Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 English dude, English.Maybe this will help. http://www.geo.fu-berlin.de/met/ag/strat/produkte/qbo/qbo_wind_pdf.pdf Grey = westerlies White = easterlies Y-axis = altitude/pressure level X-axis = time. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 That winter was one for memories here. Dec of '13 tied our all time record low of -27 and it was brutal. Then Feb of '14 came in and it snowed off and on for five days and I recorded 33" in my backyard which then it turned very cold and also tied the all time record low once again. Crazy winter. My buddy was on his way back from Chicago during the big snowstorm here and couldn't make it in to PDX due to zr and snow there. Great memories. Benton and Linn Counties had 12-18" with the February, 2014. This after getting about 5-10" with the December storm. Corvallis/Albany/Lebanon, as well as Eugene had more snow than I did that winter. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 W. Canada and Alaska look substantially colder on the 18z. Trough still digs way to far offshore in the long range though...Pumps up a ridge ahead of it. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Through hour 276 I still like this run a lot better than the 12z. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Through hour 276 I still like this run a lot better than the 12z.We need to see hour 360+ before we'll have any idea if this is a good run. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 We need to see hour 360+ before we'll have any idea if this is a good run.True true Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Some of Phils stuff is hard to understand but can you imagine if he wrote everything in chinese?? ****. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 True trueDon’t look. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Yeah, I'm thinking next winter or the one after will finally deliver the big regional event we have been craving, but this one is looking like a dud. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Run is great at first...then a vortex wanders into Greenland and couples to the stratospheric PV there. Then it’s game over. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 W. Canada and Alaska look substantially colder on the 18z. Trough still digs way to far offshore in the long range though...Pumps up a ridge ahead of it. Yeah trough needs to move farther east for it to work out for us well. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Day 9 looks pretty darn good: But clown range is sober this time. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 The D16 vortex has a face. A fitting one, at that. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 At least the Salmon wx-weenie community will finally score.Well the NPS ain't a dry land index... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 The long range is not far off from being really good however. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 At least the torch in Alaska is finally ending. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 At least the torch in Alaska is finally ending.Until the MJO reaches the warm pool in ~ 3 weeks.. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Until the MJO reaches the warm pool in ~ 3 weeks..That’s when the perma +PNA resumes right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 That’s when the perma +PNA resumes right?You made it one day... Probably starts as +WPO/-EPO, I think. Not really seeing a full blown +PNA, but I didn’t see it in January either, and it will probably end up being another +PNA month. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 In other news, this is a behemoth trade wind burst over the warm pool. Even if it doesn’t mean much in the short term, it’s still nice to see, IMO. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 In other news, this is a behemoth trade wind burst over the warm pool. Even if it doesn’t mean much in the short term, it’s still nice to see, IMO. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gifSeems like this Nina is really taking off. Think we can go one more year with -ENSO? 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 The long range is not far off from being really good however. I feel like that is been said about 100 times this winter... DEAR LORD! <_> Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Remember when this was the ENSO forecast? Spring Barrier > Climate models. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Down to -1.6 now. 2 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Phil sucks! What multi-year Niña? Must be global warming again. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2018 Report Share Posted January 10, 2018 Puke. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/hattard/realtime/u_65N_10hpa.png Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Puke. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Phil sucks! What multi-year Niña? Must be global warming again. Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Phil! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Some better pattern analogs are starting to show up, though still mixed in with some gross late 1990s Ninas and 2006. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Run is great at first...then a vortex wanders into Greenland and couples to the stratospheric PV there. Then it’s game over. Or...the offshore ridge just builds too far offshore. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Haven't seen a PNA forecast like this for awhile. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Haven't seen a PNA forecast like this for awhile. Screenshot_11.pngWeird year! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Haven't seen a PNA forecast like this for awhile. Screenshot_11.png That cold January is looking good! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 That cold January is looking good! Depends on the last couple weeks of the month. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Are you flirting with me?#metoo Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Some better pattern analogs are starting to show up, though still mixed in with some gross late 1990s Ninas and 2006. 814analog.off.gifLol, 1999s everywhere. Someone is gonna get iced on. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 11, 2018 Report Share Posted January 11, 2018 Or...the offshore ridge just builds too far offshore.And why does it do that? Maybe it just feels like trolling me, you, Snow_Wizard, Andrew, the CFS, the Niña, 1949/50, and everyone else in the cold January clique? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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