOR PROJECT THAT RE

QUIRES THE RADAR BE OUT OF SERVICE THROUGH THURSDAY JANUARY 18 2018. ADJACENT RA

DAR WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE DURING THIS PERIOD INCLUDING THE KLGX WA COASTAL RADAR

...KRTX AT PORTLAND OREGON...KPDT AT PENDLETON...AND KOTX AT SPOKANE.

 

At least there are no major events to track. Could be worse!

[TT-SEA]

SEA has crashed back down to 59.   So long 60s... see you again in February.   

[Bryant]

Many times... you come on here and barely even read through the detail and just attack me by default. And leave.

False. I always fully catch up before commenting. Life has been busy, and weather has been boring. Not much else to comment on

[MossMan]

http://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/this-is-winter-seattle-ties-all-time-january-record-high-at-64-degrees

 

How was the rest of Winter 1981?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

http://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/this-is-winter-seattle-ties-all-time-january-record-high-at-64-degrees

 

How was the rest of Winter 1981?

You don’t want to know...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

My daughters school in Oklahoma is canceled for tomorrow due to cold temperatures.

[BLI snowman]

http://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/this-is-winter-seattle-ties-all-time-january-record-high-at-64-degrees

 

How was the rest of Winter 1981?

Backdoor arctic airmass with some sleet/snow in mid February. Otherwise it was poo.

[Guest Dome Buster]

You don’t want to know...

What huge miss after huge miss in December even though Xmas eve down here was a great treat, it just ended too fast. 2 weeks out into February look alright though from a historical perspective. I can't remember who keeps saying it but this winter seems like it must score something great before it's over. Valentine's Day snowstorm anyone?

[MossMan]

You don’t want to know...

Well crap.

[TT-SEA]

My daughters school in Oklahoma is canceled for tomorrow due to cold temperatures.

 

Wimps!   It takes -50 windchill to cancel school in MN.  

 

Its going to be a balmy 25 there tomorrow.   

[Phil]

http://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/this-is-winter-seattle-ties-all-time-january-record-high-at-64-degrees

 

How was the rest of Winter 1981?

+QBO/Neutral ENSO/-AMO during a huge solar max..

 

I wouldn’t worry about repeating that one.

[Phil]

Wimps! It takes -50 windchill to cancel school in MN.

 

Its going to be a balmy 25 there tomorrow.

Wait, seriously? Lol Oklahoma.

 

Even us swamp people keep things open until windchills drop below -15*F.

[MossMan]

Backdoor arctic airmass with some sleet/snow in mid February. Otherwise it was poo.

How about February 1931?

[Phil]

SEA is like +3.5 now and PDX is like +4. I highly doubt January finishes below average, at this point.

[Phil]

(OT) Yet another Gulf Coast Snowfall this week. This is getting kinda ridiculous...already the 4th Gulf Coast event of the winter so far.

 

I also think this will be the 2nd one to affect in Houston. The only other years to pull this off since records began there in 1895 are 1925/26, 1972/73, and 1984/85.

 

Wow.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

(OT) Yet another Gulf Coast Snowfall this week. This is getting kinda ridiculous...already the 4th Gulf Coast event of the winter so far.

 

I also think this will be the 2nd one to affect in Houston. The only other years to pull this off since records began there in 1895 are 1925/26, 1972/73, and 1984/85.

 

Wow.

It's amazing the cold air has been able to dig that far south this winter. It looks like Charleston will just miss and be on the edge of another snowstorm this week.

[BLI snowman]

How about February 1931?

Trash. Strong Nino.

[TT-SEA]

SEA is like +3.5 now and PDX is like +4. I highly doubt January finishes below average, at this point.

 

Will not matter that the month ends up above normal if we get a memorable 5-day period of cold and snow.   

 

And getting back down to normal is no great accomplishment if it only comes via an extended period of 40-degree rain.    Talk about an empty victory given the potential this winter.

[Phil]

Will not matter that the month ends up above normal if we get a memorable 5-day period of cold and snow.

 

And getting back down to normal is no great accomplishment either if it only comes via an extended period of 40-degree rain. Talking about an empty victory.

What’s the average high/low up there now? Like 45/35?

 

And wouldn’t 40 degree onshore flow keep lows elevated? Or is that not how it works out there?

[BLI snowman]

SEA is like +3.5 now and PDX is like +4. I highly doubt January finishes below average, at this point.

Basically no chance as it stands on the models now.

[Phil]

Basically no chance as it stands on the models now.

In which case, expect a Flatiron-free February.

[TT-SEA]

What’s the average high/low up there now? Like 45/35?

 

And wouldn’t 40 degree onshore flow keep lows elevated? Or is that not how it works out there?

 

You quoted my original garbled post.   You are too fast.  

 

Normal right now at SEA is 47/37.

[Phil]

Let’s see how long this actually lasts. Keeps getting trimmed on the backend as the MJO approaches the warm pool.

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.sprd2.gif

[weatherfan2012]

[Kayla]

Wimps!   It takes -50 windchill to cancel school in MN.  

 

Its going to be a balmy 25 there tomorrow.   

 

Schools literally NEVER close here. -50 windchills nor two foot snowstorms. 

 

https://www.bozemandailychronicle.com/news/education/neither-snow-nor--below-closes-bozeman-schools/article_44ba9246-7735-11e3-83cf-0019bb2963f4.html

[Phil]

Schools literally NEVER close here. -50 windchills nor two foot snowstorms.

 

https://www.bozemandailychronicle.com/news/education/neither-snow-nor--below-closes-bozeman-schools/article_44ba9246-7735-11e3-83cf-0019bb2963f4.html

Out of curiosity, what’s Bozeman’s heaviest recorded snowfall?

[Phil]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wimps!   It takes -50 windchill to cancel school in MN.  

 

Its going to be a balmy 25 there tomorrow.   

 

The forecast high there is actually 16 tomorrow and the wind chill in the morning is forecast to be -15...So basically colder than pretty much any day Seattle has ever had (-3 is the forecast low tomorrow night.). And its not MN...So they aren't as used to it.

[TT-SEA]

The forecast high there is actually 16 tomorrow and the wind chill in the morning is forecast to be -15...So basically colder than pretty much any day Seattle has ever had (-3 is the forecast low tomorrow night.). And its not MN...So they aren't as used to it.

 

I did not check the actual NWS forecast... that a little different.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I did not check the actual NWS forecast... that a little different.  

http://www.weather.gov/images/tsa/graphicast/image1.png?9050bc56355e93ba1c7ef87d484534d3

 

And then a high of 61 on Saturday! While snow again falls to their south, I talked to my ex-wife and she said they have had no snow yet this winter at their house north of Tulsa near Bartlesville. 

[Kayla]

Out of curiosity, what’s Bozeman’s heaviest recorded snowfall?

 

I believe 27" in November 12th-13th of 2009. And you guessed it, schools stayed open.

[Phil]

[Kayla]

The forecast high there is actually 16 tomorrow and the wind chill in the morning is forecast to be -15...So basically colder than pretty much any day Seattle has ever had (-3 is the forecast low tomorrow night.). And its not MN...So they aren't as used to it.

 

That is quite cold, especially for the little kiddos who are not adapted and or clothing ready to handle it.

[Phil]

[Deweydog]

00z!

 

(said in an Australian accent)

[Guest Dome Buster]

There will be a fairly widespread snow around Valentine's Day. I'm feeling it.

[Jesse]

In which case, expect a Flatiron-free February.

The cockiness is a little hard to understand considering you were the one who predicted a three week arctic blast for us this month, and said you would literally bet hundreds of dollars on it happening.

 

A forecast for a month that is merely below average is pretty tame in comparison.

[Deweydog]

Tim...

 

Can u plz post the 00z temp anomaly maps 4 this weekend?

[Gradient Keeper]

Tim...

 

Can u plz post the 00z temp anomaly maps 4 this weekend?

[BLI snowman]

Have a good feeling that the 00z is gonna be the lamest run yet.