Super Bowl Weekend Snow

[Grizzcoat]

Euro coming around to the GFS and others for monday system. I will post maps in a little bit.

[Craig-OmahaWX]

I wouldn't call it coming around, its drastically different again and if you like what you see just wait till 12z. lol That rhymed 

[Tabitha]

 if you like what you see just wait till 12z. lol That rhymed 

 

Oh My Goddess; I'm rubbing off on Them...

 

Brrrrrrrrrrrr...scary.

[Grizzcoat]

[Grizzcoat]

[Tabitha]

Hate that model with every fiber of my corporeal being...

 

It always manages to destroy a nice storm.

 

Except in The Towns it Likes...The Snow Towns...it always kisses Those Towns Behinds....has snow there for 500 straight hours.

 

But in the non-snow towns; the biggest blizzard ever could be near; and it would print out a chance of a flurry.

 

I know how it thinks.  In fact; I know Before it thinks.

 

It is a walking refraction of Contemporary Times: Sanitized; Anesthetized, Lobotomized.

 

I will pay it back someday; for all the iniquities it has visited upon Me.

[Grizzcoat]

I wouldn't call it coming around, its drastically different again and if you like what you see just wait till 12z. lol That rhymed 

FTR-  I wrote it's "coming around to the GFS and others". To be more acute, the EURO is caving to other models it seems. Could it change? It likely will. But tonight the EURO,GFS and CMC all give many on this sub forum there largest event of the season.

[Tabitha]

To be more acute,

 

Warden Norton has a handle on it!

 

https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/7cd21583-5982-463e-943f-99742e46ed93

[Craig-OmahaWX]

Oh My Goddess; I'm rubbing off on Them...

 

Brrrrrrrrrrrr...scary.

LOL

[Grizzcoat]

06Z GFS  (this thread should probably be renamed since most of this actually falls on Monday for those in the Upper Midwest at least.)-

[Grizzcoat]

BEERENDS at DMX still not overly impressed.  But at least she mentions "locally heavier amounts".

"Another upper trough to dig into the Rockies early next week, with
another shortwave trough moving through the region Monday into
Monday night. This will be the greatest chance for accumulating
snowfall in the current forecast period. A general 1 to 2 inches of
snow with some locally heavier amounts expected with this wave
currently with the heaviest band setting up across central Iowa.
Steadier snow to taper off Monday evening, with cyclonic flow
pattern remaining in place through mid to late week, with additional
weak waves traversing the area embedded in the fast northwesterly
flow. Very hard to nail down timing/placement for precipitation
chances with these systems, so did not make any changes to blended
grids with sporadic snow chances from Tuesday onward."

[Grizzcoat]

[dubuque473]

She takes away our snow and beer.

[Grizzcoat]

actually pretty good being this far out---

[Grizzcoat]

[Madtown]

Can't say I'm surprised. grids down to 1-2 here

[St Paul Storm]

1-3” in the point here, although MPX says some surprise totals may occur with ratios up to 25:1. They also called out the NAM for its stupidity saying it’s scenario is simply not plausible.

[james1976]

Nice posts Grizz. Hopefully trends hold. Gettin a bit more excited for Monday.

[jaster220]

4" in my grid for overnight Sat-Sunday event. Would be not only another nice plow-worthy event, but would also be about 40% more snow than I had for the entire month of Feb a year ago

 

[Minny_Weather]

Unreal. Models are unbelievably consistent on a tiny dome over me.

[jaster220]

Unreal. Models are unbelievably consistent on a tiny dome over me.

 

Models trolling you HARD 

[WBadgersW]

Well, there goes another storm. I'm sure there will be an isolate 5-6" along the lake. Otherwise a general 1-3" seems reasonable.

[Niko]

Forecasters are calling for a long duration of snow in SMI w snow accumulations of 4-8"+.

[Jaycee]

Models trolling you HARD 

 

Models: "Here's your storm! Sorry about the seven year wait!"

 

Nebraska: "Yay finally! I knew things would turn around"

 

Michigan: "Hold my beer" swoops in like:

 

http://i.imgur.com/9zet0gW.gif

[Minny_Weather]

Not even a single flake for here on NAM. We're surrounded by flakes, though!

[CentralNebWeather]

Not even a single flake for here on NAM. We're surrounded by flakes, though!

Nothing should surprise us Nebraskans anymore about the weather.  I have become somewhat jaded in looking at the models.  I now just assume we will be missed.

[CentralNebWeather]

12Z GFS showing a little streak of snow through Central Nebraska on Sunday.  I think I have typed that 100 times this winter.  Will this one bring anything?  Who knows?

[Tom]

Nothing should surprise us Nebraskans anymore about the weather.  I have become somewhat jaded in looking at the models.  I now just assume we will be missed.

12z GFS throws you a bone!

 

I think MKE up into Sheboygan area in E WI are golden to seeing 5"+ from this set up.  The lake is definitely going to be a player.  It also is looking like a stronger signal down into NE IL as well.  I'll take 3-4" all day from this first system.

 

From what I can tell, the flow turns easterly for 12-18 hours across NE IL which could be an interesting scenario if it plays out.

[Tom]

GFS further N on Monday.

Bud started a thread for this system...

[Grizzcoat]

Bud started a thread for this system...

 

My bad...

[Tom]

My bad...

All good bud...

[jaster220]

12z GFS throws you a bone!

 

I think MKE up into Sheboygan area in E WI are golden to seeing 5"+ from this set up.  The lake is definitely going to be a player.  It also is looking like a stronger signal down into NE IL as well.  I'll take 3-4" all day from this first system.

 

From what I can tell, the flow turns easterly for 12-18 hours across NE IL which could be an interesting scenario if it plays out.

 

I told Tony yesterday, Chicago could definitely get some help off of the big lake! 

 

WPC likes mby for 2-6"

 

Min:

 

 

Max:

 

[jaster220]

This thing just kind of approaches from the NW and "pounces" on The Mitt...

 

 

 

 

 

[Minny_Weather]

Punting on this system. We'll be lucky to get more than a half inch with the way things are looking.

[Niko]

This thing just kind of approaches from the NW and "pounces" on The Mitt...default_popcorn.gif

 

20180202 7am ICast map for Sat the 3rd.gif

 

20180202 7pm ICast map for Sat the 3rd.gif

 

20180202 7am ICast map for Sun the 4th.gif

Bring it boy!

[Tom]

12z Euro is trending towards the GFS for Sat/Sun period and also tracking farther NW for the second stronger wave...will post maps soon...

[Hawkeye]

Even just another 50 miles nw with the southern system would really help us.

[Madtown]

looks not good here....models seem to be hinting at msn getting lake effect....flurries maybe...accumulation not likely

[WBadgersW]

MKX issue a WWA for Milwaukee North to Fondy. Calling for 3-5"

[jaster220]

GRR's initial map/call..love that "finger" of 4-6 that reaches out and touches Marshall  ..funny stuff  

 

Also like that they mention it'll be #realsnow, not the fluff-effect stuff we've gotten most often this season.