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February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

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#3901
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted Today, 03:47 PM

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I've got to imagine there is some small part of you that is a little disappointed that your vacation coincided with what looks to be the most exciting period of the winter. I know you will never admit it though, since you have railed against the silliness of worrying about missing "a few days of cold and snow" for so many years. ;)
 
It is kind of ironic that it eventually happened, though. I think this is the first time you have been somewhere tropical while a legit chance of snow and cold shows up for the western lowlands.

I would have changed my plans. I would be going nuts if i was away and missing the best part of winter. Besides i would never go to that shithole anyway.
  • Jesse and Jake like this

We come from the land of the ice and snow.


#3902
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 03:47 PM

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I've got to imagine there is some small part of you that is a little disappointed that your vacation coincided with what looks to be the most exciting period of the winter. I know you will never admit it though, since you have railed against the silliness of worrying about missing "a few days of cold and snow" for so many years. ;)


Honestly... not at all. Maybe if it was Christmas. The only thing I would have been pissed about missing would be a week of 65 degree sun... and that is not going to happen!

#3903
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted Today, 03:48 PM

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Honestly... not at all. Maybe if it was Christmas. The only thing I would have been pissed about missing would be a week of 65 degree sun... and that is not going to happen!

You are not a true winter weather fan.
  • nwsnow likes this

We come from the land of the ice and snow.


#3904
Jesse

Posted Today, 03:49 PM

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I would have changed my plans. I would be going nuts if i was away and missing the best part of winter. Besides i would never go to that shithole anyway.

 

I just accidentally deleted that post. Dang it!



#3905
Jginmartini

Posted Today, 03:49 PM

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South wind trending weaker here now
Mostly cloudy with temp of 45 dew point 39
I assume this is intermission time before the next part of the show
Blast of Arctic air please

#3906
Jesse

Posted Today, 03:49 PM

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Honestly... not at all. Maybe if it was Christmas. The only thing I would have been pissed about missing would be a week of 65 degree sun... and that is not going to happen!

 

You are so deliciously normal.



#3907
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 03:50 PM

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I would have changed my plans. I would be going nuts if i was away and missing the best part of winter. Besides i would never go to that shithole anyway.


Absolutely gorgeous and clean here. I don't care that much about snow and cold. Its beautiful when its sunny and its better than rain. But I lose interest after January. I swear half the people here are wearing Mariners and Seahawks shirts and hats. :)
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#3908
Front Ranger

Posted Today, 03:50 PM

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Honestly... not at all. Maybe if it was Christmas. The only thing I would have been pissed about missing would be a week of 65 degree sun... and that is not going to happen!

 

You can go find tropical sunshine any time. Dime a dozen.

 

You can't find snow in the PNW lowlands (and COLD sunshine!!) any time.


  • MR.SNOWMIZER likes this

Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#3909
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 03:51 PM

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You are so deliciously normal.


I know. So boring.

#3910
Deweydog

Posted Today, 03:52 PM

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You are so deliciously normal.


Tim!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(Like Jim!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! but not exactly the same)

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3911
Front Ranger

Posted Today, 03:52 PM

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Absolutely gorgeous and clean here. I don't care that much about snow and cold. Its beautiful when its sunny and its better than rain. But I lose interest after January. I swear half the people here are wearing Mariners and Seahawks shirts and hats. :)

 

Sounds like they're missing out on a valuable opportunity to soak up vitamin D from head to toe.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#3912
Jake

Posted Today, 03:53 PM

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You are so deliciously normal.

Abnormally normal.


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#3913
AlpineExperience

Posted Today, 03:53 PM

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You are so deliciously normal.


A true Minnesotan
  • TT-SEA likes this

#3914
Jesse

Posted Today, 03:54 PM

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Tim!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(Like Jim!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! but not exactly the same)

 

I would have to search some posts but I don't think Tim has ever called Jim delicious. 



#3915
Jesse

Posted Today, 03:55 PM

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Abnormally normal.

 

When you want everyone to be certain how normal you are that is usually a dead giveaway. ;)


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#3916
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted Today, 03:55 PM

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Down to 43.

Nws calling for 4-9” in the foothills above 800’

Snowfall

2017-18: 1.4"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

 


#3917
Deweydog

Posted Today, 03:55 PM

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I would have to search some posts but I don't think Tim has ever called Jim delicious.


I don't think Jim would taste that good. He strikes me as a sweater.
  • Jesse and Front Ranger like this

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3918
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 03:56 PM

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A true Minnesotan


Yep!

#3919
Front Ranger

Posted Today, 03:57 PM

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When you want everyone to be certain how normal you are that is usually a dead giveaway. ;)

 

I'm just relieved he stopped by to let us know he's enjoying himself. I was a little concerned he'd be growing tired of Hawaii by now, and start longing for some winter weather in February.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#3920
Deweydog

Posted Today, 03:59 PM

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Down to 53 at PDX.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3921
Front Ranger

Posted Today, 03:59 PM

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I don't think Jim would taste that good. He strikes me as a sweater.

 

I've tried really hard to avoid thinking about how members here taste. Thanks a lot.


  • Jake likes this

Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#3922
Deweydog

Posted Today, 04:02 PM

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I've tried really hard to avoid thinking about how members here taste. Thanks a lot.


Is it really that bad considering we talk so frequently about warm noses, wet bulbs, backdoor penetration and anal logs?

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3923
Jesse

Posted Today, 04:02 PM

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I don't think Jim would taste that good. He strikes me as a sweater.


He always struck me as a scarf.

#3924
Deweydog

Posted Today, 04:07 PM

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He always struck me as a scarf.


A must have for flash freezes!

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#3925
seattleweatherguy

Posted Today, 04:15 PM

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FXUS66 KSEW 180005
AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
405 PM PST Sat Feb 17 2018

.SYNOPSIS...The low center which brought today`s active weather
will exit east this evening. A modified arctic cold front will
move southward through Western Washington late tonight and early
Sunday, bringing the possibility of lowland snow followed by
strong north winds. Dry conditions are expected from late Sunday
through Tuesday with cold temperatures remaining in place. Another
system could slide in from the northwest around next Wednesday,
with light snow possible. More systems are possible on Friday and
Saturday, with light precipitation and low snow levels.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Deepening 996 mb surface low is now over northeast
Washington and exiting east. Therefore, strong westerly wind over
the forecast area will ever so slowly start to ease over the next
few hours. Heavy snow over the Cascades will also ease, though a
Puget Sound Convergence Zone may keep Stevens Pass going strong
for a while longer. With today`s heavy snow and strong wind, an
Avalanche Warning is also in effect for a few more hours in the
Cascades.

In the wake of today`s low center, a a continental polar air mass
will quickly spread south through interior B.C. and come pouring
out of the Fraser later tonight. The BLI-CYWL gradient is forecast
to peak near -20 mb on Sunday morning, making this a strong
Fraser Outflow event. Strong north- northeast winds will ensue,
most notably near Bellingham, the San Juans, and around to
Admiralty Inlet. Other places will be breezy as well. The
windiness from the less common northerly direction will have
greater tree impacts than a similar south wind. A modified arctic
front will spread south and southwest through Western Washington
early Sunday morning, with localized frontal convergence and
orographic lift leading to some lowland snow accumulations. The
average forecast snowfall up and down the I-5 corridor will be
about 1 to 2 inches. However, all meso models show a distinct hole
in the snowfall pattern from Poulsbo over to Seattle, likely from
precip shadowing downwind of the Olympics in northwest flow
aloft. So that is why the Bremerton and Seattle forecast zones are
excluded from the Winter Weather Advisory over the lowlands. Some
local enhancement of snow is expected just away from the water
near Port Angeles due to north-northeast wind upsloping against
the north slope of the Olympics, so the forecast there is for 2-4
inches of snow.

The front will be followed by the coldest air mass of this winter.
A hard freeze is expected areawide on Sunday night, with Monday
night likely being the coldest night of the upcoming cold spell.
At least the cold will come with drier weather. The last showers
will taper off over the Cascades on Sunday night or Monday, with
dry weather expected Monday and Monday night.

The NAM and GFS keep Tuesday dry as well. The ECMWF tries to
develop a warm advection nose of precip over Western Washington on
Tue. Since only two of the GFS ensemble`s 20 members show precip
at HQM on Tuesday, have kept PoPs on the low side. If any precip
does occur on Tue, it would still be cold enough for snow, even at
the coast. Haner

.LONG TERM...A cool northwest flow pattern will continue from Wed
through Sat. A system diving down from the northwest on Wed could
very well spread light precip across Western Washington, with
light snowfall accumulations. A lull in precip is possible Thu.

More precip with more weak shortwaves on Fri and Sat. The 12z
ECMWF was colder than the 12z GFS, but the 18z GFS seems to be
coming around to a cooler solution. This would keep snow levels at
or below 1000 feet, a situation of the snow threat continuing on
higher lowland hills but less so at sea level. Haner

#3926
Poulsbo Snowman

Posted Today, 04:24 PM

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FXUS66 KSEW 180005
AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
405 PM PST Sat Feb 17 2018

.SYNOPSIS...The low center which brought today`s active weather
will exit east this evening. A modified arctic cold front will
move southward through Western Washington late tonight and early
Sunday, bringing the possibility of lowland snow followed by
strong north winds. Dry conditions are expected from late Sunday
through Tuesday with cold temperatures remaining in place. Another
system could slide in from the northwest around next Wednesday,
with light snow possible. More systems are possible on Friday and
Saturday, with light precipitation and low snow levels.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Deepening 996 mb surface low is now over northeast
Washington and exiting east. Therefore, strong westerly wind over
the forecast area will ever so slowly start to ease over the next
few hours. Heavy snow over the Cascades will also ease, though a
Puget Sound Convergence Zone may keep Stevens Pass going strong
for a while longer. With today`s heavy snow and strong wind, an
Avalanche Warning is also in effect for a few more hours in the
Cascades.

In the wake of today`s low center, a a continental polar air mass
will quickly spread south through interior B.C. and come pouring
out of the Fraser later tonight. The BLI-CYWL gradient is forecast
to peak near -20 mb on Sunday morning, making this a strong
Fraser Outflow event. Strong north- northeast winds will ensue,
most notably near Bellingham, the San Juans, and around to
Admiralty Inlet. Other places will be breezy as well. The
windiness from the less common northerly direction will have
greater tree impacts than a similar south wind. A modified arctic
front will spread south and southwest through Western Washington
early Sunday morning, with localized frontal convergence and
orographic lift leading to some lowland snow accumulations. The
average forecast snowfall up and down the I-5 corridor will be
about 1 to 2 inches. However, all meso models show a distinct hole
in the snowfall pattern from Poulsbo over to Seattle, likely from
precip shadowing downwind of the Olympics in northwest flow
aloft. So that is why the Bremerton and Seattle forecast zones are
excluded from the Winter Weather Advisory over the lowlands. Some
local enhancement of snow is expected just away from the water
near Port Angeles due to north-northeast wind upsloping against
the north slope of the Olympics, so the forecast there is for 2-4
inches of snow.

The front will be followed by the coldest air mass of this winter.
A hard freeze is expected areawide on Sunday night, with Monday
night likely being the coldest night of the upcoming cold spell.
At least the cold will come with drier weather. The last showers
will taper off over the Cascades on Sunday night or Monday, with
dry weather expected Monday and Monday night.

The NAM and GFS keep Tuesday dry as well. The ECMWF tries to
develop a warm advection nose of precip over Western Washington on
Tue. Since only two of the GFS ensemble`s 20 members show precip
at HQM on Tuesday, have kept PoPs on the low side. If any precip
does occur on Tue, it would still be cold enough for snow, even at
the coast. Haner

.LONG TERM...A cool northwest flow pattern will continue from Wed
through Sat. A system diving down from the northwest on Wed could
very well spread light precip across Western Washington, with
light snowfall accumulations. A lull in precip is possible Thu.

More precip with more weak shortwaves on Fri and Sat. The 12z
ECMWF was colder than the 12z GFS, but the 18z GFS seems to be
coming around to a cooler solution. This would keep snow levels at
or below 1000 feet, a situation of the snow threat continuing on
higher lowland hills but less so at sea level. Haner


In spite of the mesos, I think we'll do a little better than that in the central PS--especially in Poulsbo. :)

#3927
Jesse

Posted Today, 04:24 PM

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Finally a heavy shower here. Temp fell into the 40s pretty quickly.

#3928
Jginmartini

Posted Today, 04:34 PM

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Government camp just changed over to snow

Attached Files


Blast of Arctic air please

#3929
Deweydog

Posted Today, 04:35 PM

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FXUS66 KSEW 180005
AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
405 PM PST Sat Feb 17 2018

.SYNOPSIS...The low center which brought today`s active weather
will exit east this evening. A modified arctic cold front will
move southward through Western Washington late tonight and early
Sunday, bringing the possibility of lowland snow followed by
strong north winds. Dry conditions are expected from late Sunday
through Tuesday with cold temperatures remaining in place. Another
system could slide in from the northwest around next Wednesday,
with light snow possible. More systems are possible on Friday and
Saturday, with light precipitation and low snow levels.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Deepening 996 mb surface low is now over northeast
Washington and exiting east. Therefore, strong westerly wind over
the forecast area will ever so slowly start to ease over the next
few hours. Heavy snow over the Cascades will also ease, though a
Puget Sound Convergence Zone may keep Stevens Pass going strong
for a while longer. With today`s heavy snow and strong wind, an
Avalanche Warning is also in effect for a few more hours in the
Cascades.

In the wake of today`s low center, a a continental polar air mass
will quickly spread south through interior B.C. and come pouring
out of the Fraser later tonight. The BLI-CYWL gradient is forecast
to peak near -20 mb on Sunday morning, making this a strong
Fraser Outflow event. Strong north- northeast winds will ensue,
most notably near Bellingham, the San Juans, and around to
Admiralty Inlet. Other places will be breezy as well. The
windiness from the less common northerly direction will have
greater tree impacts than a similar south wind. A modified arctic
front will spread south and southwest through Western Washington
early Sunday morning, with localized frontal convergence and
orographic lift leading to some lowland snow accumulations. The
average forecast snowfall up and down the I-5 corridor will be
about 1 to 2 inches. However, all meso models show a distinct hole
in the snowfall pattern from Poulsbo over to Seattle, likely from
precip shadowing downwind of the Olympics in northwest flow
aloft. So that is why the Bremerton and Seattle forecast zones are
excluded from the Winter Weather Advisory over the lowlands. Some
local enhancement of snow is expected just away from the water
near Port Angeles due to north-northeast wind upsloping against
the north slope of the Olympics, so the forecast there is for 2-4
inches of snow.

The front will be followed by the coldest air mass of this winter.
A hard freeze is expected areawide on Sunday night, with Monday
night likely being the coldest night of the upcoming cold spell.
At least the cold will come with drier weather. The last showers
will taper off over the Cascades on Sunday night or Monday, with
dry weather expected Monday and Monday night.

The NAM and GFS keep Tuesday dry as well. The ECMWF tries to
develop a warm advection nose of precip over Western Washington on
Tue. Since only two of the GFS ensemble`s 20 members show precip
at HQM on Tuesday, have kept PoPs on the low side. If any precip
does occur on Tue, it would still be cold enough for snow, even at
the coast. Haner

.LONG TERM...A cool northwest flow pattern will continue from Wed
through Sat. A system diving down from the northwest on Wed could
very well spread light precip across Western Washington, with
light snowfall accumulations. A lull in precip is possible Thu.

More precip with more weak shortwaves on Fri and Sat. The 12z
ECMWF was colder than the 12z GFS, but the 18z GFS seems to be
coming around to a cooler solution. This would keep snow levels at
or below 1000 feet, a situation of the snow threat continuing on
higher lowland hills but less so at sea level. Haner


Nice.

All roads lead to Walgreens.