January Weather In the PNW

[liquidsnow]

Phil...which weather related flick do you prefer?

 

Twister or The Day After Tomorrow..

[Phil]

Phil...which weather related flick do you prefer?

 

Twister or The Day After Tomorrow..

Oh gawd. The fact I've watched both of them is a travesty in of itself.

 

I do like The Day After Tomorrow better, though. Even if the physics and thermodynamics are mostly bulls**t, the topic of the movie aligns more closely with my area(s) of interest.

[Dave]

Benton and Linn Counties had 12-18" with the February, 2014. This after getting about 5-10" with the December storm. Corvallis/Albany/Lebanon, as well as Eugene had more snow than I did that winter. 

Feb 2014 was one of the best events I've seen here on the valley floor. Max depth around 10 inches. Growing up, I lived at around 950 feet in the south hills. I probably got 3x the amount of snow that I get now. There were many times where I'd get 8" of snow while the floor got 2 inches. I would love to move back up there.

[umadbro]

Is it me or is the PDX radar doing weird things tonight?

[liquidsnow]

Oh gawd. The fact I've watched both of them is a travesty in of itself.

 

I do like The Day After Tomorrow better, though. Even if the physics and thermodynamics are mostly bulls**t, the topic of the movie aligns more closely with my area(s) of interest.

So you don't think we'll ever see this in our lifetime?

http://i0.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/426/750/8fb.jpg

 

[Deweydog]

So you don't think we'll ever see this in our lifetime?

http://i0.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/426/750/8fb.jpg

 

That just did on the east coast.

[Phil]

FWIW, by now, the mixed QBO winters of 1960/61, 1962/63, and 1981/82 had already downwelled easterly shear to 50mb. As of today, we’ve still failed to do so.

 

The other three years with mixed QBOs that hadn’t yet downwelled to 50mb are 1983/84, 1995/96, and 2000/01.

 

We’re slightly ahead of 1995/96’s pace so far, and roughly matching that of 2000/01 and 1983/84. The latter was influenced by volcanism, so its applicability as an analog is questionable. Nevertheless, these three slower QBO years (84/96/01) all had Niña-ish periods in mid/late winter, and they all flipped warm west/cold east in March, as well.

[Phil]

So you don't think we'll ever see this in our lifetime?

http://i0.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/426/750/8fb.jpg

 

That would be an insane amount of westerlies in the tropics. Super-duper death Niño?

[Deweydog]

Imagine if the PDX radar was doing this 365 days ago...

[High Desert Mat!]

One year anniversary (almost) of the storm that was suppose to drop T-2" in the Portland area. I didn't live there but what a major forecasting bust. My brother lives there and he exaggerates a lot so what really happened? I know it dropped up to 14" in places and it stayed cold for awhile but was there a miracle or a density east flow Dome Buster?

[Phil]

Imagine if the PDX radar was doing this 365 days ago...

Imagine the forum freakout if this was happening today.

 

Good lord.

 

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/JF_Donoghue/publication/226009421_Sea_level_history_of_the_northern_Gulf_of_Mexico_coast_and_sea_level_rise_scenarios_for_the_near_future/links/0046352b207b95d6e9000000/Sea-level-history-of-the-northern-Gulf-of-Mexico-coast-and-sea-level-rise-scenarios-for-the-near-future.pdf

 

“During the Last Glacial Maximum 26–19 thousand years ago (ka), a vast ice sheet stretched over North America (Clark et al., 2009). In subsequent millennia, as climate warmed and this ice sheet decayed, large volumes of meltwater flooded to the oceans (Tarasov and Peltier, 2006; Wickert, 2016). This period, known as the “last deglaciation,” included episodes of abrupt climate change, such as the Bølling warming [~14.7–14.5 ka], when Northern Hemisphere temperatures increased by 4–5°C in just a few decades (Lea et al., 2003; Buizert et al., 2014), coinciding with a 12–22 m sea level rise in less than 340 years [3.5 to 6.5 meters to per century] (Meltwater Pulse 1a (MWP1a)) (Deschamps et al., 2012).”

Shorelines would have necessarily retreated by as much as 40 meters per year – 75 centimeters per week – during those centuries of obscene sea level rise.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Off to cabin i go. Had to pull a 18hr shift but worth it. Wsw up.

[HighlandExperience]

One year anniversary (almost) of the storm that was suppose to drop T-2" in the Portland area. I didn't live there but what a major forecasting bust. My brother lives there and he exaggerates a lot so what really happened? I know it dropped up to 14" in places and it stayed cold for awhile but was there a miracle or a density east flow Dome Buster?

Portland got blasted and jealousy ensued

[TT-SEA]

Well... Saturday is slowly going to sh*t in the models.   Warm fronts suck.

 

[Phil]

Well... Saturday is slowly going to sh*t in the models. Warm fronts suck.

 

Would be nice to live in Maine. Literally impossible to have a bad winter there. Plus you can get hurricanes and severe weather while enjoying cool northern summers.

 

It’s like having your cake and eating it too.

[Jesse]

Well... Saturday is slowly going to sh*t in the models. Warm fronts suck.

 

 

Tim’s family cherry blossom fest might have to be rescheduled.

[TT-SEA]

Refrain from using last names please.

[Kayla]

One year anniversary (almost) of the storm that was suppose to drop T-2" in the Portland area. I didn't live there but what a major forecasting bust. My brother lives there and he exaggerates a lot so what really happened? I know it dropped up to 14" in places and it stayed cold for awhile but was there a miracle or a density east flow Dome Buster?

 

20" of snow in about 8 hours at my house in the West Hills. Deformation band setup around 4pm one year ago today and just trained right over the West Hills into the east side . Moved to Bozeman 4 days later with still 18" on the ground. Storm to remember.

[umadbro]

Whatever it is, it probably has something to do with Jesse.

I doubt that very much.

[Phil]

Refrain from using last names please.

At least your last name is easy to say/spell, lol. I don’t have that luxury.

[Deweydog]

At least your last name is easy to say/spell, lol. I don’t have that luxury.

Connors doesn't seem THAT unusual.

[Phil]

Connors doesn't seem THAT unusual.

D**n you.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Feb 2014 was one of the best events I've seen here on the valley floor. Max depth around 10 inches. Growing up, I lived at around 950 feet in the south hills. I probably got 3x the amount of snow that I get now. There were many times where I'd get 8" of snow while the floor got 2 inches. I would love to move back up there.

Amazing what a little elevation does.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Would be nice to live in Maine. Literally impossible to have a bad winter there. Plus you can get hurricanes and severe weather while enjoying cool northern summers.

 

It’s like having your cake and eating it too.

I’d love to live in Maine.

[Phil]

I’d love to live in Maine.

#MeToo. Unfortunately, there’s almost no way I’ll find work there unless I luck into the NWS as an operational forecaster.

[Phil]

Maritime polar airmass keeps getting pushed back on the modeling. New GFS @ D8 again..nada.

 

[Kayla]

#MeToo. Unfortunately, there’s almost no way I’ll find work there unless I luck into the NWS as an operational forecaster.

 

If you're lucky you might end up at SGX your first year!

[Jesse]

Refrain from using last names please.

Considering you post enough pictures and descriptions of your property that we all basically have a high resolution satellite photo burned into our retinas, I figured you wouldn’t care.

[Deweydog]

Maritime polar airmass keeps getting pushed back on the modeling. New GFS @ D8 again..nada.

 

#megablastweekthree!

[Jesse]

Pretty incredible how long it has been since we have seen a significant period of cold onshore flow. Seemed to happen all the time between 2008-12, then someone turned the spigot off.

[Tyler Mode]

What was so odd about the huge snow we had a year ago today was that my high temp made it up to 41 degrees before the precip moved in.  I only measured 5.5" at my house while my parents just 5 or so miles away had 11".

[DareDuck]

Looking like there will be a lot of beneficial snow for the mountains over the next 10 days for both the OR and WA Cascades.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

That would be an insane amount of westerlies in the tropics. Super-duper death Niño?

 

Those suckers are pulling down cold air from the stratosphere, they should be rotating the opposite direction.

[Jesse]

What was so odd about the huge snow we had a year ago today was that my high temp made it up to 41 degrees before the precip moved in. I only measured 5.5" at my house while my parents just 5 or so miles away had 11".

Crazy, we only had a high of 37 that afternoon.

[Front Ranger]

Pretty incredible how long it has been since we have seen a significant period of cold onshore flow. Seemed to happen all the time between 2008-12, then someone turned the spigot off.

 

The +PDO monster.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

One year anniversary (almost) of the storm that was suppose to drop T-2" in the Portland area. I didn't live there but what a major forecasting bust. My brother lives there and he exaggerates a lot so what really happened? I know it dropped up to 14" in places and it stayed cold for awhile but was there a miracle or a density east flow Dome Buster?

One of the biggest forecasting bust that I can ever remember. In the contest I predicted PDX 7 inches and Salem 2 inches but I must admit I was wishcasting. Low and behold my predictions were kinda right. I think Salem got 2 inches and the PDX airport got 7 inches. They don't take official measurements at the airport anymore though and plus it snowed over a foot in the center of the city. The foot plus of snow I got was great but what was even better was that it stayed on the ground for several days afterwards and temperatures just plummeted at night due to the clear skies and heavy snow cover, it felt like I was driving through an Arctic tundra.

[Phil]

Those suckers are pulling down cold air from the stratosphere, they should be rotating the opposite direction.

Good catch.

 

Polar vortexes are literally chemical tornadoes that suck up cold air and keep it locked away, much to the despair of middle latitude snow weenies not named Tim, Kayla, or Flatiron.

[Phil]

If you're lucky you might end up at SGX your first year!

Wouldn’t that be something, haha. Ideally anywhere north or west of here would be perfect.

 

I refuse to work in any WFOs located in CA, NV, AZ, NM, TX, LA, MS, AL, AR, KY, TN, or northern GA, though.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Tomorrow is looking more and more like a Shawnigan special. The low that was initially forecast to run across the central island has trended south in the past few runs. Now it weakens and comes ashore even south of Victoria, albeit not enough for any meaningful snowfall. Tomorrow looks like a drought-buster with diminished rain shadowing:

 

[DareDuck]

Wouldn’t that be something, haha. Ideally anywhere north or west of here would be perfect.

 

I refuse to work in any WFOs located in CA, NV, AZ, NM, TX, LA, MS, AL, AR, KY, TN, or northern GA, though.

My list is easier to make by listing what states I’d live in. For me it probably would be OR, CA, WA, MT, CO, AK, maybe WY and northern AZ and ID.