February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[seattleweatherguy]

Why?

I am no expert, but I'm trying to actually read the models rather than thar weather app. Just based on how it did the first go around last weekend.

[MossMan]

I wont lie i like to run with the model thats showing the most snow. Others are wrong.

Me too!

[pscz1140]

Why?

 

Some of the other models look good (or have improved).

 

The 3KM doesn't look good for SEA, so will follow the scientific method and toss it

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

19 at Olympia.

[Bryant]

I am no expert, but I'm trying to actually read the models rather than thar weather app. Just based on how it did the first go around last weekend.

NAM has definitely done decent. I just didn't want to hear, "because it shows the most" lol

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Just a tad too far offshore. Curse that super -NAO!

 

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF is certainly not terrible in terms of persistent precipitation in the 6-10 day period.    Probably a pattern most of us would enjoy since it would be cold and there would be some offshore flow.

 

Way better than the endless parade of storms and onshore flow mess on the GFS.

[pscz1140]

Just a tad too far offshore. Curse that super -NAO!

 

That map is insane.

 

When was the last time we had a robust ridge to our west and a -NAO on steroids like that?

[Bryant]

00Z ECMWF is certainly not terrible in terms of persistent precipitation in the 6-10 day period. Probably a pattern most of us would enjoy since it would be cold and there would be some offshore flow.

 

Way better than the endless parade of storms and onshore flow mess on the GFS.

You're sure putting a lot of emphasis on a time frame that will change over and over again

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF snowfall maps for the next 10 days are way better for Seattle than the 12z.

[snow_wizard]

You're sure putting a lot of emphasis on a time frame that will change over and over again

 

I'm betting your time is coming.  I can't imagine you not scoring with this pattern coming up.

[snow_wizard]

Down to 23 here now.  This could be the coldest I've ever seen it this early in the night so late in the season.  It was probably close in 2011 and maybe early Mar 1989.

[snow_wizard]

Just a tad too far offshore. Curse that super -NAO!

 

 

That time frame is something to watch IMO.

[TT-SEA]

You're sure putting a lot of emphasis on a time frame that will change over and over again

 

By taking 30 seconds to check the ECMWF and write two sentences about it?

[Bryant]

I'm betting your time is coming. I can't imagine you not scoring with this pattern coming up.

Brennan and I would love to see more than 2" (in total) this winter! Been a tough one. Hope you're right Jim.

[Bryant]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Trying not to get my hopes up, but it looks like it could be a snowy weekend... with a little rain in between.

[TT-SEA]

Whatever you say Tim

 

I am watching that period.  It takes 30 seconds to scroll through 4 days on WB... takes another minute to write up what the maps look like.

 

And then takes 6 hours to defend my interest in that period to people like you.   Make perfect sense.  

 

You troll me... then I defend myself... and in the end its hours of discussion all related to a single post about an ECMWF surface map.   Constant game on here only because I choose to play.    

[MossMan]

Trying not to get my hopes up, but it looks like it could be a snowy weekend... with a little rain in between.

I’m hoping for all snow and no rain!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I’m hoping for all snow and no rain!

That’s always the best. I think Saturday night will be rain down here with a transition back to snow midday Sunday

[SilverFallsAndrew]

John Day heading for single digits is impressive. That is not one of the colder spots in E Oregon.

[ShawniganLake]

I’m hoping for all snow and no rain!

I’m hoping for snow. Any snow at all really.

[Jbolin]

I’m hoping for snow. Any snow at all really.

Haven't you received snow a couple times leading up to this cold snap and during the winter as a whole thus far?

[Bryant]

I am watching that period. It takes 30 seconds to scroll through 4 days on WB... takes another minute to write up what the maps look like.

 

And then takes 6 hours to defend my interest in that period to people like you. Make perfect sense.

 

You troll me... then I defend myself... and in the end its hours of discussion all related to a single post about an ECMWF surface map. Constant game on here only because I choose to play.

I've left you alone until today, when you started shifting back to your inner Tim

[TT-SEA]

I've left you alone until today, when you started shifting back to your inner Tim

 

Troll.  

 

I made a post last night about something I am watching and care about.   Did it again tonight for the same period.  

 

And did not detract at all from anyone else's fun or their interests.    

[ShawniganLake]

Haven't you received snow a couple times leading up to this cold snap and during the winter as a whole thus far?

Yes. We had 1 big snowfall in December. Other than that mostly 1/2 to 1” type snowfalls. 18” for the winter. We average about 30” here. I’m just not super picky about how it may fall this weekend. There will be rain as well.

[Bryant]

Troll.

 

I made a post last night about something I am watching and care about. Did it again tonight for the same period.

 

And did not detract at all from anyone else's fun or their interests.

Posting a map with warm anomalies which makes you "giddy", in the middle of the biggest potential many of us have seen, is what a troll does. Don't act like you didn't do that on purpose.

[wx_statman]

PDX actually picked up 0.1" from the afternoon flurries. Total snowfall for the season now stands at 7.6"

 

RECORD EVENT REPORT...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OREGON
637 PM PST THU FEB 22 2018

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT PORTLAND OR...

A TOTAL OF 1.7 INCHES OF SNOW HAS FALLEN IN PORTLAND TODAY...UPDATED
TO INCLUDE THE 0.1 INCH THAT FELL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BREAKS
THE PREVIOUS DAILY RECORD SNOWFALL FOR FEBRUARY 22...WHICH WAS 1.0
INCH SET BACK IN 1957.

[wx_statman]

44/32, 0.2"

40/30, T

34/30, 4.2"

37/23, 0.5"

40/28, 1.7"

 

Last 5 days at PDX. 

[TT-SEA]

Posting a map with warm anomalies which makes you "giddy", in the middle of the biggest potential many of us have seen, is what a troll does. Don't act like you didn't do that on purpose.

 

Dry was the part that made me happy... warming up also works for me but is not nearly as important.  

 

I have been bending over backwards to support others on here.    I can (and will) have my own opinions as well when the models show something I like.   The two things can co-exist. 

[Brennan]

Troll.  

 

I made a post last night about something I am watching and care about.   Did it again tonight for the same period.  

 

And did not detract at all from anyone else's fun or their interests.    

Sports Center often doesn't cover the Mariners highlights... or they show one clip at the very end of the show and the score, even if it was a high scoring game. I remember so many times watching the entire 60 minutes of sports center only to get shafted and see no Mariners highlights... The reason they don't show them? Because they focus on the locations that people care about the most... LA, NY, TEXAS and so on. 

 

Tim, pretend you are sports center, and you were broadcasting to the forum...  You talking about warm, dry weather right now is like Sports Center showing 20 minutes of Mariners coverage when the majority of its viewers or thousands of miles away from Seattle..

 

 

MY POINT IS... when you know that nobody else cares about a warm up 8 days from now, why bother posting about it.... doesn't matter if you care about it, nobody else does. If what's being shown makes you happy, be happy! Just speaking for the masses. I truly DGAF about what you post in here. 

 

 

[snow_wizard]

SEA has already tied the record low for the 23rd as of midnight.

 

They broke the record yesterday by 4 degrees.

[TT-SEA]

SEA has already tied the record low for the 23rd as of midnight.

 

They broke the record yesterday by 4 degrees.

 

Monkey off the back and then some.  

[TT-SEA]

Sports Center often doesn't cover the Mariners highlights... or they show one clip at the very end of the show and the score, even if it was a high scoring game. I remember so many times watching the entire 60 minutes of sports center only to get shafted and see no Mariners highlights... The reason they don't show them? Because they focus on the locations that people care about the most... LA, NY, TEXAS and so on. 

 

Tim, pretend you are sports center, and you were broadcasting to the forum...  You talking about warm, dry weather right now is like Sports Center showing 20 minutes of Mariners coverage when the majority of its viewers or thousands of miles away from Seattle..

 

 

MY POINT IS... when you know that nobody else cares about a warm up 8 days from now, why bother posting about it.... doesn't matter if you care about it, nobody else does. If what's being shown makes you happy, be happy! Just speaking for the masses. I truly DGAF about what you post in here. 

 

 

 

Then why the endless discussion?  

 

It just something I am watching and hoping for upon our return.   It was one single post because I was a little excited about the possibility of dry weather.  I cannot be more supportive of others... 95% of my posts lately are to support other people with maps or comments about their observations and pictures.   I personally don't really care if there is cold and snow right now... it does not excite me.   But its happening and its nice to see people have their wishes come true.  

[Jbolin]

Then why the endless discussion?  

 

It just something I am watching and hoping for upon our return.   It was one single post because I was a little excited about the possibility of dry weather.  I cannot be more supportive of others... 95% of my posts lately are to support other people with maps or comments about their observations and pictures.   I personally don't really care if there is cold and snow right now... it does not excite me.   But its happening and its nice to see people have their wishes come true.  

Then leave it at that. 

 

November's rains and the accompanying gloom, doom and persistent grey that you come to hate will be here before you know it. 

[TT-SEA]

Then leave it at that. 

 

November's rains and the accompanying gloom, doom and persistent grey that you come to hate will be here before you know it. 

 

This post makes no sense.   

[Jesse]

Already down to 23 here. There is a half moon out and the snow that is left is crunchy. Still an inch or two in north facing lawns. Should be in the teens by morning.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

24 with a north wind and bare ground. Very crisp outside that's for sure. Got an inch of snow last night and some cold temps. For this location that's pretty good in any given winter.

[Jbolin]

This post makes no sense.   

It makes perfect sense Tim, you are the proverbial home team cheerleader always cheering for the "other" team

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The 1am obs are very impressive