January Weather In the PNW

[Phil]

[Jesse]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I'm paying more attention to this, which is improving.

 

ecmwf-ens_z500a_namer_11.png

That is pretty nice. Interested to see the GFS ensembles .

[Phil]

[Front Ranger]

That is pretty nice. Interested to see the GFS ensembles .

 

The mean looks like the best yet to me. Stronger signal for more amplified Aleutian ridging, western trough, just need to shift everything a little ways east.

 

Pattern progression looks pretty darn similar to 1996.

[Deweydog]

#MLK

 

#ifitbleedsitleads

[MossMan]

The mean looks like the best yet to me. Stronger signal for more amplified Aleutian ridging, western trough, just need to shift everything a little ways east.

 

Pattern progression looks pretty darn similar to 1996.

I like the sounds of that!

[Winterdog]

The mean looks like the best yet to me. Stronger signal for more amplified Aleutian ridging, western trough, just need to shift everything a little ways east.

 

Pattern progression looks pretty darn similar to 1996.

It does look good but there is no appreciable cold air to work with.  Hopefully it will show up by then.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I like the sounds of that!

Haha. Your a nut.

[stuffradio]

Odd timing. I didn't see any of that going on this morning.

 

Especially compared to some recent days.

I removed posts.

[Phil]

It does look good but there is no appreciable cold air to work with. Hopefully it will show up by then.

Exactly how Justin likes it.

[ShawniganLake]

I'm paying more attention to this, which is improving.

 

ecmwf-ens_z500a_namer_11.png

Looks like it’s about to dig a trough off the coast, which it does in the 11-13 day period. Definitely going to need things to shift east a fair bit. Looks like more of a stormy seasonal temp pattern than a 1996 repeat.

[Phil]

Odd timing. I didn't see any of that going on this morning.

 

Especially compared to some recent days.

It wasn’t me this time..in case you’re wondering.

[FroYoBro]

Nah. Already enough of those on here. If I see another #MLK I think my eyes are gonna bleed.

#racist

[Front Ranger]

It does look good but there is no appreciable cold air to work with.  Hopefully it will show up by then.

 

It's definitely a mountain/foothill snow pattern at first. That's how Jan 1996 started as well.

[Front Ranger]

It wasn’t me this time..in case you’re wondering.

 

I didn't think so. Even though we disagree on stuff, most of the time we stay civil. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1996 had a decent event in the S valley basically Salem south to Eugene. It was a dry cold for a lot of the N Valley though. Unless I have the wrong year again. Hopefully we don't follow that regime with another 4 day atmospheric river like 1996.

 

I will start to get excited when we see action 7 days out or sooner. This clown-range edging and blue balling is awful.

[Phil]

Oh, and there’s plenty of cold air...

 

....In Eurasia. A few runs have -52C 850mb temperatures over there. Lordy.

[Deweydog]

Exactly how Justin likes it.

Yeah, I'd rather wait out the +PNA split flow regime. It always gets us to the promise land eventually.

[Phil]

OT, but holy mother of gawd.

 

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201801100004-KLWX-NOUS41-PNSLWX

 

The first week of January was one of the all-time greatest regional icebox events.

 

The average temperature from January 1st through 7th at Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport was a mere 15.2 degrees. This shattered the previous record for the coldest first week of January in the Baltimore area by over 3 degrees. The previous record was 18.4 degrees, set in 1918. Temperature records for the Baltimore area go back over 146 years to January of 1872.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

OT, but holy mother of gawd.

 

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201801100004-KLWX-NOUS41-PNSLWX

 

The first week of January was one of the all-time greatest regional icebox events.

 

 

One day...Jan 1950 will be beaten here.

[Jesse]

Yeah, I'd rather wait out the +PNA split flow regime. It always gets us to the promise land eventually.

Just a few more decades of that if it doesn’t reverse by spring.

[Phil]

Just a few more decades of that if it doesn’t reverse by spring.

Lol, you’re on fire tonight.

[Blizzard777]

64 here in college station

I will be in Austin on Thursday morning

Expect a bumpy landing! Front going through that day so going to be windy here and the temp drops as well

Have a safe trip

 

Jim

[MossMan]

I just got a text from the NAM, it’s bored and wants something exciting to track.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I just got a text from the NAM, it’s bored and wants exciting something to track.

It's on vacation in Maui

[Deweydog]

Y'all are gonna end up on report when snow wizard stops by for a positivity check.

[TT-SEA]

Y'all are gonna end up on report when snow wizard stops by for a positivity check.

 

Ever seen the USS Callister episode of Black Mirror on Netflix?

 

Its a good analog to our environment and the dynamic here when it comes to the Wizard.  

[Dave]

There is no hope. We're f*cked.

[Phil]

If we can still do it, you guys can too. It will definitely happen sooner or later.

 

Sorry about the OT, but this is just nuts. Apparently it was also the coldest 2 weeks of 12/25 - 1/7 on record. Even the modern day UHI couldn’t stop it. Holy icicles.

 

[MossMan]

Tim!! You were supposed to keep this CZ to yourself!!

[TT-SEA]

Tim!! You were supposed to keep this CZ to yourself!!

 

At least its dumping snow at the pass now... it can go all night and I will be happy.  

 

Its actually moved north of me now.   

[Front Ranger]

Ever seen the USS Callister episode of Black Mirror on Netflix?

 

Its a good analog to our environment and the dynamic here when it comes to the Wizard.  

 

Just got into that show! Almost every episode is thought-provoking and feels perfect for this point in human history.

[Front Ranger]

OT, but holy mother of gawd.

 

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201801100004-KLWX-NOUS41-PNSLWX

 

The first week of January was one of the all-time greatest regional icebox events.

 

 

Wow, that's amazing. No doubt this winter has been blocky as hell.

 

Probably a preview of what's ahead the next few years with solar min. 

[TT-SEA]

Just got into that show! Almost every episode is thought-provoking and feels perfect for this point in human history.

 

 

Well... watch USS Callister (Season 4 / Episode 1) and think of this forum and the Wizard. 

[umadbro]

Funnel cloud this evening SE of Aumsville

[Deweydog]

Ever seen the USS Callister episode of Black Mirror on Netflix?

 

Its a good analog to our environment and the dynamic here when it comes to the Wizard.

First I've heard of it. Good?

 

We just watched Mind Hunter over Xmas which was pretty good.

[HighlandExperience]

Wow, that's amazing. No doubt this winter has been blocky as hell.

 

Probably a preview of what's ahead the next few years with solar min.

Really hope we can cash in on that

[BLI snowman]

First I've heard of it. Good?

 

We just watched Mind Hunter over Xmas which was pretty good.

Black Mirror is very well done.

[TT-SEA]

First I've heard of it. Good?

 

We just watched Mind Hunter over Xmas which was pretty good.

 

Black Mirror is great... each episode is pretty much a stand alone movie.   Totally different characters too.   Usually the theme is around technology gone too far.