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February Weather in the Pacific Northwest


Deweydog

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I’ve clouded up here. This often happens with a strong NW wind. The winds push up against the foothills east of me and it becomes cloud city and my low temps are modified. I hate it.

What’s your temp?

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Haha, yeah blast was huge, estimates range from 47,000 to 64,000ft. Question is, how long does it last?

 

That is a pretty good shot alright.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Saturday morning looks good for W. WA.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I've been trying to play along that I'm hopeful about the subsequent possible snow events, but I'm in the mood now to just be real about it.  In general Seattle does terrible with lows that slide down the coast.  We need them to make landfall over SW WA to really have any chance at anything good.  Another rule of thumb I've noticed is Seattle doesn't do well when the Western trough plunges very far south like this one is doing.  This pattern simply doesn't allow systems to move inland anywhere near a favorable location for us.  NW OR is closer to the coast and the systems are in the process of moving closer to the coast as they move south.  The one we should have scored with was today's system.

 

The big question is why are so many cold waves coming without getting decent snowfall here.  If you look at past decades it was much less common for the Puget Sound region to fail like this.  At this point I'm just going to live with it and count the days until I can move to a better area.  It's as simple as that.

 

Remember that areas north of Seattle were absolutely buried today.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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That is a pretty good shot alright.

Yeah, 17km is yuuge. It’s not easy to measure the height of an ash cloud, though. Especially the big ones.

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GEM is great Tuesday night for PDX and the valley.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_24.png

 

Fun

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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GEM isn't as good as ICON or GFS for next weekend.

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_24.png

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I've been trying to play along that I'm hopeful about the subsequent possible snow events, but I'm in the mood now to just be real about it.  In general Seattle does terrible with lows that slide down the coast.  We need them to make landfall over SW WA to really have any chance at anything good.  Another rule of thumb I've noticed is Seattle doesn't do well when the Western trough plunges very far south like this one is doing.  This pattern simply doesn't allow systems to move inland anywhere near a favorable location for us.  NW OR is closer to the coast and the systems are in the process of moving closer to the coast as they move south.  The one we should have scored with was today's system.

 

The big question is why are so many cold waves coming without getting decent snowfall here.  If you look at past decades it was much less common for the Puget Sound region to fail like this.  At this point I'm just going to live with it and count the days until I can move to a better area.  It's as simple as that.

I feel your pain snow_wizard. I wish you had gotten some snow today and I thought you would. That's just weather for you, it's so unpredictable. You still might get some snow on Tuesday and also later in the week, don't give up hope! Sometimes snow happens when you least expect it.

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28. I was hoping to get below 20 but not likely. Maybe tomorrow night

My guess is the temp will plummet when the north wind relaxes, and our snow cover will help as well.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Everything is certainly as clear as mud now.  The GFS shows the pattern going too far west around a week out, although I'm far from convinced it's right yet.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I feel your pain snow_wizard. I wish you had gotten some snow today and I thought you would. That's just weather for you, it's so unpredictable. You still might get some snow on Tuesday and also later in the week, don't give up hope! Sometimes snow happens when you least expect it.

 

I've talked to my wife extensively about my need to move and hopefully some of things we need to have play out will happen to make it possible sooner than later.  January through April is just too depressing for me most years.  No matter what the move will happen.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I've talked to my wife extensively about my need to move and hopefully some of things we need to have play out will happen to make it possible sooner than later.  January through April is just too depressing for me most years.  No matter what the move will happen.

 

January through April is only 4 months though.   Most places suck for at least part of the year.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I've been trying to play along that I'm hopeful about the subsequent possible snow events, but I'm in the mood now to just be real about it.  In general Seattle does terrible with lows that slide down the coast.  We need them to make landfall over SW WA to really have any chance at anything good.  Another rule of thumb I've noticed is Seattle doesn't do well when the Western trough plunges very far south like this one is doing.  This pattern simply doesn't allow systems to move inland anywhere near a favorable location for us.  NW OR is closer to the coast and the systems are in the process of moving closer to the coast as they move south.  The one we should have scored with was today's system.

 

The big question is why are so many cold waves coming without getting decent snowfall here.  If you look at past decades it was much less common for the Puget Sound region to fail like this.  At this point I'm just going to live with it and count the days until I can move to a better area.  It's as simple as that.

 

I agree with that sentiment, today's pattern was the one that should have delivered. Perhaps it was just a bit too progressive, without enough cold air in the BC interior. I can't think of many events with 500mb thicknesses falling to 514dm with such a wimpy Arctic "front".

 

We did manage our first freeze of 2018 today, it's currently sitting around 30.5F. There are places that almost always score when it gets cold, the east side of Vancouver Island and north side of the Olympics have done very well these past 2 years. I'll probably eventually move back up to the Nanaimo-Parksville area, the climate at the southern tip of this island can be torture for a weather enthusiast.

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Just a narrow band. Most areas north of Seattle hardly saw much.

Yep. Nothing at my house, but drove 20 minutes to get to a winter wonderland where there was 6+ inches. Gave me flashbacks to 2008 or 2012 seeing everything buried in snow. Was super cool.

(Previous name: MillCreekMike)

Everett, WA (elev. 180’)

2023-2024 Snowfall:

1/11: Tr.

1/18: Tr.

Go M’s

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Maybe this will help the cause to give us the post super nino global cooling we have been due for.  Maybe about 10 of these will finally make it snow in Seattle. :lol:

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I agree with that sentiment, today's pattern was the one that should have delivered. Perhaps it was just a bit too progressive, without enough cold air in the BC interior. I can't think of many events with 500mb thicknesses falling to 514dm with such a wimpy Arctic "front".

 

We did manage our first freeze of 2018 today, it's currently sitting around 30.5F. There are places that almost always score when it gets cold, the east side of Vancouver Island and north side of the Olympics have done very well these past 2 years. I'll probably eventually move back up to the Nanaimo-Parksville area, the climate at the southern tip of this island can be torture for a weather enthusiast.

 

I think the thicknesses up there might even go lower than 514.  I think having the cold air already in place in BC is important going into these.  In this case it was advecting in as the pattern unfolded.  I learned something new from this.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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It wasn't "nothing".  It snowed here for nine hours today.  It just didn't stick.

 

The water EQ here was pretty weak.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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