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2018 California/Southwest Weather Thread

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#301
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 12 February 2018 - 04:49 PM

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No rain here so far. Just annoyingly cold and breezy. Unlike me, I know most people love the cooler weather.

#302
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 12 February 2018 - 09:13 PM

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I had a brief shower here in Orange while i was eating dinner and was enough to get everything wet. Hopefully there's more where that came from.



#303
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 12 February 2018 - 09:32 PM

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We had a brief shower here too. Still this is mainly a marine layer event, despite plenty of clouds in the desert and some rain in parts of Arizona that is more than we are getting.

#304
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 February 2018 - 06:31 AM

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So far Fullerton Airport and Downtown L.A. have got 0.01 while San Diego and John Wayne Airport have nothing.

#305
happ

Posted 13 February 2018 - 08:49 AM

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A big zero for rainfall here though reports of showers in nearby Burbank/ La Crescenta last night. Oh well :rolleyes:

 

Monday 65/ 49



#306
happ

Posted 13 February 2018 - 08:57 AM

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"A Hot, Dry Winter in California. Could It Be Drought Again?" https://www.nytimes....ia-drought.html

#307
happ

Posted 13 February 2018 - 11:00 AM

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Beautiful sunrise in Santa Barbara this morning

 

@joeybuttitta KEYT

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#308
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 February 2018 - 11:11 AM

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Not many clouds at all today and less windy so far.

#309
happ

Posted 13 February 2018 - 11:15 AM

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Now we can look to next week for cold temps and maybe rain.  

 

Lo 48



#310
happ

Posted 13 February 2018 - 11:35 AM

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All that activity out in the bight but none here

 

Posted on WeatherWest/ SoCalWxWatcher

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#311
happ

Posted 13 February 2018 - 01:48 PM

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WoW

 

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#312
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 13 February 2018 - 02:41 PM

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It appears we will be in for some much cooler weather here in Socal if that 6-10 Day Outlook verifies. Hopefully those cooler temps are accompanied by some much needed rain and mountain snow, that will not only help with the water supply, but help the ski resorts as well.



#313
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 February 2018 - 04:59 PM

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6-10 day outlooks are far from reliable, but we would get cooler weather if it verified.

This storm has been disappointing so far, but I remember a cutoff low one Valentine's Day that brought much more rain than forecasted, and guess what tomorrow is. Can we have a repeat?

#314
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 13 February 2018 - 06:25 PM

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I picked up 0.10" here in Orange with this low last night and very early this morning.


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#315
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 14 February 2018 - 07:34 AM

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Power outage this morning. Another cloudy morning with no rain.

#316
happ

Posted 14 February 2018 - 10:20 AM

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Around 5:30am I watched channel 5 show radar of heavy showers moving north through Orange county/ LA but they failed to mention that very little rain was reaching the ground. Woke up several hours later looking forward to evidence  :(

 

Tuesday: 66/ 48



#317
happ

Posted 14 February 2018 - 01:13 PM

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NWS_Sacramento

 

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Sunday THROUGH Wednesday)
  Extended forecast period consists of high amplitude upper ridging
  in the EPAC with deep troughing along the West Coast. Troughing 
  forecast to dig Sunday into Monday ushering significantly colder 
  air into Interior NorCal. Unsettled weather expected with showers 
  possible over the foothills and mountains and snow levels lowering
  into the foothills Monday. Highs in the lower 60s in the Central 
  Valley Sunday drop into the 50s Monday and Tuesday. Cold overnight
  low temperatures forecast early next week with 20s to low 30s 
  forecast in the Central Valley Tuesday morning.
 


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#318
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 14 February 2018 - 06:55 PM

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There could be some snow in the PNW next week. Portland had some in their forecast.

#319
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 14 February 2018 - 10:27 PM

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Low was absolutely pathetic, and so our weather continues to be boring as the drought worsens. Therefore it's time for some more Arctic sun tracking.

 

Longyearbyen is about to experience something they have not experienced since October 26.

Attached File  longyearbyen2018.png   24.99KB   0 downloads

 

Yes, there are people who actually live here.



#320
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 14 February 2018 - 11:43 PM

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Low was absolutely pathetic, and so our weather continues to be boring as the drought worsens. Therefore it's time for some more Arctic sun tracking.

 

Longyearbyen is about to experience something they have not experienced since October 26.

attachicon.giflongyearbyen2018.png

 

Yes, there are people who actually live here.

 

This has been one of the worst winters I have ever seen here in Socal in terms of boredom and dryness. 2006-07 was quite bad as well, but it was quite cold at times during that year, especially about mid January.



#321
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 15 February 2018 - 06:41 AM

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Longyearbyen, where dying is illegal



#322
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 15 February 2018 - 07:43 AM

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Here we have it. Longyearbyen's first official daylight of 2018. No clouds to obscure anything and a much better webcam than Barrow. Look at that sunshine on top of the hill just four minutes after solar noon.

Attached File  longyearbyen2018firstsun.png   576.21KB   0 downloads

It won't be until March 8, however, that sunshine reaches the town.

For us, we have reached just over 11 hours of daylight today. Still a few clouds left from our low pressure system, but they should not last too long, with offshore flow developing.
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#323
happ

Posted 15 February 2018 - 09:00 AM

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This has been one of the worst winters I have ever seen here in Socal in terms of boredom and dryness. 2006-07 was quite bad as well, but it was quite cold at times during that year, especially about mid January.

Last winter it basically stopped raining around mid February. I've recorded less than 3 inches in nearly a full year's time since then.

 

Wednesday: 69/ 53



#324
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 15 February 2018 - 12:33 PM

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Last winter it basically stopped raining around mid February. I've recorded less than 3 inches in nearly a full year's time since then.

 

Wednesday: 69/ 53

 

That's right, March onward was very dry except for one storm in early May. It has been a very abnormal long stretch of dry weather we have been experiencing. In years past, an early end to the rainy season would often lead to at least some storms starting in October or November of the following year, as opposed to just staying dry all fall.

 

Something different is going on in our weather patterns than what we used to see in the recent past, and this pattern seemed to really begin in earnest around 2012-13.



#325
happ

Posted 15 February 2018 - 04:12 PM

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That's right, March onward was very dry except for one storm in early May. It has been a very abnormal long stretch of dry weather we have been experiencing. In years past, an early end to the rainy season would often lead to at least some storms starting in October or November of the following year, as opposed to just staying dry all fall.

 

Something different is going on in our weather patterns than what we used to see in the recent past, and this pattern seemed to really begin in earnest around 2012-13.

 

We appear to be in uncharted territory but I hope rainfall occurs before the rain season comes to an end or that we benefit from the monsoon this summer. At least the reservoirs are full.

 

72/ 52

 

NWS_Sacramento

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#326
happ

Posted 16 February 2018 - 03:23 PM

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There's the potential for some of the coldest temperatures of winter next week

 

74/ 54

 

 

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#327
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 16 February 2018 - 09:09 PM

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Let's hope this cold air is accompanied by some moisture for some very beneficial snows in the mountains!

 

Since this cold pattern is coming later in the year with a higher sun angle and longer days, it probably won't get as cold here in lower elevation parts of Socal as it did in January 2007.



#328
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 17 February 2018 - 10:10 AM

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Cool start to what should be our last warm day in quite a while. Hopefully tomorrow night's system is able to bring some measurable rain.
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#329
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 17 February 2018 - 04:22 PM

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For Monday, partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning, then mostly sunny in the afternoon. Then in the evening partly cloudy again with a chance of showers before becoming mostly clear.

Why does the chance of showers return in the evening?

I'll be amazed if we can get at least 0.05 inches somewhere.

#330
Thunder98

Posted 18 February 2018 - 06:51 AM

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It's going to be much cold and windier tomorrow. Only 51F in Santa Maria with a slight chance of rain with potential 40 MPH gusts. It will feel a lot like Wyoming for the next several days.

 

Attached File  SantaMariaNWSforecast50.PNG   372.81KB   0 downloads



#331
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 February 2018 - 07:30 AM

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Marine layer is slow to develop this morning but it might still arrive post sunrise and if it doesn't it's pretty sure to come racing in late afternoon before sunset, but by tomorrow morning any inversion should be a thing of the past.

We had record heat last fall with the sun at the declination it is at right now, so it seems fitting that we have some record cold as the sun will reach over 45 degrees above the horizon for the first time since last October tommorow.

Trees have already been confused by the warm fall and winter so far, with many still having leaves from last year. Hope to get some wind to get rid of these leaves and if the cool weather sticks around it could be a late bloom this spring.

#332
happ

Posted 18 February 2018 - 08:35 AM

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Frost/ freeze warnings for a good deal of SoCal starting Tuesday.

 

Saturday: 76/ 54



#333
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 February 2018 - 09:36 AM

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When all NOAA satellite images fail, there's always Intellicast.

http://www.intellica...aspx?region=san

They're still forecasting mostly sunny with a chance of showers tomorrow morning. I've seen times before where it rained with a clear sky directly overhead, but it was still at least partly cloudy.

#334
happ

Posted 18 February 2018 - 11:20 AM

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NWS_SF

 

"a 520dm 500mb upper low"  :blink:



#335
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 February 2018 - 11:24 AM

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Some random and sparse low clouds are forming, but nothing close to a solid marine layer. Inversion must already be weak.

#336
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 February 2018 - 11:57 AM

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Sitting out in the sun, it feels pretty hot, but once that afternoon breeze kicks up the cooler air should be noticeable.

#337
Bonk

Posted 18 February 2018 - 02:06 PM

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Frost/ freeze warnings for a good deal of SoCal starting Tuesday.

 

WeatherUnderground is forecasting a low of 26* Monday night here in Modjeska. 

 

I sure hope they're wrong, I don't want to be covering plants.



#338
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 February 2018 - 05:24 PM

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Mostly sunny today and completely free of haze and smog, with only random low clouds at times and it got pretty warm for a while, but the wind really picked up and cooled things down in the afternoon. Whatever marine layer develops won't have much of an inversion, if any, to hold it together. Some waterspouts would be nice.



#339
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 February 2018 - 10:03 PM

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It was starting to sprinkle outside. Otherwise it looks to be a very chilly day tomorrow by California standards and maybe, just maybe, we can get some measurable rain out of it.

#340
happ

Posted 19 February 2018 - 01:36 AM

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Trees have already been confused by the warm fall and winter so far, with many still having leaves from last year. Hope to get some wind to get rid of these leaves and if the cool weather sticks around it could be a late bloom this spring.

 

Doing errands I was thinking about your post while observing tall sycamore street trees and down along arroyos. A leafless tree growing near fully leaf sycamores but that seems to be normal. Sadly others are dying from beetle infestation.  Bauhinia & ornamental pear are in full bloom now.  The foothills are still green but the grass will die away early this winter; so it seems. 

 

Sunday: 69/ 51



#341
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 19 February 2018 - 07:32 AM

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Fullerton only got down to 52 overnight and Julian down to 32. Sure does not seem cold enough for snow levels at 1500 feet. Also dewpoints have dropped into the teens just recently, which pretty much ends our chances of any significant rain.

#342
Thunder98

Posted 19 February 2018 - 08:32 AM

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Snow shower in low mountains west of San Luis Opispo and Avila Beach. Snow in Paso Robles!?

 

Attached File  snowinpasorobles.PNG   483.74KB   0 downloads

 

Attached File  snowshower.PNG   334.75KB   0 downloads


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#343
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 19 February 2018 - 08:52 AM

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All clouds have been pushed well inland with Coachella Valley currently having more clouds than us. The wind is blowing and my neighbor across the street is in his shorts and light sweatshirt washing his car. I don't understand how some people never feel cold.

#344
Thunder98

Posted 19 February 2018 - 12:39 PM

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Rare snow flurries fell in the Atascadero area!

 

http://www.ksby.com/...-central-coast#


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#345
happ

Posted 19 February 2018 - 12:59 PM

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I love formation of cumulus mediocris within the cold trough. Windy here off and on; now mostly cloudy. 30's are a real possibility tonight.

@SoCalWXwatcher

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#346
happ

Posted 19 February 2018 - 01:14 PM

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Santa Maria will likely see lows in the upper 20's tonight.

 

Did you get some freezing temps earlier this winter? 



#347
Thunder98

Posted 19 February 2018 - 01:24 PM

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Did you get some freezing temps earlier this winter? 

 

Temperatures did dip down to 29F in December 22nd and 32F on the Winter Solstice

 

https://english.wund...reqdb.wmo=99999


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#348
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 19 February 2018 - 04:11 PM

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Mostly sunny with a chance of showers seems to be accurate as there are dark clouds in front of the Santa Ana Mountains, but the rest of the sky is mostly clear. There were no clouds at all this morning, however.

I still like this sort of weather more than the June Gloom. Today is cold and windy, but there is sunshine and the air is crisp and clean.

On a June Gloom day, it's overcast and depressing and the dampness makes it feel colder than it is, and any walk will leave you soaked in cold sweat. Also inversions ensure bad air quality.

#349
Bonk

Posted 20 February 2018 - 06:38 AM

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Brisk morning here in Modjeska

 

Attached File  temperature.jpg   15.05KB   0 downloads


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#350
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 20 February 2018 - 07:45 AM

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Cold this morning, but at least it's not windy.

Yesterday had a high of 61 F at the Fullerton Airport. We had quite a few days colder than that last winter, including some during the last week of February.