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2018 California/Southwest Weather Thread

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#1601
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 01 August 2018 - 11:16 PM

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July was one long heat wave, it seemed  :o

 

It has been very hot here in Orange for almost the entire month from July 6 onward.



#1602
Farmboy

Posted 02 August 2018 - 02:52 PM

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California fires rage, and Gov. Jerry Brown offers grim view of fiery future http://www.latimes.c...0801-story.html


*Sigh*. More fodder for the global warming alarmists.
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Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#1603
happ

Posted 02 August 2018 - 04:35 PM

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*Sigh*. More fodder for the global warming alarmists.

 

And the parting shot of ignorance. And this is from a bunch of scientists!   :rolleyes:  Good bye. 



#1604
Farmboy

Posted 02 August 2018 - 04:51 PM

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Nuthin but truth, yo...

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#1605
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 02 August 2018 - 06:01 PM

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An actual trough passing to the north of us to bring a deeper marine layer, but the very warm ocean temperatures will keep the mugginess near the coast.

#1606
Thunder98

Posted 04 August 2018 - 05:03 AM

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It's a cool 51F right now, likely due to the cooler than average ssts on the Central Coast. No stratus clouds and fog this morning either.



#1607
Thunder98

Posted 04 August 2018 - 05:26 AM

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20 degree temperature differences between Santa Maria and Oceanside!

 

762191f77a1f4a2152cfc5cbfb2d3994ca36ff90

 

00b89a51e6d47b3becfc0463ebe2057ab44bd198



#1608
Thunder98

Posted 04 August 2018 - 01:42 PM

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Amazing how much contrast the water temperatures are north and south of Pt. Conception! The water is quite chilly here while its basically bathwater LA County Southward.

 

 

ec8c71bbdc6d06decd1b0195ea3c254e7cf3dad9

 

34fda8005f93bd36ea8993e223dc7679a21cf422

 

b5a92699a19eb8a247fd6c67d09193589441f77a

 

cf131e4355dda01bd3275bf28a185a6b17cc1de7

 

459182e871849d9cc2fdb23dd7d31fed547b182d

 

168333933254c33a78edd08397ddc668ba1bb382



#1609
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 04 August 2018 - 02:05 PM

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So how warm would the ocean need to get here to cause Florida-like thunderstorms?

#1610
Thunder98

Posted 04 August 2018 - 02:24 PM

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So how warm would the ocean need to get here to cause Florida-like thunderstorms?

 

Probably just need instability from the Monsoonal moisture and that would be the kick.



#1611
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 04 August 2018 - 04:54 PM

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High smoke again today.

#1612
Thunder98

Posted 05 August 2018 - 07:32 AM

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The sunsets at 8:00PM tonight where I live. Won't see that again until May 18th, 2019.



#1613
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 06 August 2018 - 09:00 PM

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More toasty weather with a fire in Trabuco Canyon now.

#1614
Thunder98

Posted 08 August 2018 - 05:10 AM

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Weird day in SM, The forecast high today was 88F but it only went up to 72F. I also went to Santa Barbara this afternoon, boy it was super humid! The dew point was as high as 68F!

2642e659015eff8624b334e2b69bba465ffb53de



#1615
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 08 August 2018 - 06:01 AM

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Happ has not said anything for a while. This summer continues to be hot, humid and boring.

#1616
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 08 August 2018 - 06:32 AM

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Low clouds in San Diego during the middle of the night with a temperature of 77. This is crazy.

#1617
Eujunga

Posted 08 August 2018 - 07:27 AM

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Happ has not said anything for a while. This summer continues to be hot, humid and boring.

 

He's probably just taking a break after Farmboy spewed ugly climate-change-denier rhetoric all over his nice CA subforum.

 

I can relate -- I also tend to stay away when politics overshadows serious weather discussion.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#1618
happ

Posted 08 August 2018 - 08:56 AM

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He's probably just taking a break after Farmboy spewed ugly climate-change-denier rhetoric all over his nice CA subforum.

 

I can relate -- I also tend to stay away when politics overshadows serious weather discussion.

 

Right, it is abundantly clear that a significant number of posters on the Weather Forums share anti-science illusions about long-term climate. It's akin to being in a classroom of people who resent knowledge with inexplicable bias. I'm a weather groupie w/ no background in meteorology and frankly a bit lazy negotiating model updates/ numeric weather prediction. Dr. Swain's blog on California weather is a preferred site. I've participated on Weather Forums [and it's antecedent labels] for well over 10 years but life is too short to more than casually associate with agnostics in my opinion.



#1619
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 08 August 2018 - 07:29 PM

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Lots of smoke here, but it's high up and not stinky. Apparently some inversion layer is capping it.

#1620
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 08 August 2018 - 09:00 PM

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That fire looked nasty today. Good thing there are no Santa Anas or it would be down the mountain in a few hours. If only we could get some rain.

#1621
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 09 August 2018 - 12:44 PM

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Hot, humid, partly cloudy, and mostly smoky. Lovely day.

#1622
Thunder98

Posted 10 August 2018 - 10:41 AM

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Despise the below avg water temps north of point conception, the marine layer has been very spotty this month so far and only impacting the beaches. The highs been up and down so far and the lows have cooled as well. Much different compared to Socal is experiencing.

 

Attached File  Santa Maria Aug 18' weather 1-9th.PNG   196.38KB   0 downloads

Attached File  Santa Maria Rivermouth Water Temps2.PNG   13.97KB   0 downloads

Attached File  Pismo Beach Pier Sea Temps.PNG   13.51KB   0 downloads

 

anomwnw.gif

 

 

 



#1623
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 10 August 2018 - 11:38 AM

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The bight looks like it's on fire in the map. We need some northwest winds. Weak eddy with a strong 4 corners high is ideal for warming up the bight.

#1624
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 10 August 2018 - 04:21 PM

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Not as much smoke today, though yesterday with thick monsoon clouds and nearby thunderstorms in addition to the thick smoke things looked apocalyptic. It was like a reddish-brown version of June Gloom.

#1625
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 10 August 2018 - 08:42 PM

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Trough may arrive by next week. When is the last time that we have seen that happen here?

#1626
happ

Posted 11 August 2018 - 01:01 PM

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Says it all

 

 

 

Attached Files



#1627
happ

Posted 12 August 2018 - 08:35 AM

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"The fires get worse every year in California. Here’s a firefighter’s advice"  https://www.sacbee.c...e216307540.html

#1628
Thunder98

Posted 13 August 2018 - 07:10 PM

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Super boring weather......

#1629
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 14 August 2018 - 09:52 PM

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Super boring weather......

 

At least we are enjoying some cooler weather this week!



#1630
happ

Posted 15 August 2018 - 01:41 PM

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At least we are enjoying some cooler weather this week!

 

Yes cooler but dew points remain elevated. 



#1631
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 15 August 2018 - 09:59 PM

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Yes cooler but dew points remain elevated. 

The nights have been much more comfortable here in Orange the last couple of days, and the lows have been in the lower 60's on the north side of my house, which means that the air is slightly drier now than it was earlier in the month.



#1632
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 August 2018 - 01:26 PM

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Marine layer still a very warm and muggy one.

#1633
happ

Posted 16 August 2018 - 03:44 PM

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Last night was miserably humid. Lots of action in San Bernardino mts including over 2 inches at Yucaipa Ridge today

 

89/ 70 



#1634
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 August 2018 - 04:55 PM

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San Diego reached 80 F with mostly cloudy skies from the marine layer.

#1635
happ

Posted 17 August 2018 - 07:37 AM

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Almost identical to yesterday morning except scattered stratus formed a bit further inland. Dew points were almost as high as minimum temps making for another very muggy night for sleep.
L: 72°



#1636
happ

Posted 17 August 2018 - 04:06 PM

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Maximum was near average for mid August but minimum is 6 degrees warmer than average. Humidity was very uncomfortable today

 

90/ 72



#1637
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 August 2018 - 07:59 AM

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June Gloom in August with East Coast humidity levels.

#1638
Thunder98

Posted 18 August 2018 - 08:39 AM

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The above average water temps have now finally reached the SB County west coast.

 

anomwnw.gif


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#1639
happ

Posted 18 August 2018 - 10:57 AM

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June Gloom in August with East Coast humidity levels.

 

The mets on the Weather Channel were discussing the uncomfortable dew point temps over the eastern half of the nation this morning. The same levels of humidity [DW: upper 60's/ mid 70's] have also been occurring in SoCal but without rain except in isolated mountain areas.  They may be tired of the near endless storms and muggy air back East this summer but I'd gladly trade places. To have such high/ prolonged humidity without the benefit of showers makes it more miserable in California. 



#1640
happ

Posted 22 August 2018 - 07:42 AM

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Some discussion on WeatherWest of stormchasers going to Hawaii.  Once I was in Orlando for business purposes during a category 1 hurricane that was losing power; gusty wind/ heavy rainfall.

 

 

Attached Files



#1641
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 22 August 2018 - 04:08 PM

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Sea surface temperatures are still well above average, but longwave troughing and northwest flow could knock them down next week. Imagine if we would have a cool day with highs below 80 and lows in the low to mid 60s.

#1642
happ

Posted 22 August 2018 - 06:23 PM

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Even though maximums are below 90F [more or less] the dewpoints make it feel uncomfortable w/ hext indexes. 

 

89/ 70



#1643
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 23 August 2018 - 06:31 AM

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Not very thick marine layer this morning, especially compared to 2 days ago.

#1644
Thunder98

Posted 23 August 2018 - 04:25 PM

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Very dry in California, while it's quite rainy in the Midwest

p168i.gif?1535070709



#1645
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 23 August 2018 - 05:50 PM

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Weather has become very boring and looks to stay monotonous for a while.

#1646
happ

Posted 23 August 2018 - 07:16 PM

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Predicted cooling [per MOS] has been infinitesimal and dew points make it feel warmer than it actually is anyway.

 

88/ 67 



#1647
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 23 August 2018 - 10:40 PM

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This has been a very boring summer in Socal, as there has really been a pronounced lack of monsoonal activity despite the high heat we have been experiencing. There hasn't even been that many days in which midlevel moisture has been overhead west of the mountains. It does feel good that we are cooling down somewhat, but it would be nice to see one last gasp of the monsoon before the summer pattern transitions to fall with possibly even remnants from a tropical system. It seems that the Epac hurricanes aren't tracking along the Mexican coast this year, and are mostly moving westward in the direction of Hawaii.

 

I will even say that this entire year has been boring from a weather standpoint. I don't know if it can get any duller than this!


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#1648
Thunder98

Posted 24 August 2018 - 04:50 AM

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This has been a very boring summer in Socal, as there has really been a pronounced lack of monsoonal activity despite the high heat we have been experiencing. There hasn't even been that many days in which midlevel moisture has been overhead west of the mountains. It does feel good that we are cooling down somewhat, but it would be nice to see one last gasp of the monsoon before the summer pattern transitions to fall with possibly even remnants from a tropical system. It seems that the Epac hurricanes aren't tracking along the Mexican coast this year, and are mostly moving westward in the direction of Hawaii.
 
I will even say that this entire year has been boring from a weather standpoint. I don't know if it can get any duller than this!


Summer 2016 was very boring as well with the lack of Monsoonal activity.
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#1649
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 24 August 2018 - 06:12 AM

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We're pretty much into a blah early fall pattern except that sea surface temperatures are still above normal, but it looks like they are not quite as warm anymore as earlier this month.

#1650
happ

Posted 24 August 2018 - 08:46 AM

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This has been a very boring summer in Socal, as there has really been a pronounced lack of monsoonal activity despite the high heat we have been experiencing. There hasn't even been that many days in which midlevel moisture has been overhead west of the mountains. It does feel good that we are cooling down somewhat, but it would be nice to see one last gasp of the monsoon before the summer pattern transitions to fall with possibly even remnants from a tropical system. It seems that the Epac hurricanes aren't tracking along the Mexican coast this year, and are mostly moving westward in the direction of Hawaii.

 

I will even say that this entire year has been boring from a weather standpoint. I don't know if it can get any duller than this!

 

The painful reality is that we don't get very interesting summers anyway. In-fact, our climate is boring year-round if you like rain/ snow. One thing we have been spared for the most part is that the smoke over NorCal/ PacificNW has not impacted us in SoCal. Aside from some distant thunderstorms [San Bernardino mts] the only rain occurred July 18th when some rapidly-weakening cells reached Los Angeles. I recorded a trace  :rolleyes:

 

Wet ground on 7/18

Attached Files


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