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2018 California/Southwest Weather Thread

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#1801
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 01 October 2018 - 06:07 PM

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Hotter than the deserts west of the mountains today.



#1802
Eujunga

Posted 01 October 2018 - 09:43 PM

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Looks like the fall-apart is happening right on schedule -- just when I started to bite on the idea that that it actually might rain.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#1803
Guest_happ_*

Posted 02 October 2018 - 06:54 AM

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In the discussion of one of the NWS offices they mentioned how difficult it is to forecast accurate rainfall from the remnants of hurricanes/ typhoons and GOA systems this time of the year. There is rainfall being reported in the Bay Area/ North coast.

 

L: 71 [first minimum in the 70's since August] 



#1804
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 02 October 2018 - 05:26 PM

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Phoenix got 2.75" from Rosa and we got nothing.

#1805
Guest_happ_*

Posted 02 October 2018 - 05:54 PM

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Nice clouds today but no rain

 

81/ 71

 

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#1806
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 03 October 2018 - 06:05 AM

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Some light rain fell, but it did not last long.



#1807
Guest_happ_*

Posted 03 October 2018 - 08:20 AM

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Fair amount of showers in Santa Barbara/ Santa Maria this morning and reports of rain in nearby Tujunga. Still waiting for the wet stuff here.

 

L: 67



#1808
Guest_happ_*

Posted 03 October 2018 - 08:37 AM

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Hot/ muggy morning in the desert
BLYTHE MOSUNNY 90 72 55 S9 29.91R HX 97



#1809
Thunder98

Posted 03 October 2018 - 10:02 AM

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Updated rain totals: 0.35" from the storm so far

#1810
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 03 October 2018 - 03:32 PM

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Starting to look like nothing measurable will fall here, but there's still a few hours for something to happen.

#1811
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 03 October 2018 - 03:41 PM

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93 in Omaha today, with temperatures expected to drop into the 40s tonight and then only reach the mid 50s tomorrow with a chance of showers. Now that's some real weather.



#1812
Guest_happ_*

Posted 03 October 2018 - 06:16 PM

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Some impressive rain totals scattered about [mainly north and east of LA] but nothing here locally as yet.

 

76/ 67



#1813
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 03 October 2018 - 06:33 PM

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Chance of measurable precipitation 70 percent. Nope. Storm is falling apart.

#1814
Eujunga

Posted 03 October 2018 - 06:35 PM

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Fair amount of showers in Santa Barbara/ Santa Maria this morning and reports of rain in nearby Tujunga. Still waiting for the wet stuff here.

 

L: 67

 

Bone dry in this part of Tujunga -- not even a trace.

 

Ran into a sun shower on the 405 in West L.A. around 6 p.m. with raindrops as big as Buicks:

 

181003_rain_001.jpg


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#1815
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 03 October 2018 - 06:42 PM

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Phoenix is 4467% of normal for October 1-3.


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#1816
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 03 October 2018 - 09:06 PM

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Still warm and humid today. Most places got nothing measurable, but Lake Forest got 0.04". Very disappointing storm.

#1817
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 03 October 2018 - 09:52 PM

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Suddenly it has began raining like crazy. Gotta be measurable by now as it has been coming last at least 5 minutes.

#1818
Guest_happ_*

Posted 03 October 2018 - 11:49 PM

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Was in West Hollywood where drizzle/ light showers occurred on a very muggy/ sweaty evening. But once home the ground was totally dry/ no rain at all.   :o



#1819
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 04 October 2018 - 05:17 AM

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Not too bad. 0.38" for Fullerton Airport and 0.35" for Foothill Ranch after last night's deluge.
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#1820
Guest_happ_*

Posted 04 October 2018 - 10:27 AM

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d**n  :o  Not a drop here overnight. 

 

At least the sky is magnificent this morning

 

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#1821
Guest_happ_*

Posted 05 October 2018 - 09:46 AM

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At least we are finally in the 70's for a while. Still waiting for the first night below 60F since 6/19. 

 

Thursday: 78/ 64



#1822
Guest_happ_*

Posted 05 October 2018 - 08:52 PM

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Another trough is deepening but appears to be an inside slider type setup so rainfall prospects look iffy this weekend.

 

78/ 63



#1823
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 06 October 2018 - 12:18 AM

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Not too bad. 0.38" for Fullerton Airport and 0.35" for Foothill Ranch after last night's deluge.

 

I only got a trace here in Orange, which is less than 10 miles from the Fullerton Airport. That just shows the scattered nature of the showers, but I am really getting tired of getting shafted at my location!



#1824
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 06 October 2018 - 12:19 AM

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Another trough is deepening but appears to be an inside slider type setup so rainfall prospects look iffy this weekend.

 

78/ 63

 

If the flow is NW for this system, my area here in Orange will probably get next to nothing, unless the flow turns out to be a bit more westerly or southwesterly for a time. Hell, I can't seem to get any good rain from a SW flow, either, which used to be almost a slam dunk for the area.



#1825
Guest_happ_*

Posted 06 October 2018 - 07:25 AM

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If the flow is NW for this system, my area here in Orange will probably get next to nothing, unless the flow turns out to be a bit more westerly or southwesterly for a time. Hell, I can't seem to get any good rain from a SW flow, either, which used to be almost a slam dunk for the area.

 

I seems like Orange county gets more rain than Los Angeles especially with the rain shadow effect of Tehachapi mts.  The mountains can really interfere with rain totals like around Burbank/ Tujunga, for example. With the current ULL over Nevada the chance for showers may be minimal but I am glad that we are in a more active pattern so early in autumn.



#1826
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 06 October 2018 - 08:28 AM

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High clouds are obscuring the low clouds in the satellite image this morning.

#1827
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 06 October 2018 - 11:58 AM

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Reverse clearing is taking place.

#1828
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 06 October 2018 - 01:58 PM

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Regional weather roundup is stuck on 12 PM on the coolest day since last June.

#1829
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 06 October 2018 - 03:02 PM

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Marine layer now visible from the desert. So much for the inland clearing and staying cloudy near the beaches forecast this morning.

 

Attached File  mltp.jpg   56.62KB   0 downloads


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#1830
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 06 October 2018 - 08:04 PM

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Once again, Phoenix is likely to get more rain than we do.

#1831
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 07 October 2018 - 08:21 AM

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It SNOWED in Flagstaff and rained in Phoenix. Phoenix now has the 3rd wettest October on record, with Sergio remnants possibly bringing more rain by the end of the week.

#1832
Guest_happ_*

Posted 07 October 2018 - 09:47 AM

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It is very frustrating that California is the donut hole/ nothingness of precipitation  :rolleyes:

 

L: 60



#1833
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 07 October 2018 - 01:12 PM

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Warmer here than Phoenix, which may have a record low maximum today in addition to record rainfall.

#1834
Guest_happ_*

Posted 08 October 2018 - 10:25 AM

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NWS_LA

"However, the
latest updated model runs 18z and 00z continue to show the GFS
model runs leaning towards having a closed low develop off the
coast of Southern California and pulling in some wrap-around
moisture associated with Sergio in the Friday-Saturday time
period. This type of pattern would potentially bring a threat of
rain showers to our area, especially Los Angeles county and the
adjacent coastal waters. A fair number of GFS ensemble model runs
also bring measurable rain to these areas, so cannot totally rule
out this scenario". 



#1835
Guest_happ_*

Posted 08 October 2018 - 06:29 PM

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6 consecutive day in the 70's [75-78] starting the first below 80F maximum since June 23rd. The 24 yr average October max: 80.6 so temps are cooler than normal. Still haven't recorded a minimum below 60F since 6/19 [normal monthly low: 61.8] but getting very close since both yesterday and today minimum were 60F. Warmer nights in the Basin probably due to fairly warm SST [Santa Monica bay: 69F/ San Pedro harbor: 70F]; still a bit above average for October. No rainfall since May 31st beside a trace on 7/19.



#1836
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 09 October 2018 - 11:28 AM

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Marine layer has cleared completely today.

#1837
Thunder98

Posted 10 October 2018 - 05:45 AM

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Very boring weather ahead!



#1838
Guest_happ_*

Posted 10 October 2018 - 07:09 AM

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Wasn't expecting mostly clear conditions this morning.



#1839
Thunder98

Posted 10 October 2018 - 06:58 PM

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Felt very fall like today most of the day with cloudy skies.

 

Attached File  DSCN1932.JPG   38.27KB   0 downloads

 

Attached File  DSCN1929.JPG   69.37KB   0 downloads


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#1840
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 11 October 2018 - 04:40 PM

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Lows got into the 50s last night at Fullerton Airport.

#1841
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 11 October 2018 - 07:39 PM

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Cool day today even with plenty of sunshine.

#1842
Guest_happ_*

Posted 11 October 2018 - 08:24 PM

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NWS hasn't been especially accurate with cut-off lows but Saturday may produce rainfall once again; hopefully showers for everyone this time.

 

Mostly clear skies allowed chilly minimums away from the coastline this morning and likely again tonight unless the wind kicks up. 

 

76/ 59



#1843
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 12 October 2018 - 06:00 AM

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57 F this morning in Fullerton. Winter is coming.



#1844
Thunder98

Posted 12 October 2018 - 09:45 AM

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Seeing subtropical clouds moving fast from the SE. Its feeling warm today!

#1845
Thunder98

Posted 12 October 2018 - 12:32 PM

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It is 88F now and is hotter than forecasted with a light east wind.

 

Attached File  SantaMariacurrentwx21.PNG   49.8KB   0 downloads



#1846
Guest_happ_*

Posted 12 October 2018 - 05:22 PM

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Light offshore wind warmed the temp a bit but dew points stayed relatively high. More humidity likely as the trough moves ashore tonight and maybe rain.

 

83/ 58



#1847
Eujunga

Posted 12 October 2018 - 05:27 PM

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Definitely some stuff popping off the coast to the south and moving in this direction.  Special Marine Warning just issued.

 

Screen-Shot-2018-10-12-at-6-26-28-PM.png


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#1848
Eujunga

Posted 12 October 2018 - 05:45 PM

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Those storms are really hauling, too -- moving a lot faster than traffic on the 5! :P


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#1849
Guest_happ_*

Posted 12 October 2018 - 05:58 PM

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Cut off lows can produce good amounts of rainfall or nothing.  :( Hope rain cells move inland. 


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#1850
Eujunga

Posted 12 October 2018 - 06:12 PM

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You can really see the explosive growth of the cells on the last few frames of the 3km Southwest IR satellite loop:

 

https://www.ssd.noaa...h5-loop-ft.html

 

Seems like a decent chance that some of them will make it this far.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.